Rough Volatility: Building a Roughness Index Feature from the RFSV Model for ML Trade Filtering
This article builds a usable roughness index from rough volatility theory by fitting local H via a structure-function regression on blocked returns, all in native MQL5. We combine it with vol-of-vol features, train a gradient-boosted classifier in Python, export to ONNX, and call it from an EA. You will be able to compute H on every bar and use the model as a regime-aware entry filter.
Hidden Semi-Markov Models for Duration-Aware Regime Detection in MQL5
Standard HMMs assume geometric, memoryless state durations, which poorly match real market phases. This piece implements a duration‑explicit Hidden Semi‑Markov Model natively in MQL5, with per‑state sojourn distributions and a residual‑time forward filter. Parameters are fit offline via EM and loaded through a compact JSON manifest. The EA for XAUUSD M5 uses expected remaining duration to gate entries and exits, helping hold trends while avoiding late entries near regime exhaustion.
Creating a Cairo-Inspired Graphics Library for MetaTrader 5 (Part 4): Anti-Aliasing, Coverage and Compositing
The rasterizer now accumulates exact span coverage in X and sampled coverage in Y, and blends it via CairoBlendOver on straight ARGB. CairoAaSamples sets the number of vertical samples at runtime, making the cost nearly linear and localized to edges. Readers get smoother boundaries, correct compositing of translucent shapes, and controllable performance.
Neural Networks in Trading: A Unified View of Space and Time (Extralonger)
The Extralonger framework demonstrates an approach to integrating spatial and temporal factors into a single model, which makes it possible to account for both local patterns and long-term cycles simultaneously. This architecture makes time series forecasting more resilient to market noise and enables data analysis across different time horizons. The article takes a detailed look at how these ideas are put into practice using OpenCL and MQL5.
Artificial Searching Swarm Algorithm (ASSA)
The article discusses the implementation of the Artificial Searching Swarm Algorithm (ASSA) in MQL5 as part of a unified test bench. The article examines three behavioral movement rules, the signal and global bulletin board mechanisms, space normalization, and the stepRatio and Pc parameters. Readers will receive a ready-made foundation for integrating ASSA, as well as an answer to the question of how successful the tactical metaphor proved to be as a basis for the competitiveness of the optimization algorithm.
Building a Neural Loss-Pattern Auditor in MQL5
Aggregate metrics like win rate or profit factor miss sequence-dependent behavior, such as sizing up right after a loss. This MQL5 script trains a small native neural network on closed-deal history to estimate loss probability from behavioral and market-context features. It reports accuracy uplift over a baseline, probability calibration, and permutation feature importance, then combines them into a configurable A-F grade with concise, plain-language recommendations.
Creating a Cairo-Inspired Graphics Library for MetaTrader 5 (Part 3): Edges and the First Filled Shape
Part 3 implements a scanline rasterizer in pure MQL5. We convert path segments into top‑down edges, sweep each row, sort crossings, and apply the non‑zero winding rule to decide which pixels are inside. The result is a single Fill(path, color, buffer, w, h) routine that draws rectangles, stars, glyphs, or 2000‑edge shapes without per‑shape code, ready to integrate into your MQL5 projects.
Random Matrix Theory: Denoising the Correlation Matrix for Multi-Symbol EAs
Sample correlation matrices can look precise yet be mostly noise. This article implements a dependency-free RMT cleaner in MQL5: Jacobi eigendecomposition, Marchenko–Pastur eigenvalue screening, and average-noise reconstruction that preserves the matrix trace and unit diagonal. It explains integration into a basket EA so the denoised matrix improves stability of hedge ratios and weights between rebalances, while keeping the code portable and auditable.
Drawdown Duration Analysis Indicator in MQL5
We build a drawdown analytics dashboard that derives the equity curve from deals and finds every episode's depth and recovery duration. Results appear on a CCanvas timeline spaced by point index with alternating bold annotations, and in a terminal table sorted by duration, allowing you to prioritize risk by time spent underwater rather than depth alone.
