Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (updated daily) - page 91
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EURUSD
The Euro returned to weakness and trades near 1.3330 base, following yesterday’s sharp rally, driven by fundamentals, which showed again lack of strength to break above near-term congestion tops and pivotal barriers. Negative near-term studies keep the downside favored, with penetration through 1.3330 base, reinforced by weekly cloud base, to trigger fresh extension of larger descend from 1.3392, towards 1.3247, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.2042/1.3392 ascend. Overextended daily conditions, however, may delay bears for prolonged consolidative phase.
Res: 1.3372; 1.3414; 1.3431; 1.3443
Sup: 1.3347; 1.3331; 1.3300; 1.3250
GBPUSD
Cable came under increased pressure and slumped below 1.6690 higher base, on Sterling-negative data, released yesterday. Overall bears are confirmed by loss of strong support and target at 1.6690, with immediate target at 1.6657, 200SMA, being tested and psychological 1.66 support coming in focus. Oversold near-term conditions, however, are expected to interrupt bears for consolidative/corrective action, with psychological 1.67 barrier offering initial resistance, ahead of 1.6735, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.6843/1.6668 downleg/hourly 55SMA and 1.6755, previous lows and descent’s mid-point, where rallies should be ideally capped.
Res: 1.6700; 1.6735; 1.6755; 1.6766
Sup: 1.6655; 1.6600; 1.6563; 1.6500
USDJPY
The pair remains supported and moves higher after eventually breaking above 102.45/47 lower top/Fibonacci barriers. Positive near-term studies favor further upside and eventual test of pivotal 103 resistance zone, with the notion being supported by reversal pattern, which is close to completion on a daily chart. Previous peaks and 200SMA at 102.30 zone should ideally contain corrective dips, with potential loss of 102 handle, to sideline bulls.
Res: 102.64; 102.91; 103.07; 103.42
Sup: 102.30; 102.07; 102.00; 101.69
AUDUSD
Pair’s overall structure remains negative, as bearish acceleration off 0.9372, 06 Aug lower top, posted new low at 0.9237, on approach to strong 0.92 zone base. Brief upside attempts are expected to delay bears, which are looking for test of 0.92 higher base and 0.9180, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of larger 0.8658/0.9503 bull phase, with loss of these supports expected to accelerate bears off 0.9503 peak. Consolidative action off 0.9237 low has cracked psychological 0.93 barrier, also 50% retracement of 0.9372/0.9237, which may delay bears, however, only break above 0.9372 lower top would signal near-term base and more significant corrective action.
Res: 0.9320; 0.9372; 0.9400; 0.9423
Sup: 0.9286; 0.9237; 0.9200; 0.9180
EURUSD
The Euro ended the week in red, maintaining overall negative tone, with lower timeframes studies being in positive mode, as last Friday’s price action probed again above 1.34 barrier, with daily close occurring just ticks below daily highs. This keeps the upside favored in the near-term, however, sustained break above near-term range tops, just above 1.34 level, is required to confirm near-term bulls and spark stronger recovery action towards then next pivotal barrier at 1.3343, 01 Aug lower top. Hourly higher base at 1.3355 zone, should keep the downside protected, to maintain near-term bulls. Repeated failure above 1.34 barrier, however, would signal prolonged sideways trade, with increased downside risk expected on violation of 1.3355 support.
Res: 1.3398; 1.3414; 1.3431; 1.3443
Sup: 1.3379; 1.3355; 1.3334; 1.3300
GBPUSD
Cable overall picture remains bearish, as the pair closed in red for the sixth consecutive week, keeping the short-term downtrend intact for now. On the other side, first signals of reversal come from last Friday’s Doji candle, just above 200SMA, which holds for now and today’s gap-higher opening. Near-term price action is attempting to stabilize above 1.67 handle, with bounce so far having retraced over 38.2% of 1.6843/1.6657 descend and hourly studies being positively aligned. Further upside and break above the next significant barrier at 1.6755, previous low of 12 Aug, also near 50% retracement, looks favored for now and is required to further improve near-term structure for possible attempt at key 1.6843, regain of which to sideline short-term bears. Otherwise, risk of lower top formation, in case of stall under 1.6843, would be likely near-term scenario.
