Forecasting - page 8

 
Yuriy Asaulenko:
You are very much mistaken about the makers. But DCs really can - it doesn't cost them a penny.

Makers use a huge number of interconnected tools. It is well thought out and time tested.
 
Thank you for the conversation. It's time for a rest.
 
Uladzimir Izerski:

Makers use a huge number of interlinked tools. It's well thought out and time-tested.


That's right.

 
Thank you all for the conversation and the company! I wish you all the best!
 
Uladzimir Izerski:

These brokerages use a large number of interrelated tools. It is well thought out to the smallest detail and has been tested over time.

No doubt about it. If you're referring to an exchange, you can even see the list of makers, the instruments they curate, and their terms of service in that capacity.

If you're talking about the exchange, the makers do not know about your stops - they can only speculate.)

If you are a Forex broker, you do not need a maker at all, there is a brokerage company for that.

 
Yuriy Asaulenko:

Wrong. If you listen to Rock FM a lot, the probability becomes much greater. Similarly, so does the direction of travel.

Someone said 50/50 in the market. So in the market, 0.5 is a pretty good probability. In poker it's 1/6-1/9, and people make good money on it.)


The probability of success in a single entry into the market is really 0.5 or a little less, due to the spread. But it's not enough to enter once in order to achieve the final profit. We enter N times and the final probability of success turns out to be a negligible value, equal to 0.5^N. Conclusion - a random process cannot be predicted to achieve any goal.
 
prikolnyjkent:

The stability of the world around us is a strong confirmation of this

A chain of random processes has its own, often unknown to us, regularity. In some cases, this regularity has been found, e.g. in the case of PV=RT due to the fact that gas processes depend on a limited number of parameters.
 
Yuriy Asaulenko:
Me too, sometimes. And it seems to be pretty good).

This shows that there is much less probability in the market than in the case of poker.
 
Yuriy Asaulenko:
You are very much mistaken about the makers. But the DCs really can - it doesn't cost them a penny.

Within their DC, and globally, neither can they.
 
Yousufkhodja Sultonov:

The probability of success with a single entry is indeed 0.5 or slightly less, due to the spread. But it is not enough to enter once in order to achieve the final profit. We enter N times and the final probability of success turns out to be a negligible value, equal to 0.5^N. Conclusion - a random process cannot be predicted to achieve any goal.
Yes, it is possible! Good! Then what is the probability that the President of the Russian Federation walks into your office?