Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (updated daily) - page 73
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Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
EUR/USD
The single currency remains within the range of 1.3000 and 1.2842, with the upper barrier being pressured. Sideways movements are seen in past few sessions after Monday’s gap lower opening, with dips being so far contained by 200 day MA. Hourly structure is positive that sees potential attack at 1.3000 barrier, also 61.8%% of 1.3106/1.2842 fall likely, as break here is seen as a trigger for more bullish action and will signal a bottom. Conversely, loss of 1.2900 handle, will turn near-term outlook bearish.
Res: 1.2977, 1.2994, 1.3044, 1.3077
Sup: 1.2927, 1.2900, 1.2879, 1.2842
GBP/USD
Cable remains in a sideways mode, holding within 1.5070/1.5140 range, with yesterday’s spikes in both directions, seen as a noise. Flat hourly studies favor further directionless trading, while structure on 4h chart holds positive tone, as the price action is supported by ascending 20 day EMA and underpinned by 20/55 EMA’s bullish crossover. Full retracement of 1.5220/1.4830 descend and break higher is needed to confirm bottom for more significant rebound, otherwise, the downside would remain vulnerable. Key support and breakpoint lies at 1.5000, below which, bears will take control.
Res: 1.5142, 1.5185, 1.5200, 1.5220
Sup: 1.5070, 1.5026, 1.5000, 1.4980
USD/JPY
The pair tested 96.00 barrier, following break above trendline resistance at 95.35 and previous recovery high at 95.73. The near-term uptrend has been established, as 4h indicators broke above their midlines that opens way for further recovery, with 76.4% of entire 96.70/94.30 fall being retraced so far. Pullback on overbought hourlies, should ideally find support at 95.70/50 zone, before fresh extension higher, with sustained break above 96.00, to attract 96.50/70 highs for retest. Bull trendline off 94.30 low, stands at 95.20 and only break here would revive bears.
Res: 96.12, 96.25, 96.50, 96.70
Sup: 95.65, 94.47, 95.20, 95.00
AUD/USD
No changes in Aussie’s price action seen in the past few sessions, as the upside remains capped at 1.04 zone. Lack of bullish momentum, so far limits recovery rally from 1.0114 at Fib 61.8% of 1.0597/1.0114 descend, however, the lower boundary of near-term congestion is additionally supported by ascending 200 day MA. Daily studies remain positive and keep the upside favored, while 4h indicators are losing traction and hourlies being neutral. Breakpoints stand at 1.0412 and 1.0342.
Res: 1.0400, 1.0412, 1.0456, 1.0474
Sup: 1.0350, 1.0342, 1.0300, 1.0286
Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
EUR/USD
The Euro fell sharply yesterday after unsuccessful attempt above 1.3000, with 1.3047 double-top left, before the pair spiraled lower. Loss of previous low and near-term range floor, as well as close below 200 day MA, would be a signal of further weakness, as a part of broader downtrend from 1.3710, annual high. Bounce from fresh low at 1.2826, posted yesterday, is so far seen corrective and triggered by oversold hourly conditions, while 4h indicators maintain bearish tone and 20/55 day EMA’s bearish crossover, keeping the downside pressured. Rallies could extend to 1.2940/50 zone, 50% retracement of yesterday’s fall, before bears re-assert. Only regain of 1.2980 would bring some more positive tone and delay bears. As the downside remains vulnerable, possible penetration of 1.2800 psychological support and low of Sep 2012, would open way towards the next significant levels at 1.2679/60, Fib 61.8% of 1.2042/1.3710 rally and Nov 2012 low.
Res: 1.2910, 1.2937, 1.2963, 1.2977
Sup: 1.2826, 1.2800, 1.2780, 1.2750
GBP/USD
Cable maintains positive tone, correcting the recent rally that posted fresh high at 1.5259 yesterday. Cracking the previous very strong support and med-term range bottom, now reversed to resistance, suggests that further recovery is likely. As the pullback from 1.5259 was contained by bull-trendline off 1.4830 and 50% retracement of 1.5026/1.5259 upleg, 4h studies see room for fresh gains and attack at initial 1.5259/67 targets that would open psychological 1.5300 barrier and 1.5320, 21 Feb high. However, near-term downside risk is still present, as hourly studies are weak, with violation of the trendline at 1.5162 and yesterday’s low at 1.5142, to trigger fresh weakness and expose immediate targets at 1.5115/00, Fib 61.8% / round figure support.
