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Inflation fears prompt new trading practices

The March Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is expected to be a turning point — and possibly the last time inflation appears to ease. That’s the warning from economists as President Trump’s aggressive tariff strategy reshapes the market narrative. For Exness traders, this is more than a headline — it’s a signal to re-evaluate risk, opportunity, and how they approach the weeks ahead.

Sticky inflation meets tariff escalation
According to forecasts, annual headline inflation for March is expected to cool to 2.5%, with core inflation hovering around 3.0%. Shelter costs are easing, but sticky services like insurance and healthcare are keeping the core number elevated. However, none of these figures reflect the impact of Trump’s new 10% baseline tariffs, which came into effect days ago.

China faces a unique blow: a separate 125% tariff hike targeting its exports, on top of a wave of country-specific and industry-focused tariffs. While the White House has granted a 90-day pause for some countries, the underlying policy remains aggressive.

How this impacts Exness traders
The implications are clear — inflation is likely to rise again, and markets are preparing for it. Exness traders need to pay attention to key assets that respond quickly to these dynamics.

US Dollar pairs (e.g., DXY, EURUSD, USDJPY) may become more volatile as rate cut expectations shrink and inflationary pressures mount. If inflation surges back above 3%, the Fed could delay or even reverse dovish signals.
Gold (XAUUSD) and Silver (XAGUSD) are classic safe-havens. The uncertainty around tariffs, inflation, and interest rates is already pushing demand for metals higher.
US indices (US500, US30, USTEC) may rally on cooling inflation — but any spike in CPI could reverse those gains instantly. Traders should beware of false breakouts.
Chinese equities on Exness, like BABA, JD.com, NIO, and XPEV, face pressure from both supply chain disruption and direct trade barriers. With 125% tariffs looming, these stocks may underperform.
What to watch next
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has made it clear — the Fed is in “wait-and-see” mode. If the March CPI marks a low point, expect hawkish commentary and potential volatility in fixed income and equities. Here’s what Exness traders should keep an eye on:

CPI and PPI reports over the next two months — signs of acceleration could shift market sentiment fast.
Fed speeches and minutes — subtle shifts in tone may move USD pairs dramatically.
Further trade policy announcements — especially if the 90-day pause on tariffs ends with another wave of duties.
Emerging market currencies and commodities — particularly those tied to China and North America.
Trade with insight, not reaction
This is a moment for strategy, not emotion. Volatility offers opportunity, but only for those who manage risk effectively. If you’re testing new ideas or want to analyze different inflation scenarios, try the Exness demo account with zero risk.

Stay mobile with the Exness Trade App and keep up with the latest developments through the Exness Blog, your trusted source for timely market insights.

Follow this link for more: https://exness.social/4i8GFHT

Exness review guide: how to know your broker is trusted and also good

Choosing the right CFD broker is one of the most important decisions a trader can make. A trustworthy broker provides fair trading conditions, fast and reliable withdrawals, and a secure environment in which to explore the markets. A bad broker might lock up your funds, ignore your messages, and even vanish overnight.

With so many options available, how can you tell whether a broker is legitimate? In this guide, we’ll break down the key things to look for, and later, we’ll put Exness to the test.

Regulation: The first and most important check
A regulated broker operates under strict financial guidelines, ensuring fair trading practices. Before trusting any broker, check if it's licensed by recognized financial authorities. There are many other regulatory bodies around the world protecting their own regions with standards they feel are most important. If a broker has a regulatory licence, make sure it’s a legitimate claim. Basically, the more regulatory licences a broker has, the safer the choice.

A legitimate broker should display its license numbers on its website as a way to verify them through official regulatory websites. If you can't verify a broker's license, that's a major red flag.

Transparency: A broker should have nothing to hide
A reputable broker has a visible presence. It should have a physical office location, detailed company history, and a leadership team you can verify.

Look for:

A well-established website with detailed trading conditions
A presence on LinkedIn, where employees are publicly listed
Social media accounts with years of activity and real engagement
Scam brokers tend to have websites that lack details about the company. As for offices, every legit broker is listed on Google maps. If a broker doesn’t show at least one office location, they don’t want to be found, and that’s another huge warning sign.

Deposits and withdrawals: Test before you trust
Once you’ve found a broker that checks all the boxes, time to check their trading conditions and transactional efficiency. Before committing large sums of money, see if they offer virtual trading or a risk-free demo account. A demo account lets new clients get to know the trading platform and experiment on live markets without risking capital. If the platform performs reliably, there’s a good chance the broker has a large IT team managing it. A good sign.

If everything looks good, test the broker with a small deposit and withdrawal. A legitimate broker will process the request within the stated timeframe and won’t create unnecessary delays or demand excessive documentation.

Trading conditions: Look for fair spreads and reliable execution
A broker’s trading conditions should be clear, fair, and competitive. Tight spreads, reliable order execution, and a stable trading environment indicate a broker that operates transparently.

Be wary of:

High, unpredictable spreads that widen drastically in normal market conditions
Frequent slippage that always seems to work against you
Requotes and delayed execution that make trading frustrating and unprofitable
The demo account is a great way to see the spread range (difference between the buying and selling price) on assets that interest you.

A serious broker will be upfront about spreads, commissions, and execution speeds. You should also be able to find independent reviews verifying their trading conditions.

Now that we’ve covered the research steps, let’s apply them to Exness and answer the questions traders might be asking: Exness is real or fake? Can Exness be trusted? Is Exness safe?

Regulation and Trustworthiness
Exness is a fully regulated broker, licensed by multiple authorities. Exness publicly displays its license numbers at the bottom of every page on the website, which can be verified directly on the regulators’ websites.

Exness operates through several entities, each regulated by different financial authorities. Every nation protects its citizens by tailoring requirements for brokers. Exness understands this and follows appropriate rules no matter where they are. Below is an overview of some of the licenses and regulations that Exness entities hold.

Exness (SC) Ltd
Registered as a Securities Dealer in Seychelles with registration number 8423606-1.

Regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) under license number SD025.

Exness B.V.
Registered as a Securities Intermediary in Curaçao with registration number 148698(0).

Regulated by the Central Bank of Curaçao and Sint Maarten (CBCS) under license number 0003LSI.

Exness (VG) Ltd
Registered in the British Virgin Islands with registration number 2032226.

Authorized by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) under license number SIBA/L/20/1133.

Exness ZA (PTY) Ltd
Registered in South Africa with registration number 2020/234138/07.

Regulated by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under FSP number 51024.

Exness (KE) Ltd
Registered in Kenya with registration number PVT-LRUDJJB.

Regulated by the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) as a Non-dealing Online Forex Broker under license number 162.

Exness (Cyprus) Ltd
Regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under license number 178/12.