Res: 1.6733; 1.6755; 1.6771; 1.6800
Sup: 1.6712; 1.6675; 1.6655; 1.6600
USDJPY
The pair trades in near-term consolidative mode after fresh bulls posted new high at 102.70 and subsequent sharp pullback retested levels close to pivotal 102 support. Hourly studies turned negative, while 4-hour picture holds bullish tone, which is, along with positive daily studies, expected to keep bulls in play for renewed attempt higher, with regain and break above 102.70 hurdle, to open pivotal 103 barrier. Alternatively, loss of 102 handle to confirm near-term bearish stance and extend weakness off 102.70 high.
Res: 102.70; 102.91; 103.07; 103.42
Sup: 102.23; 102.12; 102.00; 101.69
AUDUSD
The pair holds steady in the near-term and consolidates last week’s gains which peaked at 0.9332. Pullback off 0.9332 was contained just under 0.93 handle at Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.9237/0.9332 upleg that keeps near-term bulls in play for now. Further gains require extension above key 0.9372, 06 June lower top, to confirm near-term base for stronger correction, which would sideline larger picture bears and delay final push towards strong support and base at 0.92 zone. Hourly technicals are neutral and 4-hour tone remains positive, with 0.93 support zone required to hold.
Res: 0.9332; 0.9356; 0.9372; 0.9400
Sup: 0.9307; 0.9296; 0.9273; 0.9254
EURUSD
The Euro remains in near-term range trading, following repeated stall of attempts at 1.34 resistance zone, seen yesterday. Near-term studies weakened and trade in the range’s lower part, following pullback of 1.3398, yesterday’s rejection level and high of the day. Break of either side of the range is required to define near-term direction, with loss of range’s floor and near-term base, seen as a trigger for bearish resumption towards psychological 1.33 support and acceleration lower to expose 1.3247, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.2042/1.3992 ascend and 1.3209, Fibonacci 100expansion of the third wave which commenced from 1.3699, 01 July lower top. Alternatively, sustained break above near-term range tops, just above 1.34 level, is required to bring bulls in play and spark stronger recovery action towards then next pivotal barrier at 1.3343, 01 Aug lower top.
Res: 1.3365; 1.3380; 1.3398; 1.3414
Sup: 1.3334; 1.3300; 1.3247; 1.3209
GBPUSD
Cable is entrenched within narrow range in the near-term price action, after fresh bulls off 1.6655, failed to extend gains above 1.67 barrier. Overall picture remains bearish and keeps short-term downtrend intact for now. On the other side, initial signals of reversal, which came from last Friday’s Doji candle and yesterday’s gap-higher opening, so far did not materialize, as price action remains limited at 1.6736, yesterday’s high. This made hourly studies to start losing traction, with increased downside risk expected on a fresh weakness below 1.67 handle, as 4-hour technicals remain weak. Unless the price action rallies through initial 1.6755/71 barrier, previous low / Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.6843/1.6655 descend, near-term outlook will see extended sideways mode, with downside risk, as favored scenario.
Res: 1.6736; 1.6755; 1.6771; 1.6800
Sup: 1.6699; 1.6675; 1.6655; 1.6600
USDJPY
The pair holds positive near-term tone, as the price retraced the biggest part of 102.70/102.12 corrective pullback and aims at 102.70, as initial target. Positive near-term studies support fresh attempt at 102.70, for eventual attack at pivotal 103 resistance zone, above which to expose the upper boundaries of short term range. Corrective easing ahead of 102.70 barrier, should be ideally contained at 102.40 zone, to keep near-term bulls intact.
Res: 102.70; 102.91; 103.07; 103.42
Sup: 102.40; 102.23; 102.12; 102.00
AUDUSD
The pair remains steady and posted marginally higher high at 0.9340, after completing 0.9332/0.9296 corrective pullback. Further gains require extension above key 0.9372, 06 June lower top, to confirm near-term base for stronger correction, which would sideline larger picture bears and delay final push towards strong support and base at 0.92 zone. Near-term technicals are positive and favor further upside, with 0.93 support zone required to hold corrective dips.