Res: 1.5206, 1.5220, 1.5259, 1.5267
Sup: 1.5162, 1.5142, 1.5100, 1.5070
USD/JPY
The pair dipped further after completing bearish pennant and fresh weakness extended to 93.52, over 50% of 90.85/96.70 rally. Firm bearish tone, seen on 4h chart studies, keeps the downside favored for now, with 20/55 day EMA’s bearish crossover, pressuring. Corrective bounce off 93.52, faces trendline resistance / 55 day EMA at 94.60, as initial resistance, with any further extension higher, seen capped under 95.00 barrier. Continuation of bear-trend through 93.52, to open 93.00/92.90, Fib 61.8% / 05 Mar low.
Res: 94.60, 95.00, 95.12, 95.50
Sup: 93.85, 93.52, 93.00, 92.90
AUD/USD
The pair remains steady and continues to post fresh highs, following break above 1.0400 congestion. Fresh high at 1.0478, posted yesterday, comes under pressure, following shallow consolidation, with near-term focus at psychological 1.0500 resistance and 1.0526, 03 Jan high. Near-term studies are well positioned, with hourly RSI/MACD bearish divergence, so far being ignored by the price action.
Res: 1.0500, 0.0526, 1.0550, 1.0577
Sup: 1.0457, 1.0441, 1.0420, 1.0400
Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)
EUR/USD
The Euro held within tight range during the Asian session, holding below 1.3100 barrier, despite 30-pips gap higher weekly opening. Bounce of recent range bottom at 1.3000 was rejected at 1.3125, Fib 61.8% of 1.3200/1.3000 descend, with Friday’s fall and close below 1.3100, keeping the downside vulnerable. Near-term studies are negatively aligned, as the price was unable to clear 20 day EMA. Immediate support lays at 1.3045, Fri/Thu lows and break lower to re-focus psychological 1.3000, key near-term support. Formation of diamond pattern on a daily chart, signals reversal that requires break below 1.3000 and 1.2972, 50% retracement of 1.2744/1.3200 ascend, to be confirmed. Any bounce through 1.3100/25, would improve near-term structure, however, clearance of 1.3200 would bring bulls fully in play.
Res: 1.3083, 1.3100, 1.3125, 1.3150
Sup: 1.3045, 1.3025, 1.3000, 1.2972
GBP/USD
Cable ended the week under heavy pressure, with negative fundamentals triggering sharp fall. Losses extended overnight and tested near-term base at 1.5200 zone, signaling further weakness. Immediate target and strong support lays at 1.5175, Fib 61.8% of 1.5032/1.5410 rally / daily Ichimoku cloud base, with negative tone on the lower timeframes and double-top left at 1.5380, last week’s highs, supporting the notion. Bearish 20/55 day EMA’s crossover at 1.5280 zone, keeps the upside limited for now
Res: 1.5244, 1.5265, 1.5284, 1.5300
Sup: 1.5200, 1.5175, 1.5121, 1.5100
USD/JPY
The pair flirts with psychological 100.00 barrier again, as strong bounce of last week’s correction low at 95.80, extended close to 100.00. The barrier is strong, as previous attempt here failed and overbought hourly studies suggest hesitation. Indicators on 4h chart, however, see room for test and break above 100.00 barrier, to open next significant barrier at 101.43, Apr 2009 high. Corrective dips should be contained by 99.00/98.50 support zone, to keep near-term bulls intact.