Exness UK Ltd
Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the United Kingdom under license number 730729.

Note: Exness CY (EU) and UK does not offer services to standard retail clients.

Each of these regulatory bodies imposes certain rules and standards that Exness must comply with, such as client fund protection, financial reporting, and fair trading practices.

Transparency and reputation
Exness operates with a strong company presence, with over 2,000 employees listed on LinkedIn and physical offices in multiple locations including Cyprus, South Africa, the Seychelles and many other smaller satellite offices around the world.

Exness maintains a visible online presence with multiple social media channels where it updates clients on financial events, news, market moves, and company initiatives, regularly engaging with its community through social media, industry events, and market analysis.

Exness deposits and withdrawals
One of the biggest benefits for traders is easy fund withdrawals. Exness processes 98% of withdrawals instantly, meaning traders can access their money without delays or hidden fees. Because of the efficiency is how we process requests, transactions typically take less than a minute. This is a rare feature in the industry and a strong indicator of financial transparency. To test this, simply make a small deposit (starting from $10, depending on the payment method and country of origin) then make a withdrawal. You’ll understand why Exness traders enjoy the rapid withdrawal feature in seconds.

Trading conditions
Aside from the user-friendly trading platform (desktop, mobile, or web), asset pricing and order execution will become more and more important to you as your skills grow.

Exness is known for offering some of the lowest spreads in the market, including up to 20% lower spreads on gold compared to top-tier competitors. These tight spreads help traders keep more of their profits, reinforcing Exness' commitment to fair pricing. And when you factor in Exness’ flexible leverage options, you can target even the most limited market moves.

The platform also provides fast execution speeds and real-time access to tick history, ensuring that traders can verify price movements.

Conclusion: Is Exness trusted or Not?
After applying the universal broker review techniques, it’s clear that Exness is real, trusted, and safe. Let’s break it down and answer the three questions we started with.

Exness is real or fake? → Exness is a real, regulated, and transparent broker.
Can Exness be trusted? → With strict regulatory governance, a strong reputation, and reliable withdrawals, Exness can be trusted.
Exness is safe? → Yes. With segregated funds, Exness client protection, sophisticated security measures, and compliance with major financial authorities around the world, Exness ensures trader protection.

If you’re considering a broker, use the steps in this guide to verify its legitimacy. And if Exness meets your criteria, you can test it yourself by opening a account and experiencing the platform firsthand.

Spread reduction refers to spreads in Pro accounts, sampled over the last full trading week of April 2024 vs. the last full trading week of August 2024.

While Exness employs advanced technology to provide reliable execution, slippage may still occur during periods of high market volatility or low liquidity. Execution times are measured from the moment an order is received until it is processed, excluding internet latency or delays caused by third-party providers. Past execution performance does not guarantee future results.

Follow this link for more: https://exness.social/3E7Oznf

Exness Team Pro’s Kojo Forex on what it means to be “Born to Trade”


Exploring the first Born to Trade Podcast

The age-old debate on whether professional traders are born with innate abilities or develop their skills over time took center stage in the first episode of The Born to Trade Podcast, featuring renowned trader, Exness Team Pro member, and educator Kojo Forex. Hosted by Nima Siar, Exness Head of Partnerships and Business Development Initiatives, the podcast provided a deep dive into Kojo’s trading journey, his approach to discipline, and his thoughts on what it takes to thrive in the trading world.

A journey forged by experience

Kojo Forex—whose trading career spans over a decade—shared his remarkable path from discovering online trading in 2012 while in university to becoming one of the industry’s most recognizable names. For Kojo, the journey was anything but smooth. “Everything came together properly for me in 2019, and it started really paying off in 2020,” he explained, highlighting the patience and perseverance required to succeed in trading.

Initially drawn to trading to supplement his income, Kojo’s perspective evolved as he immersed himself in the world of financial markets. “I realized I could make a huge career out of it,” he says, recounting how he studied the works of industry legends like George Soros and Stanley Druckenmiller to refine his craft.

What does it take to be a trader?
When asked whether traders are born or made, Kojo offered his nuanced perspective. “I’d say it’s 70 to 80 percent natural instincts and 20 to 30 percent learned skills.”

In his opinion, certain innate traits, such as the ability to remain calm under pressure and being naturally intuitive, can give individuals an edge. He explained that some people are born with the ability to stay composed in the most intense situations, just as others learn over time.

At the same time, Kojo stressed the importance of cultivating discipline, a skill he honed through years of trial and error. In a surprising revelation, he shared how he joined the military to instill the discipline necessary for trading success. “I knew that if I was going to be very successful at this, I needed to have my discipline extremely well in check,” he shares.

Is discipline the core pillar?
Throughout the episode, Kojo emphasized the critical role of discipline in trading. “Discipline forms part of the core foundation of my trading career,” he explains. According to Kojo, discipline manifests in following a trading plan and maintaining proper risk management. “If you take care of risk management, which boils down to discipline, you won’t have to deal with the psychological aspect of trading,” he notes.

Kojo’s advice for aspiring traders is clear: start by focusing on how much you’re willing to lose rather than how much you hope to gain. “I think about how much I’m willing to risk. Once I’m okay with that, I have no issues with psychology.”

The greatest of all-time strategy
Kojo also shone a light on his signature trading approach, which he calls the “GOAT” strategy, short for “Greatest of All Time.” This price-action-based method culminates years of research and real-world experience. “It’s a strategy that withstands all trading conditions and market environments,” he explained.

The GOAT strategy reflects Kojo’s belief in the importance of a trading system that can withstand all market conditions and deliver consistent results over time. “For me, if you don’t have a trading system that can stand the test of time over a considerable period, you can’t establish a career in trading,” he emphasizes.

Advice for aspiring traders
For those new to trading or struggling to gain confidence, Kojo’s advice is both practical and motivational. He urged beginners to clarify their goals early on, “Do you want trading to be a side income or a main career? Where you find yourself determines the effort and approach you need to take.”

Kojo also encourages traders to keep a journal as a way to build discipline and track progress. "If I want to be disciplined, I'm just writing down, 'You have to be disciplined; stay true to yourself.'" he said. "I'm also repeatedly writing it on my social media: stay disciplined, stay disciplined, stay disciplined."

Ultimately, Kojo believes trading is an ongoing journey of self-discovery and improvement. “There’s always something to discover for yourself that makes more meaning to you than just the rest of the world.”

Born or made?
As the debate continues over whether traders are born or made, Kojo’s story serves as a testament to the power of perseverance, self-awareness, and a relentless commitment to growth. For anyone seeking to unlock their potential in the world of trading, his message is clear: “Start the journey, stay disciplined, and trust the process.”

