The Euro-dollar is back to two-month high despite the fact that the Fed will almost certainly raise rates in December. The pair is now trading above 1.19 dollar for one single euro coin. The ongoing political crisis in Germany did not have any impact yet on the single currency...

The South African rand took a hit on Friday following the downgrade of the country’s credit rating. Standard & Poor’s lowered further the long-term foreign currency sovereign rating into “junk” territory, to “BB” from “BB+”...

China's Central Economic Work Conference is a few weeks away. The meeting will set out economic policy aims. This matters a lot. China is changing, and the world around China is changing. China's debt growth is likely to be a focus at the conference...

A wave of inflation, GDP and PMI releases are scheduled for the week ahead. CIO expects a benign picture that promotes growth-related currencies like the euro, the CAD and the SEK. Tuesday, 28. November DEU GfK Consumer Sentiment (December; prior: 10.7) JAP Retail Sales YY (October; prior: 2.2...

Financial markets always tend to closely monitor German’s economic data not only because the country is always acting as the locomotive of the European economy but also because the current political uncertainties currently occurring in Germany...

Investors have been waiting for months for a USD rally. Expectations have kept building up as investors expected that the combination of tighter monetary policy, sustained gains in the jobs market and a tax reform would trigger a dollar rally. Unfortunately, it didn’t unfold as expected...

According to the Fed meeting minutes released yesterday, interest rates will be raised in the “near term”. Markets’ expectations regarding a rate hike have not changed much and are still standing above 90%. The fed was clearly not in a hurry to send a very hawkish signal...

It is going to be a quiet day in the stock market day as US financial markets are closed in observance of the Thanksgiving Day holiday. In addition, markets will close earlier on Friday...

The precious metal is pushing higher. Later last week, Gold challenged $1300 before bouncing lower. The momentum is largely bullish, which underpins global uncertainties. In particular geopolitical uncertainties are strong for the future...

Looks like stock Christmas rally has already begun (although some would argue it never stopped). The World MSCI has now hit the highest level since March. While VIX index has declined to near historical lows (EURUSD 1 month volatility and US treasury yields are also falling last week’s spike...

There is major political crisis that is happening now in Germany. Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor is unable to build a majority within the Bundestag. The coalition that Merkel was trying to build with the liberals and the ecologists has failed...

The Australian dollar extended losses on Tuesday morning with AUD/USD testing once again the 0.7530 support area. The publication of the November RBA minutes showed, as expected, that the central bank maintained its dovish tone...

The single currency tumbled at market opening on Monday amid rising political tensions in Germany. The euro fell 0.60% against the US dollar and slid as low as 1...

Next week’s calendar brims with sentiment data releases. The Conference Board and the University of Michigan in the US, the IFO Business Climate indicator in Germany and, of course, preliminary PMI releases worldwide will shed light on the prospects of major economies...

Recent changes in Saudi Arabia have not caused big market moves. Even so, Saudi politics could impact the rest of the world in one of three ways, explains Global Chief Economist Paul Donovan. Saudi Arabia can have a global impact through the oil market...

I remain bearish on commodities: improving demand will not yet cover a supply glut. Oil is in a loop where higher prices trigger higher production that sends prices swiftly lower. CAD economic outlook remains highly influenced by oil prices – as they decline, USD/CAD has room to appreciate...

Rising growth, increasing inflation and lower unemployment are building a groundswell for the European Central Bank to tighten the euro. Last month the ECB said it will cut quantitative easing from €60 billion per month to €30 billion, beginning in January, and wind down to nil by September 2018...

The House of Representatives passed a bill for the largest overhaul of the US tax system in 31 years. The text provides for reducing the corporate tax to its lowest level since 1939 and to reduce the personal tax in 2018...

$8000 before end of the week? (By Yann Quelenn) • Bitcoin is back to recent its highest levels after a profit-taking period. The technical structure shows a tremendous positive short-term...

UK inflation has come in at a strong 3% per annum, which is weighing on the pound, because an interest rate hike in 2018 looks likely. The pound is trading sideways at 1.30-1.32 USD. Why is the Bank of England so cautious about raising rates...