Res: 99.87, 99.93, 100.00, 100.50
Sup: 99.50, 99.33, 99.00, 98.50
AUD/USD
The pair remains under pressure at the beginning of the weeks, continuing broader weakness, sparked on upside rejection at 1.0581 on 11 Apr. Marginally fresh low at 1.0265 was posted overnight, with near-term bears being firmly in play and price being limited by descending 20 day EMA. As daily studies broke in the negative territory, further weakness towards 1.0224/00, Fib 76.4% of 1.0114/1.0581 / round figure support, could be anticipated. Any corrective action faces solid resistance at 1.0357, last Friday’s high, while penetration through 1.0400 barrier, is requires to ease immediate bear-pressure.
Res: 1.0300, 1.0336, 1.0357, 1.0400
Sup: 1.0265, 1.0224, 1.0200, 1.0114
EUR/USD
The remains weak, following yesterday’s fall that cracked 1.3000 support and dipped to 1.2972, where the pair found temporary footstep at 50% retracement of 1.2744/1.3200 rally. With quiet overnight trading, concentrated around 1.3000 handle, near-term focus is shifted towards the downside, as 1 and 4h studies hold negative tone and daily diamond pattern has been completed. Penetration through 1.2972 would look for another significant support zone at 1.2930/20, 200 day MA / Fib 61.8% retracement. The upside is seen capped at 1.3080/1.3100, while clearance of 1.3130 barrier would turn focus towards the upside.
Res: 1.3027, 1.3050, 1.3083, 1.3100
Sup: 1.2972, 1.2930, 1.2918, 1.2900
GBP/USD
Cable continues to trade within 1.5200/1.5300 range, as yesterday’s fresh attempt through the near-term base failed. Near-term studies remain negatively aligned and keep 1.5200 in focus, while 1.5286/1.5300 highs are expected to limit the upside attempts. From the other side, larger picture bulls remain in play, as pullback from 1.5410 high, found support at 50% of 1.4830/1.5410 ascend and bull trendline off 1.4830 at 1.5200 zone. Violation of the latter would weaken the daily structure and sideline bulls from 1.4830, in favor of further reversal.
Res: 1.5286, 1.5300, 1.5328, 1.5367
Sup: 1.5225, 1.5200, 1.5175, 1.5121
USD/JPY
The pair recovered most of 22/23 Apr reversal, when repeated failure on approach to 100.00 barrier triggered fresh weakness. With dips finding support at 98.50 and fresh strength through 99.00, approaching 100.00 barrier, near-term bulls are fully in play. Yesterday’s price action was briefly interrupted by news that triggered increased volatility, but price quickly returned to its initial direction. Studies on 1 and 4h charts maintain positive tone and keep the upside favored for another attempt at psychological 100.00 barrier, while 99.00 offers initial support and 98.50, reinforced by ascending 55 day EMA, expected to protect the downside.
Res: 99.74, 99.87, 99.93, 100.00
Sup: 99.22, 99.00, 98.50, 98.00
AUD/USD
The pair remains under pressure, as recovery attempt off yesterday’s fresh low at 1.0220, stayed limited under initial 1.0300 barrier. Downside acceleration, seen overnight and triggered by weaker than expected Australian data, maintain negative sentiment for renewed attempt at 1.0220 and psychological 1.0200 support, ahead of med-term range support at 1.0114, low of 04 Mar 2013.
Res: 1.0274, 1.0300, 1.0336, 1.0357
Sup: 1.0230, 1.0220, 1.0200, 1.0114
EUR/USD
The Euro holds above 1.3000 but still directionless, moving within 1.2950/1.3100 range. Slight improvements seen on overnight’s gap-higher opening and upside aligned hourly studies, keep the immediate barrier at 1.3100 in near-term focus. Break above 1.3100, also 4h triangle resistance, would avert the downside risk, in favor of extension towards next barrier at 1.3127, 19 Apr high, to confirm near-term base at 1.2950 and possibly re-open key 1.3200 resistance. Psychological 1.3000 support keeps the near-term price action supported for now, with any penetration lower, to weaken the structure.