Listen to the podcast here: https://youtu.be/U3cPY3t7-Mo

Watch the video here: https://youtu.be/U3cPY3t7-Mo

What is Exness and what does Exness do?

“What does Exness do?” It’s a common question I hear. First, here’s the official version. Exness is a globally recognized broker that facilitates investment transactions for traders of all economic backgrounds. By providing access to the financial markets, Exness enables traders to capitalize on price movements without the need for large capital deposits. Established with a commitment to transparency and innovation, Exness has become one of the world's most trusted multi-asset brokers.

That’s the official version, but let’s get more personal and really explain what Exness does and how it stands out in the industry.

Exness: What do they do?
If you’re new to trading, you might wonder what brokers actually do and how Exness makes money. Let’s explore Exness, what they do, and how they do it. In simple terms, brokers like Exness act as a bridge between traders and the global financial markets. To trade directly, investors typically need a significant capital investment to open a trading account—sometimes upwards of $25,000. Not everyone has that kind of money, which is where Exness makes a difference.

Exness offers fractional trading through Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which allow traders to speculate on market movements without owning the underlying asset. For example, if you want to trade Bitcoin but don’t have $100,000 to invest in a full position, you can open a CFD contract with Exness instead. The goal of an Exness trader is to buy contracts when the price is low and sell the CFD back to Exness when the value has increased–based on market price actions. This method makes trading accessible to a wider audience while keeping capital requirements low.

Follow this link for more: https://www.exness.com/blog/what-is-exness-and-what-does-exness-do/

Exness advantages: Better spreads means better trading potential

Online trading is more than just an exciting pastime that opens the door to new financial potential. People new to trading usually begin to explore big business and the global economy within their first month, and even reevaluate their own personal practices and relationship with money.

Being a trader is an eye-opener, and it’s not unusual to see traders expand their life goals after trading for a while.

If you’re thinking about getting a trading account or upgrading to better trading conditions, then Exness is for you. Here’s why.

Unmatched spreads to maximize your potential
Every trader's goal is to buy low and sell high, and the difference between the available prices (spreads) directly affects a trader's profitability margin. Exness offers some of the most competitive spreads in the industry—especially on gold and oil. Tight spreads means less overall trading costs, which means greater gains and reduced losses. Make the most of Exness spreads and maximize your trading potential.

Exness zero commission account: A huge advantage
Imagine trading without worrying about hefty commission fees eating into your returns. Exness offers zero-commission accounts, giving you a head start with every trade. Experienced traders appreciate it; new traders need it, so why not trade without commissions.

Fee-free deposits and rapid withdrawals
Getting started has never been easier—or cheaper. With Exness, you can deposit funds with no extra charges. No fees mean you start trading with 100% of your capital. Moreover, Exness doesn’t chart commissions of fees on withdrawals, so if your preferred payment method is compatible, you get 100% of your withdrawals every time. And since Exness withdrawals are processed without delay, you get access to your money without bureaucratic complications.

A Platform built for all traders
Whether you’re a seasoned pro or just starting, Exness has everything you need. Advanced tools, 24/7 support, and a platform that’s as intuitive as it is powerful. The Exness Web-based terminal means you can check the markets and your trades on any device without the need for download or install. The platform is loved by many for its simplistic design with advanced features discretely available for those with more experience.

Don’t get overwhelmed by confusing trading platforms. Once you’ve registered, you can explore the platform and the markets risk free using virtual funds before you start targeting real returns.

Every day, traders are leaving outdated platforms behind and switching to Exness. Why? Because they recognize the unparalleled benefits Exness offers. If you’re serious about making trading and investing a long-term activity, test Exness first and save yourself the pain of changing broker later.

Lightning-fast execution: Don’t miss the perfect moment

Opening a trade at a price you like and then reliably taking profit without complication is a reality. Not long ago, people would have to call their broker and tell them to “sell!” The broker would then start the process. With Exness, we know that every millisecond matters. Exness ensures your trades are executed at lightning speed with the touch of a button. Join the hundreds of thousands of traders worldwide who already enjoy Exness for speed and reliability, even during volatile times.

The Time to Join is NOW
2025 is already shaping up to be a historic year in the financial sector. Market volatility means switching highs and lows, which can be very beneficial for day traders and long-term investors. Whether it’s digital currencies, fiat currencies reacting to the economy, or stocks such as Nvidia reacting to the AI evolution, joining Exness now means you can be a part of this historic time.

* Tightest average XAUUSD spreads on Pro accounts, compared with other brokers' commission-free accounts, from 25.08 - 07.09.2024.

* Tightest average USOIL spreads on Pro accounts, compared with other brokers' commission-free accounts, from 25.08 - 07.09.2024.

Follow this link for more: https://www.exness.com/blog/exness-advantages-better-spreads-means-better-trading-potential/

How Exness traders can make more

If you have a growing social media following or a most basic understanding of marketing then you might be missing out on an almost unlimited earning potential. Here’s how and why you should become an Exness affiliate today.



Earn without risk, get paid fast
The trick to being a happy affiliate is finding the right product to promote. Fortunately, Exness ticks all the boxes so you can promote our services with absolute confidence… and we pay well too. In fact, you can earn up to $1,850 (USD) for every client who signs up and starts trading through your referral. This offered CPA commission is significantly higher than the affiliate industry benchmark.



A major standout feature of the Exness Affiliate Program is its commitment to prompt and reliable commission payouts. Unlike many other programs that operate on weekly or monthly schedules, Exness ensures that affiliates receive their earnings daily. This means that within just one business day of a referred client making qualifying actions, such as a First Time Deposit (FTD) and sufficient trading activity, the corresponding commission is credited to the affiliate's account.



This approach not only provides affiliates with immediate access to their earnings but also facilitates better cash flow management, allowing for timely reinvestment into marketing strategies or other business operations.



Exness promotional tools: 5K+ professional assets
Exness provides its affiliates with a comprehensive suite of promotional tools designed to enhance marketing initiatives and attract potential clients. These resources include more than 5,000 professionally designed banners, high-conversion landing pages, engaging videos, logos, and other marketing content tailored for different audiences.



By using these free tools, you can easily create compelling campaigns that resonate with your target market, ultimately driving higher engagement and conversion rates.



Why referred traders stay with Exness
When you promote Exness as an affiliate, you're introducing people to a broker renowned for its exceptional trading conditions. Exness offers access to multiple platforms to suit all traders' preferences.



For experienced traders there is MetaTrader 4 & 5. For easy access on any device, there’s the web-based Exness Terminal. And for mobile traders there is the Exness Trade app. All of these platforms provide traders with advanced tools and a user-friendly interface.



Your referrals can benefit from some of the tightest and most stable spreads in the industry, especially on popular assets like gold, where Exness offers spreads up to 20% lower than the industry average.



