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Sherif Hasan
Published post UK Manufacturing PMI jumps to 52.1 – GBP/USD supported
Not all is bad in the UK: manufacturing PMI has jumped to 52.1 points, showing growth in this beleaguered sector. The survey was made before the Brexit vote and therefore may be somewhat outdated...
Sherif Hasan
Published post EURUSD , GBPUSD , USDJPY and XAUUSD TA – July 1 2016
EURUSD Daily Analysis EURUSD (1.109): EURUSD formed an outside bar on the daily session yesterday after QE and rate cut comments from the BoE Governor, Carney. The price action from the past three days shows a kind of consolidation taking place near the minor resistance level at 1...
Sherif Hasan
Published post AUD, NZD: A Sell Vs Safe-Haven? Where To Target?
The Australian and New Zealand dollar both weathered the Brexit quite well, but this may not be the end...
Sherif Hasan
Published post GBP Still Vulnerable To Further Declines And EUR Won’t Be Immune To That – ANZ
GBP/USD resumed its falls on Carney’s speech but there may be more to come, with sterling not falling alone: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: Despite the sharp fall in GBP so far, we still see it as vulnerable to further declines...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Carney Crash – GBP/USD falls to support on BOE’s easing promise
Carny made a special appearance and offers easing during the summer as a reaction to Brexit. He makes a heavy hint that they will take a decision in August. This speech was scheduled only yesterday and is seen as part of the damage control. GBP//USD slips to 1.3330. Update: it already slips to 1...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Canadian GDP rises 0.1% m/m as expected
No surprises with Canada’s GDP: a rise of 0.1% month over month. Producer prices in Canada jumped by 1.1% m/m, much more than 0.4% predicted but remained negative at -1.1% y/y. USD/CAD remains stable. The Canadian economy suffered from the fall in oil prices but the economy is quite diverse...
Sherif Hasan
Published post AUD: To Underperform Vs USD, JPY, CHF; Fade Data-Driven Rallies – ANZ
The Australian dollar is facing elections and a rate decision in the next few days. What’s next? ANZ has a bearish outlook: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: Brexit is now a reality. The damage is done and we now have to navigate through an environment of heightened uncertainty...
Sherif Hasan
Published post UK's Osborne says good-bye to his fiscal target
UK finance minister speaking on Sky ahead of a key speech and reported by BBC 1 July UK will no longer hit surplus in public finances by 2019/20 We never were George. Complete pie in the sky. UK must be realistic First time for everything I guess eh George...
Sherif Hasan
Published post ECB's Praet says they can make decisions very quickly when needed
ECB chief economist over the wires 1 July ECB can use balance sheet capacity during crises lower growth prospects are a very serious concern health of the banking sector needs key attention I thought CBs have been crowing from the rooftops about how much better the banks are now nicely shored up...
Sherif Hasan
Published post ECB's Nowotny says they will give timely signal on whether QE will be extended
ECB board member out on the wires 1 July We can rule out further action next time round in theory. But hey, who trusts a central banker eh? too early for detailed view on Brexit re possible changes in ECB bond purchasing rules EURUSD steady around 1.1100 EURGBP 0.8348 EURJPY 113.92...
Sherif Hasan
Published post ECB not considering abandoning capital key in QE buys
Our good friends at Livesquawk reporting an article doing the rounds via Reuters 1 July "The European Central Bank is not currently considering buying government debt out of proportion to Eurozone countries' shareholding in the bank and the hurdle for abandoning this capital key is high, sources...
Sherif Hasan
Published post UK Markit mftg June PMI 52.1 vs 50.1 exp
UK Markit mftg June PMI report 50.4 prev revised up from 50.1 GBP rallies on the better data but economy not mftg dependent so impact will be muted. Any good news though re UK may help to calm markets/help GBP right now. Markit say 99% of data collected prior to Brexit...
Sherif Hasan
Added poll Do you think the post-referendum recovery in the financial markets is sustainable?
  • 60% (21)
  • 6% (2)
  • 34% (12)
Total voters: 35
Sherif Hasan
Published post Brexit-Related Updates That You Need to Know About
Hello there, forex friends! If you haven’t been paying attention to Brexit-related events lately, then here are some of the more important things that you need to know about...
Sherif Hasan
Published post PBOC denies intervention reports
Bloomberg with the headline 1 July 2016 Peoples Bank of China have emailed Bloomberg to say their report of intervention yesterday was untrue Yesterday the PBOC were also somewhat scathing about the media generally and in the wake of talk of them wanting USDCNH up to 6.80 by year end...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Australia commodity index June yy -9.9% vs -9.1% prev
Australia June commodity index report 1 July 2016 prev revised up from -10.0% commodity index AUD 89.7 VS 91.1 prev revised up from 90.3 Commodity Prices measures the change in the selling price of exported commodities. The commodity sector accounts for over half of Australia's export income...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Pound under pressure again as European trading gets underway
The soggy pound is on the back foot again in early trading 1 July Carney's cut/easing comments are still reverberating but given the fact that he and others on the MPC have highlighted the downside risk/ potential need for potential cuts/easing over the past year, albeit saying next moves were ex...
Sherif Hasan
Published post BOJ May core CPI ex- energy, fresh foods, yy +0.8% as expected
BOJ May core CPI ex- energy, fresh foods 1 July 2016 +0.9% prev The Bank of Japan's own calculation.Measures the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy. The BOJ usually pays more attention to the core inflation data...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Data coming up in this session 1 July
Your economic data/event calendar for today 1 July 2016 Greetings everyone and welcome to a new month. We've had a lively 24 hours as anticipated, with the pound rightly soggy still, and now we must look ahead and wade our way through the ever increasing mess...