Random wandering - page 15
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All SB branches end up winning patients)
Yes, the disease is very contagious and not well treated. Very badly. Mathematicians are almost always immune, but lyricists and physicists with a good imagination are easy. And they become chronic and suffer for years. No remedy helps. No maths, no logic, no Mathcad, no merged score. OK, let's go in from the other side, let's try the "Danish King's drops":
If there was a way in nature to make money from random wandering, there would be no roulette in casinos!
Yes, the disease is highly contagious
I think they all just confuse random walk and random process. Not surprisingly, the terminology contributes to this confusion.
I have a different hypothesis. Looking at the SB stock chart, it is easy to "spot" the relationship between neighbouring quotes. It seems that if the quotes have deviated strongly up or down, they are "bound" to come back. Looking at the roulette wheel, no "fantasies" arise. You can see with your own eyes that each roll of the ball is exactly independent of the previous one.
It's just like that joke: I haven't read it, but I condemn it. No one has tried it, but everyone agrees that there is no point.
There were some very good monitors in one thread recently, there are people with good trading strategies, just to check the expectation from good robots on regular charts and on SB.
And why taste the crap when you know it's crap?
I have a different hypothesis. Looking at the SB stock chart, it is easy to "see" the correlation between neighbouring quotations. It seems that if the quotes have deviated strongly up or down, they are "bound" to come back. Looking at the roulette wheel, no "fantasies" arise. You can see with your own eyes that each roll of the ball is exactly independent of the previous one.
Not the... the ball. But you can draw a graph: ball on red - tick up, ball on black - tick down. And so on, several ticks combine to form a bar, attach an indicator to the resulting chart...
And why taste shit when you know it's shit?
Here's the thing. There is an assumption that a good system does not care what the chart is, EURUSD, BTCUSD, Temp or SB, here the confusion arises because many people think they need to predict and guess something, and need to make money.
Here's the thing. There is an assumption that a good system does not care what the chart is, EURUSD, BTCUSD, Temp or SB, the confusion here arises because many people think that they need to predict and guess something, and need to make money.
How long can this nonsense be cultivated?
Assumptions... talk... talk... in Moscow, chickens are being milked.
In order to make money, you need to open a position in the right direction - to guess, to assume, to predict, to predict.
How long can this nonsense be cultivated?
Assumptions... talk... talk... In Moscow, chickens are being milked.
In order to make money, you need to open a position in the right direction - to guess, to assume, to predict, to predict.
Well, I'm sure of that, I wanted to confirm it with practice.
The SB chart and the financial instrument chart are not much different. But in financial instruments it is easier to recognize the future direction due to external factors: interest rates, pandemics, wars, fears, rumors... In SB, no such breeze blows and does not nudge the chart. But with TA the SB chart can be predicted as well as the financial one, ATS do not pay attention to external factors either, they act only according to a given algorithm.
Here, a man on the subject. All this talk about efficient markets is good for the analysts on RBC: Why we screwed up the forecast.