Additionally, Exness ensures fast and reliable deposit and withdrawal processes, allowing traders to access their funds without unnecessary delays. Transfer speeds vary on certain payment providers, so choose your banking services wisely.



And with 24/7 customer support available in 15 languages, both traders and affiliates can access professional assistance whenever needed.



By partnering with Exness as an affiliate, you’ll be referring people to a reliable broker that prioritizes transparency, fairness, and optimal trading conditions.



How to get started?
Head over to the Exness Affiliate Program page and register. Complete the verification process in a few minutes to get your unique affiliate link. Promote your link on your website, blog, or social media. Whenever someone signs up and trades through your link, you get paid. It’s that simple.



Follow this link for more: https://www.exness.com/blog/how-exness-traders-can-make-more/

Exness commitment to making the world a better place

We know that Exness’ trading conditions are setting new benchmarks in the trading space and it’s the main reason traders stay, but there’s so much more to Exness. Our Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) team had a positive impact on the world in 2024, which led to five awards at the Cyprus Responsible Business Awards (RBA) 2024.

Our impactful initiatives were recognized across multiple categories:

Environment - Firefighting initiatives (Gold Award)
Our comprehensive wildfire prevention and response program earned top honors. This initiative included donating firefighting vehicles, partnering with the Department of Forests and local organizations for reforestation, and working with the Cyprus Institute of Technology to develop custom drones tailored to Cyprus’ terrain for early fire detection.

Public-private partnership (Gold Award)
We were commended for our collaboration with government agencies and local organizations to address critical environmental challenges. By increasing firefighting capacity and innovating with advanced drone technology, we’ve helped bolster wildfire prevention efforts.

Long-term investment (Silver Award)
Our ongoing dedication to environmental sustainability and community development was also recognized. In addition to firefighting initiatives, we’ve built long-term relationships with the Department of Forests and made substantial contributions to healthcare, including donating medical equipment during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Corporate volunteering (Bronze Award)
Our employee volunteering program, which empowers staff to participate in projects spanning education, health, and the environment, was acknowledged for fostering a culture of giving back.

Education/scholarships (Gold Award)
The Exness Fintech Scholarships initiative, which provides financial aid to promising STEM students, received top recognition for supporting the next generation of innovators in Cyprus.

"These awards celebrate the incredible efforts of everyone involved—our passionate volunteers, the talented students we support, and our visionary partners at the Cyprus Institute of Technology and the Department of Forests. This recognition is more than just an honor; it’s a motivation to continue building a brighter future for our communities.”

Exness CSR Team

Conclusion
As one of the world’s largest multi-asset brokers, we’re committed to leveraging technology not only to provide a seamless trading experience but also to contribute meaningfully to the communities where we operate. The awards reaffirm our dedication to driving positive change, and as 2025 gets into full swing, our CSR team are already looking for new ways to make the world a better place.

Follow this link for more: https://www.exness.com/blog/exness-commitment-to-making-the-world-a-better-place/

Will Bitcoin Crash?

Many traders are wondering if Bitcoin will crash soon. Let’s answer this main question in the first sentence. Yes, bitcoin will likely crash, and by how much might surprise you. Here’s a comprehensive guide to understanding Bitcoin price actions and the mechanisms in play.

ETF inception inflated Bitcoin prices
When Bitcoin ETFs first entered the financial scene, they unlocked a doorway to regulated access for institutional investors. This wasn't merely an expansion of the market—it was a catalyst for an explosive rise in Bitcoin's price, propelling it to the staggering $100K mark we see today. But this boost in BTC volume was a power play, not a natural increase, which opened the door to market manipulation.

Here's the Bitcoin ETF mechanism at play: as institutional investors poured capital into Bitcoin ETFs, the firms managing these ETFs were compelled to acquire substantial amounts of Bitcoin to back the newly issued shares.

Take, for example, Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), which now holds a commanding lead with assets under management worth about $22.7 billion. This single ETF's demand for Bitcoin significantly influenced the market price. Close on its heels is the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) managed by BlackRock, with $6.6 billion in assets. And not to be overlooked, Fidelity's Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC), which controls around $4.7 billion.

These figures are a testament to the massive institutional muscle that now flows through Bitcoin, much of it indirectly from ordinary stock market investors whose portfolios include these ETFs.


Follow this link for more: https://www.exness.com/blog/will-bitcoin-crash/

The truth about market dynamics that financial media never mentions

This article is not about indicators or fundamental strategies. Instead, I hope to open your eyes to the real and powerful influences behind the global markets, what triggers trends, and what role the mainstream financial news channels really play. Let’s explore the big picture together to give you a wider view of how the markets will shift this year and beyond.
How the markets used to reactNot so long ago, stocks were influenced by company performance, revenue, and innovation. When a new product hit the market and started trending, big investors would jump on the money train and ride the rise. Likewise, when a product failed, investors would jump ship.
Indices and currencies would often respond to economic reports. If a nation’s GDP was trending high and jobless claims were falling, the nation’s currency would be perceived as a strong investment. That’s the Wikipedia version, but reality is far from that.
While those mechanisms still play a role in the financial world, there are less obvious influences pushing and pulling the markets in different directions, and when you recognize them, those indecisive moments you occasionally have while forecasting will start to make more sense.
So what is this untold dynamic that can change your analysis habits?
Follow this link for more: https://www.exness.com/blog/market-dynamics-that-media-never-mentions/

Speculating on gold and crude oil

As we approach the end of the year, traders are closely monitoring two critical assets: gold (XAUUSD) and crude oil (USOIL). Both commodities are experiencing unique pressures and opportunities that warrant a deeper analysis.

Gold: Navigating uncertainty
Currently, gold is trading around $2,658 (USD) per ounce, maintaining a stable range as market participants await the Federal Reserve's upcoming decision on interest rates. This period of uncertainty has led to a consolidation phase for gold, with key support levels identified around **$2,600**. If prices dip to this level, it could present an attractive buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on gold's safe-haven appeal.

The sentiment surrounding gold is heavily influenced by geopolitical tensions and economic indicators. The potential for a rate cut from the Federal Reserve could bolster demand for gold, as lower interest rates typically diminish the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like bullion. However, if the Fed opts for a more hawkish stance, it may cap any upward movement in gold prices.

Traders should consider adopting a strategy that involves buying on dips, particularly near the support level of $2,600. Implementing stop-loss orders below these levels is crucial to manage risk effectively, especially in this volatile market environment.

Follow this link for more: https://www.exness.com/blog/speculating-gold-crude-oil/

Trader psychology and the benefits of emotional intelligence

Developing self-awareness and the ability to identify and overcome personal biases should be at (or near) the top of your educational to-do list as a trader. Those born to trade share one powerful personal trait: they can look at their behaviors and practices with a critical eye. Emotions like fear, greed, and overconfidence can lead even the most experienced traders astray.