Res: 1.3076, 1.3092, 1.3127, 1.3142
Sup: 1.3030, 1.3000, 1.2987, 1.2950
GBP/USD
Cable maintains positive tone, as fresh gains through psychological 1.5500 barrier that kept last week’s rally capped, now open way for fresh bulls. Immediate barrier lies at 1.5570, 100 day MA, ahead of 1.5605, 50% retracement of 1.6380/1.4830 downleg. Short-term studies remain positive but overbought that may signal hesitation on approach to the next targets. Previous peak and last Friday’s low at 1.5410/17 zone, offer solid support and should contain corrective dips.
Res: 1.5550, 1.5570, 1.5605, 1.5629
Sup: 1.5510, 1.5479, 1.5417, 1.5410
USD/JPY
The pair remains under pressure, as last Friday’s fresh weakness and weekly close below 98.00 handle and overnight’s extension to 97.34, Fib 61.8% of 95.80/99.87 upleg, confirm near-term bears being in play. Corrective rally on oversold hourlies, faces initial resistance s at 98.00/30, with previous low and 50% retracement of 99.74/97.35 at 98.50, reinforced by 20/55 day EMA’s, bearish crossover seen as ideal cap. With near-term structure being negatively aligned, further downside is seen favored after the correction, with 97.20/00 seen as next targets. Conversely, extension above 98.50 would ease bear-pressure, however, regain of 99.00 barrier is required to shift focus higher and re-expose recent highs and psychological 100 barrier.
Res: 98.00, 98.30, 98.50, 98.82
Sup: 97.35, 97.20, 97.00, 96.75
AUD/USD
The pair regained positive tone after upside rejection at 1.0335 and subsequent pullback found support at 1.0260. Fresh strength that surged through 1.0300 barrier overnight and approach of 1.0335/38 double-top, sees scope for extension of near-term recovery rally from 1.0220 low, with clear break above 1.0338 required to confirm and open immediate targets at 1.0357, 19 Apr high / Fib 38.2% of 1.0581/1.0220 fall and 1.0400, 14 Apr high / 50% retracement. Hourly structure remains positive, while 4h indicators are breaking above their midlines.
Res: 1.0336, 1.0357, 1.0400, 1.0443
Sup: 1.0300, 1.0261, 1.0230, 1.0220
EUR/USD
The Euro extended recovery rally to briefly break above 1.3100 handle, however, gains were limited, as the price action was capped at 1.3115, failing to clear the barrier on repeated attempt. Pullback under 1.3100, could be seen as corrective, while price holds above 1.3050 zone, 50% of 1.2989/1.3115 upleg / 20 day EMA, as 4h indicators maintain positive tone, with higher low seen as good base for possible fresh attempt above 1.3100/15, to possibly open key 1.3200 barrier. From the other side, slide below 1.3050, would risk return to 1.3000 base and keep the near-term range top intact.
Res: 1.3100, 1.3115, 1.3127, 1.3142
Sup: 1.3069, 1.3050, 1.3030, 1.3000
GBP/USD
Cable enters corrective mode, following yesterday’s rally through 1.5500 barrier that reached 1.5544 high so far. Daily close slightly below 1.5500 and fresh extension lower that tests 55 day EMA, risks deeper pullback, as hourly studies moved into negative territory. Further easing would face Fibonacci supports at 1.5444 (38.2%) and more significant 1.5410, 50% retracement of 1.5281/1.5544 rally and previous peak, loss of which to sideline near-term bulls. Studies on 4h chart are emerging from overbought zone and keep the price pressured.
Res: 1.5500, 1.5544, 1.5570, 1.5605
Sup: 1.5475, 1.5444, 1.5417, 1.5410
USD/JPY
Near-term structure remains negative, as recovery rally from 97.34, yesterday’s low, remains capped at Fib 38.2% of 99.49/97.34 fall at 98.19. Hourly studies are weak, with more negative tone seen on 4h chart, where indicators hold in the negative territory and price pressured by 20/55 EMA’s bearish crossover, that keeps the downside favored. Slide below 97.35, also Fib 61.8% of 95.80/99.87 recovery and 97.20, 17 Apr low, to open way for further extension lower, where 96.75, 76.4% / previous peak of 12 Mar, is seen as next target and breakpoint. Risk of triple top completion is still high and loss of 96.70 is to confirm.