Res: 0.9340; 0.9356; 0.9372; 0.9400
Sup: 0.9312; 0.9296; 0.9273; 0.9254
EURUSD
The Euro has eventually broken near-term base and consolidation bottom, signaling resumption of larger downtrend, as the price tested psychological 1.3300 support. Studies on all timeframes remain negative and favor fresh downside, where the pair is looking for test of near-term targets at 1.3247, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.2042/1.3992 ascend and 1.3209, Fibonacci 100% expansion of the third wave which commenced from 1.3699, 01 July lower top. Bears could be interrupted by corrective rallies, as near-term studies are becoming oversold, with previous base at 1.3330 zone offering initial resistance and extended rallies to be ideally capped under 1.3365 lower top.
Res: 1.3323; 1.3331; 1.3350; 1.3365
Sup: 1.3247; 1.3209; 1.3160; 1.3103
GBPUSD
Cable slumped below 1.66 support, following recovery attempt stall and subsequent acceleration which was triggered after the price filled Monday’s gap. Continuation of larger downtrend from 1.7189 peak is looking for 1.6548, 04 Apr higher low, psychological 1.65 support and 1.6464, low of 24 Mar 2014. However, oversold conditions of all timeframes studies suggests corrective rally in the near-term. Previous low at 1.6655, offers immediate resistance, ahead of previous rejection tops at 1.6736, where rallies should be capped. Otherwise, violation of the latter would allow for stronger corrective rally and expose the next pivotal resistance at 1.6843, 13 Aug lower top.
Res: 1.6655; 1.6700; 1.6736; 1.6755
Sup: 1.6600; 1.6548; 1.6500; 1.6464
USDJPY
The pair holds positive near-term tone and continues to trend higher, as fresh acceleration has eventually broken pivotal 103 barrier. Bull-leg off 101.49, 08 Aug higher low, is now looking for test of the upper boundaries of short-term range at 103.75 and 104.11, to eventually signal the end of consolidative phase and shift short-term focus higher. Corrective pullbacks on overbought near-term studies should ideally find ground above 102.70, previous peak and near 50% of 102.12/103.25 rally.
Res: 103.25; 103.42; 103.75; 104.11
Sup: 103.00; 102.70; 102.50; 102.23
AUDUSD
The pair lost traction after corrective rally off 0.9237 stalled at 0.9342 and subsequent dip to 0.9275 retraced 61.8% of 0.9237/0.9342 upleg. This has weakened hourly structure, which become bearish and sees risk of full retracement, on a break below temporary support at 0.9275. On the other side, 4-hour chart indicators are on the midlines and in case 0.9275 support hold, hopes of fresh attempts higher would remain in play. However, regain of lower top at 0.9315, is seen as minimum requirement to support such scenario. Overall picture remains bearish, with short-term price action being capped by 20/100SMA’s bearish cross.
Res: 0.9315; 0.9342; 0.9372; 0.9400
Sup: 0.9275; 0.9254; 0.9237; 0.9200
EURUSD
The Euro continues to trend lower, with fresh acceleration below 1.33 handle, testing levels below initial 1.3247, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement target. Further bears are expected to test the next targets at 1.3209/00, Fibonacci 100% expansion of the wave from 1.3699 / psychological support, below which 1.3103, September 2013 higher low, will come in focus. Oversold conditions on all timeframes, however, suggest a pause in the downtrend, with 1.33 zone offering the first significant barrier, where lower top and 38.2% retracement of 1.3397/1.3240 descend lay, ahead of previous range floor and Fibonacci 61.8% retracement at 1.3340 zone, below which, rallies should be limited.
Res: 1.3273; 1.3300; 1.3323; 1.3340
Sup: 1.3240; 1.3209; 1.3160; 1.3103
GBPUSD
Cable remains under pressure and continued the downmove, which was interrupted by yesterday’s 1.6599/1.6677, corrective rally. Fresh weakness approaches the next target at 1.6548, 04 Apr higher low, below which psychological 1.65 support and 1.6464, low of 24 Mar 2014, are expected to come in focus. The negative scenario is additionally supported by loss of 200SMA, which signals further significant losses in the near-term. Corrective rallies on oversold near-term studies should be ideally capped under 1.6677 lower top, to keep immediate bears intact, otherwise, extended corrective action is expected to delay.