Meanwhile, cognitive biases hardwired into the human brain can cause us to make irrational decisions that sabotage our trading strategies. To truly excel in trader psychology, you must become a student of your own mind.

Follow this link for more: https://www.exness.com/blog/trader-psychology-emotional-intelligence/

Exness Team Pro member, Nicolas Palacios: Charting his own course in the markets

Nicolas Palacios, a prominent figure in the Latin American trading scene and an Exness Team Pro member, has carved a unique path into the financial markets. Starting with a fascination for blockchain and a desire for financial freedom, Nicolas transformed his passion for trading into a career as a professional trader and financial markets influencer. In this interview, he shares his insights, strategies, and commitment to empowering others in the trading world.

You began trading at a young age. What initially sparked your interest in the financial markets, and how did you develop your skills so quickly?
My journey began with a fascination for blockchain technology and the potential offered by financial markets. I was captivated by the idea of achieving financial independence, even though I knew it was risky. Trading seemed like a great opportunity, even as a side hustle, so I immersed myself in learning everything I could about it. I attended seminars, devoured books, participated in workshops—you name it, I did it!

While I’ve had positive results in the beginning, the real key to my development and consistent trading was mastering risk management. For me, that’s the foundation upon which a career in the markets is built. I believe that to be a trader is a matter of discovering that potential and honing the necessary skills.

Are there any financial assets you favor?
Bitcoin and Ethereum have always held a special place in my portfolio. My journey actually began with a YouTube channel dedicated to blockchain technology. I was eager to share my knowledge and enthusiasm about its potential to revolutionize the world. Having a deep understanding of these cryptocurrencies gives me an edge when trading them, though it's crucial to remember that they are high-risk assets.

Tesla is another favorite. I've been an avid follower of the company for years, and believe in their long-term vision.

Your analysis is well respected. Do you regard yourself as part of "team technical" or "team fundamental?"
My trading methodology relies on a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. I use fundamentals to understand the mid- to long-term trends and overall market sentiment. This provides a solid foundation for my trading decisions. I then utilize technical analysis to pinpoint optimal entry and exit points, refining my strategy based on chart patterns and indicators.

I believe it's important to weigh in as many parameters as possible when trading for two key reasons: Firstly, the markets are incredibly interconnected; when one is impacted positively, another might be affected negatively. Look at gold and stocks, for example. Secondly, it is crucial to consider all aspects in order to make a decision that is as calculated as possible. This includes considering economic data, geopolitical events, and even social media sentiment alongside traditional fundamental and technical analysis. By incorporating a holistic view of the market, I can make more informed decisions and increase my chances of positive results.

You have a strong following on social media. In your opinion, what are the unique challenges and opportunities facing traders, and how do you address these in your content?
The trading community is experiencing rapid growth, which presents exciting opportunities and unique challenges. One of the biggest challenges is the need for greater financial literacy and education. Many aspiring traders lack access to reliable information and resources.

That's where I see my role as an educator and mentor. Through my content, I strive to bridge this knowledge gap and empower traders to make informed decisions. I focus on providing clear, concise explanations of trading concepts, risk management strategies, and ethical practices. It's incredibly rewarding to see how my content has helped traders in the region develop their skills and navigate the markets more confidently.

As a crypto enthusiast, do you believe there is a crypto summer on the horizon? What advice would you give to traders who want to navigate such a volatile market?
I'm passionate about cryptocurrencies but approach them with a balanced perspective. They offer the potential for high rewards but also come with significant risks. While I believe a crypto summer could be on the horizon, it's essential to trade these assets responsibly and manage risk effectively. I advise approaching crypto trading with a clear strategy, a disciplined mindset, and a focus on capital preservation.

You are a popular content creator and surely had several offers. Why did you choose to become an Exness Team Pro member? What is it about ETP that resonates with you?
Exness stands out for several reasons. Beyond its impressive size and global reach, Exness prioritizes ethics, technology, and client satisfaction—values that resonate deeply with my own. In the often turbulent world of trading, integrity and transparency are paramount.
Exness has built a solid reputation for upholding these principles, which is incredibly important to me. They're not just focused on profits; they genuinely care about creating a positive and supportive trading environment for their clients.

Being a member of Exness Team Pro is an honor. It allows me to align myself with a brand that I believe in and to contribute to a joint mission of empowering traders worldwide. It also provides me with a fantastic platform to expand my reach as an educator and mentor, sharing my knowledge and passion for trading with a larger audience.

In your opinion, what sets Exness apart from the competition, and what is the key to its success?
Exness has a unique approach, combining cutting-edge technology with a strong ethical foundation. Its frictionless trading experience, favorable trading conditions, seamless withdrawals, and customer-centric approach resonates not only with me but also with other seasoned traders.

Exness strikes a balance between providing powerful tools and maintaining a simple, intuitive interface. This, combined with their dedication to ethical practices and client support, is undoubtedly a contributing factor to its success and my trust in it.

You seem deeply committed to mentoring those who pursue trading. What inspires your passion, and what role do you see yourself playing in the development of trading in your region?
My passion for mentoring is fueled by my belief that financial literacy should be accessible to everyone. Trading has the potential to transform lives, and I'm driven to share my knowledge and experience to help others achieve their financial goals.

I've witnessed how trading can empower individuals, allowing them to create their own path and achieve a level of independence they may not have thought possible. It's incredibly fulfilling to guide aspiring traders, witness their progress, and celebrate their journey. By providing education, mentorship, and support, I hope to contribute to a more financially literate and empowered community of traders.

What piece of advice would you give someone starting their trading journey?
Master money and risk management. That's the key to a long-term trading journey. Focus on preserving your capital and making informed decisions.

Looking ahead, what are your personal goals and aspirations, and how does Exness Team Pro fit into your journey?
My primary goal is to continue educating and empowering traders of all levels to achieve their financial goals. Exness Team Pro provides me with a platform to reach a wider audience and make a greater impact.

I'm excited to continue this journey, collaborating with Exness to promote financial literacy and contribute to the growth of the trading community worldwide.

Exness Team Pro Member, Kojo Forex's journey to success. Was he born to trade?

From trading in a tiny room to partnering with Exness Team Pro, Kojo Forex's story is one of grit, determination, and a relentless pursuit of knowledge. His commitment to empowering others has made him a leading force and inspiration for Ghana's new generation of traders.

Your technical analysis is very well–regarded. Does this mean you're team ‘technical’? What are your thoughts on fundamentals?

I'd say I'm about 80% technical, and the remaining 20% focusing on fundamentals. But my approach has evolved over time. Initially, I was a scalper chasing quick profits in short timeframes. Eventually, I realised that sustainable trading requires a broader perspective. That’s when I shifted my focus to day trading and swing trading, concentrating on the four-hour timeframe.