Testing for Residual Autocorrelation with the Ljung-Box Portmanteau Test in MQL5
A complete MQL5 implementation of the Ljung-Box test helps verify independence in trading data and fitted-model residuals. It computes sample autocorrelations, the Q statistic over selected horizons, degrees of freedom with user-controlled adjustments, and right-tail p-values via the regularized incomplete gamma function. Run it on returns, deal outcomes, or external residuals and review decisions directly in the Experts tab.
Neural Networks in Trading: The Adaptive Graph Diffusion Model (Conclusion)
In this article, we conclude our work on building the SAGDFN framework using MQL5, summarizing the development process and presenting the results of its practical testing. Let's combine the modules we've already implemented into a single system, highlight the strengths of this approach, point out its weaknesses, and discuss possible ways to improve it.
Building a Dynamic and Customizable Table in MQL5
This article presents a reusable CTable class for building chart-based tables in MQL5. It covers table architecture, creation and destruction of objects, coordinates and sizing, cell properties, horizontal/vertical headers, dynamic row/column edits, object naming, index conversion, and efficient refreshing. You will be able to assemble consistent, aligned on-chart dashboards for market data, indicators, and signals with minimal boilerplate.
Building AI-Powered Trading Systems in MQL5 (Part 11): Optimizing the UI with Frame Throttling and Partial Rendering
We optimize an MQL5 canvas interface to stay responsive under rapid input without changing its appearance. The article adds a direct-buffer canvas for block region copies, caches text widths and glyph coverage, caps repaints at 60 fps (16 ms), and limits drawing to panes and regions that actually changed. As a result, hover, scroll, and popups render smoothly without full-panel redraws.
Practical Modules from Other Languages in MQL5 (Part 07): The OS Module from Python
This article introduces a lightweight OS-like helper for MQL5 that streamlines file and path operations using a Python-inspired interface. We implement getcwd, listdir, scandir with DirEntry, remove, rmdir, rename, mkdir, stat, and an os.path subset (exists, isfile, isdir, join, split, pardir). You will learn how to work consistently within the terminal Files/common sandbox and simplify everyday filesystem tasks.
From Delta-Space Quotes to the FX Volatility Smile: Garman-Kohlhagen and the Convention Problem
FX options are quoted in delta space, not by strike. This article implements an FX-native smile tool for MetaTrader 5: it converts ATM, risk reversal and butterfly quotes into strike-space pillars, prices with the Garman–Kohlhagen model, handles spot/forward and premium-adjusted delta conventions per pair, and draws the smile with a reconstructed strike ladder and Greeks.
Uncertainty as a Model (Part 1): Random Variables — The Language of Uncertainty
The article provides a systematic overview of the theory of random variables, which serves as the basis for analyzing and modeling uncertainty in financial markets. The article covers the definitions and properties of univariate random variables, cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) and probability density functions (PDFs), as well as the differences between discrete, continuous, and mixed models. The theoretical material is based on intuitive analogies with mass and density. The appendix to this article contains practical examples of using the standard MQL5 library to calculate probabilities, quantiles, and moments of distributions. It also demonstrates the graphical capabilities of the MetaTrader 5 platform for visual data analysis by plotting PDF and CDF curves and QQ plots.
Building a Swing-Based Volume Profile Indicator in MQL5
This article presents a swing-based volume profile indicator in MQL5 that analyzes platform tick volume within completed high-to-low and low-to-high legs. It confirms swing points, partitions each leg's range into ATR(200)‑adaptive price bins, distributes tick volume, and marks the Point of Control. The indicator draws a ZigZag and renders the profile on chart rectangles, helping you study volume concentration within each swing relative to price structure.
Automating Trading Strategies in MQL5 (Part 53): Double Top and Double Bottom Reversal Model
We build an MQL5 program that detects and trades Double Top and Double Bottom patterns from confirmed swing pivots with rule-based logic. The detector matches peaks within a tolerance, derives the neckline, and applies leg-balance and spacing filters to reject weak shapes. It supports entry on a neckline break or an optional pullback, with a stop beyond the extreme and targets by measured move or reward-to-risk.
