a trading strategy based on Elliott Wave Theory - page 172

 
IMHO don't mess with heads, no clear conditions, no clear implementation, Elliot's wave theory is more of a philosophy <br / translate="no">


And we are not discussing it. :о)
 
I finally made indicators with three nested quadratic channels, building by zigzags with different "Depth" parameters. I am running it on the history and at times I see interesting prognostic qualities instead of "nesting". Here is the Yen in recent days:

The channel is built on the last ray of a zigzag. The calculated zone of the upper channel ( magenta zigzag, solid lines) finishes together with the ray above the arrow of the same colour, its whole right ascending branch is an extrapolation, i.e. it is in fact a forecast. As you can see, it is not bad. Similarly for the red zigzag and red arrow. The price falls out of the forecast but the third channel (yellow zigzag) "catches" it and does not allow turning around. The indicator is built at the moment of a "breakout" of the second channel (blue mark below the bar).
But my intuition protested against the quadratic channels, I traded on the linear ones for more than a year...
 
What is that oscillator you have in the bottom window?
 
To be honest I wasn't interested in the forecast, I was interested to know at least how much you raise per month on average from the deposit, let's say it's not a complete characteristic, but it would be enough for me :). <br/ translate="no">.




Jhonny
You wrote this post 30.10.06, next day I opened a demo account with $5000 deposit.
In 2 weeks I made 36 trades, now I have $22 300 in my account.
I used my method based on Elliot Wave Theory.
If you are interested in statistics for the month, then wait until the end of the month. :)
I publish the statement below.





Ticket Open Time Type Lots Item Price S / L T / P Close Time Price Commission Taxes Swap Profit
8334743 2006.10.31 17:55 balance Deposit 5 000.00
8334753 2006.10.31 17:55 buy 2.50 eurusd 1.2773 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.07 16:38 1.2802 0.00 0.00 -145.25 725.00
8443750 2006.11.07 16:38 sell 2.50 eurusd 1.2802 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.09 15:00 1.2771 0.00 0.00 47.00 775.00
8491233 2006.11.09 15:01 buy 2.50 gbpusd 1.8988 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.10 09:13 1.9087 0.00 0.00 -8.75 1 732.50
8510230 2006.11.10 09:13 buy 2.50 eurusd 1.2868 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.10 10:37 1.2880 0.00 0.00 0.00 300.00
8510232 2006.11.10 09:13 buy 2.50 eurusd 1.2867 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.10 10:37 1.2880 0.00 0.00 0.00 325.00
8513341 2006.1110 10:37 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.9145 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.13 11:01 1.9067 0.00 0.00 0.35 1 365.00
8513345 2006.11.10 10:37 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.9146 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.13 11:01 1.9067 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 1 382.50
8534201 2006.11.13 11:01 sell 2.50 eurusd 1.2838 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.13 17:20 1.2811 0.00 0.00 0.00 675.00
8534203 2006.11.13 11:01 sell 2.50 eurusd 1.2838 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.13 17:20 1.2812 0.00 0.00 650.00
8534205 2006.11.11.13 11:01 sell 2.50 eurusd 1.2838 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.13 17:20 1.2812 0.00 0.00 0.00 650.00
8568138 2006.11.14 15:46 buy 2.50 gbpusd 1.8993 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.14 15:57 1.8995 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.00
8568144 2006.11.14 15:46 buy 2.50 gbpusd 1.8994 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.14 16:00 1.8983 0.00 0.00 0.00 -192.50
8568148 2006.11.14 15:46 buy 2.50 gbpusd 1.8994 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.14 16:00 1.8983 0.00 0.00 0.00 -192.50
8568717 2006.11.11.14 16:01 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8982 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.14 16:07 1.8968 0.00 0.00 0.00 245.00
8568721 2006.11.14 16:01 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8981 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.14 16:07 1.8967 0.00 0.00 0.00 245.00
8568726 2006.11.14 16:01 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8980 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.14 16:07 1.8967 0.00 0.00 0.00 227.50
8569414 2006.11.14 16:10 sell 2.50 eurusd 1.2816 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.14 16:15 1.2807 0.00 0.00 0.00 225.00
8569430 2006.11.14 16:10 sell 2.50 eurusd 1.2815 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.14 16:15 1.2806 0.00 0.00 0.00 225.00
8569452 2006.11.14 16:10 sell 2.50 eurusd 1.2815 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.14 16:15 1.2806 0.00 0.00 0.00 225.00
8569464 2006.11.14 16:10 sell 2.50 eurusd 1.2815 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.14 16:15 1.2806 0.00 0.00 0.00 225.00
8585801 2006.11.15 09:33 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8954 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 10:38 1.8911 0.00 0.00 0.00 752.50
8585803 2006.11.15 09:33 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8954 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 10:38 1.8911 0.00 0.00 0.00 752.50
8585806 2006.11.15 09:33 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8954 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 10:38 1.8912 0.00 0.00 0.00 735.00
8585809 2006.11.15 09:33 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8954 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 10:38 1.8913 0.00 0.00 0.00 717.50
8588960 2006.11.15 11:11 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8907 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 11:54 1.8861 0.00 0.00 0.00 805.00
8588963 2006.11.15 11:11 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8907 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 11:54 1.8861 0.00 0.00 0.00 805.00
8588964 2006.11.11.15 11:11 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8907 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 11:55 1.8861 0.00 0.00 0.00 805.00
8588966 2006.11.15 11:11 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8907 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 11:55 1.8863 0.00 0.00 0.00 770.00
8588968 2006.11.15 11:11 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8907 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 11:55 1.8863 0.00 0.00 0.00 770.00
8591834 2006.11.15 11:56 sell 2.50 gbpusd 1.8855 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 12:00 1.8853 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.00
8592879 2006.11.15 12:13 buy 2.50 gbpusd 1.8865 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 16:12 1.8872 0.00 0.00 0.00 122.50
8592886 2006.11.15 12:13 buy 2.50 gbpusd 1.8866 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 16:12 1.8872 0.00 0.00 0.00 105.00
8592890 2006.11.15 12:14 buy 2.50 gbpusd 1.8866 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 16:12 1.8871 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.50
8592894 2006.11.15 12:14 buy 2.50 gbpusd 1.8866 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 16:12 1.8871 0.00 0.00 87.50
8592897 2006.11.15 12:14 buy 2.50 gbpusd 1.8865 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 16:12 1.8871 0.00 0.00 0.00 105.00
8592899 2006.11.15 12:14 buy 2.50 gbpusd 1.8865 0.0000 0.0000 2006.11.15 16:12 1.8871 0.00 0.00 0.00 105.00
0.00 0.00 -106.30 17 407.50
Closed P/L: 17 301.20
Open Trades:
Ticket Open Time Type Lots Item Price S / L T / P Price Commission Taxes Swap Profit
No transactions
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Floating P/L: 0.00
Working Orders:
Ticket Open Time Type Lots Item Price S / L T / P Market Price
No transactions


