Market patterns - page 17

 
zfs:
There's the pattern I've been looking for for so many years).

Swarming intelligence

 

I'm just kidding - don't take that as rudeness, but I support the "crowd principle", "beams of signals" and other collective intelligence).

 

The Laws of Crowds(12296)

Often people who find themselves in a crowd, either accidentally or deliberately, do not realise that they are unwittingly putting themselves at serious risk. The reason for which a particular crowd has gathered is irrelevant. It could be an unauthorised spontaneous rally, a rock star concert, a football match or a major car accident. The main thing is that a crowd is a special biological organism living its own life, the essence of which becomes clear only in the event of general panic.

CROWD BEHAVIOUR

The general thinking ability of a great crowd is close to zero because the most intelligent and prudent people, being in a crowd, lose their ability to really perceive events. They are completely subordinated to the psychology of the crowd, which is strikingly different from that of an individual normal person.

One of the typical features of a crowd is the spontaneous emergence of general panic, which is sharply antisocial in nature. During panic and flight, even the strongest emotional bonds between people break down. For example, a husband may abandon his wife, a mother abandon her child, etc. Panic-stricken people tend to exaggerate the significance of danger; they don't think about it and don't try to find other solutions. They simply run away and commit acts incompatible with reason. Crowd behaviour during a panic is very similar to that of a typical fire: People may jump out of a burning building from any height.

Every crowd needs an object of hatred or a leader.

They are just as happy to stage a pogrom as they are to submit to someone's strong will. Crowds are capable of self-sacrifice as well as of terrible cruelty. In life of mob, especially with socio-political inclinations, events such as first blood or first stone thrown in a shop window are important. This creates a situation in which general irresponsibility can turn every individual into a criminal.

HOW TO SURVIVE IN A CROWD

Try to steer clear of crowds that have spontaneously formed at the scene of an accident or other incident. Moderate your curiosity. If you find yourself in a crowd accidentally, try to get out of it as quickly as possible. Use psychological techniques to do this, such as pretending you're sick or drunk and feeling violently nauseous.

If the escape route is already cut off, don't panic and try to avoid at least moving into the centre of the crowd or into a group of particularly active participants. If the crowd is heading somewhere, avoid approaching fences and walls, and avoid bollards, posts and trees. Otherwise you may be crushed.

Avoid grasping stationary objects as this can injure your hands. Glass windows and anything that can be broken, knocked over or smashed over should be avoided.

Throw away your umbrella and bag during the first few minutes of being in a crowd. Remove accessories if you fear you may be accidentally strangled by them. This includes scarves, ties and handkerchiefs. On clothing, fasten your zip and all available buttons. If you lose something, don't try to pick it up: your life is far more precious than the most valuable thing.

If the crowd is very dense, there is little chance of falling, but you could be accidentally run over. To avoid this, it is advisable to bend your arms and press your elbows tightly against your body. When you are pushed from behind you should cushion your elbows, while your forearms should be tensed and your stomach should be covered with them.

If you are knocked down you should cover your head with your hands and try to get up immediately. Quickly pull your legs up to your body, tense all muscles, and rise to your feet with a sharp jerk. If you were dropped to your knees, press the whole foot to the ground and bend sharply, using the movement of the crowd. If your attempts to get to your feet were unsuccessful, curl up on your side, hiding your head between your knees and covering the back of your head with your hands.

Before deliberately going to a rally, ask yourself two questions: are you really such an ardent supporter of the forthcoming protest and is it necessary for you personally to participate in the mass unrest. If the answer to both questions is yes, then think about your personal safety.

Draw up a projected forecast of events and your tactics in the event of a mass riot. Keep a close eye on all changes in the crowd's condition, the position on its flanks and the movements of law enforcement forces. Try to stay as far away from the police as possible, as often the discontent of the crowd is directed specifically at the police, which means that sticks, bottles and stones will be thrown in their direction. The response from the authorities will be no less dangerous.

Every rally or demonstration always has a clear link to the area. Try to know before the event starts where the crowd will go, along which streets and if there are any dangerous areas in the area, i.e. iron fences, shop windows, bridges etc. Make a plan for the progress of the demonstration, mapping out possible escape routes. Stay clear of rubbish bins, prams, bags, suitcases and unidentified bales or boxes. Do not step on bags or "empty" bags.