Res: 1.6600; 1.6622; 1.6651; 1.6677
Sup: 1.6561; 1.6548; 1.6500; 1.6464
USDJPY
The pair maintains positive overall tone and continues to trend higher, as fresh acceleration higher has taken out 103.75, 07 Mar high and approaches key barrier and short-term range top at 104.11, 04 Apr peak. Bulls remain fully in play and favor eventual break above 104.11, which will signal an end of short-term consolidative phase and expose year-to-date peak at 105.43, posted on 02 Jan 2014. Hesitation ahead of 104.11 cannot be ruled out, as studies are overbought on all timeframes. Previous peak at 103.07 offers solid support and should contain stronger dips.
Res: 104.11; 104.50; 104.83; 105.00
Sup: 103.66; 103.39; 103.07; 102.70
AUDUSD
The pair lost traction and slumped lower, to fully retrace 0.9237/0.9342 upleg. Former low offers temporary support for near-term consolidation, before fresh extension lower, as bears took control of near-term studies and Three Black Crows reversal pattern is nearly completed. Break below 0.9237 to confirm lower top at 0.9342, where 20/100SMA’s bearish cross capped recovery attempts and open way for final push towards key support and short-term target at 0.92 higher base zone. Corrective rallies off 0.9237, should be ideally capped at 0.9275/0.93 zone.
Res: 0.9275; 0.9300; 0.9315; 0.9342
Sup: 0.9237; 0.9200; 0.9180; 0.9132
EURUSD
The Euro holds overall negative tone and posted marginally lower low at 1.3177, levels last time seen one year ago, with near-term price action trading in consolidative mode, around 1.32 level. Oversold 4-hour and daily studies suggest more significant corrective action in the near-term, as hourly indicators are heading north. The pair attempts to fill Monday’s gap, the first step which will signal recovery under way, ahead of previous low at 1.3240 and 1.3266, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.3410/1.3177 descend, break of which to open key near-term barrier and breakpoint at 1.3295, lower top of 22 Aug and psychological 1.33 resistance, reinforced by daily Tenkan-sen line. Break here is required to confirm near-term base and put bears on hold for stronger recovery. Otherwise, lower top formation and fresh weakness would keep larger bears intact for extension towards next targets at 1.3103, Sep 2013 higher low and 1.3022, Fibonacci 138.2% expansion of the wave from 1.3699.
Res: 1.3220; 1.3240; 1.3266; 1.3300
Sup: 1.3177; 1.3150; 1.3103; 1.3050
GBPUSD
Cable attempts to stabilize after bounce from fresh low at 1.6534 returned to near-term congestion tops and strong resistance at 1.66 zone. Slight improvement of hourly studies keeps fresh attempts higher in play, as 4-hour indicators are heading off oversold zone. However, more significant recovery requires break above 200SMA at 1.6680 and 18 Aug lower top at 1.6736, to offset larger bears. Otherwise, preferred scenario would be lower top formation and fresh weakness towards targets at 1.6500, round figure support and 1.6464, 24 Mar low.
Res: 1.6600; 1.6622; 1.6651; 1.6677
Sup: 1.6564; 1.6534; 1.6500; 1.6464
USDJPY
The pair maintains overall bullish tone, as fresh bulls cracked key 104.11, 04 Apr peak, the last obstacle on the way to 105.43, 02 Jan peak. Corrective action is under way, with pullback probing below initial 104 support, ahead of fresh attempt higher. Extended pullback to face supports art 103.50, 22 Aug low and 103.20, Fibonacci 38.2% of 101.49/104.26 upleg.
Ideally, reversal should be contained here and should not extend below 103 zone, previous peaks and Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 101.07/104.26 upleg, to keep bulls intact.
