I'm getting a bit dumb on the probabilities. - page 11

[Avals]

TheXpert:
Incorrect. Probabilities are given for different events.

Right, because it does not say what event we are predicting)) Bet when all 3 signals go one way if you guessed on m30 - success (exit), otherwise wait for the end of H1, etc. I.e. we predict successful at least one of the three

General solution for the stationary variant via conditional probabilities

[TheXpert]

Avals:

right, because it doesn't say what event we're predicting))

No way )) it makes no difference. It's a bit of a magic trick. And if it's strict, it's a pain in the ass.