This change in perspective was a game-changer. I discovered that the markets are interconnected across different timeframes. The volatility I once chased on shorter timeframes now informs my analysis of the four-hour chart. It's like the market speaks the same language, just with varying degrees of detail.

Now, I leverage my day trading knowledge to refine my swing trading entries and exits. While I still keep an eye on the shorter timeframes, I don't get sucked into the noise anymore. I focus on the bigger picture, the overall trend of the market. It's a less stressful approach that’s more aligned with my long-term goals.

Are there any financial assets that you favor?
The Pound has always been my go-to asset, I’ve been trading it since day one. My first significant loss was GBPUSD due to a lack of risk management. I was doubling down on a long position while the market was headed south. It took a couple of days to blow the whole account.

That was a wake-up call, a harsh reminder that discipline and sticking to a strategy are crucial in trading. Through this experience, I also realised I needed to delve deeper into the fundamentals and technical aspects of the asset class. Luckily, this was during the Brexit saga, which was ideal for studying and trading it well.

But even after Brexit, I stuck with the pound. My success with it earned me nicknames like "GBP Legend" and "Emperor of the Pound."

You seem deeply committed to mentoring people who are pursuing trading. What inspires your passion, and what role do you see yourself playing in developing the rising trend of trading in your region?

Trading is becoming popular in Ghana, and I don’t want to be just another trader. I want to be someone who can inspire and guide the next generation. Trading can be a powerful tool for empowerment, but it requires knowledge, discipline, and the right mindset. By mentoring others, I can help them navigate the complexities of the market and develop the skills they need to succeed.

Personally, mentorship is about more than just teaching people how to read charts and place trades. It's about building real, personal connections with my community. Understanding their struggles, motivations, and dreams.

When I started trading, I never had a mentor, but I was lucky enough to have a group of friends who shared the same passion for trading. We learned together, supported each other, and pushed each other to grow. That experience taught me the value of community and the power of shared knowledge. It's why I'm so committed to giving back to the trading community in Ghana. I want to be the mentor that I never had, to guide and support others on their journey to financial freedom.

Mentorship is about knowing that I’ve played a part in their growth. I want to inspire and guide people, help them realise their potential, and make a real difference in their lives and communities.

If you could give one piece of advice to someone starting their trading journey now, what would it be?
Before you think about placing a trade, figure out what trading means to you. Are you looking for a side hustle, or do you see this as a potential career path? This distinction is crucial because it will determine the level of commitment and resources you need to invest.

If trading is a side hustle, it's not that big of a deal; you can experiment, learn, and see what works for you without too much pressure. But if you aim to make trading your main source of income, it's a whole different ball game. It's a huge responsibility, and you must be prepared for it. With trading as your full-time job, you have to treat it like a business. It means you’re the CEO, the accountant, the risk manager, all in one. It’s a huge responsibility, and you need to be prepared for that.

That doesn’t mean you can’t transition from a side hustle to a full-time gig. It’s totally doable, but it requires planning and dedication. Start by building a solid foundation of experience, developing your trading strategy, and aiming for consistency.

The key is to be realistic and honest with yourself. Don't get caught up in the hype of quick riches. Trading takes time, effort, and continuous learning. But if you're willing to put in the work, it can be an incredibly rewarding path.

Born to trade? How Dennis Okari, an investigative journalist turned into professional trading


In this interview with Dennis Okari, we delve deeper into his partnership with Exness, his commitment to mentoring, and his vision for the future of trading in Kenya and beyond.

Being a journalist means that you have the knowledge to investigate how certain events affect the economy and the markets. Does this mean you're more interested in fundamental analysis?
While my journalism background is helpful, I'm primarily a technical trader. However, I strongly believe in a balanced approach. I use fundamentals to see the underlying factors. Fundamentals provide the context—the 'why' behind those movements. Technical analysis helps me spot patterns and trends in the market.

For me, it's like having a toolkit. Technical analysis gives me the tools to navigate the charts, while fundamentals help me understand the bigger picture. Together, they give me a comprehensive strategy and a deeper understanding of what drives the markets.

My experience as a journalist has given me a unique advantage in this regard. I've always had a knack for digging deeper and seeing beyond the headlines. This skill translates directly to trading. For example, during Brexit, my in-depth understanding of the political landscape in the UK gave me valuable insights into how the Pound might react. Similarly, my reporting on the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine conflict helped me anticipate their impact on various assets.

This investigative mindset also informs my trading style. When I was a journalist, time constraints often dictated my trading approach. I focused on swing trading, identifying opportunities, and letting them pan out over longer periods. Now, with a full-time focus on trading, I can explore shorter-term opportunities through day trading. Technical analysis becomes even more critical in this context, allowing me to identify patterns and trends without relying solely on fundamental news.

Are there any financial assets you favor?
I began my trading journey with EURUSD, drawn to its volatility, which is ideal for day trading. As I gained experience and refined my strategies, I discovered that my approach could be adapted to various financial instruments.

I expanded my focus to include USDJPY, and now I trade a wide range of assets, from major currency pairs to indices and commodities. While my core trading philosophy remains consistent across these diverse markets, I tailor my specific strategies to suit the unique characteristics of each asset class. For instance, commodities often exhibit more pronounced trends than currencies, so my approach to trading oil might differ from my strategy for EURUSD.

What is your opinion on cryptocurrencies? Is there a crypto summer on the horizon? Most importantly, do you want to share your views with traders who want to navigate such a volatile asset class?
I'll be honest: I prefer to stick with what I know well. While I'm aware of cryptocurrencies' potential, their extreme volatility gives me pause. Sure, crypto is exciting, but it also comes with significant risks. I prefer to focus on more established markets where I have a deeper understanding of the underlying factors.

That said, I'm not an expert on cryptocurrencies, and I wouldn't want to advise without a full grasp of the intricacies involved. However, for those considering venturing into the crypto space, I'd emphasize the importance of thorough research, a keen eye for patterns, and meticulous risk management. The volatility of cryptocurrencies means that the potential for gains and losses is magnified compared to other markets. So, if you decide to trade crypto, proceed with caution and a well-informed strategy.

What differentiates Exness from other brokers, and what do you think is the key to its success?
The Exness terminal is a game-changer. It's designed to be an all-in-one hub where you can seamlessly manage your pending orders, view real-time calculations, and execute trades without ever leaving the platform. It's incredibly efficient and user-friendly, allowing me to focus on what matters most – making informed trading decisions.

This dedication to streamlining the trading process, combined with its robust technology and commitment to client satisfaction, is the key to Exness' success. Exness understands that traders need a reliable and intuitive platform to navigate the complexities of the financial markets. By continuously innovating and prioritizing its clients’ needs, Exness has created a trading environment that empowers traders to reach their full potential.