Res: 104.10; 104.26; 104.50; 104.83
Sup: 103.50; 103.20; 103.07; 102.70
AUDUSD
The pair trades in near-term corrective mode off fresh low at 0.9237, after pullback off 0.9342 retested 0.9237 support. Near-term tone is neutral and sideways trading is expected to continue, while 0.9342 top caps. Break here to signal double-bottom formation on 4-hour chart and stronger rally, which requires break above pivotal 0.9372, 06 Aug lower top, to confirm the scenario. Conversely, slide below 0.9270 higher low to weaken immediate structure and risk return to 0.9237 low.
Res: 0.9300; 0.9327; 0.9342; 0.9372
Sup: 0.9285; 0.9270; 0.9237; 0.9200
EURUSD
The Euro regains strength in the near-term action, as corrective attempts off fresh low at 1.3149, extended to 1.3220, last Friday’s low and the first break point. Hourly studies turned positive, as the price action attempts to stabilize above 1.32 handle, with sustained break above 1.3220 barrier, also 50% retracement of 1.3295/1.3149 descend, required to improve 4-hour structure for push towards the next break point at 1.3295, 22 Aug lower top, between 50% and 61.8% of larger 1.3410/1.3149 descend. Overextended daily studies support the scenario. Conversely, failure to sustain break above 1.3200, would signal prolonged sideways trade, with downside risk in play.
Res: 1.3220; 1.3240; 1.3261; 1.3295
Sup: 1.3187; 1.3167; 1.3149; 1.310
GBPUSD
Cable is regaining traction, as bounce off 1.6534 low probes above strong 1.66 barrier. Sustained break here is required to confirm basing attempt and further improve north-heading 4-hour studies for push towards pivotal 1.6677/85, 20 Aug lower top / 200SMA and possible extension to the key near-term barrier at 1.6735 lower platform. However, overall negative tone sees current movements as corrective action and failure to clear 1.6735 barrier, would keep in play scenario of lower top formation and subsequent fresh weakness.
Res: 1.6605; 1.6622; 1.6651; 1.6677
Sup: 1.6570; 1.6534; 1.6500; 1.6464
USDJPY
The pair maintains overall bullish tone and enters near-term corrective phase, after fresh bulls cracked key 104.11, 04 Apr peak, the last obstacle on the way to 105.43, 02 Jan peak. Corrective easing establishes below initial 104 support, with 103.50, 22 Aug low and 103.20, Fibonacci 38.2% of 101.49/104.26 upleg, seen as next significant supports, with extended pullback to be contained above 103 zone, previous peaks and psychological support, to keep bulls in play.
Res: 104.00; 104.16; 104.26; 104.50
Sup: 103.67; 103.50; 103.20; 103.07
AUDUSD
Near-term bulls returned to play, as the pair extended rally off 0.9237 through 0.9327/42 barriers, also penetrating daily cloud base and 55SMA, now eyeing pivotal 0.9372, lower top of 06 Aug and 50% of 0.9503/0.9237 descend. Break above here is required to confirm base at 0.9237 for more significant correction of 0.9503/0.9237 descend, with 0.94 psychological barrier / 61.8% retracement and 0.9415 lower top, seen as immediate targets. Otherwise, prolonged sideways trade could be expected in the near-term, in case of failure to break 0.9372 barrier. Previous peak at 0.9349, now acts as initial support, ahead of 0.9326 higher base/ previous range tops, where pullbacks should find solid support.
Res: 0.9342; 0.9372; 0.9400; 0.9440
Sup: 0.9349; 0.9326; 0.9308; 0.9290
EURUSD
The Euro returned to weakness after fresh acceleration lower ended near-term consolidative phase between 1.3150 and 1.3220 limits. Fresh attempts lower target immediate support at 1.31, psychological support and low of September 2013, below which opens double-Fibonacci support at 1.3020 zone, 50% retracement of 1.2042/1.3992 ascend and 138.2% expansion of the wave from 1.3699. Near-term bears continue to favor further downside, with corrective rallies on oversold conditions, expected to interrupt and to be ideally capped under 1.32 barrier. Overextended daily studies, however, warn of more significant corrective action, which requires sustained break above near-term congestion tops at 1.3220 to be confirmed.