Avoid approaching the aggressive leaders and don't tear yourself away from the podium. Experience has shown that it is much safer to be on the edge and people are less susceptible to the emotional mood of the crowd there. If the police start to disperse the rally or there is a clash with hooligans somewhere, stay where you are and try not to lose control. Do not shout at any time. Do not make any sudden movements and do not run away, otherwise you will not be in trouble with the police. It is not uncommon for the police to use tear gas or traumatic weapons, which shoot rubber bullets, to disperse rallies and demonstrations. Running away and panic are therefore possible during the dispersal operation of a rally.

If you have come to the stadium to hear a popular artist perform or watch a football match, consider in advance which way you will leave. Do not stand against the wall, fence netting or metal handrails. For example, the tragedy at the stadium in Sheffield (UK) showed that the bulk of the spectators died near the mesh fence, pinned down and crushed by the crowd.

It's copypaste. Psychology in real life.

Самые активные участники MQL5.community награждены смартфонами iPhone!
Самые активные участники MQL5.community награждены смартфонами iPhone!
  • 2012.07.16
  • MetaQuotes Software Corp.
  • www.mql5.com
Решив наградить наиболее выдающихся участников MQL5.com, мы выбрали ключевые критерии для определения их вклада в развитие сообщества. В результате по количеству опубликованных на сайте статей победили investeo (11 статей) и victorg (10 статей), а по количеству опубликованных в Code Base программ – Godzilla (340 программ), Integer (61 программа) и abolk (21 программа). Наградой победителям стали сенсорные смартфоны пятого поколения iPhone 4S.
 
zfs:

I'm just kidding - don't take that as rudeness, but I support the "principle of the crowd", "beams of signals" and other collective intelligence).

I knew it was a joke, but I wrote it and wondered if there was something to it.

But there is an essential difference, all swarming algorithms are oriented on the fact that the sign information is transferred from neighbour to neighbour. A sparrow does not need to know that some of its congeners have found prey somewhere, it sees that its neighbours are going somewhere other than where it is flying. They cooperate.

On the forrest, we all see the same thing (those where the market has shifted), but there is no communication between neighbors.

 
Urain:

I understand that as a joke, but I wrote it and wondered if there's something to it.

But there is a significant difference, all swarming algorithms are oriented on the fact that the trait information is transferred from neighbour to neighbour. A sparrow does not need to know that some of its congeners have found prey somewhere, it sees that its neighbours are flying away to the wrong place. They cooperate.

On the forrest, we all see the same thing (those where the market has shifted), but there is no communication between neighbors.

Not everyone in a swarm communicates with neighbours).
 
Pardon my frankness, but there is some hell going on here.
 
Urain:

A much more correct example would be to compare the market and the individual trader to a flock and an individual sparrow in a flock.

Each sparrow tries to anticipate the direction of the flock (it's easier to survive together, it's easier to snatch a gnat from a cloud of gnats), with each individually chasing its own gnat. Those who guessed the direction of the flock goes to the centre where the highest density of midges (which means you will be fed). Who is on the edges of looking where to fly where more midges (but from a flock of not repulsed). So in general the flock is like a huge creature chasing another huge creature by a flock of gnats.

It also explains why

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and trading strategies testing

Market behavior

Urain, 2013.07.15 15:42

It is very interesting. We have long established that the smaller the TF is, the higher the noise/signal ratio is (we can take this statement as a proven theorem).

It turns out that on a small TF the market practically has no inertia and the processes cannot be compared with Newtonian mechanics, but the higher the TF, the higher the market inertia and the wrenches start to work :)

What remains to be determined is the transition point, if there is one at all (maybe the transition process is blurred?!).

It is better to see where the market has already been hit and it is not worth going back.

And all sorts of soroks with news, crows chasing sparrows, the "collective unconscious" ...

Score :)


 
Heroix:
Pardon my frankness, but there's some hell going on here.
Yes paradise, it's Money Heaven! The market trend these days is that everyone is looking for freebies).
 

чем меньше ТФ тем выше отношение шум/сигнал

Says who?

1. The smaller the TF, the closer to the point

2. bigger TFs are made up of smaller ones.

Also, it appears from the quote that the signal is cumulative in nature, which is a very big question.

zfs:

The market trend now is that everyone is looking for a freebie).

Speak for yourself.
 

The timeframe is the same) only there is a more accurate display on the tick chart)