Artificial Intelligence 2020 - is there progress? - page 45

 
Реter Konow:
Inventors should be afraid of the philistine stupidity of the consumer crowd, which will not allow them to realize, understand and adequately perceive the nature, possibilities and limitations of AI, and will generate (already generates) delusions, fears and wrong conclusions. In turn, news that one country has a technical military advantage in the form of intelligent, developing (at least in theory) system technology will destabilise political relations between all countries. The paranoia of populations and governments will arise and grow. The inventors of AI will be "capped" all at once and will not be given any freedom at all. They will not be able to travel the world, to vacation without security and surveillance, to live a normal life.

It is not for nothing that in Soviet times many engineers were banned from travelling and the names of key space and military developers were classified, but for the creators of AI it will be much worse - everyone will know them. They will be in the public eye and they will be treated as the perpetrators of all the evil on the planet.

P.S. Ignoramuses are already burning 5G towers, but what will be going on in their heads when AI is invented?

At first glance, this scenario seems like the product of ridiculous excitement and fears, but let's imagine what happens if we become the inventors of AI. Let's break down our actions and their consequences for us and those around us.

1. We come up with the technology of a 'smart' and self-developing computer system, get excited and decide to start a company.

2. We went public with our company and demonstrated how this creation works. Everyone in the room was "wowed" (just like at the first presentation of the iPhone, but several times more intense).

3. the news is instantly circulated in the international media, we instantly become a star, we are invited to talk shows, interviewed, bombarded with questions and compliments.

4. 4. Those who want to buy our technology or company or just hire us for a hefty fee show up. There is no limit to our happiness.

5. We get the attention of various governments. They realise that our technology can be of huge military and economic importance and needs to be taken over. The fastest way to do this is for the state in which the inventors live. Their government knows that they cannot allow the company to be sold to foreign representatives and it is urgent that the invention be classified. But, the scoop has already been given and the news has leaked out to the world.

6. Representatives of the state military and political circles come to a consensus on this issue and decide to contact the company, but most importantly to take all steps to stop the spread of information concerning the new AI and to stop the inventors (us) from going public. They realise that the inventors have become objects of interest to other states and their intelligence services, and they will try to take action to obtain technology that is super-important to them.

7. The company is caught in a shrinking ring of intense military and political attention from their own and other countries, they are taken 'under the radar' and new, harsh rules are imposed, where there is no rosy glory and a relaxed life on the beach in the ocean, but constant surveillance of every move from all sides, and the threat of life from foreign spies. Paranoia bursts into their existence and destroys their optimistic hopes for a carefree life and a cloudless future. They are no longer concerned. They begin to realise what they are in for.

8. A country that possesses AI technology (especially if it is not a superpower) will be subjected to enormous external economic and informational pressure. It will be accused of aggression, attacks, attacks on servers, banks or space stations by its AI, and provocations will rain down. Hybrid warfare on all sides to deter and minimise the technological advantage of one particular country will increase the focus on AI developers. If "soft" pressure does not help, they will look for pretext and opportunity for military invasion, coup d'état and societal destabilization. They may plan sabotage and terrorist attacks on a global scale.

9. Eventually, one country will not be able to oppose the world and will transfer the technology to other powers. A new technogenic revolution and movement towards automation will begin. Millions of people will lose their jobs, their professions, their dreams of fulfilment in the business they love. The unrest of the masses will grow and their hatred of AI will resonate. No one will know what exactly the AI can and cannot do, everyone will believe that HE is to blame for poverty and misery. The crowd will never have common sense and an adequate understanding of the capabilities of AI, while the very belief in its omnipotence will allow the masses to hold inventors of artificial intelligence responsible for any evil - they will be "painted" as the enemies of humanity.


Such is the gloomy picture. That's why I said "leprosy subject" ("cursed" is even better).

 
Реter Konow:

That's the grim picture that came out.

A good example of the smart Elsa syndrome)

 
Aleksey Nikolayev:

Good example of the smart Elsa syndrome)

Thank you for at least that comment on the subject).

 
Реter Konow:

That's the grim picture that emerged. That's why I said "the leper theme".

Cryptography too, if no one unravels it, the hood is ensured)

 
Valeriy Yastremskiy:

Cryptography too, if no one figures it out, the cap is ensured)

The trouble is that AI itself may be limited in self-learning and capabilities, but people will not understand the explanation and their minds will see the image of an all-seeing and all-knowing, invincibledigital monster. No one will be able to change the ignorant crowds' minds.

 
Реter Konow:

The trouble is that AI itself may be limited in its self-learning and capabilities, but people will not understand the explanations and their minds will see the image of an all-seeing and all-knowing, invincibledigital monster. No one will be able to change the ignorant crowds' minds.

Huxley and Orwell are at rest)))
 
Реter Konow:

The trouble is that AI itself may be limited in its self-learning and capabilities, but people will not understand the explanations and their minds will see the image of an all-seeing and all-knowing, invincibledigital monster. No one will be able to change the ignorant crowds' minds.

Schumpeter Joseph to the rescue. He wrote something there about the self-organisation of the state.
 
Valeriy Yastremskiy:
Schumpeter's Joseph to the rescue. He wrote something there about the self-organization of the state.
The paradox of AI is that it cannot be presented as a purely marketable product and limited in functionality to the consumer sphere. The versatility of its use transforms it from a commercially profitable gadget into a strategic weapon with an uncertain potential that can increase on its own as it learns. A user manual will not deter intruders from hacking into the constraints and setting the robot to perform criminal tasks of any degree of maliciousness, so it is impossible to simply bring artificial intelligence into the world and hope for the good intentions of human beings. On the other hand, it is impossible to classify and not to distribute AI and sooner or later it will leave the military range and end up among us. No, not because it will get its will and want freedom, but simply because someone will steal and sell the technology to corporations.

Our next destination is the apogee of automation. It is neither heaven nor hell, but simply the state of civilisation in which it realises itself in order to move on. Imho.

P.S. By the way, the apogee of automation awaits us according to the law of the market - technology is still the main driver of economic growth and until it (the market) extracts all its remaining potential from this niche, it will not stop.
 
However, as we go through stages of technological growth, people's employment will decrease exponentially and this too is irreversible.
 
Реter Konow:
However, as we go through stages of technological growth, people's employment will decrease exponentially and this too is irreversible.
The state is just a state, not a catastrophe. The world is changing rapidly, but there are fewer hungry people. The unhappy are not less, but it is a paradox of societal development)