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Francis Dogbe
Published post Five reasons for (cautious) optimism about the EU’s future
The European Union (EU) is confronting a series of potentially existential threats, including the refugee crisis, ISIS terror, Russian adventurism, and Brexit (the potential exit of the U.K. from the EU...
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Francis Dogbe
Economists are forecasting that a healthy 205,000 jobs were created in March, but the numbers may not add up as expected. Key in Friday's March employment report will be average hourly wages, expected to rise 0.3 percent and the labor participation rate, which has been edging up since October...
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Francis Dogbe
Britain courts fate on Brexit with worst external deficit in history
2 April 2016, 00:29
Britain’s current account deficit is the worst ever recorded in peace-time since the Bank of England started collecting records in 1772 under the reign of George III...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post China's manufacturing sector bounces back
Activity levels across China’s manufacturing sector expanded for the first time in eight months in March, according to a report from China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The government’s manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) rose 1.2 points to 50...
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Francis Dogbe
With most advanced economies experiencing anemic recoveries from the 2008 financial crisis, their central banks have been forced to move from conventional monetary policy – reducing policy rates via open-market purchases of short-term government bonds – to a range of unconventional policies...
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Francis Dogbe
The Big Short has been making a big splash this year, racking up five Academy Award nominations and taking home the Oscar for best adapted screenplay...
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Francis Dogbe
AUD/NZD rallied hard aft the Chinese data that propped up the Aussie, although AUD/USD found the 0.77 a tough nut to crack and halted the bulls. AUD/NZD however managed to score over 40 pips and ran to 1.1122 highs...
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Francis Dogbe
I sat down this morning thinking that I’d write some sort of April fools joke type piece saying that the Fed had raised rates in an ad-hoc meeting in a New York City bunker overnight, but I quickly decided against it to avoid being sued… April Fools Day or not, today is also NFP Friday...
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Francis Dogbe
Two of the world’s largest money managers are divided about where the dollar goes from here after the greenback’s worst quarter in more than five years. The BlackRock Investment Institute says there’s room for the U.S...
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Francis Dogbe
In 2003, Turney Duff's total compensation amounted to $1.9 million. At the time, he was the head trader at Argus Partners, a multi-billion dollar fund focused on health care stocks. Today, his life looks very different...
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Francis Dogbe
The Canadian economy expanded in January by 0.6 percent doubling economists expectations. This is the strongest monthly GDP figure since the price of oil was above $100 in July 2013...
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Francis Dogbe
If you do not understand what is happening to the eurozone economy, you are not alone...
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Francis Dogbe
Tomorrow is the first Friday of a new month and that means only one thing – it’s non-farm payroll (NFP). All eyes will be front and center when March’s U.S monthly jobs report is released at 08:30 EDT...
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Francis Dogbe
EUR/USD bulls sets eyes on 1.15 amid receding Fed hike expectations
31 March 2016, 16:04
The EUR/USD is trading higher for the fourth consecutive day as traders continue to dump the US dollar after the Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen pulled a dove out of the Fed's hat earlier this week...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post Fed's Evans says continued caution is called for
It's that man Charlie Evans again • Fed is close to full employment • Continued caution is called for due to low inflation • Sees one hike in the middle of the year and one at the end • Fed can move at any meeting...
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Francis Dogbe
•A look at AUDNZD trends shows how stop losses are useful in FX trading •A bullish rally followed the prolonged 2011 to 2015 bear market for the AUDNZD •A classic AUDNZD symmetrical triangle pattern was finally completed on March 2 •The long term upside potential of AUDNZD is considerable Having...
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Francis Dogbe
3 Numbers: Another bullish report expected for US jobless claims
31 March 2016, 08:39
Thursday’s a busy day for economic news, including a new estimate of Eurozone GDP growth via the Euro-Coin Indicator. Later, we’ll see the flash data for consumer inflation in Europe for March and the weekly numbers for US jobless claims...
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Francis Dogbe
To Hedge For Brexit, Sell EUR/USD Not GBP/USD - BofA Merrill
31 March 2016, 08:37
We argue that the EUR is underpricing the potential economic disruption related to Brexit and shorting EUR/USD is a cheaper way than shorting GBP/USD to hedge for such a possibility...
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Francis Dogbe
Wall Street was off to the races on Wednesday, marking a potential second day of gains after dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen. And with that, some bullish stock talk emerged from a well-known technical pro...
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Francis Dogbe
Published post NZDUSD Caught Between a Rock and a Hard Place
I wrote a piece on Monday regarding NZDUSD where I asked the question, can short-term gains buck big-picture trends? In other words, can the recent bullish momentum overcome the bearish overtone of the weekly and monthly charts? So far, the bulls are doing their part...
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