Res: 98.11, 98.19, 98.41, 98.70
Sup: 97.65, 97.35, 97.20, 97.00
AUD/USD
The pair holds positive near-term tone off 1.0220 low, as fresh gains through 1.0335/38 resistance, cracked the next barrier at 1.0357, Fib 38.2% / daily Ichimoku cloud top and see potential for extension higher. Key near-term resistance at 1.0400, 14 Apr high / 50% retracement of 1.0581/1.0220, comes in focus, as break here is required to confirm base at 1.0220 and resume recovery. Previous barriers at 1.0335/38, now offer initial support, with dips to be ideally contained at 1.0320 zone, to keep bulls intact.
Res: 1.0357, 1.0371, 1.0400, 1.0443
Sup: 1.0335, 1.0320, 1.0300, 1.0261
EUR/USD
The Euro failed to sustain gains on yesterday’s rally through key 1.3200 barrier, as the price reversed lower after posting fresh high at 1.3240. Gains were capped by 50% retracement of larger 1.3710/1.2744 descend, with reversal below 1.3200 handle, softening near-term structure. The pullback found temporary support at 1.3150, 50% of 1.3053/1.3241 upleg and above trendline support / 61.8% / 20 day EMA at 1.3125. While above the latter, scope exists for fresh attempt at 1.3200, initial resistance and extension higher, as 4h structure is positive and favors further bulls, as a part of larger recovery from 1.2950. Conversely, loss of 1.3125 and psychological 1.3100, also 50% of 1.2950/1.3241, would signal top at 1.3241 and bring bears back to play.
Res: 1.3184, 1.3200, 1.3222, 1.3241
Sup: 1.3145, 1.3125, 1.3115, 1.3100
GBP/USD
Cable consolidates yesterday’s rally that dented initial target at 1.5605, 50% retracement of 1.6380/1.4830, with pullback being contained by 55 day EMA at 1.5540, for now. Positive structure on lower timeframes keeps the upside in focus, as clearance of 1.5605 is seen as a trigger for fresh extension of recovery rally from 1.4830. Any deeper pullbacks should be held above 1.5400 zone, to avert downside risk.
Res: 1.5570, 1.5605, 1.5650, 1.5700
Sup: 1.5540, 1.5500, 1.5465, 1.5417
USD/JPY
The pair holds above freshly established base at 97.00, but downside pressure persists, as recovery attempts stay capped under initial 98.00 barrier and lower timeframes indicators hold in the negative territory. With descending 55 day EMA maintaining slide, immediate focus lays at 97.00, loss of which to resume larger downtrend from levels just under 100.00 barrier and expose breakpoint at 96.70, Fib 76.4% of 95.80/99.87 ascend / 12 Mar previous high. Alternatively, confirmation of near-term base at 97.00, requires clearance of 55 day EMA at 97.45 and more significant 98.00/25 resistance zone, 30/29 Apr highs / 50% retracement of 99.87/97.00 downleg.
Res: 97.45, 97.65, 98.00, 98.25
Sup: 97.00, 96.70, 96.34, 96.00
AUD/USD
Aussie dollar lost ground after upside rejection just under key 1.0400 barrier, as subsequent sharp reversal fully retraced 1.0220/1.0383, near-term recovery rally. With bears now full in play, penetration through psychological 1.0200 support, is expected to open way towards 1.0114, 04 Mar low, multi-month range floor and near 50% of med-term 0.9579/1.0623 ascend. Previous higher base at 1.0260, now offers initial resistance, with any further extension higher, seen limited under 1.0300 for now.
