Not the Grail, just a regular one - Bablokos!!! - page 105
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Well, that's easy. knowing full well that a coin has no memory etc. etc. and that it doesn't know that it's already struck heads 40 times in a row, I'm more likely to win if I start betting on tails, no matter who says what. There's no strict explanation or proof other than what the joker said. But there is, for example, the fact that red has never fallen more than 40 times in a row on the same roulette wheel, and that's enough. Naturally, such a pattern is extremely rare and therefore also reliable. And we don't need to increase the bet 40 times - that's absurd. Those times we skip, or we bet on black). Another pattern - N times in a row change colours (even, odd) and start betting on its repetition. On currencies I have seen a maximum of eleven times one colour in a row and 10 times a colour change, before its repetition.
It's a strange way of reasoning. First you say you understand perfectly well that a coin has no memory, and then you contradict yourself and start talking this nonsense. So you don't understand.
The fact that the red did not fall out more than 40 times - who told you such nonsense? Do all the owners of all the roulette machines in the world report to you regularly? Someone, for example, has a toy roulette at home and plays it from time to time - and do these people report to you too?
And even if they don't, who cares? The probability doesn't change whether it does or doesn't. The probability is always the same and easily calculated mathematically. So you can skip anything and everything you want, but it won't make any difference, because as you yourself pointed out, "a coin has no memory". And why are you suddenly jumping from coin/roulette to currency market? They are actually different things. The market is not a SB and it has a memory. So don't get all mixed up in one pile.
Yeah, you guys are really on fire here... After all, even in the real market, which has a memory and various patterns and correlations, only 5% of traders survive. And here you find hot guys who do not need any patterns and correlations at all to make money. They can manage a coin and a roulette... Well, well... Let's have total chaos! And the market is just for beginners))
Your reasoning is strange. First you say you understand perfectly well that the coin has no memory, and then you start contradicting yourself and bring this absurdity. So you don't understand.
The fact that red hasn't come out more than 40 times - who told you such nonsense? Do all the roulette owners in the world report to you regularly? Someone, for example, has a toy roulette at home and plays it from time to time - do these people report to you too?
And even if they don't, who cares? The probability doesn't change whether it does or doesn't. The probability is always the same and easily calculated mathematically. So you can skip anything and everything you want, but it won't make any difference, because as you yourself pointed out, "a coin has no memory". And why are you suddenly jumping from coin/roulette to currency market? They are actually different things. The market is not a SB and it has a memory. So don't get all mixed up in one pile.
I purposely clarified the lack of memory of a coin, so that the "knowledgeable" don't try to enlighten me. I am aware that it all sounds like an outrage, or as you put it "absurd". Nevertheless, the fact remains that I believe exactly as I have written. About all the roulette in the world - I don't give a shit, to put it mildly. 40 times (google to help me) - it's "officially" known "record", and even if it's fake, too, whatever, the point is not that. The point is that according to you "probability is always the same and can be easily calculated mathematically" - it is a theory and it is not supported by practice. You can accuse me of heresy, but show me the GSC (1.0) in at least 1 million iterations, and tell me how many times in a row the maximum fell 0. We are not talking about an individual shot, but about a SERIES - it is a fundamental difference. If I see that the theory diverges from the practice - fuck the theory, no matter how honourable its authors may be.
And I compare the market with a roulette/coin because the fact that the market has a memory did not really work out to make money, so I decided to try to approach it as an SB, and apply the appropriate techniques.
Here https://forum.mql4.com/ru/13949/page7 discussion four years ago of the same old thread on al**ri from nell, when he first came to forex from the casino and did not know how to attach an indicator to a chart. But that was his plus point, his experience as a player and "unspoiled" by market dogma. I read that chapter completely, checked it in practice and repeatedly got convinced that, knowing the statistics, almost any TS with MM can be profitable, or at least reduce losses many times over. And this without martin. In the books not to poke my nose - I read, I know that there "proven and vindicated". Whatever. I checked it and it worked. In that branch there are such interesting pictures, 1 - fix lot, 2 - MM from nekollah (though with "minimartin"). The source code is not in the branch, or rather the rarer is password protected, but I'm sure that local coding monsters can easily reproduce the nekollah turkey.
Yeah, you guys are really on fire here... After all, even in the real market, which has a memory and various patterns and correlations, only 5% of traders survive. And here you find hot guys who do not need any patterns and correlations at all to make money. They can manage a coin and a roulette... Well, well... Let's have total chaos! And the market is just for beginners))
Description of the indices from nell:
there are two pictures.... with an example of how the indicator works..." The probability is always the same and can be easily calculated mathematically" is a theory and is not supported by practice. You can accuse me of heresy, but show me the HSC (1.0) in at least 1 million iterations, and tell me how many times in a row the maximum was 0. We are not talking about an individual roll, but about a SERIES - this is a fundamental difference. If I see that the theory diverges from practice - screw the theory, no matter how honourable its authors may be.
So what is the discrepancy? You don't think a zero can fall 50 times in a row? On what basis do you argue that? Are you going to argue with mathematics? Or do you think because you haven't seen it yourself, it can't be? For example, if you've never been hit by a car, then it can't hit you at all?
Before that official roulette result, a lot of sceptics must have been screaming at the mouth that it couldn't happen. And tomorrow it will fall 50 times in a row, so they will start screaming that it certainly will not fall more than 50, etc.
And I compare the market with roulette/coin, because the fact that the market has a memory did not work out well for earning, so I decided to try to approach it as SB, and use appropriate tricks.
Great logic: if you have failed to cope with a simple thing, you should embark on a complex one. You're a beauty! ))
And why do you tell me all about this Nikola? Who is he? What did he achieve? Does he have a PAMM or any other confirmation of his achievements? And it does not take much intelligence to build all sorts of false theories that purportedly refute known laws. There are enough "smart guys" in this thread without him.
How much have you earned on the " real market, which has a memory and there are various patterns and correlations" with such a conservative approach? I doubt it, otherwise you wouldn't be sitting here...
Made enough money. Until Broco went bust, I had a pamm there, the very first in the rankings. I traded on Brokaw's forum under the same nickname as I do here. I trade on specific market patterns. Did you think this was a gathering of losers?
inoy:.
...I read that thread in full, checked it in practice and was repeatedly convinced that, knowing the statistics of outcomes, almost any TS with MM can be made profitable, or at least reduce losses by times....
....
And why are you suddenly jumping from coin/roulette to currency market? They are actually different things. The market is not a SB and it has a memory. So don't get all mixed up in one pile.
In general it has been written 100500 times why, if it is not clear at all, read North Wind about his yellow smoked fingernail.
BBP, you should talk sense, you're a talented philosopher.
In general it has been written 100500 times why, if it is not clear at all, read North Wind about his yellow smoked fingernail.
BBP, you should speak for a reason, you are a talented philosopher.
I'm telling you the point, it's a no-brainer to retroactively match the MM to any chart.
That's what you're doing here. And when it comes down to it, that's the end of it.
And that's right, because it's easy and natural and well deserved.