You seem deeply committed to mentoring people who are pursuing trading. What inspires your passion, and what role do you see yourself playing in developing the rise of trading in your region?
My passion for mentoring stems from my own journey and the transformative power of financial freedom. I vividly remember the joy and sense of accomplishment when I purchased my first washing machine and dining room table with my trading profits. It was a tangible reminder that I could achieve financial goals beyond my regular salary.

This experience ignited a desire to share my knowledge and empower others to achieve their dreams. I love seeing the spark in my students' eyes as they grasp new concepts and the pride they feel when they achieve their first profitable trade. It's immensely gratifying to guide them through the challenges and pitfalls I faced, helping them avoid unnecessary mistakes and accelerate their learning curve.

By fostering financial literacy and providing accessible education, I can help empower individuals to take control of their financial future. My ultimate goal is to cultivate a thriving community of traders who are not only knowledgeable but also confident and responsible in their approach to the markets.

What is the one piece of advice you could give someone who is beginning their trading journey?
Start now, but start with education. Knowledge is the cornerstone of any successful endeavor, and trading is no exception. No one is born with an innate understanding of the markets, so invest time learning the fundamentals.

Remember, success in trading isn't solely measured by profits. It's about personal growth, resilience, and the ability to bounce back from setbacks. Everyone's journey is unique. Focus on continuous learning, develop a solid strategy, and, most importantly, don't be afraid to start. The best time to begin your trading journey is now.

Disclaimer: The information in this material is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as containing investment advice or an offer of solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Neither the presenter nor Exness takes into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation and assumes no liability to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information provided, nor for any loss arising from any information supplied. Any opinions made throughout the presentation are strictly personal to the presenters and may not reflect the opinions of Exness. Past performance does not guarantee or predict future performance. Seek independent advice if necessary.

No Fine Print: Why transparency matters in the world of trading
Transparency - a given, not a nice-to-have



The global Contract for Difference (CFD) market has grown spectacularly over the past decades and shows no signs of slowing down, with an estimated annual compound growth rate of 4.3% from 2023 to 2028. CFD trading offers convenient, low-cost access to assets like oil, gold, currencies, and stocks, making it appealing to traders worldwide. Yet, with this convenience comes complexity—and that means risk.

CFDs are intricate financial instruments, and brokers often have flexibility in setting fees and spreads, which are not always fully disclosed. This is when transparency becomes critical for traders seeking fairness and clarity in their transactions. Transparency is no longer a “nice-to-have” but a foundational expectation in today’s trading landscape.

As traders’ preferences evolve, so does their expectation of transparency. The "Born to Trade" spirit calls for clarity and reliability, and Exness, one of the world’s largest brokers, leads by example, setting the standard for transparency and trustworthiness.

Why is it important?
In the complex world of trading, where markets can change in milliseconds, traders need clarity on fees, policies, and practices to make informed decisions and build trust with their brokers.

Transparency in trading is about more than disclosure; it’s about enabling traders to make empowered decisions based on clear, reliable information. Here’s how transparency plays out in practice:
Clarity on fees and costs: Transparent brokers offer straightforward information on fees, commissions, and spreads, ensuring traders know exactly what they’re paying and why. This transparency removes hidden charges and surprises.
Insight into execution practices: Transparency includes providing details on how orders are executed and what factors influence pricing. Brokers that clearly explain their execution practices give traders confidence in how their trades are handled.
Open communication channels: Reliable customer support and clear communication build trust by providing traders with timely responses to questions and concerns, enhancing their trading experience.

When brokers operate transparently, they build trust and confidence, allowing their clients to focus on what matters most: achieving their trading goals.

How technology exemplifies transparency
As the demand for transparency grows, technology has become a critical tool for brokers aiming to meet this expectation. Hidden fees and unclear terms can erode trust, instilling feelings of uncertainty.

Through advanced data analysis, algorithmic pricing, and high-speed execution systems, brokers can create a trading environment that offers real-time data and supports tight, predictable spreads and efficient transaction processing. These technological advancements allow brokers to maintain consistency, even during high volatility, by minimizing price deviations, ensuring that trades are executed with precision.

Exness: Fueling traders’ decision-making
Exness is a prime example of a broker leveraging technology to achieve transparency and build trust. The company ensures that all traders—regardless of experience level—can access accurate information on spreads, fast execution speeds, and risk management tools.

Through pricing algorithms and real-time data analysis, Exness maintains tight and stable spreads, even during volatility periods such as high-impact news*. This consistency ensures traders avoid unexpected price shifts, making costs predictable and transparent.

Exness’ infrastructure is also designed to offer better-than-market conditions with ultra-fast trade execution. With latency as low as a few milliseconds, slippage is minimized, focusing on bridging traders to the prices they expect. By reducing the time it takes to execute trades, Exness enhances transparency and gives traders more control over their transactions.

Seamless withdrawals are another result of Exness’s technological investment. Automated systems monitor trading activity around the clock, flagging any potentially suspicious actions. This setup enables Exness to streamline withdrawals, allowing 95% of requests to be processed in under 1 minute. This efficiency aligns with Exness’ commitment to transparency by ensuring that funds reach their rightful owners without delays (at least on the broker’s end), adding another layer of trust and reliability.

By providing full visibility on pricing and eliminating hidden fees, Exness fosters a trusting relationship with its traders. Exness’ approach to transparency means that all terms are clear, fees are straightforward, and policies are crafted for traders’ ease of understanding.

Whether it’s spreads, fees, or execution times, Exness provides traders with the complete picture, allowing them to make proactive, strategic decisions. This creates an environment where trust and accountability are no longer a matter of expectation. Exness' commitment to transparency and accountability as its core values, together with multiple regulatory licenses, has garnered the trust of hundreds of thousands of traders, transforming the company into one of the world's largest retail brokers.



*Spreads may fluctuate and widen due to factors including market volatility and liquidity, news releases, economic events, when markets open or close, and the type of instruments being traded

The invisible enemy: Why your biggest trading challenge is lurking between your ears

An opinion article by Negin Sadat Negahdari, Exness Senior Business Development Manager

As traders, we often obsess over external factors, meticulously analyzing every market fluctuation, yet neglect the internal landscape that truly dictates our journey in the markets. In reality, the most formidable opponent traders face isn’t in the market; it's in their minds. Yes, trading psychology, often overshadowed by technical analysis and market strategies, is the hidden engine that powers traders’ consistency.

While many aspire to conquer the markets, few truly grasp the profound impact of their thoughts and feelings on their trading outcomes. Without emotional resilience and a disciplined mindset, even the most well-researched trading strategy can unravel the moment your trading activity is at stake. Developing a disciplined trader mindset isn’t just important; it’s essential.