Res: 1.0260, 1.0300, 1.0320, 1.0338
Sup: 1.0200, 1.0180, 1.0114, 1.0100
EUR/USD
The Euro holds positive near-term tone after yesterday’s rally above hourly triangle resistance that peaked at 1.3192. Corrective easing has so far been contained by 20 day EMA at 1.3150 zone, near Fib 38.2% of 1.3070/1.3192 upleg. Indicators on 1 and 4h charts are in the positive territory that keep the upper boundary of near-term range at 1.3241 in focus, with initial barrier standing at 1.3200. On the downside, below 1.3150, next solid support lays at 1.3030, 50% retracement / previous high of 07 May and reinforced by 55 day EMA. Potential break here to weaken near-term structure
Res: 1.3192, 1.3200, 1.3217, 1.3241
Sup: 1.3150, 1.3130, 1.3100, 1.3085
GBP/USD
Cable remains steady, following yesterday’s test of levels near 1.5600 tops and subsequent pullback that found support at 1.5530, Fib 38.2% of 1.5445/1.5590 rally. Hourly indicators are reversing higher and holding above the midlines, with bullish 20/55 EMA’s crossover at 1.5520, also 50% retracement, underpinning the action. On the other side, 4h indicators are struggling at their midlines that would keep the downside risk in play, as long as 1.5600 barrier stays intact. Break here to resume short-term rally from 1.4830 and open next target at 1.5630.
Res: 1.5590, 1.5605, 1.5630, 1.5650
Sup: 1.5530, 1.5518, 1.5500, 1.5470
USD/JPY
The pair remains in descending mode, following upside rejection at 99.44 on Monday and series of lower tops, confirming near-term downtrend that reached the lowest so far at 98.57, low of yesterday. While 99.00 barrier caps, the downside risk will persist, as hourly studies are negative and 4h indicators running out of steam. Break below 98.50, Fib 38.2% of 97.00/99.44 upleg and 55 day EMA, is required to confirm reversal and signal lower top at 99.44. Conversely, lift above 99.00 would avert immediate downside risk, however clearance of 99.34/44 highs is required to shift focus towards initial target and psychological barrier at 100.00.
Res: 99.00, 99.14, 99.34, 99.44
Sup: 98.57, 98.50, 98.20, 98.00
AUD/USD
The pair got boosted by fundamentals and rallied from the near-term base at 1.0150 zone, with break above strong 1.0200/20 barriers reducing bear pressure, as gains reached 1.0250, Fib 61.8% of 1.0321/1.0154 downleg. With hourly studies turning bullish, situation on 4h chart is still fragile, as indicators hold in the negative territory. Break above trendline resistance at 1.0290 and psychological 1.0300 barrier would provide relief and avert scenario of slide below 1.0150 and test of multi-month range floor at 1.0114, 04 Mar low.
Res: 1.0257, 1.0290, 1.0300, 1.0321
Sup: 1.0220, 1.0200, 1.0180, 1.0154
EUR/USD
The Euro bounced off yesterday’s fresh low at 1.2795 and regained psychological 1.2900 barrier, sidelining immediate downside risk. This would open way for stronger corrective action, as near-term structure turned positive, with clearance of 1.2911, Fib 50% of 1.3027/1.2795 descend, seen as confirmation. Fresh extension higher would face 1.2930/50 as initial barriers, with key near-term resistance and breakpoint, standing at 1.3000/25 zone. As the price action stabilized within 1.2900/1.2860 range, the latter acts as initial support, along with 1.2850, 50% of 1.2795/1.2903 upleg, where corrective dips should be ideally contained.
Res: 1.2900, 1.2911, 1.2928, 1.2950
Sup: 1.2860, 1.2850, 1.2818, 1.2795
GBP/USD
Recovery rally from 1.5157, last Friday’s low, accelerated after breaking above 1.5200 barrier and extended to 1.5280 so far, near Fib 76.4% of 1.5321/1.5157 fall. Hourly studies are positive, however, the freshly established bulls will remain fragile, as long as 1.5300, 55 day EMA and key near-term barrier at 1.5321, 16 May high / Fib 38.2% of 1.5586/1.5157, stay intact. Break here, however, to confirm near-term base and allow for extension of recovery phase that would eye next targets at 1.5372, 50% retracement and 1.5400, psychological barrier. To keep bulls in play, corrective dips should be contained at 1.5200 support zone.