Did Your Scale Outs Actually Help? A Scale Out Value Analyzer in MQL5
The article presents an MQL5 tool that tests whether scaling out improved results rather than only appearing disciplined. It reconstructs positions from closing-deal history and reprices the full volume at the first, last, and best exit rates actually achieved, producing a Value-Add Ratio, a Scale-Out Win Rate, and an Efficiency measure. A single-trade dependence check and a configurable A+ to F grade turn these into clear, decision-ready feedback.
MetaTrader 5 Machine Learning Blueprint (Part 21): Feature Importance Analysis
Feature importance often understates correlated predictors by spreading one signal across many engineered copies, while unrelated noise can appear higher. We measure this effect against a known ground truth and compare four remedies: permutation importance with purged cross-validation, single-feature models, and clustered impurity versus clustered accuracy. The results include per-method rankings and a per-cluster dilution ratio that help identify true signals and avoid deleting valuable features.
The Dragonfly Algorithm (DA)
In this article, we will examine the Dragonfly Algorithm (DA), inspired by the collective behavior of dragonflies in nature — their ability to coordinate flight in a swarm, avoid collisions, follow prey, and evade predators. Let's look at how five simple behavioral rules and an adaptive mechanism for transitioning from exploration to exploitation are implemented in MQL5, and test the algorithm on our test bench.
Neural Networks in Trading: The Adaptive Graph Diffusion Model (Attention Module)
In this article, we will take a detailed look at the practical implementation of the key components of the SAGDFN framework. We will show how sparse attention and the selection of significant neighbors are organized for time series forecasting. The approaches presented strike a balance between forecast accuracy and computational efficiency.
How to Connect an LLM to an MQL5 Expert Advisor via a Python Server
The article examines three key obstacles to integrating LLMs with MetaTrader 5: the lack of direct access, strict rate limits, and API key security given the architectural limitations of MQL5. A configuration is proposed that uses a local Python server as a bridge between the Expert Advisor and OpenRouter. The article covers WebSocket and fallback to TCP, storing the key on the server, batch processing of multiple symbols, and constructing a technical prompt. Readers get a ready-made architecture that reduces latency and costs.
Building a PDF Creation Library in MQL5 (Part1): Writing a PDF by Hand
This article shows how a PDF works as plain text by hand‑written two files: a 592‑byte page and an 885‑byte trade ticket. It explains the file structure (header, body, xref, trailer), the required page objects and resources, and the operators that draw text, then provides an MQL5 script to generate them. First part of a pure‑MQL5 PDF library series.
Replay and Market Simulation: The Grand Finale
I know that many of you may have thought I would publish a few more articles to explain other aspects of this system. The missing elements are easy to implement. Even so, developing them will let you see how prepared you really are.
From Basic to Intermediate: Operator Overloading (V)
In this article, we will look at how to modify the code to implement a solution entirely unlike what many consider possible in MQL5. Important note: To fully understand this material, you must have a solid grasp of the concepts covered in the previous articles.
MQL5 Expert Advisor Builder (Part 1): A Simple Static Template
The article examines an example of a multipurpose trading robot template that is suitable both for creating your own strategies and as a codebase for freelance work. A key feature of the solution is bar-based trading; the code already includes built-in modes for averaging, martingale, and holding positions for extended periods. This material will be most useful to beginners who want to develop their own simple strategies or learn about common trading techniques.
Market Simulation: Unity Is Strength (III)
In this article, I will present our system for simulating market operations. Although everything is practically finished, there are still a few things to implement and a few changes to make. However, I have to admit that, after everything we've already developed, I'm tired of still being stuck on implementing this system.
Developing a Multi-Currency Expert Advisor (Part 32): Secrets of the Optimization Project Creation Step (II)
The article discusses the parameters of the second stage of the automatic optimization pipeline for a multi-currency Expert Advisor. We analyze the criteria for filtering first-stage passes and the rules for forming groups of trading strategies. The article demonstrates how settings affect optimization results, discusses aspects of process reliability, and examines the balance between selection strictness and having enough candidates for the algorithm.
