The oil issue ... - page 45

 
Sergey Golubev:
If you take the latest Goldman Sachs oil forecasts, they write(here, here and here and here and elsewhere) that the first quarter of this year will be between 20 and 40, and the half-year average will be around 40, and that 2016 is generally the year of the oil price increase.
The main thing now is to estimate the corridor, which requires a confirmed lower level. After that, the upper level will follow.
 

There is no shortage of forecasts, for example:

  • The World Bank (article here) says oil will average 37 in 2016.
  • City Group says it will average 40 this year (article here).
  • J P Morgan writes( here) that it will average 31.50 for the year.

Meanwhile a bad poem goes around the internet that "Oslo has been running a bus on intestinal gas for ten years" (and that no one needs oil anymore) ...

Here they are all predicting what they like and what price they themselves want to see ...

 
Sergey Golubev:

There is no shortage of forecasts, for example:

  • The World Bank (article here) says oil will average 37 in 2016.
  • City Group says it will average 40 this year (article here).
  • J P Morgan writes( here) that it will average 31.50 for the year.

Meanwhile a bad poem goes around the internet that "Oslo has been running a bus on intestinal gas for ten years" (and that no one needs oil anymore) ...

Here they are all predicting what they like and what price they themselves want to see ...

they usually think one thing ... They say another ... what they command ... and do what is beneficial to the main boss - they do not play around ... so our former Soviet Union is just a pathetic puppy compared to their "Obkom" ... As you can see now, they can't even say a word against it in Brussels...
 

Here is the answer to the question...

 
azfaraon:

Here is the answer to the question ...

a bold prediction, but if industrial thermonuclear is made by 2025, the last beam should be drawn to the floor
 
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Два ведущих производителя сланцевой нефти в США сократили расходы
Два ведущих производителя сланцевой нефти в США сократили расходы
  • 2016.01.27
  • www.interfax.ru
Москва. 27 января. INTERFAX.RU – Две компании, входящие в число крупнейших производителей сланцевой нефти в США, объявили о сокращении капиталовложений из-за обвала цен на нефть, а также пересмотрели прогнозы добычи нефти и газа с понижением. Как пишет Financial Times, американские нефтяники столкнулись с дефицитом финансирования, влияние...
 

Just looked at Nen's ZUP - two patterns (apparently still forming) suggest a possible uptrend, but only on big timeframes like D1 and W1:

But I'm not good at patterns ...

 

Right now intraday (on the five-minute chart), the price is up from 31.44 to 32.43 (almost a dollar) on the news ''Crude Oil Inventories Change from EIA''(Crude Oil Inventories):

  • Theprevious value was 4 .0M
  • forecast actual value was 4 .0M
  • actual value is now 8.4M.


It's true that the daily oil price is not yet certain to rise (as it's just the M5 timeframe).

 
mmmoguschiy-new:
Patterns... Here are the patterns(rails and head with shoulders - your choice):

There is a discussion about reducing the volume of production. When supply decreases, the price goes up.
 
mmmoguschiy-new:
Well, when they discuss it, then we will see))). The interest rate has been raised for a long time...

Have you read the forum starting from here? https://www.mql5.com/ru/forum/69893/page39#comment_2207011

I did some thinking there... Interested in your opinion.

The ruble is the easiest of all. As oil goes, so goes the ruble. They will not restrain it too much now.

At the same time we are watching - what will hedge the ruble - so financiers have decided recently.