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Piyush Ratnu is an independent forex market analyst & trader with core expertise in XAUUSD/Spot Gold.

With more than 15 years of experience as a Financial Market Analyst, Piyush Ratnu held the responsibility of developing and refining a series of algorithms & analytic tools to simplify the trading processes. His tools and algorithms were defined and rated as “unlike tools seen in the market before, extensively designed and most importantly, functional and logical” by some of the top financial companies and analysts at New York, London and Dubai.

Piyush Ratnu holds an experience of 290,000 trades, 1,790,000 pips calculated with a remarkable trading execution rate of 2 trades per second in an ideal scenario with profit booking in less than 8 seconds tracing 60+ pips/trade, as per audited and verified track record of last 10 years.

Core strength:

Economics, Economic Data Analysis, Spot Gold (XAUUSD), USD Majors, SR MTF Range Trading, Chart Patterns,
Volume Trading, Day Trading & Position Trading

Trading style
Fundamental based Intra-day trading.

Analysis based on proprietary algorithm 130+ parameters.

Core focus: XAUUSD | Spot Gold

Motto
Plan your trade, and then trade your plan!


Ai Verified Track Record since 2021:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/most-accurate-xauusd-spot-gold-price-projection-and-ai-verified-research-generated-by-piyush-ratnu-gold-market-research/

XAUUSD Daily Price Projection:
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MyFxBook:

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Risk Disclaimer:

Trading in foreign exchange (“Forex”) on margins entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not an indication of future results. In this case, as well, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and for you. Trading foreign exchange, indices and commodities, on margin, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all individuals.

The information made available by Piyush Ratnu is for your general information only and is not intended to address your particular requirements. In particular, the information does not constitute any form of advice or recommendation and is not intended to be relied upon by users in making, or refraining from making, any investment decisions.

Piyush Ratnu does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position(s) of Piyush Ratnu.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Key Highlights for today: Talk of a possible 75 bps increase in the Fed Funds rate at Wednesday's meeting, a robust USD and a slide in prices, prompted money managers to aggressively cut their net long gold exposure. The ISM will release the US Manufacturing PMI today at 18.00 hours. A weaker-than-expected PMI reading is likely to force the greenback to stay under bearish pressure and help XAU/USD push higher. In case the headline PMI surprises to the upside, the dollar might have a tough time capitalizing on it ahead of Wednesday’s all-important FOMC meeting. Given that high food and energy prices are here for a significant period of time and considering that inflation is well-rooted in the economy, it is very likely that the US central bank will continue to emit very hawkish policy signals for a while yet. This implies that any rallies, like the one over the last few days, may have a limited life span and long liquidations may be a fact of life well into the second half of the year. Technical:
GOLD approaching D1E2 (after rejection from 1907 zone)
1866 proved a major support, immediate FRT to 1888/1907 observed in last week. V pattern completed: as alerted in my analysis dated 27 April and 28 April 2022. Formation of another V pattern in process. RT pattern
M15/M30 S5 might be next stops SR Pattern
Currently below S1
+/-6: S2/R2 crucial zone for B/S entries Crucial Stops:
GOLD still struggling to hold 1888
As alerted in earlier posts, heavy buying below 1926 was observed, and more buying might means a crash till 1907 and 1888/1866 due to buying pressures, and the same was observed on Friday with *1870 low.
Today, 1866/1850 looks as crash stop
RT/reverse scenario: 1888/1907 Today my POF will be Buying below S2, in case of reversal: selling above 1907/1926
TARGET NAP Currency Strength
ÜSD 60
JPY 40
AUD 46
CAD 86
EUR 69
GBP 70 Fundamental:
A sudden UP rally is quite possible due to uncertainty + Russia-Ukraine related statements  | NFP + HAWKISH FED will be the game changer, THIS WEEK Important Dates:
04 May and 06 May 2022
A sudden trigger + rally in JPY possible on or before 12 May 2022 (completion of Market cycle M1, and earning season results + BOND BUYING cut off)
DXY and USDJPY at 103.20 zone Result:
AUDUSD EURUSD GBPUSD crashing
USDJPY USDCAD rising
NOW in RT phase As alerted in advance:
Dramatic rallies are on the way, APRIL end + first week of MAY always have been volatile for GOLD traders considering Rate Hike policy, NFP and monetary policy related statements on the way. The Fed meeting and US employment are on the agenda
 
