With a lot going on in the Vantage FX office this morning, just a quick note featuring a few charts and carries on from the commodities trading theme we’ve been following recently in the Forex News Centre...
BOJ vs ECB: Higher Hopes for BoJ Movements will Support EURJPY - BNPP Research Team at BNP Paribas, suggests that the divergent performance of the EUR and JPY likely reflects stretched long positioning in the latter and possibly greater anticipation that next week’s BOJ meeting will bring new eas...
Prices rose 3.8% in the latest Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction after a 2.1% gain previously. Although markets had been expecting prices to advance at the latest auction, the gain triggered a further advance for the New Zealand currency ahead of a key interest rate decision next week...
Latin American: Monetary Tightening Nearing the End of the Cycle - BBH According to analysts from Brown Brother Harriman, the tightening cycle of monetary policy in Latin America is nearing the end...
GBP: Gloomy Outlook if the UK were to Leave the EU - Investec Research Team at Investec, notes that the UK Chancellor George Osborne yesterday presented a gloomy outlook if the UK were to leave the EU...
US Warns Japan Not to Devalue the Yen – MUFG Lee Hardman, Currency Analyst at MUFG, notes that the yen has derived support as well from reports over the weekend that the US has warned Japan not to devalue following meetings late last week in Washington...
RBNZ Cycle Low for the OCR will be 1.88% - Westpac Imre Speizer, Senior Market Strategist at Westpac, suggests that the NZ market pricing for the RBNZ’s OCR low has stabilised, now implying the cycle low for the OCR will be 1.88% (from 1.82% last week...
SDR Does Not Stand for “Secret Dollar Replacement” - BBH Research Team at BBH, notes that at the IMF/World Bank meetings last week, Chinese officials are again pushing for greater use of the IMF's unit of account, Special Drawing Rights (SDR...
Leveraged Funds Continue to Reduce Long USD Exposure - ANZ ANZ provides its take on the futures positioning data for the week ending 12 April 2016, noting that leveraged funds continue to reduce their net long USD exposure...
G20: No Currency Accord to Weaken the US Dollar - MUFG Derek Halpenny, European Head of GMR at MUFG, suggests that the gathering of finance ministers and central bankers in Washington over the weekend will take place...
Upward Revisions in Canada Support the CAD - UBS The Bank of Canada left the overnight policy rate unchanged at its April meeting, in line with consensus expectations...
BoE Recognized Economy Lost Momentum - BBH According to analysts from Brown Brother Harriman (BBH), the Bank of England (BoE), recognized today that the economy has lost some momentum and that uncertainty about the Brexit referendum may already by taking an economic toll...
AUD/USD Reaches Fresh 2016 Highs The Australian dollar stretched to fresh 2016 highs at the beginning of the New York session as the greenback weakened slightly following US CPI soft figures. AUD/USD reached its highest level since June 2015 at 0...
EUR/USD Volatile Around 1.1270, Fedspeak Eyed The single currency has faded the post-CPI spike to the boundaries of the 1.1300 handle, taking EUR/USD to the area of 1.1280/75...
GBP/USD Again Fails to Cut Through Hourly 200-MA American dollar suffered due to a weak rebound in CPI, pushing the GBP/USD pair back to hourly 200-MA, which if failed to take out due to a sharp drop in weekly jobless claims. Trades around 1.4160 An attempt to take out hourly 200-MA level of 1...
US Dollar Deflates Further post-CPI The upside momentum in the US Dollar – tracked by the US Dollar Index - has now lost some vigour, returning to the 94.85/80 band. US Dollar giving away gains on US data After hitting fresh multi-day highs above the 95...
USD/JPY Keeps 109.00 on US CPI USD/JPY manages well to keep the trade above the 109.00 handle today following the softer-than-expected US inflation figures during March...
USD/JPY Keeps its Bearish Stance – UOB USD/JPY’s perspective remains on the bearish side, according to the research team at UOB Group. Key Quotes “The anticipated USD strength exceeded our expectation by easily taking out the strong 109.15/20 resistance...