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SMC Probability

SMC Probability - is an indicator designed to track the actions of institutional investors, commonly known as “smart money”. This tool calculates the probability that smart money will actively participate in buying or selling in the market, which is referred to as smart money order flow.

The indicator measures the probability of three key events: Change of Character ( CHoCH ), Shift in Market Structure ( SMS ), and Break of Structure ( BMS ).  These probabilities are displayed as percentages alongside their respective levels, providing a straightforward and immediate understanding of the likelihood of smart money order flow.

Finally, the back tested results are shown in a table, which gives traders an understanding of the historical performance of the current order flow direction.

  • Calculations
The algorithm individually computes the likelihood of the events ( CHoCH ,  SMS , and  BMS ).  A positive score is assigned for events where the price successfully breaks through the level with the highest probability, and a negative score when the price fails to do so.  By doing so, the algorithm determines the probability of each event occurring and calculates the total profitability derived from all the events.

  • Example

In this case, we have a 72 percent probability that price will break the lower range and make a new structure breakout, and only a 27 percent probability that price will break the upper range and make a character change.

  • How to use
This indicator is a perfect tool for anyone that wants to understand the probability of a Change of Character ( CHoCH ), Shift in Market Structure ( SMS ), and Break of Structure ( BMS )
The insights provided by this tool help traders gain an understanding of the smart money order flow direction, which can be used to determine the market trend.


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Bernhard Schweigert
4.6 (10)
Cet indicateur est une super combinaison de nos 2 produits Advanced Currency IMPULSE with ALERT  +   Currency Strength Exotics . Il fonctionne pour tous les cadres temporels et montre graphiquement l'impulsion de force ou de faiblesse pour les 8 principales devises plus un symbole ! Cet indicateur est spécialisé pour montrer l'accélération de la force des devises pour tout symbole comme l'or, les paires exotiques, les matières premières, les indices ou les contrats à terme. C'est le premier
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Aleksandr Makarov
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Aleksandr Makarov
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Gold ELF M1
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Il boss del scalper
Aleksandr Makarov
Il boss del scalper   Real advisor trading gold and other currency ashes. Real monitoring -    Monitoring Symbol XAUUSD (GOLD) Timeframe M5-H1   Capital min. $1000 Broker any broker Account type any, lower spread preferred Leverage from 1:400 VPS preferred, but not mandatory, also MQL VPS Attention, the advisor is not tested in the tester, you need to write to me and I will send you the original advisor and most importantly the set file as on monitoring . CONTACTS: @DevelopersEA
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Scalper M1 ELF
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Aleksandr Makarov
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Aleksandr Makarov
Introducing AI GoldX M1 - a groundbreaking EA that changes your approach to trading the prestigious XAUUSD pair! AI GoldX M1 - uses a sophisticated trading methodology including cross-market analysis to find scalping entry points with XAUUSD , one of the most dynamic pairs on the market. The Expert Advisor uses stop loss for all orders, does not use any dangerous trading methods. Technical details: Strategy: Scalping Strategy with Artificial Intelligence     Pair: XAUUSD (Gold)     Timeframe:
Javier Gold Scalper
Aleksandr Makarov
Javier Gold Scalper Real advisor trading gold and other currency ashes. Black Friday, ask for 20% discount Attention! The advisor does not work in the strategy tester, it works in real time. Therefore, watch the - ---------------   LIVE SIGNAL   ------------------     Currency pair:   Xauusd (Gold) Timeframe:   M5 Deposit:   1000$ After purchasing, be sure to write to me, I will send you the set files, the latest update and give recommendations. Contact me via   private message   or   telegram
AI MapeX
Aleksandr Makarov
The mean absolute percentage error   ( MAPE ), also known as   mean absolute percentage deviation   ( MAPD ), is a measure of prediction accuracy of a forecasting method in   statistics .   It usually expresses the accuracy as a ratio defined by the formula: MAPE = 100 1 n ∑ t = 1 n | A t − F t A t | where   A t   is the actual value and   F t   is the forecast value.   Their difference is divided by the actual value   A t .   The absolute value of this ratio is summed for every forecasted poi
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