Res: 1.5262, 1.5280, 1.5300, 1.5330
Sup: 1.5220, 1.5200, 1.5180, 1.5157
USD/JPY
The pair trades in a near-term corrective mode, as yesterday’s weakness off fresh high at 103.29, extended to important 102.00 zone, where temporary support has been found. Quick recovery shows regain of momentum, as hourly indicators are heading higher, however, break above 102.75/103.00, previous high / round figure resistance, is required to signal an end of corrective phase and shift focus higher. Current movements could be described as consolidative, while 102.00 and 101.80, 4h range floor, hold the downside, as daily chart bulls remain firmly in play.
Res: 102.75, 102.93, 103.12, 103.29
Sup: 102.00, 101.80, 101.25, 101.00
AUD/USD
The pair trades in a near-term recovery mode, as fresh strength that emerged from 0.9709 low, regained psychological 0.9800 barrier and so far retraced over 61.8% of 0.9912/0.9709 downleg. Hourly studies are positive and favor further upside, with regain of important 0.9920 resistance zone, 15 May high / Fib 38.2% of 1.0253/0.9709 / 55 day EMA, required to confirm near-term base and allow for stronger correction. From the other side, 4h indicators, emerging out of oversold zone and overextended daily conditions, are seen supportive for further recovery. Initial support lays at 0.9750 and should holds dips, to keep fresh bulls afloat.
Res: 0.9840, 0.9881, 0.9915, 0.9939
Sup: 0.9800, 0.9750, 0.9720, 0.9709
EUR/USD
The Euro maintains positive near-term tone and holds above 1.2900 support, following overnight’s extension to 1.2937, where rally was capped by 55 day EMA. The level lays just ahead of 1.2950, previous range floor and Fib 38.2% of 1.3193/1.2795 descend, break of which to confirm near-term base and open more significant barriers at 1.3000, 50% retracement and 1.3027, 14 May high. Corrective actions should be ideally contained at 1.2880/70 zone, Fib 38.2% / 50% of the near-term ascend from 1.2795 and hourly 55 day EMA, to keep bullish structure intact.
Res: 1.2937, 1.2950, 1.2972, 1.3000
Sup: 1.2900, 1.2883, 1.2865, 1.2840
GBP/USD
Cable slumped to the fresh lows near 1.5100 yesterday, after upside rejection at 1.5280, where lower top was left. Bears are back in play, as the pair ended corrective action and near-term focus lays at psychological 1.5100 support, blow which, fresh resumption of the pullback from 1.5600 area, would look for test of 1.5020/00 zone. Quick corrective rally stays so far capped under important 1.5200 resistance that keeps the downside pressured, with near-term indicators holding in the negative territory.
Res: 1.5188, 1.5200, 1.5220, 1.5261
Sup: 1.5137, 1.5110, 1.5100, 1.5020
USD/JPY
The pair holds neutral near-term tone and moves in a directionless mode, with 102.24/87 marking near-term range limits. As the pullback from fresh high at 103.29, has been contained at 102.00, the latter offers solid support for fresh attempt higher. Studies of 4h chart remain positive, while overall bullish tone keeps the upside favored. Clearance of 103.29 to resume the broader uptrend that could travel up to 105.00 barrier. Only loss of 102.00 and 101.80, near-term range floor, would delay and allow for stronger correction.
Res: 102.87, 102.93, 103.29, 103.50
Sup: 102.24, 102.00, 101.80, 101.25
AUD/USD
Aussie dollar has regained some ground after finding temporary support at 0.9709, with subsequent rally being limited at 0.9840 for now. Repeated failures at 0.9840, keep the upside attempts limited, with near-term price action moving in a sideways mode, within 0.9750/0.9840 range. Hourly studies are neutral, while negative tone prevails on 4h chart that sees the current corrective action limited. Potential break above 0.9840, would look for test of strong 0.9900 zone, to signal further recovery, while more likely scenario, sees loss of 0.9750 platform and return to initial support at 0.9700.
Res: 0.9840, 0.9881, 0.9915, 0.9939
Sup: 0.9762, 0.9750, 0.9720, 0.9709