If we managed to automate the strategy, I think the result for the same period would be better,
at least 10 times! :)
 
ИМХО не морочте головы, нет четких условий - нет четкой реализации, волновая теория Эллиота в большей степени философия


And we're not discussing it. :о)



Maybe it's a good thing you're not discussing it . :)
 
IMHO don't mess with heads, no clear conditions - no clear implementation, Elliot's wave theory is more of a philosophy <br / translate="no">



How can you be so sure?

Z.U. You don't like cats? You just don't know how to cook them! :)
 
Well, the results aren't sour. One more question, why do you have no stops? I just took a quick glance at you, you are a risky man, you go deep into deficit (of course, it's a relative term, but the first deal... Half of the deposit was in deficit....), maybe it should be that way, but I don't think so.
 
And what is that oscillator you have in the bottom window ? <br / translate="no">.

There are three different indicators there - slightly modified crosses-zeros of higher timeframe, "non-lagging" stochastic (I just reversed it to avoid confusion with the third indicator) and the oscillator of unknown name, which algorithm was published by Roverman some time ago (I think it was on a spider, but I do not remember exactly).

I'm curious - hasn't anyone tried to calculate quadratic approximation using exact algorithms? Chebyshev polynomials, singular decomposition - it all should be present in Matkadec. Or there won't be much difference and we don't have to worry about matrix conditionality?
 
:)
 
А что это за осциллятор у Вас в нижнем окне ?

There are three different indicators there - a slightly modified high timeframe crosses-numbers, a "non-lagging" stochastic (I just flipped it to avoid confusion with the third indicator) and an oscillator of unknown name, whose algorithm was published some time ago by Rover (I think on a spider, but I don't remember exactly).


Isn't this hatchet job http://forum.alpari-idc.ru/showthread?t=27689? :)