EURUSD - Trends, Forecasts and Implications (Part 1) - page 585

[Helex]

It's a little early to settle in and we'll sleep in the morning.

[[Deleted]]

Nah, looks like we're storming the high ground again.

[Alexander Mostovnek]

Folks, someone post the table with the news for today!

[STA2066]

Wed Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Thu Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Thu Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Thu Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Thu Mon 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 January February March April May June July August September October November December 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 CALENDAR OF EVENTS Time (MoC) Country Date Events Forecast Previous value Monday, November 16, 2009 (MSC) Forecast Previous 02:50 Japan 3Q GDP +0.7% qoq +2.9% +0.7% q/q +2.7% 12:00 Italy Oct Consumer Price Index (CPI) Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) +0.1% mom +0.3% y/y +0.5% mom +0.4% mom +0.1% mom +0.3% y/y +0.5% mom +0.4% y/y 13:00 Eurozone Oct Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) Core HICP +0.3% mom -0.1% y/y +1.1% y/y +0.1% mom -0.3% y/y +1.2% y/y 16:30 Canada Sen Manufacturing Sales +1.7% mom -2.1% m/m 16:30 USA Oct Retail Sales (Retail Sales Ex-Autos) Retail Sales Ex-Autos +0.9% mom +0.4% mom -1.5% mom +0.5% mom 16:30 USA Nov New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing activity index (Empire State Manufacturing) 30.00 34.57 18:00 USA Sen Business Inventories -0.7% mom -1.5% mom

[Artem Sidorov]

		Monday, 16 June
00:01	Great Britain.	Rightmove House Price Index (m/m) / Rightmove House Prices (MoM)	November.	- -	- -	2.8%	- -
00:01	Great Britain.	Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) / Rightmove House Prices (YoY)	November.	- -	- -	0.2%	- -
00:30	Japan.	BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa to Speak at Forum in Tokyo	Nov. 16
07:00	EC	Changes in new car registrations in EU / EU 25 New Car Registrations	Oct.	- -	- -	6.3%	- -
08:00	EC	Belgian Finance Forum With Quaden, Tucker, Caruana, Praet (ECB)	November. 16
08:50	Germany.	Axel Weber (ECB) Speaks inFrankfurt / ECB's Weber Speaks in Frankfurt	November. 16
09:00	Italian CPI (EUR), EUROPE (EUR) and EUROPE (EUR) buying.	Consumer Price Index (incl. tobacco) (MoM) / CPI (NIC incl. tobacco)	Oct. ended -0.1% CPI (incl. tobacco)	0.1%	- -	0.1%	- -
09:00	Italian.	Consumer price index (incl. tobacco) (y/y) / CPI (NIC incl. tobacco) (YoY)	Oct. ending	0.3%	- -	0.3%	- -
09:00	Italy.	Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised (MoM) / CPI - EU Harmonised (MoM)	October ex.	0.5%	- -	0.5%	- -
09:00	Italy.	Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised (YoY) / CPI - EU Harmonised (YoY)	Oct. ending	0.4%	- -	0.4%	- -
10:00	EC	Euro-Zone CPI (MoM) Consumer Price Index (MoM)	Oct.	0.3%	- -	0.0%	- -
10:00	EC	Euro-Zone CPI (YoY) Consumer Price Index (YoY)	Oct.	-0.1%	- -	-0.3%	- -
10:00	EC	Euro-Zone CPI - Core (YoY)	Oct.	1.1%	- -	1.2%	- -
	Italy - Current Account Balance (mln EUR) - 1.3% - 1.8%.	Balanceof payments current account (mln EUR) / Current account (mln EUR)	St.	- -	- -	-3168.0	- -
10:30	Austria.	Tumpel-Gugerell (ECB) speaks in Vienna / ECB's Tumpel-Gugerell Speaks in Vienna	November. 16
13:30	Canada	Manufacturing Sales MoM	Sep.	1.7%	- -	-2.1%	- -
13:30	USA	Change in Retail Sales / Advance Retail Sales	Oct.	0.9%	- -	-1.5%	- -
13:30	USA	Retail Sales Less Autos (MoM) / Retail Sales Less Autos	Oct.	0.4%	- -	0.5%	- -
13:30	USA	Retail Sales Ex Auto & Gas	Oct.	0.3%	- -	0.4%	- -
13:30	USA	Empire Manufacturing / Empire Manufacturing Index	November.	30.00	- -	34.57	- -
15:00	USA	Change in Commercial Stores / Business Inventories	Sep.	-0.7%	- -	-1.5%	- -
16:00	EC	ECB's Quaden Speaks at Belgian Finance Forum Conference	Nov. 16
17:15	USA	Bernanke (Fed) Speaks on Economic Outlook inNew York	Nov. 16
23:50	Japan.	Changes in mortgage lending (YoY) / Housing Loans YoY	Q3.	- -	- -	0.4%	- -
23:50	Japan.	Services Activity Index (MoM) / Tertiary Industry Index (MoM)	Sep.	0.1%	- -	0.3%	- -

It's going to get better)

[Alexander Mostovnek]

Shit. It's an ambiguous situation, I can't even guess. Both north and south could turn out, and both could turn out sharply. My personal opinion - the eu is desperate to try a new high, but something does not work, and the attempt to test the new high might be the last, in which case we are waiting for 1.44 or 1.42 already this year.....

[[Deleted]]

Tell me, why on earth would you plan for the euro to fall at the end of the year? It's not going to happen. That's what Nirobka predicts, don't make the same mistakes.

[VonDo Mix]

Noterday >> :
Shit. It's an ambiguous situation, I can't even guess. It may go either to the north or to the south, and both of them are sharp. My personal opinion - the Euw wants desperately to try to reach a new high, but something does not work, and the attempt to test the new high might be the last, in which case we are waiting for 1.44 or 1.42 already this year.....

Supported.

Either three or four weeks to 1.52 and higher. then peak.

Or now we can drop steam and roll back to 1.42.

Watching developments in the stock market and on gold. ;)

[Alexander Mostovnek]

Look at D1, we are in a tight range! The weekly is already going down on a lot of indies. The new high will delay the fall for a while (won't be this year anymore). And actually, I'm not claiming anything. I said above that for me this situation is uncertain right now, both north and south if you look at Elliott waves (and I only trade on them). I will wait for clarity and play short positions...

[STA2066]

The market is clearly not interested in the South.It may have to go down to create an offensive branch,but the targets are up.And Elliot is drawn to forex by the ear.The market is not interested in the South.The market may have to go down to create an offensive branch,but the targets are up.