Res: 1.3133; 1.3150; 1.3194; 1.3220
Sup: 1.3117; 1.3103; 1.3050; 1.3020
GBPUSD
Cable near-term studies are regaining traction, as bounce off 1.6534 low attempts to sustain break above 1.66 barrier. Rallies were so far capped by descending 4-hour 55SMA at 1.6610, with break here, required to confirm basing attempt and bring bulls fully in play for push towards pivotal 1.6677/, 20 Aug lower top / 20/200SMA death cross and possible extension to the key near-term barrier at 1.6735 lower platform. However, overall negative tone sees current movements as corrective action and failure to clear 1.6735 barrier, would keep in play scenario of lower top formation and subsequent fresh weakness.
Res: 1.6651; 1.6677; 1.6685; 1.6735
Sup: 1.6585; 1.6560; 1.6534; 1.6500
USDJPY
The pair remains in near-term corrective phase, off fresh high at 104.26, posted on 25 Aug, after fresh bulls cracked key 104.11, 04 Apr peak, the last obstacle en-route to 105.43, 02 Jan peak. Corrective easing found support at 103.50, 22 Aug low, ahead of fresh attempt through 104 barrier. This keeps near-term bulls in play for eventual push through 104.26, 25 Aug fresh high, to resume larger bulls towards psychological 105 barrier and key resistance at 105.43, 02 Jan peak. Today’s gap-higher open, confirms bullish stance, with corrective easing, expected to be ideally contained at 104.00/103.80 zone.
Res: 104.20; 104.26; 104.50; 105.00
Sup: 104.00; 103.80; 103.50; 103.20
AUDUSD
Near-term bulls remain in play, as the pair tested pivotal 0.9372 barrier, lower top of 06 Aug and 50% of 0.9503/0.9237 descend. Consolidative phase so far found support at 0.9320, Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.9237/0.9372, keeping immediate focus at the upside. Break above 0.9372 is required to confirm base at 0.9237 for more significant correction of 0.9503/0.9237 descend, with 0.94 psychological barrier / 61.8% retracement and 0.9415 lower top, seen as immediate targets. Otherwise, prolonged sideways trade could be expected in the near-term, in case of failure to break 0.9372 barrier, with bearish tone to be established in case of loss of 0.93 support.
Res: 0.9361; 0.9372; 0.9400; 0.9440
Sup: 0.9320; 0.9300; 0.9288; 0.9268
EURUSD
The Euro remains weak and ticked lower, after brief corrective attempt off 1.3117 was capped at 1.3144. The pair eyes immediate target at 1.31, however, yesterday’s Doji candle may signal further consolidation ahead of 1.31 support, as daily studies are overextended, but no reversal signal being generated yet. Yesterday’s corrective high at 1.3144 offers initial resistance, along with 1.3155 zone, previous lows and Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.3219/1.3113 downleg, where corrective rallies should find good resistance, before fresh push lower. Conversely, extension through pivotal 1.3200/19 barriers would signal stronger recovery and sideline immediate bears.
Res: 1.3144; 1.3155; 1.3194; 1.3220
Sup: 1.3113; 1.3103; 1.3050; 1.3020
GBPUSD
Near-term studies are losing initial strength, regained on a bounce off 1.6534, as the pair failed to sustain gains above the first breakpoint at 1.66 zone, as fresh weakness followed the price’s stall at 1.6642. Extension below 1.66 handle, weakens near-term structure and risks return to 1.6534 base, as reversal retraced so far over 76.4% of 1.6534/1.6642 ascend, in case near-term price action took out the last support at 1.6560. Underlying bearish tone favors fresh resumption of larger downtrend, as 20/200SMA death cross maintains the pressure. Extension below 1.6534 to open 1.6500 and higher low at 1.6464 next.
Res: 1.6587; 1.6613; 1.6642; 1.6677
Sup: 1.6542; 1.6534; 1.6500; 1.6464
USDJPY
The pair accelerated higher, after clearing near-term top at 104.26, rallying towards psychological 105 and key short-term barrier at 105.43, 02 Jan peak. Overall bullish structure favors attempts through 105.43 and resumption of multi-year uptrend, which was interrupted by 105.43/100.74 corrective phase. However, overbought conditions on all timeframes may cause hesitation ahead of 105.43 barrier. Former resistances at 104.26/00 zone, offer initial supports.
