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USD/CAD Further Pullbacks Expected – Westpac Strategists at Westpac believe the pair is headed towards lower levels in the next months. Key Quotes “Weakness in USD/CAD has further to go, a potentially higher March CPI next week thanks to stronger energy prices may well be a catalyst”...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 13:35
JPY: Trade Surplus Widens to JPY276.5bn in March – Deutsche Bank Research Team at Deutsche Bank, notes that in nominal terms Japanese exports fell 6.8% yoy and imports fell 14.9% yoy. Key Quotes “In volume terms exports fell 1.0% yoy (versus 0.2% yoy in February) whilst import volumes rose 5...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 13:33
EUR: Confined in a Range Ahead of ECB - BBH Research Team at TDS, notes that the euro reached $1.1385 yesterday, a four-day high, but euro has hardly backed off and has been confined to about a quarter cent range today. Key Quotes “The market may be cautious ahead of tomorrow's ECB meeting...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 13:32
EUR/USD Rallies Could Struggle Around 1.1342/77 – Commerzbank In opinion of Axel Rudolph, Senior Technical Analyst at Commerzbank, occasional bullish attempts in the pair could fade in the 1.1342/77 band. Key Quotes “EUR/USD recently charted a minor new high of 1...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 13:30
CAD: Wholesale Trade Sales to Give a Glimpse into Activity Data - TDS Research Team at TDS, suggests that the Canada’s wholesale trade sales will give us a second glimpse into activity data for February. Key Quotes “TD expects nominal wholesale sales to decline -0...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 13:28
FxWirePro: FTSE100 Faces Strong Resistance at 200 WMA, Good to Sell on Rallies Major resistance- 6430 (200 W MA) Major support – 6296 (55 W EMA) The index has made a high of 6471 yesterday and started to decline from that level . It is currently trading around 6375...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 13:21
EU Vote is the Biggest Risk to UK Financial Stability - Investec Research Team at Investec, notes that yesterday Bank of England Governor Mark Carney warned if Britain leaves the European Union, the City of London should expect its preeminent role in the global financial system to fade...
Currency
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 13:18
With a lot going on in the Vantage FX office this morning, just a quick note featuring a few charts and carries on from the commodities trading theme we’ve been following recently in the Forex News Centre...
Currency
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Francis Dogbe, 20 April 2016, 13:03
JPY Little Changed as Kuroda Leaves Open the Scope More Easing - MUFG Derek Halpenny, European Head of GMR at MUFG, notes that following his interview in the Wall Street Journal where he stated that a sustained period of yen strength could impact inflation and hence prompt monetary action, Govern...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 12:54
GBP/USD Neglects Weak UK Jobs Data While investors remain busy tracking oil prices, GBP/USD pair recovers from day's low of 1.4345 to 1.4400, neglecting disappointing UK jobs data and even as Brexit referendum remains high on agenda. GBP/USD remains anchored below 1...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 12:52
Oil Slips as Kuwait Strike Ends - Investec Research Team at Investec, notes that overnight, Kuwaiti oil and gas workers ended a three-day strike that had temporarily halved the OPEC member's crude production...
Crude Oil
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 12:50
EUR/GBP Upside Capped by Hourly 50-SMA, Near 0.7900 The upbeat momentum seen in the EUR/GBP cross in the Asian session lost steam at hourly 50-SMA located at 0.7915 post-European open, and the prices now waver around 0.79 handle...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 12:48
GBP: Some Respite as ‘Leave’ Provides a Scenario - MUFG Derek Halpenny, European Head of GMR at MUFG, suggests that the pound has had some respite of late with the BOE broad trade-weighted index 1.5% higher than the low hit on 8th April...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 12:46
FxWirePro: EUR/GBP Extends Declines Post UK Labour Market and Household Confidence Data, Hits Session Lows at 0.7892 Number of people in UK claiming unemployment benefits increased by 6,700 in March, the first rise since August 2015. Unemployment rate held steady at 5...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 12:44
UK: Disappointing News on Wages and Employment - ING James Smith, Economist at ING, suggests that the combination of sub-consensus wage and employment growth was not encouraging, and may suggest that uncertainty surrounding the forthcoming referendum is starting to show up in the data...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 12:41
EUR/USD Printing Highs Near 1.1380 The buying interest is now picking up pace around the shared currency, lifting EUR/USD to daily peaks near 1.1380...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 12:39
German Vice-Chancellor: It's wrong to Blame ECB for Root Cause of Eurozone Problems German vice-chancellor and economy minister Sigmar Gabriel was on the wires via Reuters, defending ECB Chief Draghi’s and team...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 20 April 2016, 12:37
Crude Oil (WTI) (K6) Intraday: rebound in sight. Prev Top Pivot: 39.50 Most Likely Scenario: long positions above 39.50 with targets @ 40.76 & 41.54 in extension. Alternative scenario: below 39.50 look for further downside with 38.44 & 37.60 as targets...
Crude Oil
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Mohammed Abdulwadud Soubra, 20 April 2016, 12:37
Technical Analysis of USD/CAD for April 20, 2016 General overview for 20/04/2016: The wave (c) bottom might be in place, however the alternative count is still indicating a possible wave alt: iv in progress right now. The bulls would have to break out above the level of 1...
Technical Analysis of USDX for April 20, 2016 The Dollar index made the deep correction I've been expecting and we should now see a bullish reversal. For this to be confirmed, we first need a break above 94.80 and then above 95.20...