Forecasting - page 7

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Uladzimir Izerski:

Guessing a song has a 1 in 100,000 probability but the direction of price movement?

Wrong. If you listen to Rock FM a lot, the probability becomes much greater. Similarly, so does the direction of travel.

Someone said 50/50 in the market. So in the market, 0.5 is a pretty good probability. In poker, it's 1/6-1/9 and people make good money on it.)

 
Yuriy Asaulenko:

Wrong. If you listen to Rock-FM a lot, the probability becomes much greater. Similarly, so does the direction of travel.

Someone said 50/50 in the market. So in the market, 0.5 is a pretty good probability. In poker it's 1/6-1/9, and people make good money on it.)


I play poker quite successfully even with that probability.
 
Uladzimir Izerski:

I play poker quite successfully even with that probability.
Me too, sometimes. And I seem to be pretty good at it.)
 
dimozg:

... This is solved by an organised relationship between prices in the time series...


Explain...

Are you suggesting that we should SUPPLY our ignorance of the real situation at market makers with an artificially "glued" matrix function...?

Yes this gluing would be a pittance even if the behaviour of price and function were to coincide for some time... For, the coincidence will be pure chance.

Maker will not look at the"time series". He will simply direct the price behind the moose


 
prikolnyjkent:


Explain...

Are you suggesting that we should SUPPLY our ignorance of the real situation at market makers with an artificially "glued" matrix function...?

Yes this gluing would be a pittance even if the behaviour of price and function were to coincide for some time... For, the coincidence would be pure chance.

Maker will not look at the "time series". He will simply guide the price behind the moose.



There is no substitution. The wavelet is not a glued function but real mathematical analysis . The tool is widely used and is making tremendous progress.
 
prikolnyjkent:


The maker will not look at the 'time series'. He will simply direct the price behind the moose

You are very much mistaken about the makers. But DCs really can - it doesn't cost them a penny.
 
dimozg:

There is no substitution. The wavelet is not a glued function but real mathematical analysis . The tool is widely used and is making huge strides.

And it misleads many people into believing that it has an unshakable advantage.
 
dimozg:

There is no substitution. The wavelet is not a glued function but real mathematical analysis . The tool is widely used and is making tremendous progress.


Analysis can only show what really exists.

And we, in fact, have a situation where the maker, in order not to worry about his dough, just has to move the price in a REMARKABLE way ... and that's it...
Spread will do all the work necessary to take money from people who have chosen the forecasting path

(eh, sorry to leave...but sleep will have to do. Thank you all for a pleasant conversation. See you tomorrow...)


 
Uladzimir Izerski:

And misleads many in the hope of its unshakable advantage.

There are gaps everywhere, virtues too.
 
Uladzimir Izerski:

And misleads many in the hope of its unshakable advantage.
That's for sure.
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