A number of significant events will take place this week as markets anticipate several central bank meetings, including that of the US Federal Reserve, which is expected to raise interest rates by 50 basis points to contain inflation. This would indicate the bank's commitment to a strong tightening policy in the months ahead.  The Reserve Bank of Australia's meeting is also on the horizon, the outcome of which is predicted to hike interest rates from 0.10% to 0.25%. The Bank of England has not increased interest rates since 1997, but is expected to follow suit, potentially reaching 1.00% for the fourth time.   US employment data for April will also be on the agenda this week. Non-farm payrolls are forecast to reveal an increase of 380,000 jobs, and unemployment is expected to fall to 3.5%. It’s important to note that these figures follow an unexpectedly high import deficit in the US, which caused the economy to fall in the first quarter of 2022. Bitcoin falls as fears over digital currencies rise Bitcoin continues to face pressure as the European Union's attitude on cryptocurrencies shifts. After the European Union proposed laws to prohibit anonymous transactions, coming dangerously close to outlawing proof of work (PoW), concerns have been raised that the world's largest cryptocurrency trading bloc may be forgotten. Nonetheless, other governments, including Mexico, Argentina, and the UAE, continue to show their support for cryptocurrencies.  The attempts of major central banks to tighten monetary policy, combined with growing global concern over rising inflation and the Russo-Ukrainian war, have contributed to a spike in market fears. These cumulative concerns are partially responsible for cryptocurrency's recent nosedive.  Earnings reports put Wall Street in the red 
 
Since the start of the pandemic, the S&P 500 Index has suffered the most significant monthly losses. However, Nasdaq still holds the title for the worst monthly losses since the 2008 global financial crisis.  As earnings results from corporations started to trickle in during the final week of April, Wall Street remained on edge and faced disappointing figures. Amazon disclosed lower-than-expected earnings and sales predictions for the first quarter of 2022. And though Apple's sales exceeded estimates, the company's stock fell by 2.5% due to supply chain fears. Q2 earnings per share stood at $1.52.   These figures are a consequence of predictions that earnings reports would come in below projections, as well as concerns over the US Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy.  This week, markets are anticipating earnings reports from Pfizer, Starbucks, and Airbnb. Join TELEGRAM channel for latest updates and market analysis:
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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Good morning all!

Key Highlights for today:

Gold Price has witnessed an intense sell-off that has dragged the precious metal to a low of $1,871 in the Asian session yesterday and day before yesterday.

1866 proved a major support, immediate FRT to 1888/1907 observed yesterday and today.
V pattern completed: as alerted in my analysis dated 27 April and 28 April 2022.

Technical:
GOLD approaching H4S5 (after reversing from: 1866 zone)
S5 on M15 M30 H1 : breached

RT pattern
M15 + M30 100% FRT achieved
H1 50 FRT achieved
H4 236 FRT achieved

GRT D1
POF 1907 GRT pattern H1 H4
@1889 BREACHED YESTERDAY EVENING DURING US SESSION
Currently below R2
R2+6/9/12 POF
1926 as a crucial R zone, proven many times in March and April sessions


Crucial Stops:

GOLD still struggling to hold 1907

As alerted in earlier posts, heavy buying below 1926 was observed, and more buying might means a crash till 1907 and 1888/1866 due to buying pressures, and the same was observed yesterday *1870 low.

Today my POF will be SELLING above 1907/1926 zones, in case of reversal: buying below 1888/18666
TARGET NAP

Currency Strength

ÜSD 17
JPY 55
AUD 67
CAD 52
EUR 55
GBP 91

Fundamental:

CHINA economy related concerns might trigger high volatility + volumes in GOLD
Rising COVID cases in China are a matter of concern for economy and investors
Negative GDP published yesterday in economic data section triggered heavy selling in USD, and heavy buying in GOLD, and cross major pairs.

In addition, European banks are also under pressure due to their exposure in China and Russia
A sudden UP rally is quite possible due to uncertainty + Russia-Ukraine related statements
NFP + HAWKISH FED will be the game changer, obviously

BOJ surprised all by announcing unlimited BOND buying at current market value
Point to be noted: JPY is at lowest level | CMP USDJPY 130.36

A sudden trigger + rally in JPY possible on or before 12 May 2022 (completion of Market cycle M1, and earning season results + BOND BUYING cut off)

DXY a 103.380 (5 year high)
Result:
AUDUSD EURUSD GBPUSD crashing
USDJPY USDCAD rising
NOW in RT phase

As alerted in advance:

Dramatic rallies are on the way, APRIL end + first week of MAY always have been volatile for GOLD traders considering Rate Hike policy, NFP and monetary policy related statements on the way.

