Apophenia - page 5

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Veniamin Skrepkov:

If he ( a trader !?) does not make decisions based on data, this subject is a "creative person" who uses his imagination without any signals from the outside, let's assume one person sees ( something), and another imagines ( the same thing) and the tomography will show the same brain activity areas and no neurolinguist will not determine who is who without additional data, in one case the person looks at a storefront with vodka and in another the patient with fever. In our case what option??

I'll tell you right off the bat, the analysis is very profitable.

but there are some geeks out there

- they map natural phenomena and try to pipsqueak on it.

- and put levels on the price tag in the shop.

and so on.

proper thechanalysis gives a positive result before waiting for the desired direction of price movement/reversal, and is not post factum

however, this does not mean that if you pull a net into a counter-trend on a quote, it will still reverse at some point, far from it

 
Renat Akhtyamov:

I'll tell you right off the bat, theanalysis is a very profitable business.

but there are some geeks out there

- match natural phenomena and try to pivot on it.

- and put levels on the price tag in the shop

and so on.

proper technical analysis gives a positive result before waiting for the desired direction of price movement/reversal, and is not post factum

However, this does not mean that if you put a net in the counter-trend on a quotidian, it will still unfold at some point, far from it

I agree, technical analysis is a significant factor, the author of the branch raised a question "the ability of our brain to attach meaning to such things that initially make no sense". Most likely there are differences in market situation assessment approaches, i.e. we use different blocks of knowledge (or their absence) and structure them arbitrarily and on this basis self-deception "which initially makes no sense" occurs. i.e. knowledge does not correspond to the structure or the structure is outside the scope of knowledge.

 
Veniamin Skrepkov:

I agree, technical analysis is an essential factor, the author of the branch raised a question - "the ability of our brain to attach meaning to such things that initially make no sense. Most likely there are differences in approaches to assessing the market situation, i.e. we use different blocks of knowledge (or their absence) and structure them arbitrarily, on this basis self-deception "which initially makes no sense" occurs. i.e. either the knowledge does not correspond to the structure or the structure is outside the scope of knowledge .

self-deception is inherent, most often in any "his" theory or development that "no one knows".

even if it looks perfect.

I outline the situation

a super system, which has never been wrong, gives a verdict: BUY!

the market maker sits there and bluntly turns the price down, regardless of anyone else's algorithms or calculations.

;))))))))

so 100% systems are self-defeating !!!
 
Renat Akhtyamov:


therefore, 100% systems are self-defeating !!!

I am by no means questioning that you are an intelligent and literate man.

But I don't agree with your last statement.

Let's try and have a debate. Others may join in.

Well, for example, what is the financial market? In layman's terms.

it's what people do, whether it's corporations, firms, brexits or wars.

All this is reflected in the market, and in particular in the chart.

Let's try to simplify things further. For example, there is a red-hot stove,

You put your finger to it and touch it. What do you do?

Right, you pull your hand away. There could be a million examples like that))) and more.

That is, examples where there will be a 100% result of a person's actions.

And since the market is what a person does, you can predict.

This is my opinion.

 
Aleksandr Yakovlev:

I am by no means questioning that you are an intelligent and literate man.

But I don't agree with your last statement.

Let's try and have a debate. Others may join in.

Well, for example, what is the financial market? In layman's terms.

it's what people do, whether it's corporations, firms, brexits or wars.

All this is reflected in the market, and in particular in the chart.

Let's try to simplify things further. For example, there is a red-hot stove,

You put your finger to it and touch it. What do you do?

Right, you pull your hand away. There could be a million examples like that))) and more.

That is, examples where there will be a 100% result of a person's actions.

And since the market is what a person does, you can predict.

This is my opinion.

First place in the forex market is occupied by international trade relations.

The price depends on them.

Speculative capital provides liquidity in the market.

Everyone is happy to have speculators.)

 
Uladzimir Izerski:

The forex market is dominated by international trade relations.

The price depends on them.

Speculative capital provides liquidity in the market.

Everyone is happy to have speculators.)

Well, that's human action too, after all.

 

Aleksandr Yakovlev:

...what is the financial market? In general terms.

it's what one does, whether it's corporations, firms, brexits or wars.

All this is reflected in the market and in the chart in particular.

...

And since the market is what a person does, you can predict.

This is my opinion.

it is even simpler

if the signal lasts three years, you're right about a man from the community.

if not - you are also right, but about a person from the circle of financial market owners

depending on the result we will judge my post

in any financial market it is all about maintaining balance, but that is another story
 
Renat Akhtyamov:

even simpler.

If the signal lasts three years, you're right about the public man.

If not, you're also right, but about a person from the financial market owners' circle.

depending on the outcome we will judge my post

In any financial market, it is all about maintaining balance, but that is another story

Renat, you have to go along with the economy of the country.

Keep track of all the rumours. They are the best indicator.

 
Uladzimir Izerski:

Renat, you have to go along with the country's economy.

Keep track of all the rumours. They are the best indicator.

I've had it in the past, but it doesn't work 100%.

It works better when you create those rumors.

for example: so-and-so bank has opened a large sell position in euros, you can buy right after that

 
Renat Akhtyamov:

even simpler.

If the signal lasts three years, you're right about the community man.

if not, you're right too, but about a financial market owner.

depending on the result, we'll judge my post

In any financial market, it is all about maintaining balance, but that is another story

OK, don't flatter me about my being right)))

Let's try and develop the topic on a 100% system. If you don't mind?

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