May 2016 US personal income and spending data report 29 June 2016 Prior 0.4%. Revised to 0.5% Personal spending 0.4% vs 0.4% exp m/m. Prior 1.0%. Revised to 1.1% Real personal spending 0.3% vs 0.6% prior. Revised to 0...
June 2016 German HICP and CPI flash report 29 June 2016 Prior 0.0% 0.1% vs 0.1% exp m/m. Prior 0.4% CPI 0.3% vs 0.3% exp y/y. Prior 0.1% 0.1% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior 0.3...
Australians go to the polls on July 2nd, and for a change, this could be a market moving event...
The team at Nordea give it a 30% chance and explain why: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: In Q4 2016, the new prime minister triggers Article 50 of the EU Treaty by notifying the EU that the UK intends to leave. That opens a two-year window for negotiating a withdrawal agreement...
The US releases its final GDP for Q1 2016. A small upgrade is expected. The actual results is 1.1%, slightly better than 0.8% expected. Within the components, we do have a miss on personal consumption, with a downgrade to 1.5%. This is not good news. Sales did beat with 1.3% against 1.2% expected...
The game of 'who blinks first' is on Just in case you're unsure what article 50 is, it's the formal notice that a country wants to leave. "Article 501. Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements. 2...
June 2016 German HICP and CPI flash report 29 June 2016 Prior 0.0% 0.1% vs 0.1% exp m/m. Prior 0.4% CPI 0.3% vs 0.3% exp y/y. Prior 0.1% 0.1% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior 0.3...
Stephen Crabb has thrown his hat into the leadership ring and is making his case Brexit result was clear, UK will leave the EU Article 50 discussion must happen after uniting the party and the country My goal is to create stability (when asked about a possible General election) Control in immigra...
US ratings agency out with a client note 29 June 2016 UK to face large investment shock post-Brexit 2017 & 2018 GDP to fall to around 1% uncertainty to prompt firms to delay investment, hiring decisions Say Fitch...
A few items to keep an eye to gauge the reaction to Brexit I won't labour the point that we face many months of uncertainty now the vote is cast but even with that uncertainty, we can still identify the clues that will tell us how to trade it...
June 2016 Eurozone economic sentiment and final consumer confidence report 29 June 2016 Prior 104.7 Business climate 0.22 vs 0.26 exp. Prior 0.26 Industrial sentiment -2.8 vs -3.4 exp. Prior -3.6 Services sentiment 10.8 vs 11.0 exp. Prio r11.3...
UK mortgage approvals and consumer credit data Prior 66,250. Revised to 66,205 Mortgage lending 2.842bn vs 2.200bn exp. Prior 0.281bn. Revised to 0.112bn BOE consumer credit 1.503bn vs 1.400bn exp. Prior 1.287bn. Revised to 1.294bn credit card lending 418m vs 333m prior. Revised to 326m...
European equity rally is bringing a few euro sellers out of the woodwork 29 June Funding currency correlation returns along with some Brexit fallout concern...
More German regional CPI readings 29 June yy-0.1% vs -0.2% prev Hesse mm -0.1% vs +0.4% prev yy 0.0% as prev Bavaria mm +0.1% vs +0.4% prev...
Spanish June CPI report 29 June 2016 yy -0.8% vs -0.9% exp vs -1.0% prev HICP flash mm +0.4% vs +0.3% exp vs +0.5% prev yy -0.9% vs -1.0% exp vs -1.1% Stronger than expected inflation data will be welcome news but still wobbly...
Saxony June CPI report 29 June 2016 yy+ 0.4% vs +0.1% prev ex-fuel/heating mm +0.1% yy +1.0% ex energy/seasonal foods mm+0.1% yy +1.4% Lower mm. Higher yy. First of the German regionals with whole of German CPI out at 12.00 GMT...
Positive tones following on from the futures market 29 June 2016 FTSE +1.4% DAX +1.2% CAC40 +1.2% FTMIB +1.6...
Positive session for Japanese equities 29 June 2016 +243.69 open 15523.35 high 15626.66 15398.31...
Your Economic Data/Events Calendar for today 29 June 2016 Sad news to greet me this morning, as if we needed reminding how fragile is this world of ours right now, and seemingly on a downward spiral. Busy data calendar ahead. As always I wish you a good session. Times GMT...
Apparently there is this little rainy island off the coast of France, and its currency (big round stones with a hole in it) has 'reserve status' Go figure...
