THE IDEA EXCHANGE - page 17
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Good evening. Here I sit and come up with something that, at first, superficial glance, will give us a virtually guaranteed profit!
Because. The mathematical expectation of my idea is clearly positive.
Good evening. Here I sit and come up with something that, at first, superficial glance, will give us a virtually guaranteed profit!
Because. The mathematical expectation in my idea is clearly positive.
Who for? Give us the whole list, please....(c) ))))
To all of us. To those of you who have stopped by this thread.
Here's an idea. I lost another penny once. On Lite. (not the point...)
I lost it like this.
I had barely enough left - to take a position.
I took it out Friday before the market closed. And WHAT?
Monday opened with a gap - which was against me and far outstripped my remaining funds - so that the account was "MINUS 170 PIPS! " !!!!!!!!!
and THERE I THINK!
THAT pair (fwy) opens almost every week on Monday with a gap.
And if the gap would have opened in my direction?
THEN I WOULD BE NOT "minus 170". but plus 170.
It turns out - that in this case - I would have won much more than the amount I lost - when the gap went against me!
Do you see? - what is the point here?
because the probability that we will guess the side of the gap opening = 50%
and the AMOUNT of winning is greater - than the loss! (see above)
i.e. the mathematical expectation here is positive !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
If I'm wrong, the experts will correct me....
Let me continue my thought.
Every Friday, we open a real account and fund it with just enough money to open a position on a volatile, "gap" pair.
Before the market closes, the script takes a position, it doesn't matter which way it goes.
And on Monday night we set an alarm and monitor the market opening.
We have either a moose equal to our deposit. Or a profit, often much bigger than the size of the possible loss!
And immediately an idea was given to me by an acquaintance of mine.
I need to open two reals on Friday. With a minimum size - to open a position.
And go in different directions!
Then with a good gap we would catch a moose in one account - limited by the size of the deposit.
And on the second account, the profit! Exceeding (sometimes several times) the eliot of the first account!
And immediately an idea was given to me by an acquaintance of mine.
I need to open two reals on Friday. With a minimum size - to open a position.
And open them in different directions.
Then - ..... !
the whole problem will be that in a gap your loss will not be the size of the stop, but the size of the gap... so you won't get positive MO...
And immediately an idea was given to me by an acquaintance of mine.
I need to open two reals on Friday. With a minimum size - to open a position.
And open them in different directions.
Then - ..... !
Why not open two orders in different directions on the same account?
i think the margin for such locked positions will be zero?
the whole problem will be that in a gap your loss will not be the size of the stop, but the size of the gap... so you won't get positive MO...
No you won't ! The loss is limited to the size of our deposit !
- see second post !
What prevents you from opening two orders on the same account, but in different directions?
it seems that the margin for such locked positions would be zero?
The chip is lost.
the whole problem will be that with a gap, your loss will not be the size of the stop, but the size of the gap... so you won't get positive MO...
what if the leverage is 500?