Beginner trader working on a real account on Elliott Waves (invest - password enclosed)... - page 9

 
Cronex:
Sart:
According to the pictures, it doesn't want to go down much... Until I understand it, I'll keep it...
In the meantime, I will try to use Limit moves on Franks and Japanese Limit...

I can only state: EUR is stable and even to 1.5, then wait again for some kind of trick from the news.

By CHF, the trend is weak, but it is stable (only in the beginning). If it breaks through 1.0700, it will go further.


As far as I know, I have not made a mistake with any instrument yet either :-)

Status as of 9:48 MSK

Closed Transactions:
Ticket Open Time Type Size Item Price S / L T / P Close Time Price Commission Taxes Swap Profit
21995418 2008.02.25 18:31 sell 0.10 usdchf 1.0878 1.1181 1.0378 2008.02.26 02:19 1.0900 0.00 0.00 -0.69 -20.18
22008338 2008.02.26 01:35 buy 0.10 eurusd 1.4839 1.4537 1.5339 2008.02.26 04:30 1.4822 0.00 0.00 0.00 -17.00
21981233 2008.02.25 15:36 sell 0.10 usdcad 1.0012 0.9984 0.9512 2008.02.26 06:00 0.9974 0.00 0.00 0.04 38.10
22015043 2008.02.26 06:03 buy 0.10 eurusd 1.4829 1.4527 1.5329 2008.02.26 09:57 1.4781 0.00 0.00 0.00 -48.00
22021240 2008.02.26 09:14 sell 0.10 usdchf 1.0893 1.0887 1.0393 2008.02.26 13:16 1.0887 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.51
22035716 2008.02.26 12:17 sell 0.10 usdcad 0.9932 1.0235 0.9432 2008.02.26 14:57 0.9899 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.34
22063775 2008.02.26 19:10 buy 0.10 eurusd 1.4902 1.4910 1.5402 2008.02.26 19:54 1.4910 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.00
22067068 2008.02.26 19:45 buy 0.10 eurusd 1.4922 1.4982 1.5422 2008.02.27 06:02 1.4993 0.00 0.00 0.20 71.00
22066214 2008.02.26 19:36 sell 0.10 usdchf 1.0821 1.0764 1.0321 2008.02.27 06:31 1.0748 0.00 0.00 -0.70 67.92
0.00 0.00 -1.15 138.69
Closed P/L: 137.54
Open Trades:
Ticket Open Time Type Size Item Price S / L T / P Price Commission Taxes Swap Profit
22035904 2008.02.26 12:19 buy 0.10 eurusd 1.4878 1.4883 1.5378 1.5012 0.00 0.00 0.20 134.00
22050691 2008.02.26 15:40 sell 0.10 usdchf 1.0851 1.1154 1.0351 1.0722 0.00 0.00 -0.70 120.31
22067693 2008.02.26 19:55 buy 0.10 eurusd 1.4914 1.4612 1.5414 1.5012 0.00 0.00 0.20 98.00
22069751 2008.02.26 20:24 sell 0.20 usdchf 1.0778 1.1081 1.0278 1.0722 0.00 0.00 -1.40 104.46
22079530 2008.02.27 00:01 sell 0.30 usdcad 0.9812 1.0015 0.7812 0.9796 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.00
0.00 0.00 -1.70 505.77
Floating P/L: 504.07
Working Orders:
Ticket Open Time Type Size Item Price S / L T / P Market Price
No transactions
Summary:
Deposit/Withdrawal: 0.00 Credit Facility: 0.00
Closed Trade P/L: 137.54 Floating P/L: 504.07 Margin: 179.58
Balance: 261.84 Equity: 765.91 Free Margin: 586.33

 
Sart писал (а):
Note what excellent predictions were received for the other three instruments: the New Zealander, the franc, the Japanese.

It's an accident... It's a probabilistic event... Nothing in this world is 100% certain... Sergei, I want to make you aware that black swans exist. And they arrive when you're not expecting them. Just when you're 100% sure the white ones should arrive. You have to limit your risks. Limit your losses. You have to leave yourself a chance to realize that something didn't go as planned. That's what the mathematician wrote to you above... He even quoted Nietzsche :-)

I feel that you're still persisting in your belief. That's good! That's fine!

