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Mischek, вы путаете цену и приращение к ней. Смотрите файл.
TAVARIQUE, what difference does it make !The price is not random it's just that we don't know the reasons that drive the price. But if you think about it that way, in the end the price is still random to us personally. No one can say 100% that it will go up or down. Yes, nominally, the price is not random...but because we do not know the exact causes of price formation and where it will move too...so we end up with a random fluctuation.
I think so. If you cannot understand the pattern, you can assume that it simply does not exist. Although from the point of view of the exact sciences, of course there is.-How should it be traded?
-What would and would not work in this case?
What would be your suggestions?
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Medway price generator - in the attached file.
We will trade an uptrend. Then we'll find out what the substance is.
Я думаю так. Если нельзя понять закономерность, то можно предположить, что её просто нет. Хотя с точки зрения точных наук она конечно есть.
The very fact that the price exists is an indication that there are reasons for it. We don't know what those reasons are ...even though they are there. But for us personally, if we don't know them, it's like they don't exist. We don't know the reasons = we don't know where the price will go = random walks. Conclusion, the price moves completely randomly for us. But if we knew the exact reason why the Eurobucks would go up by 100 pips say, an insider. Then the price is not random for us. We know the exact reason = we can tell exactly where it will move. Let's open the whole deposit and go))). And we don't know the reasons ... but they are there - but we don't care about them. But no one knows for sure....Случайность, сомнению не подвергается...
И тут возникают вопросы:
- Как им торговать?
- Что в этом случае будет, а что не будет работать?
Каковы будут ваши предожения?
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I suggest trading Medvedium, Putium, Yeltsium, etc. simultaneously to all buy (or all to sell), and in an hour (two, three...), when in your opinion there are very few positive trades, and their profit is ok (well, if you do not look at the negative), take away the positive ones and double the negative ones
familiar, eh?
well, in any case, in some kind of non-veteran way ))))
A normal salesman, for example a refrigerator manufacturer, studies the market, the demand, the competition and looks for his niche in marketing. But we do not know any of this in our trade. So bears and euras make no difference.
-How should it be traded?
-What will and will not work in this case?
What are your suggestions?
-They are right to say not to trade them.
They say, -Nothing will work, there is more chance in roulette, let's withdraw the deposit and go to the casino.
The whole point of TS comes down to catching a non-random component by all available means and trade it. Everything else gives nothing in theory, although practically it is possible to get something, purely by chance and for a short time. A trap for fools.
As soon as the pattern dies, we start looking for the next one and so on until we get bored.