Consider the seismic shift from demo to live trading. In the risk-free environment of a demo account, strategies feel clear, confidence is high, and there’s little fear of loss. But in the high-stakes world of live trading, clarity is often clouded by fears of loss or the tantalizing lure of quick gains. Suddenly, decisions that seemed straightforward become loaded with emotion.

The crucial takeaway here? Consistent trading isn’t just about predicting the markets but mastering oneself. The big disconnect is that an overwhelming majority of traders recognize the need for a concrete strategy yet struggle to consistently translate that strategy into disciplined action. Emotions like greed, regret, FOMO (fear of missing out), and ego insidiously creep in and hijack our rational minds, sabotaging even the best-laid plans.

Greed might compel a trader to hold a winning position for too long, ignoring warning signs in hopes of ever-higher profits. FOMO can lure traders into impulsive decisions, jumping into trades without solid analysis, undermining consistency. Regret—those nagging “What if?” thoughts—can lead traders to chase the market instead of assessing it objectively. Then there’s ego, driving traders to prove themselves right at the expense of rational analysis. Each of these emotions interferes with decision-making and often ends in regret.

Interestingly, experience plays a role in how traders handle these psychological challenges. Younger traders are often more susceptible to emotional decisions. But there is good news. As traders become more seasoned, they rely more on concrete strategies than gut feeling. This is the power of self-awareness at play.

This shift hints at trading psychology maturing over time – a skill honed by experience and reflection. Keeping a trading journal, for example, is like holding a mirror to our minds, allowing us to identify the emotional triggers that influence our trading decisions. Setting realistic profit targets, implementing risk management, and cultivating a disciplined approach to trading can help traders start eliminating self-defeating habits.

Consistency in trading isn’t about being right every time; it’s about managing risk well and using mistakes as stepping stones for improvement. As George Soros wisely said, “It’s not whether you’re right or wrong, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.” This perspective teaches traders to view losses as part of the process, shifting the focus from individual trades to overall growth.

Ultimately, trading psychology is a skill that separates those who merely dabble in the markets from those who build resilience and endurance. For traders striving to achieve lasting results, mastering the mind is as crucial as mastering the charts. Emotional resilience, discipline, and self-reflection are the foundations of a consistent trading career. Without them, your financial gains will be as unpredictable as the markets themselves.

The Oracle of Omaha is bracing for a market shake-up

Warren Buffett’s recent moves at Berkshire Hathaway are raising eyebrows across global markets. The “Oracle of Omaha” has offloaded nearly $10 billion in Bank of America stock, while steadily accumulating cash and buying back Berkshire shares. This shift has traders asking: what does Buffett see coming?

While Buffett has always championed long-term investing in quality businesses, his latest actions may indicate deeper concerns. With a growing cash reserve, he appears to be preparing Berkshire to weather potential storms. Investors may want to take note, as these decisions could offer insights into broader economic trends.

Cash is king—again
Buffett’s cash build-up suggests caution. His approach has always been conservative, but his remarks about “casino-like” markets last year hint at skepticism about today’s valuations. Holding more cash provides flexibility to take advantage of buying opportunities in downturns. For traders, this could mean that keeping an eye on cash-equivalent assets and the US dollar index (DXY) may reveal how markets react to perceived overvaluation.

Bank stocks and blue-chip shares
With Berkshire selling Bank of America shares, some might wonder if there are concerns about the banking sector. Although Berkshire has historically been a big player in financial stocks, Buffett’s latest moves imply he might see risks in the sector’s exposure to rising interest rates and economic fluctuations. Watching USD pairs like USD/JPY or USD/CHF could offer traders insight into how the dollar responds to shifts in the financial sector.

Meanwhile, Buffett’s buybacks signal confidence in Berkshire’s value. This focus on blue-chip stability could mean traders should consider monitoring indices tied to established, resilient companies. Despite cuts in tech holdings like Apple, Buffett’s actions point towards safer assets—ones that weather volatility well.

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The biggest economic events you shouldn’t ignore in week 41

On Monday, October 7, the EU Sentix Investor Confidence release will be the first to grab attention. Scheduled for 08:30 GMT, this survey measures investor sentiment across the Eurozone. The euro, European equities, and even global indices like the DAX are expected to feel the ripples from this report. The last reading showed declining confidence, and if this trend continues, it could signal further economic pessimism in the Eurozone. Euro traders might want to brace for either relief or disappointment.

Tuesday, October 8, brings the German Industrial Production numbers at 06:00 GMT. With Germany being the powerhouse of Europe, industrial production stats are always a key indicator of overall economic health. The euro and the DAX will be directly affected, but global markets could also react, depending on the data. Last month's numbers came in weaker than expected, so markets are anticipating either a rebound or continued contraction. A stronger-than-expected report could give the euro some upward momentum, while another weak release would reinforce recession fears.

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The coming black swan hype: Is it legit?

You’ve probably seen or heard the term “Black Swan event” popping up in financial media recently. What exactly is a black swan event, and is one coming?
A true Black Swan event can’t be predicted—by definition. If someone is forecasting one, they either don’t understand the concept, or worse, they’re using it to generate fear and hype. Let's cut through the noise and talk about what a Black Swan really is and why traders should not let the term throw them off their strategy

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What is a Black Swan event?
A Black Swan event, as popularized by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, refers to an event that is:

Extremely rare and outside the realm of regular expectations.
Unpredictable, meaning no existing models or data could have reasonably anticipated it.
Massively impactful, causing widespread consequences across markets, economies, or societies.
The key takeaway is that Black Swan events are so improbable that they can’t be foreseen, even by experts. This is where the current media usage of the term gets things wrong.

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Don’t fall for the growing oil crisis narrative yet

As tensions escalate between Israel and Iran, talks of supply disruptions are triggering sentiment shifts and market volatility, but what might really happen to USOIL prices in the coming weeks?

One of the oldest adages in trading is “buy the rumor, sell the news.” This approach or perspective suggests that prices often rise on speculation (or rumors) of a potential event but fall when the actual event comes and goes and the news is fully digested. Let’s break down the USOIL narrative forming right now.

The Rumor - Fear of a broader Middle East conflict has led to speculation about supply disruptions, driving oil prices up.

The News - As the conflict progresses and news confirms that oil supplies remain relatively unaffected, prices could fall back to previous levels, as the panic subsides and the market realizes the worst-case scenario has not materialized.

That’s one example of how investor sentiment alone can move markets without a real-world underlying mechanism or change. Those holding and refining crude oil prefer the prices to be high, but not too high, as it tends to trigger political tensions and even trade wars.

Follow this link for more: https://exness.social/3BtE3ou