CFTC Commitments of Traders weekly data - page 26

 

CFTC - Commitments of Traders: Speculators More Bullish on U.S. Dollar; Less Bullish on Gold, JPY


Speculative positioning in the CME and ICE currency, commodity, energy and index futures:

    LongShort
 NetPriorChangeGrossChange
EUR-37.9k-22.6k-15.3k94.0k-7.8k
GBP-32.8k-38.4k5.6k38.6k1.0k
JPY22.1k58.9k-36.9k54.8k-31.4k
CHF4.0k4.1k-0.2k24.9k2.4k
CAD20.0k22.7k-2.7k32.8k-4.2k
AUD0.1k24.9k-24.8k51.7k-20.1k
NZD4.6k6.7k-2.1k30.4k-2.1k
MXN-47.5k-45.7k-1.8k27.0k1.8k
S&P83.4k-8.9k92.3k529.7k103.1k
Gold206.6k266.3k-59.7k291.3k-49.5k
Silver65.9k77.2k-11.3k97.2k-8.7k
Copper-41.1k-30.6k-10.4k72.2k-7.0k
RUB4.3k4.1k0.2k6.8k0.0k
Oil348.1k368.8k-20.6k528.2k-26.4k
 

CFTC Commitments of Traders:  Little change in positions

Weekly positioning data from the CFTC for Forex futures as of the close on May 31, 2016

  • EUR short 38K vs 38K short prior week. No change vs last week
  • GBP short 33K vs 33K short prior week. No change vs last week.
  • JPY long 15K vs. 22K long prior week.  Longs trimmed by 7K.
  • CAD long 26K vs 20K long prior week.  Long position increased by 6K
  • CHF no net position vs 4K long prior week.  Longs trimmed by 4K to square.
  • AUD short 5K vs. 0.1K long prior week.   Traders go short 5K from square last week.
  • NZD  long 5.5K vs 4.6K long prior week.  Traders add to long position by 1K
The commitment of traders report showed little change in net positions in the current week. The largest change was a 7K position in the JPY that saw longs trimmed by 7K.  Both the EUR and the GBP kept the same positions in the current week.

The largest position is a short 38K position in the EUR and a 33 short in the GBP.  Both - if they were kept open today - did not do too well. The 26K long in the CAD did do well as did the long in the JPY.  
 

CFTC - Commitments of Traders: Speculators Less Bullish on JPY, S&P 500, Gold

Speculative positioning in the CME and ICE currency, commodity, energy and index futures:

    LongShort
 NetPriorChangeGrossChangeGrossChange
EUR-37.7k-37.9k0.2k98.2k4.3k135.9k4.0k
GBP-32.9k-32.8k0.0k36.5k-2.0k69.4k-2.0k
JPY14.8k22.1k-7.2k47.0k-7.8k32.1k-0.6k
CHF0.1k4.0k-3.8k24.3k-0.6k24.2k3.2k
CAD26.3k20.0k6.2k38.8k5.9k12.5k-0.3k
AUD-4.8k0.1k-4.9k44.6k-7.2k49.3k-2.3k
NZD5.5k4.6k0.9k31.9k1.5k26.4k0.6k
MXN-55.6k-47.5k-8.2k20.2k-6.8k75.8k1.3k
S&P44.4k83.4k-39.0k528.5k-1.3k484.0k37.7k
Gold197.1k206.6k-9.5k274.6k-16.7k77.5k-7.2k
Silver61.6k65.9k-4.3k89.8k-7.4k28.2k-3.2k
Copper-38.8k-41.1k2.2k71.3k-0.8k110.1k-3.1k
RUB4.6k4.3k0.3k7.5k0.7k2.9k0.4k
Oil347.0k348.1k-1.1k522.7k-5.6k175.7k-4.4k
 

Takeaways From This Week's COT Report: CAD Now The Largest Held Net Long


Data in this report cover up to Tuesday May 31 & were released Friday June 3.

The aggregate long USD position has climbed to its highest level since late March following its fourth consecutive week of improvement providing for a cumulative $12.7bn swing off the $6.7bn aggregate short from early May. This week’s changes were relatively limited, with a modest deterioration in sentiment toward JPY, CHF, and AUD. Bearish sentiment toward EUR and GBP was unchanged, leaving them as the largest held net shorts. CAD has taken the top spot as the largest held net long, edging out JPY.

CAD bulls drove this week’s improvement in sentiment and boosted the net long position by $0.5bn w/w to $2.0bn—allowing CAD to become the largest held net long among its peers. Further improvement will require sustained confidence from CAD bulls, given the slowdown in the pace of short covering.

Meanwhile, AUD sentiment has taken a decisive turn into bearish territory, the position shifting to net short for the first time since early February. Note that investors are paring back risk to both sides, suggesting uncertainty with regards to the near term path for AUD.

JPY sentiment has deteriorated for a sixth consecutive week, providing for a cumulative $6.6bn narrowing in the net long position from its extended $8.2bn level seen in mid-April. The loss of confidence among JPY bulls remains the primary driver, as we note a remarkable degree of stability among JPY bears.


 

CFTC commitments of traders: GBP short position swells ahead of Brexit vote


Weekly positioning data from the CFTC for Forex futures as of the close on June 7

  • EUR short 67K vs 38K short prior week
  • GBP short 66K vs 33K short prior week.
  • JPY long 43K vs 15K long prior week
  • CAD long 22KK vs 26K long prior week
  • CHF  -10K vs square per week
  • AUD 16K short K vs 5K short prior week
  • NZD long 9K vs 5.5 K Long prior week
There were increased buying of the US against the EUR (shorts in EUR increased by 29K), GBP (shorts in GBP increased by 33K) AUD (shorts in AUD increased by 11K).  

Meanwhile longs in JPY increased by 28K.

GBP short position is the largest in 3 years. It comes ahead of the Brexit vote which has seen the "leave" gains some momentum in the polls.

 

CFTC - Speculators More Bearish on EUR, GBP; More Bullish on JPY, Gold



 

CFTC commitments of traders: Traders pare position in GBP ahead of EU vote

Weekly positioning data from the CFTC for Forex futures as of the close on June14

  • EUR 56K short vs. 67K short prior week.
  • GBP 37K short vs. 66K short prior week
  • JPY 56K long vs. 43K long prior week
  • CAD 18K long vs. 22K long prior week
  • CHF 7K long vs. 10K short prior week
  • AUD 7K short vs. 16K short prior week
  • NZD 4k short vs. 9K long prior week
he take-aways from the numbers....
  • Traders moving closer to home in the GBP
  • Longs in JPY not at the highs but moving back towards it (recent high 72K
  • CHF sees a flight into the relative safety
  • CAD. AID and NZD move closer to square ahead of the risk event
 

CFTC - Commitments of Traders: Speculators Less Bearish on EUR, GBP; More Bullish on JPY, Gold



 

CFTC Commitments of Traders report

Data for the week ended June 21. Like its of any relevance. 

Maybe I am wrong, but I can't imagine this is of any use whatsoever now

  • Net long Japanese Yen 52,296 contracts for the week ended June 21, compared with 55,690 for the week ended June 14
  • Net short Euro -61,346, compared with -56,489
  • Net long Swiss Franc 6,381 compared with 7,130
  • Net long Canadian Dollar 2,595 compared with 18,440

And for GBP (this may have changed a little since Tuesday ... cough):
  • Net Short British Pound -51,947 compared with -36,661
 

CFTC - Speculators More Bearish on GBP, EUR ahead of Brexit Referendum