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Good morning all!

Key Highlights for today:

Gold Price has witnessed an intense sell-off that has dragged the precious metal to a low of $1,875.64 in the Asian session. The bright metal is falling like a house of cards as the DXY is strengthening ahead of the monetary policy announcement by the Fed next week.

Technical:
GOLD approaching D1E2 (as alerted earlier as next stop: 1866 zone)
Currently below S1
S2/S3 -6/10 on radar to enter

US10YT 2.836 | DXY 103.500 ( and rising)
US F recovering, as of now 50% recovered from the fall

Crucial Stops:

GOLD still struggling to hold 1888

As alerted in earlier posts, heavy buying below 1926 was observed, and more buying might means a crash till 1907 and 1888/1866 due to buying pressures, and the same was observed yesterday *1881 low.

Today my POF will be buying below 1866, in case of reversal: selling above 1900/1907
TARGET NAP

D1 618-100 zone might be a crash slide for GOLD price pushing the price till 1777, once again.
However a reversal from D1618 zone should park the price between 1888-1907-1926 price trap

Currency Strength

ÜSD 96
JPY 16
AUD 36
CAD 75
EUR 44
GBP 71


Fundamental:

CHINA economy related concerns might trigger high volatility + volumes in GOLD
Rising COVID cases in China are a matter of concern for economy and investors

In addition, European banks are also under pressure due to their exposure in China and Russia
A sudden UP rally is quite possible due to uncertainty + Russia-Ukraine related statements

NFP + HAWKISH FED will be the game changer, obviously

DXY a 103.500 (5 year high)
Result:
AUDUSD EURUSD GBPUSD crashing
USDJPY USDCAD rising

As alerted in advance:

Dramatic rallies are on the way, APRIL end + first week of MAY always have been volatile for GOLD traders considering Rate Hike policy, NFP and monetary policy related statements on the way.

EURUSD is at it's LOW of 2015 (1.04)
Expected: 1.03 range, before reversal

GBPUSD approaching 2020 lows
CMP 1.25, 1.24/1.23 ahead
DXY, Brexit, EU and FED: key points

USDJPY at 1.29800
All time high since 2000
132/133: possible due to FED+DXY
RT 125, expected before 26 June

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Gold price has slipped below the psychological support of $1,900.00 as investors are bracing for hawkish guidance by the Federal Reserve in its monetary policy meet in May. An interest rate elevation by 50 bps is on the cards.

US F crashed again, pattern A C extension.

The forecasts from the economic indicators are indicating that the economy is passed from the ultra-loose policy environment and a tight stance on liquidity distribution will remain the talk of the town. Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is eyeing to reclaim its five-year high at 102.99, considering the firmer price action and strong fundamentals.

US10YT 2.785
DXY 102.330

Yuan: down, Yen in recovery phase

JPY 20
USD 44
AUD 82
EUR 59

Today my POF will be buying below 1888/1866, in case of reversal: selling above 1907/1926

TARGET NAP

The renewed uptick in Gold Price could be viewed as a ‘dead cat bounce’ or ‘sell the bounce’ trade, as the US dollar is likely to resume its uptrend to clinch fresh two-year highs on China’s covid concerns and hawkish Fed hike bets. Rising worries over the economic impact of China's COVID-19 lockdowns will likely underpin the greenback's safe-haven appeal and aggressive US interest rate hike expectations will keep the US Treasury yields elevated.

Amidst the dynamics of the dollar and yields, attention may also turn towards a set of top-tier US economic releases, in the form of Durable Goods Orders and CB Consumer Confidence data.

It’s a blackout period for the Fed speakers this week, therefore, the upcoming US macro news and rate hike expectations will continue to affect the dollar valuations, in turn, Gold Price.

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Good morning all!

Key Highlights for today:

Technical:

GOLD approaching D1E1 (as alerted earlier as next stop)
M15 M20 S5 crashed down to 1904 zone (R1)

US10YT 2.862 | DXY 101.650 ( and rising)
US F recovering, as of now 45% recovered from the fall

Crucial Stops:

GOLD is still struggling to hold the psychological level 1900
As alerted in earlier posts, heavy buying below 1926 was observed, and more buying might means a crash till 1907 and 1888 due to buying pressures, and the same was observed yesterday, GOLD achieved the daily low of 1891.