 
Sart I will also join KimIV and mathematician, in military terms, you should always have a second plan, a plan in case something goes wrong (not according to the original plan). This is more complicated, but Ihmo right, you have to consider different scenarios and be ready for any enemy action. At the same time, try to be as effective as possible, or at least not to lose.
 
The world is still unaware of any successful Elliot, whether classic, simplified or refined)) of course I worry about Sart, the art of the brave we sing a song about, but I know in advance that his dep is doomed.
 

delyus, you shouldn't do that. What about Prechter, say? No one says that his forecasts always come true 100 percent of the time, but he has a very serious clientele.

And the main error of Sart is not in inaccurate forecasts, everything is OK here (of course, about the yen it's too early to talk about the execution of the "down at least to 104" scenario). Sart has simply grasped only one part of the Wave Principle, the patterns themselves, and he hasn't taken much care about another one, MM, which is an organic part of the Principle. But it's instructive either way.

 
delyus:
I do not know any successful elliot trader, be it classic, simplified or modified)) of course I`m worried about Sart, we sing the song of the brave, but I know in advance that his deposit is doomed.


I disagree.

Not every professional trader will share their working methods, so there is no reason to state "none". I, for example, know several traders who have been successfully working with Fibo Weights for a long time, and Fibo and Elli are not far from each other. And one failure is not a reason for a verdict. Another thing is that one has to strictly control the risks on a real deposit, as many people have already said, this is not a demo.

We hope that Sergey will work off the losses and will show all the doubters how to work with VTE.

 
USDCAN 11:10 MSK 0.9775, according to my forecasts has "gone down". By all indications the consolidation is over, the "Extreme hook" on CCI has been broken, the support level on Taichi has gone down as well. If anyone hasn't turned around, it's not my fault :-)
 
Mathemat:

delyus, you shouldn't do that. What about Prechter, say? No one says that his forecasts always come true 100 percent of the time, but he has a very serious clientele.

And the main error of Sart is not in inaccurate forecasts, everything is OK here (of course, about the yen it's too early to talk about the execution of the "down at least to 104" scenario). Sart has simply grasped only one part of the Wave Principle, the patterns themselves, and he hasn't taken much care about another one, MM, which is an organic part of the Principle. But it's instructive either way.

Sergey's predictions for other pairs work out!


But ... one interesting thing is that if XXXUSD goes up USDXXX may go down
If Canadian is Buy or Sell, Canadian is better to keep in the Bars
usdCHF down usdJPY down
NZDusd EURusd GBPusd AUDusd up
why would the canadian go up it has a USDcad sign ahead, ALL Opposed to the canadian! so the forecast for the instrument is wrong
if most of the symbols xxxUSD USDxxx are forecasted against one pair, it is better not to touch this pair according to the forecast
or minimize work with this pair.
 
YuraZ:
why would the canadian go up, it has a USDcad sign ahead, ALL is against the canadian! it means that the forecast for the instrument is wrong
if most of xxxUSD USDxxx instruments are forecast against one pair, it is better to leave this pair without any forecast
or minimize work with this pair.
Quite right. But ... Canadian is pretty independent and often ... spits on everyone else. Of course, it's better not to piss against the wind. Nevertheless, Sart is working off his losses. Well done!
 
YuraZ:
The forecasts made by Sergei on other pairs are working!


But ... one interesting thing is that if XXXUSD goes up USDXXX is more likely to fall
the Canadian is better to keep it in the Bai
usdCHF down usdJPY down
NZDusd EURusd GBPusd AUDusd up
why would the canadian go up it has a USDcad sign ahead, ALL Opposed to the canadian! so the forecast for the instrument is wrong
if most of the symbols xxxUSD USDxxx are forecasted against one pair, it is better not to touch this pair according to the forecast
or minimize work with this pair.


This is exactly what I immediately pointed out to Sergei, asking him to clarify his position on the correlation of pairs as well as oil and gold...
Still, I sincerely wish you good luck, Sergei, and save (increase) your deposit!