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Sherif Hasan
Published post NZD/USD Forecast July 4-8
The New Zealand dollar was surprisingly resilient in the week after Brexit. Can it continue higher? The dairy report is the main event. Here is an analysis of fundamentals and an updated technical analysis for NZD/USD. New Zealand’s trade balance came out better than expected with 358 million...
Sherif Hasan
Published post EUR/USD Forecast July 4-8
EUR/USD wobbled in the post-Brexit week, but basically did not go too far. More PMIs as well as the postponed ECB meeting minutes are eyed. Will EUR/USD choose a new direction? Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week and an updated technical analysis for EUR/USD...
Sherif Hasan
Published post ISM Manufacturing PMI beats – EUR/USD slips from highs
Some good economic news coming in from the US: the ISM Manufacturing PMI beat with 53.2 points, better than 51.3 expected. The manufacturing sector, which usually lags behind services, is bouncing back...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Forex Weekly Outlook July 4-8
Markets continued to wobble in the post-Brexit week, with recoveries seen in many currencies. The first full week of July features the buildup to the US Non-Farm Payrolls, the Fed’s meeting minutes and key speeches among other events. These are the market movers on forex calendar...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Australian election result - not yet ... Still too close to call
The Australian election, held on Saturday, has still not been called, it is too close. Here are the facts: To form a majority government a party needs to win 76 seats Each of the major parties has won 67 seats so far 5 seats have been won by minor parties or independents so far...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Turnbull and Shorten both confident of victory in a tight Australian election
The Australian national election polling booths have now closed 2 July PM Malcolm Turnbull and opposition Labour Party leader Bill Shorten both say they are confident of a victory but concede the result could be tight Malcolm Turnbull ,the leader of Australia's conservative Liberal Party-led Coal...
Sherif Hasan
Published post 20 people killed in Bangladesh terror attack
Another awful tragedy being reported by the BBC and others 2 July 2016 20 people, all of them foreigners, were killed during an attack on a cafe in Dhaka, Bangladesh, officials say...
Sherif Hasan
Published post The surprising usefulness of ATR (Free indicator inside)
So often, a good trading plan is ruined by sub-optimal execution. Sometimes we can identify great trends with strong underlying fundamentals, only to join the trend when it's about to end...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Bundesbank head Jens Weidmann - Brexit is no excuse to loosen EU budget rules
Jens Weidmann, head of Germany's central bank (the Bundesbank) says "The Brexit vote is no reason to loosen budget rules" Weidmann was speaking in an interview with 'Focus' magazine...
Sherif Hasan
Published post US stocks have the best week of the year
S&P up 3.22% on the week. The US major indices are closing the week up nicely. The gains are the best for the year. Leading the way is the NASDAQ composite index had up 3.28%. The S&P index rose by 3.22% and the Dow industrial average was up by 3.15...
Sherif Hasan
Published post CFTC commitment of traders: Little change in net positions in the current week.
Weekly positioning data from the CFTC for Forex futures as of the close on June 28 EUR 62K short versus short 61K last week. Short increased by 1K GBP 43K short versus short 52K last week. Shorts cut by 9K JPY 60K long versus long 52K last week. Longs increased by +8K on the week...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Baker Hughes US oil rig data coming up
Early signs of stabilization in drilling There were 330 oil drilling rigs operating in the US last week. We will get the latest update at the top of the hour. The numbers fell almost constantly since August 2015 until recently as the number fell to a low of 316 from 675...
Sherif Hasan
Published post ECB's Weidmann: Don't see need for monetary easing after Brexit
More signs the ECB will wait-and-see A 'sources' report earlier this week also indicated the ECB is in no rush to act. Must keep period of uncertainty as short as possible Scope of Brexit's economic impact not yet clear Brexit to slightly dampen growth in Eurozone and Germany...
Sherif Hasan
Published post ISM's Holcomb says most data was collected before Brexit vote
ISM factory survey chairman Holcombe in presser a few moments ago 1 July mftg on a good trend ,not robust will have to wait and see about Brexit UK is relatively small US trading partner ISM to release Brexit results at 11.00 NY time ( any time now...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Forex technical analysis: USDJPY trades between the goal posts
100 and 200 bar MA defining the risk The USDJPY has traded the last two days between the 100 and 200 hour MA. The price action suggests a comfort area for traders - a safe house. Eventually the market will make a break and run. Friday's can be difficult of course. It is a long weekend...
Sherif Hasan
Published post US June auto sales have been soft so far
Here is who has reported: Honda sales +3.2% vs +9.4% estimate Volkswagen of America -22% GM sales -1.6% vs -0.7% estimate Ford sales +6.4% vs +4.9% estimate...
Sherif Hasan
Published post US Fed's Fischer says they're watching markets closely and preparing for July FOMC meeting
US Federal Reserve's vice chairman Fischer out on the wires 1 July 2016 will have better idea of conditions by July FOMC meeting we make our decisions one meeting at a time we've got to look over a longer horizon than a few months most of the data since May payrolls looking good...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Some Technical Analysis targets according to UOB
UOB out with a client note/recommendations 1 July 2016 Courtesy of our friends at efxnews.com While our tech guru Greg is tied up on the ForexLive ACT course here's someone else's T/A for those of you so inclined...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Positioning For A Grind Downwards In EUR/USD – BNPP
EUR/USD dropped quite a bit on Brexit but showed some strength as well. It could further fall, say the people at BNP Paribas: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: The still-elevated level of GBP volatility renders downside GBP structures very expensive after last Thursday’s UK referendum...
Sherif Hasan
Published post GBP/USD forecasts for 1, 3 and 12 months post-Brexit
One week after the big Brexit crash and as a new quarter begins, it is time to lift our heads from the near term and look forward...