Forecast and levels for AUD - page 12

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2018.03.05 08:59

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Building Approvals and range price movement 

2018-03-05 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Building Approvals]

  • past data is -20.6%
  • forecast data is 5.1%
  • actual data is 17.1% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[AUD - Building Approvals] = Change in the number of new building approvals issued.

==========

From official report :

  • "The trend estimate for total dwellings approved rose 0.1% in January after falling for three months."
  • "The seasonally adjusted estimate for total dwellings approved rose 17.1% in January."

==========

AUD/USD M5: range price movement by Australia Building Approvals news event 

AUDUSD

==========

The charts were made on MT5 with MA Channel Stochastic system uploaded on this post, and using standard indicators from Metatrader 5.


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2018.03.06 08:41

AUD/USD Intra-Day FundamentalsRBA Interest Rate Statement and range price movement 

2018-03-06 03:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

  • past data is 1.50%
  • forecast data is 1.50%
  • actual data is 1.50% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

  • "At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50 per cent."
  • "The low level of interest rates is continuing to support the Australian economy. Further progress in reducing unemployment and having inflation return to target is expected, although this progress is likely to be gradual. Taking account of the available information, the Board judged that holding the stance of monetary policy unchanged at this meeting would be consistent with sustainable growth in the economy and achieving the inflation target over time."

==========

AUD/USD M5: range price movement by RBA Interest Rate news event 

AUDUSD

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2018.03.17 11:54

Weekly Fundamental Forecast for AUD/USD (based on the article)

AUDUSD

AUD/USD"The Australian Dollar is facing Big Thursday this week, as that’s the day when the bulk of likely market-moving news will hit. Also coming up on Thursday are official employment data for Australia, which may cause some binary currency reaction depending on how they go. But they are unlikely to unseat the markets’ settled view which is that any increase to the record low, 1.50% Official Cash Rate remains some way off. That message is likely to have been reinforced before the data by Monday’s release of minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s last monetary policy meeting. So, we have an Australian Dollar facing an interesting week under some initial pressure but, ironically perhaps, susceptible to gains if the Fed raises rates but fails to pile on the hawkish pressure in its prognosis."

============

The chart was made on Metatrader 5 using HWAFM tool pattern tool from this post.


 

Possible scenario for AUDUSD

H4 and D1  Chart AUDUSD, H4, 2018.03.18 20:54 UTC, RoboForex (CY) Ltd., MetaTrader 4, Real

 

short upside correction expected on AUDUSD

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2018.03.20 08:20

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia House Price Index and range price movement 

2018-03-20 00:30 GMT | [AUD - HPI]

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - HPI] = Change in the selling price of homes in the nation's 8 state capitals.

==========

From official report :

  • "The price index for residential properties for the weighted average of the eight capital cities rose 1.0% in the December quarter 2017. The index rose 5.0% through the year to the December quarter 2017."

==========

AUD/USD M5: range price movement by Australia House Price Index news event 

AUDUSD Brainwashing Chart

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicator:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2018.03.22 10:47

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Employment Change and range price movement 

2018-03-22 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

  • past data is 12.5K
  • forecast data is 19.8K
  • actual data is 17.5K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Trade Balance] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month. 

==========

From official report :

  • "Employment increased 17,500 to 12,480,500. Full-time employment increased 64,900 to 8,533,600 and part-time employment decreased 47,400 to 3,946,900."
  • "Unemployment increased 8,900 to 734,100. The number of unemployed persons looking for full-time work increased 13,600 to 512,900 and the number of unemployed persons only looking for part-time work decreased 4,700 to 221,200."
  • "Unemployment rate increased by 0.1 pts to 5.6%."

==========

AUD/USD M15: range price movement by Australia Employment Change news event 

AUDUSD MACD Channel System

==========

The charts were made on MT5 with MA Channel Stochastic system uploaded on this post, and using standard indicators from Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2018.03.24 13:50

Weekly Fundamental Forecast for AUD/USD (based on the article)

AUDUSD

AUD/USD"Trade remains gloomily front and center. As a ‘risk asset’ geared to the global cycle, the Australian currency probably has as much to lose as any from any ratcheting-up of trade tensions. And they are ratcheting up. News last week that US President Donald Trump had signed off on US$50 billion of tariffs against China, and threatened more wide ranging trade barriers, was not good news for Aussie bulls. All countries and regions threatened by higher US trade barriers are now considering their options and it seems as though diplomacy and compromise of an order apparently in short supply will be needed to avoid outright trade war. Against this international backdrop it’s hard to see the Australian Dollar making headway. At the very least it will remain hostage to trade headlines."

============

The chart was made on Metatrader 5 using HWAFM tool pattern tool from this post.


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2018.04.03 07:43

AUD/USD Intra-Day FundamentalsReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decision and range price movement 

2018-04-03 05:30 GMT | [AUD - RBA Cash Rate]

  • past data is 1.50%
  • forecast data is 1.50%
  • actual data is 1.50% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[AUD - RBA Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

  • "At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50 per cent."
  • "The low level of interest rates is continuing to support the Australian economy. Further progress in reducing unemployment and having inflation return to target is expected, although this progress is likely to be gradual. Taking account of the available information, the Board judged that holding the stance of monetary policy unchanged at this meeting would be consistent with sustainable growth in the economy and achieving the inflation target over time."

==========

AUD/USD M5: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event 

AUDUSD

==========

Chart was made on Metatrader 5 with MA Channel Stochastic system uploaded on this post, and using standard indicators from Metatrader 5 together with following indicator:

 

FE 100  and 100% ATR  (0.7713) 


Chart AUDUSD, H4, 2018.04.03 07:56 UTC, RoboForex (CY) Ltd., MetaTrader 4, Real