Today my POF will be buying below 1888/1866, in case of reversal: selling above 1907/1926
TARGET NAP

D1 618-100 zone might be a crash slide for GOLD price pushing the price till 1777, once again.
However a reversal from D1618 zone should park the price between 1888-1907-1926 price trap


Fundamental:

CHINA economy related concerns might trigger high volatility + volumes in GOLD
Rising COVID cases in China are a matter of concern for economy and investors

In addition, European banks are also under pressure due to their exposure in China and Russia
A sudden UP rally is quite possible due to uncertainty + Russia-Ukraine related statements

Last but not the least, as always NFP + HAWKISH FED will be the game changer, obviously

Dramatic rallies are on the way, APRIL end + first week of MAY always have been volatile for GOLD traders considering Rate Hike policy, NFP and monetary policy related statements on the way.

I expect a V by and till the end of first week of May, 2022 hence I will be BUYING the session and daily lows with NAP as my exit.

Wish you all a + & profitable day ahead!

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
25.04.2022 | Gold 618 - 100 Zone Achieved | Target 2 Achieved | PR Gold Analysis | XAUUSD Analysis | Gold Analysis

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
HEAVY BUYING should take place below 1926 zone

What it means:

Scenario A:
GOLD might retrace from 1926 to 1947 within 24H

Scenario B:
Gold might crash till 1907/1888 before rising back to 1926/1933 cluster.

Just like past trend: GOLD is struggling heavily at 1933 zone, the way it struggled while rising to 1947/1966 zone.

BIG whales will definitely play the STOPLOSSHUNTING game.

I wont be surprised with an extended movement of $18-26 in sequence.

POF

C: 1926/1907/1888
R: 1947/1966

Maintain PRICE GAPS: observe MARGIN carefully.

Implement GR 88 55 33 22 11 or single set.
Targeting NAP, intraday.

MONDAY: market might open with a GAP.

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
GOLD in PZ

S1-6/S2-6 POF
R1+6 /R2+6 POF

KEY STOPS: 1926/1966

US10YT 2.936
DXY 100.530
USDJPY 128.09
USD S 47
AUD 24
JPY 81

POF
Powell Speech
.50 POINT HIKE
IPO BIG SISTER China
CHINA: Urges investors to buy AFTER Market Tumbles
Hawkish Central Banks
YEN recovering: BOND BUYING TRAP neutralising
US F crashed ~600
THREE 0.50 HIKES
US China Tensions
US - Russia Sanctions
Ukraine War Status: Nuclear Missile a threat?

Today's Economic Events

GBP Retail Sales M PMI C PMI S PMI
EUR G M PMI
17.00 ECB P Lagarde Speech
18.30 BOE Gov. Speech

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
FED: The Federal Reserve Bank, the central bank of the United States, or the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee), the policy-setting committee of the Federal Reserve.


Read more at: https://www.piyushratnu.com/forex-glossary/

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
14.04.2022 | PRCH PRBX | PR Gold Analysis | XAUUSD Analysis | Gold Analysis

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
14.04.2022 | PRCP PRSG FTR | Spot Gold Analysis | PR Gold Analysis | XAUUSD Analysis

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
14.04.2022 | Co relations | Spot Gold Analysis | PR Gold Analysis | XAUUSD Analysis

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
13.04.2022 | Facts - Spot Gold Volatility Per Day (Pips) | PR Gold Analysis | XAUUSD Analysis

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
13.04.2022 | Nasdaq - Market Alerts | PR Gold Analysis | XAUUSD Analysis

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
13.04.2022 | Market Alerts | PR Gold Analysis | XAUUSD Analysis

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
12.04.2022 | CPI Data Analysis Accuracy Check | PR Gold Analysis | XAUUSD Analysis

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
12.04.2022 | Trading Ranges | Spot Gold Analysis | PR Gold Analysis | XAUUSD Analysis

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
12.04.2022 | Session Shifts | Trading Hours | Spot Gold Analysis | PR Gold Analysis | XAUUSD Analysis

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
12.04.2022 | Co relations | Spot Gold Analysis | PR Gold Analysis | XAUUSD Analysis

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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
12.04.2022 | Gold Stops | Spot Gold Analysis | PR Gold Analysis | XAUUSD Analysis

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