From Tokyo with Tech: Daily AI Scalping Signals for Profitable Trades (Tuesday, April 22, 2025)
📊Today Forex Outlook – Updated for “Tuesday, April 22, 2025💹”
Hello traders around the world, greetings from Tokyo—AI Trader KYO here.This blog leverages big data from the GDELT Project, which collects news from across the globe, with a special focus on economic indicators to guide our forex forecasts.
Bottom line first: four straight wins on Monday’s data‑driven shorts in USD/JPY delivered +63 pips,lifting the ★★★☆☆ bucket to 24‑3 (89 %) and dragging the ★★☆☆☆ bucket back into positive territory.
Overall, Monday’s macro backdrop aligned with our short‑bias playbook and validated the pre‑release entry model.
Trade Results by Indicator
- US Leading Economic Index (Mar) – USD/JPY
• Actual: ‑0.7 % (vs ‑0.5 % forecast)
• USD/JPY Movement: ≈‑18 pips drop in the first minute after release
• Strategy: Short USD/JPY on weaker data
• Result: Win – ★★★☆☆ (+18 pips) - Japan Flash Manufacturing PMI (Apr) – USD/JPY
• Actual: 48.7 (vs 48.4 forecast)
• USD/JPY Movement: ≈‑12 pips on stronger‑than‑expected headline
• Strategy: Short USD/JPY on upside surprise
• Result: Win – ★★☆☆☆ (+12 pips) - Japan Flash Services PMI (Apr) – USD/JPY
• Actual: 50.0 (vs 49.5 forecast)
• USD/JPY Movement: ≈‑8 pips decline on modest beat
• Strategy: Short USD/JPY expecting yen pop
• Result: Win – ★★☆☆☆ (+8 pips) - BoJ Core CPI YoY (Mar) – USD/JPY
• Actual: 2.2 % (vs 2.4 % forecast)
• USD/JPY Movement: ≈‑25 pips as market priced in further tightening despite miss
• Strategy: Short USD/JPY if CPI beats – but yen still rallied on policy outlook
• Result: Win – ★★★☆☆ (+25 pips)
| Forecast Accuracy | Wins/Losses | Win Rate | Total Pips |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 1 wins / 0 losses | 100% | +30 pips |
| ★★★★☆ | 31 wins / 0 losses | 100% | +530 pips |
| ★★★☆☆ | 24 wins / 3 losses | 89% | +307 pips |
| ★★☆☆☆ | 13 wins / 8 losses | 62% | +18 pips |
| ★☆☆☆☆ | 1 wins / 3 losses | 25% | -3 pips |
Key Economic Indicators & Forecasts
| Today's Economic Indicators (Date/Time) | Target Currency Pairs (2 pairs) | Forecast & Strategy | Confidence (★ Rating) | Expected Move (pips) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 22 (Tuesday) 10:00 AM ET Euro Area Consumer Confidence (Apr Flash) | EUR/USD | Sentiment is expected to soften further. Consider shorting (Sell EUR/USD) 5 minutes before the release, then exit 5 seconds after to capture a potential euro dip. | ★★☆☆☆ | 10 |
| April 22 (Tuesday) 10:00 AM ET US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr) | USD/JPY | No trade recommended — this regional index usually triggers only minimal volatility. | ★☆☆☆☆ | 5 |
| April 22 (Tuesday) 7:00 PM ET Australia S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (Apr Flash) | AUD/USD | Both PMIs are projected to stay above 50. Consider buying (Long AUD/USD) 5 minutes before the release, then close 5 seconds after if the data beat forecasts. | ★★☆☆☆ | 10 |
| April 22 (Tuesday) 8:30 PM ET Japan Jibun Bank Manufacturing & Services PMI (Apr Flash) | USD/JPY | No trade suggested — historical impact is typically negligible. | ★☆☆☆☆ | 5 |
| April 23 (Wednesday) 3:15 AM ET France HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Apr Flash) | EUR/USD | No clear edge ahead of Germany’s release; stand aside unless a surprise headline leaks. | ★★☆☆☆ | 8 |
| April 23 (Wednesday) 3:30 AM ET Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Apr Flash) | EUR/USD | Further improvement is expected. Consider buying (Long EUR/USD) 5 minutes before the release, then exit 5 seconds after to catch a bullish spike. | ★★★★☆ | 20 |
| April 23 (Wednesday) 4:00 AM ET Euro Area HCOB Composite PMI (Apr Flash) | EUR/USD | Momentum may persist if German data were strong. Consider buying (Long EUR/USD) 5 minutes prior to the headline. | ★★★☆☆ | 12 |
| April 23 (Wednesday) 4:30 AM ET UK S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (Apr Flash) | GBP/USD | Services are likely to extend expansion. Consider buying (Long GBP/USD) 5 minutes before the release, then close 5 seconds after a positive surprise. | ★★★★☆ | 25 |
Additional Notes
• The “Forecast & Strategy” column provides a simplified directional view (e.g., “Long (Buy)” or “Short (Sell)”) based on prior data and market consensus.
• The star rating is a rough indicator of potential market impact and does not guarantee price movement.
• Always consider spreads, volatility, and unexpected news events. Trade responsibly at your own risk.
Thank you for reading and good luck with your trades! 
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