Python-MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester (Part 06): MQL5-Style Backtesting for Python Expert Advisors
Code and build Python-based trading robots just like MQL5 Expert Advisors (EAs). In this article, we develop a Python-based replica of the MetaTrader 5 Python package, providing methods that closely resemble those of MetaTrader 5 during simulation. This allows us to backtest Python EAs in a simplified environment, using an approach similar to developing and testing Expert Advisors in MQL5.
Building an Adaptive Fibonacci Volatility Band Indicator in MQL5
We build an adaptive Fibonacci volatility band indicator in MQL5 that centers on a smoothed price (SMMA) and scales band width with a smoothed ATR. The article covers inputs, buffer mapping, ATR handling, and SMMA formulas, then projects configurable Fibonacci ratios with filled zones. Readers get a ready workflow for visualizing volatility expansion/contraction and outlining dynamic support and resistance.
Building AI-Powered Trading Systems in MQL5 (Part 10): A Resolution-Independent Vector Icon System
We replace the embedded bitmap icons in our MQL5 canvas interface with a resolution-independent vector icon system. A small set of anti-aliased primitives (strokes, discs, rings, rounded rectangles, and polygons) draws every logo and sidebar glyph procedurally, then plugs into the header, sidebar, and theme toggle. You get smaller builds, theme-aware recoloring, and icons that stay sharp at any size.
From Basic to Intermediate: Operator Overloading (IV)
In this article, we will take a first step toward showing how to implement operator overloading for the index operator and the assignment operator, while striving to offer a practical and interesting approach for everyone. What we will see here is only part of what I still intend to show, and it is directly related to the overloading of these operators.
Market Replay: Unity Is Strength (II)
Until now, the application being developed as part of this series of articles has focused exclusively on simulating the graphical part. However, to obtain a more complete system in which we can test the Expert Advisor within the replay/simulation service, we also need to simulate the trading server. You'll notice that this simulation will include only the most essential elements. Nevertheless, you, dear reader, will be able to fill in the missing parts. Since these additional components don't affect what I want to show, we already have more than enough to implement what we have in mind.
Neural Networks in Trading: The Adaptive Graph Diffusion Model (SAGDFN)
In this article, we explore the architecture of SAGDFN — a modern framework capable of transforming the approach to processing spatiotemporal data. It preserves key information even in complex graphs while reducing computational costs.
How to Use Finite Differences for Price Forecasting
The article examines the practical application of finite differences in trading: types of differences, their relationship to price dynamics, and the binomial transform for noise filtering. The rules for encoding patterns based on difference levels and the application of these patterns to forecasting are described. This section presents naive, adaptive, and probabilistic approaches that help smooth time series, identify recurring patterns, and estimate future movements.
LLM-Based Trading Agent with Embedded Top Trader Philosophy
The article provides a critical analysis of an LLM strategy in which forecasting the direction is separated from trading decisions, and demonstrates why this leads to a disconnect between metrics and PnL. We will describe procedures for dataset balancing, feature engineering, prompt and response preparation, fine-tuning configuration in Ollama, and reliable parsing. Backtesting and forward testing reveal systematic degradation. The practical conclusion is that the problem must be formulated as a direct optimization of trading outcomes.
Developing a Reusable Dynamic Volatility Trailing Stop Engine in MQL5
This article presents a modular, object-oriented volatility trailing stop engine for MQL5 packaged as a reusable include class, it calculates dynamic stop-loss levels using a True Range average filter on closed bars, supports step-based trailing, includes a visual diagnostic indicator, and provides an Expert Advisor execution template.
From Basic to Intermediate: Operator Overloading (III)
In this article, we will examine how to implement overloading for both logical operators and comparison operators. This requires a certain amount of caution and a fair amount of attention. Even a minor oversight when implementing the overloading of these operators can render the entire code completely unusable. If any problems arise in the overloading, the entire database created from the results generated by the code will have to be either discarded completely or, at the very least, reviewed in full.
Market Replay: Unity Is Strength (I)
We're entering the home stretch. The development of the replay/simulation system is nearly complete. Of course, we still have a few things left to finish, but compared to everything we've already done, completing what's left won't be difficult. However, it is essential to fully absorb and understand everything covered in this article. So I hope you enjoy reading this and, above all, that you enjoy this final stage of the journey.