Scold :) Interested to hear your opinion regarding... - page 23
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Which indicator, if it's not a secret?
Custom.
Custom.
I see. No more comments?
I see. No more comments?
Not yet...
>> Sorry...
Statistics are great things... And patterns, statistical ones too... Let's make sure it's impossible or possible to predict the forex market... А?
EURUSD 1H...
Here let's predict the price on 2008.06.29 04:30, which is very difficult and the dynamics in pips, which is easier... Of course, I understand, that I got stuck here with my stupid questions, but still? No need to explain... Why and how, just the price is so-and-so. And let's say there will be a rise of so-and-so points.
That's just the dotted blue line... I think the price will be 1.5709 pole minus 12-15 pips... and it will get there from 1.5615(16)... I am not working on this pair right now, so I made this prediction in 15 minutes... Don't worry too much :)))
Leo... This line will be in 60 hours ( bars ) ... Then when the price gets there don't get scared. :)) Explain or understand? + 60 bars on H1 ...
Well, the hour X has arrived. It was exactly 2008.06.29 04:30, or rather as it turned out later not 2008.06.29 04:30, but 60 hours later. Well these 60 hours have safely passed. And what do we see? The price is not "1.5709 minus 12-15 points", but 1.5755. And it came not from "1.5615(16)", but from 1.5820(30). So, draw your own conclusions.......
This, by the way, is the answer to the topic Predictions, are they possible... :)) ?
P.S. I wrote this message a little bit earlier (by 2 hours), but the essence does not change from that.........
Well, the hour X has arrived. It was 2008.06.29 04:30, or rather as it turned out later not 2008.06.29 04:30, but 60 hours later. Well these 60 hours have safely passed. And what do we see? The price is not "1.5709 minus 12-15 points", but 1.5755. And it came not from "1.5615(16)", but from 1.5820(30). So, draw your own conclusions.......
This, by the way, is the answer to the topic Predictions, are they possible... :)) ?
P.S. I wrote this message a little bit earlier (by 2 hours), but the essence does not change from this.........
Leo, the forecast was not fully justified... Or rather, it justified by 50% (90% to be more exact, but not the point at the moment :)) - 50% ) ...
Leo, my message was written on 26.06.2008 19:05 Moscow time, or 2008.06.26 15:05 GMT... So, plus 60 bars on H1 is 2008.07.01 05:05 GMT, (hereafter ... :)) )
So at that time the price was 1.57429 which is 34 points above the forecast, but on 2008.07.01:28 it was 1.572624 190 minutes earlier, which is 17 points below the forecast and if we calculate the error above we missed it by two points only! But Leo, in 2008.07.01 07:08 the price was already 1.572235 which is 0.001335 ( 13 pips ) more than 1.5709 ... That is, I was wrong by 123 minutes or about 123/3600=0.03416 or 3.4%... That is, to shoot over the weekend, at a distance of 6600 minutes or 110 hours and make a mistake of 13 pips and 123 minutes... That's just William Tell.
In other words, it's all within Leo's margin of error :)) ... So it's OK I hit the nine. ;))
Now, why do I have 90% forecast for me? Because there was a target price, but there are two approaches to it, and the approach from 1.5615 seemed to me more probable :))
Leo, the prognosis was completely wrong... Actually, it was 50% true (90% to be exact, but that's not the point at the moment :)) - 50% ) ...
Leo, my message was written on 26.06.2008 19:05 Moscow time, or 2008.06.26 15:05 GMT... So, plus 60 bars on H1 is 2008.07.01 05:05 GMT, (hereafter ... :)) )
So at that time the price was 1.57429 which is 34 points above the forecast, but on 2008.07.01:28 it was 1.572624 190 minutes earlier, which is 17 points below the forecast and if we calculate the error above we missed it by two points only! But Leo, in 2008.07.01 07:08 the price was already 1.572235 which is 0.001335 ( 13 pips ) more than 1.5709 ... That is, I was wrong by 123 minutes or about 123/3600=0.03416 or 3.4%... That is, to shoot over the weekend, at a distance of 6600 minutes or 110 hours and make a mistake of 13 pips and 123 minutes... That's just William Tell.
In other words, it's all within Leo's margin of error :)) ... So it's OK I hit the nine. ;))
Now, why is it predicted 90% for me? Because I had a target price, but there are two approaches to it, and it seemed to me, that 1.5615 is more probable :))
Listen, you are a demagogue. Well done! Turned from a minus into a plus. Way to go!
Listen, you're a demagogue. Good for you! Turned a minus into a plus. Way to go!
:)) Yeah, Leo, facts are stubborn. Admit it, you really wanted it your way. :)) You even went on the air in advance out of impatience... Leo, you're not young anymore. It's time you understood that the main thing is to be honest with yourself. Only then will happiness be possible... :))
But alas Leo, 123 from 6600 is even 1.86% ! Not 3.4% cool. I'm even proud of myself... :)) Sniper shot.
:)) Yes Leo, facts are stubborn things... Admit it, you really wanted it your way... :)) You even went on the air in advance out of impatience... Leo, you're not young anymore. It's time you understood that the main thing is to be honest with yourself. Only then will happiness be possible... :))
But alas Leo, 123 from 6600 is even 1.86% ! Not 3.4% cool. I'm even proud of myself... :)) Sniper shot.
You're a funny guy. You're a good liar, I'll give you that. And it's beautiful.
I've cut all your water and here's the dry residue.
Leo, the forecast was completely off... So it's OK I hit nine. ;))
You're a funny guy. You're a good liar, I'll give you that! And you do it beautifully!
I've cut all your water, and here's the dry residue.
>>Handsome!Leo, the readers can see :))) you have nothing but scum to say... Leo, no spoon.... :))
A girl applies for a job as a tester and is being interviewed.
- What is the probability that you will meet a tiger on your way home today?
- 50%
- ???
- Well, meet or don't meet... 50%.
(who has a fertile imagination, imagine those pure, innocent, beautiful eyes...) 50%