Machine learning in trading: theory, models, practice and algo-trading - page 3551

 
Maxim Dmitrievsky #:
builds a 2-level clustering

How's that?

 
Aleksey Vyazmikin #:

How's that?

Iteration: 1, Cluster: 1, SubCluster: 2
 
Maxim Dmitrievsky #:
SubCluster
SubCluster

What is it? A cluster within a cluster?

 
Aleksey Vyazmikin #:

what is it? A cluster within a cluster?

yep

 
Maxim Dmitrievsky #:

yep

Ah, I see - it turns out to be a variation on my clustering tree :)

 
Aleksey Vyazmikin #:

Ah, I see - it turns out to be a variation on my clustering tree :)

I don't know what a clustering tree is

 
Maxim Dmitrievsky #:

I don't know what a clustering tree is

I wrote here and earlier in the thread

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Machine learning in trading: theory, models, practice and algo-trading

Aleksey Vyazmikin, 2024.03.15 19:28

I share the results, so the tree [3,3,3,3] - at each level in the leaf is clustered into 3 clusters, a total of 3 levels, the result is 27 final leaves.

We apply the result on 3 samples - test and exam did not participate in the tree construction.

The graph below shows the shift of target "1" in per cent relative to the average value of target "1" in its sample - for each leaf of the tree.

What is pleasing is the stability of the offset, i.e. where there was more than 0 or 1 on the train, it often remains on the other samples.

However, if we take examples in the train sample with an offset of more than 5%, we get only about 20% of examples from the whole sample, which is not enough.


 
Aleksey Vyazmikin #:

Tut and earlier in the thread wrote

brain refuses to operate with your terms

 
Yes, cv doesn't show the whole picture. It is better to do something like walk forward MO models by their own metrics. To estimate the probability that the next zafit will work.
 
Maxim Dmitrievsky #:
Yeah, cv doesn't show the whole picture.

That's good to hear.

Maxim Dmitrievsky #:
brain refuses to operate with your terms

It seems to be unconsciously assimilating :)

I don't know what was difficult for verbal perception there?