Daily AI Scalps – Apr 23, 2025 | (+63 pips Apr 22 Recap) & Today’s PMI Playbook
23 April 2025, 15:54
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Daily AI Scalps – 2025-04-22 | USD/JPY +63 pips & Today’s PMI Playbook
Good morning, traders! Our AI booked +63 pips (4 wins / 0 losses) from a sequence of USD/JPY shorts around the US LEI release. The tables below give a detailed breakdown and outline today’s high-impact indicator setups.
Daily Snapshot (Apr 22)
- Net Pips: +63 pips (4 W / 0 L)
- Most-Traded Pair: USD/JPY — short bias
- Next Catalyst: Euro Area CCI 🇪🇺 (23:00 JST)
Cumulative Performance (since 2025-01-01)
| ★ Rank | Wins / Losses | Win Rate | Net Pips |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 1 / 0 | 100 % | +30 |
| ★★★★☆ | 31 / 0 | 100 % | +530 |
| ★★★☆☆ | 26 / 3 | 90 % | +350 |
| ★★☆☆☆ | 15 / 8 | 65 % | +38 |
| ★☆☆☆☆ | 1 / 3 | 25 % | -3 |
Previous-Day Trade Results
| Pair | Indicator | Time (JST) | Plan | Pips | W / L | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | US LEI | 21:30 | Short on weak data | +18 | Win | ★★★☆☆ |
| USD/JPY | JPN Flash Mfg PMI | 09:30 | Short on upside surprise | +12 | Win | ★★☆☆☆ |
| USD/JPY | JPN Flash Services PMI | 09:45 | Short bias | +8 | Win | ★★☆☆☆ |
| USD/JPY | BoJ Core CPI YoY | 08:50 | Short on CPI miss | +25 | Win | ★★★☆☆ |
Key Economic Indicators & Forecasts
| Today's Economic Indicators (Date/Time) | Target Currency Pairs (2 pairs) | Forecast & Strategy | Confidence (★ Rating) | Expected Move (pips) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 23 (Wednesday) 8:30 AM ET US Housing Starts & Building Permits (March) | USD/JPY | Permits are seen edging higher; buy (Long USD/JPY) 5 minutes before the release to capture any dollar-positive surprise, then exit 5 seconds after. | ★★★☆☆ | 15 |
| April 23 (Wednesday) 9:45 AM ET US S&P Global PMI Flash (April) | USD/JPY | Services PMI may slip; sell (Short USD/JPY) 5 minutes before the data to position for a softer-services shock, close 5 seconds after the headlines. | ★★★☆☆ | 25 |
| April 23 (Wednesday) 10:00 AM ET US New Home Sales (March) | USD/JPY | Sales expected to stay firm; buy (Long USD/JPY) 5 minutes ahead, exit 5 seconds post-release to catch a potential dollar bid. | ★★★★☆ | 25 |
| April 23 (Wednesday) 10:30 AM ET EIA Crude Oil Inventories (w/e 18 Apr) | USD/CAD | Risk of inventory draw; sell (Short USD/CAD) 5 minutes before to ride a CAD pop on tighter supplies, flatten 5 seconds after. | ★★★☆☆ | 20 |
| April 23 (Wednesday) 12:30 PM ET BoE Governor Bailey Speech | GBP/USD | Market expects dovish tones; sell (Short GBP/USD) 5 minutes before the speech, exit as soon as key remarks hit the wires. | ★★☆☆☆ | 35 |
| April 23 (Wednesday) 9:30 PM ET RBA Quarterly Economic Bulletin | AUD/USD | No trade – bulletin rarely moves price on a 5-second horizon; stand aside. | ★☆☆☆☆ | 10 |
| April 24 (Thursday) 4:00 AM ET Germany IFO Business Climate (April) | EUR/USD | Sentiment likely to soften; sell (Short EUR/USD) 5 minutes pre-release, cover 5 seconds after to capture downside momentum. | ★★★★☆ | 25 |
| April 23 (Wednesday) 6:50 AM ET Japan Corporate Services Price Index (March) | USD/JPY | No trade – typical reaction is sub-5 pips and not suitable for ultra-short scalps. | ★☆☆☆☆ | 5 |
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