Res: 105.00; 105.43; 105.57; 106.00
Sup: 104.26; 104.00; 103.80; 103.50
AUDUSD
The pair lost traction and slumped below 0.93 support, after recovery attempts failed to clear pivotal 0.9372 barrier and subsequent weakness accelerated after losing important 0.9320 support and previous consolidation floor. Retracement of over 61.8% of 0.9236/0.9372 upleg, has weakened near-term structure, near-term indicators are in the negative territory. Corrective action on oversold hourlies is expected to precede fresh weakness towards higher low at 0.9268, with return to 0.9236 base, seen on extension. Alternative scenario requires lift above lower top at 0.9350, to bring bulls back in play for renewed attempts at 0.9372 barrier.
Res: 0.9300; 0.9322; 0.9350; 0.9361
Sup: 0.9282; 0.9268; 0.9236; 0.9200
EURUSD
The Euro remains negative overall, with near-term price action still holding above initial target at 1.31, after posting marginally lower low at 1.3108, with immediate tone being in neutral mode. The price remains entrenched within near-term range, capped for now at 1.3144. Break above here and 1.3151, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.3219/1.3108 downleg, is seen as minimum requirement to signal start of recovery action, which is signaled by overextended daily conditions. Extension higher to open targets as 1.3177, 61.8% retracement; 1.3195 lower top of 29 Aug and key near-term barrier and lower platform at 1.3220, also Fibonacci 38.2% of larger 1.3410/1.3108 descend. Otherwise, extended consolidative action is expected to precede fresh leg lower, as negative sentiment would drive the pair below 1.31 handle, with extension towards 1.3020, double Fibonacci and 1.3000, psychological support.
Res: 1.3144; 1.3151; 1.3177; 1.3195
Sup: 1.3121; 1.3108; 1.3103; 1.3050
GBPUSD
Cable remains under pressure and fresh acceleration lower from 1.6642, where lower top was left on 01 Sep, eventually broke below initial support at 1.6534 and psychological 1.65 level. Fresh bears also took out the next target at 1.6464, en route towards 1.6400, round –figure support. Overextended near-term studies suggest corrective bounce off fresh low at 1.6443, with 1.65 handle now acting as immediate resistance, ahead of 1.6520/34, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.6643/1.6443 descend / previous low, levels seen as ideal cap. Conversely, stronger rallies through 1.66 barrier, would delay bears, however, will face layers of strong resistances at 1.6443 lower top and 1.6690 20/200 death-cross.
Res: 1.6500; 1.6520; 1.6534; 1.6566
Sup: 1.6443; 1.6400; 1.6380; 1.6350
USDJPY
The pair continues to trend higher, with fresh strength above 104.26, former high, eventually breaking above psychological 105 barrier. Immediate focus is key resistance at 105.43, 02 Jan peak and year-to-date high. Overall bullish structure favors attempts through 105.43 and resumption of multi-year uptrend, which was interrupted by 105.43/100.74 corrective phase. However, pullback on overbought conditions on all timeframes is expected to delay final push through 105.43 barrier. Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 103.54/105.29 upleg at 104.62, offers initial support, ahead of former resistance at 104.26, also near 61.8% retracement, which is expected to hold dips.
Res: 105.00; 105.30; 105.43; 105.57
Sup: 104.62; 104.26; 104.00; 103.80
AUDUSD
The pair bounces off fresh low at 0.9260, on corrective rally, after bearish acceleration off 0.9372 barrier and upside rejection level, nearly fully retraced 0.9237/0.9372 upleg. Overall negative tone sees the price action holding within 0.9237/0.9372 range, with lower borders being under pressure and fresh weakness starting after completion of corrective phase. Ideally, 0.9320/30 zone, former low and Fibonacci 61.8% of 0.9372/0.9260 descend, should cap rallies, before bears re-assert for renewed attempt towards 0.9237 base. Otherwise, break higher and regain of 0.9350 lower top, would shift near-term focus towards range’s upper boundary.
Res: 0.9322; 0.9330; 0.9350; 0.9372
Sup: 0.9282; 0.9260; 0.9237; 0.9200