Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS - page 15
You are missing trading opportunities:
- Free trading apps
- Over 8,000 signals for copying
- Economic news for exploring financial markets
Registration
Log in
You agree to website policy and terms of use
If you do not have an account, please register
18 February 2014: News From Japan Is Boosting The Market
DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.
The First trading day of the week was affected by lowered activity on the stock platforms due to the bank holiday in the United States.
This morning, interesting news came from the Bank of Japan, reporting its intention to continue soft monetary policy until the time the rate of inflation will reach 2%. The regulator plans to continue an annual increase in monetary base in the range of 60 trillion to 70 trillion yen. This decision was made unanimously and coincided with average forecasts of analysts. In addition, the Bank of Japan confirmed the volume of repayment of state bonds on the level of 50 trillion yen a year. It should also be noted that the central bank of the country also made the decision to prolong three programs of crediting for a year, which were expiring in March.
This news immediately had an effect on the Japanese yen and Japanese stock market. The Japanese yen fell sharply in price against the dollar, and is traded this morning on a level of 102.59. The weakening yen pushed up prices of the Japanese companies focused on export, and as a result, the Nikkei grew by 3.18%.
The situation in the commodities market remains the same, Brent is losing around 0.10% and is traded on the level of 109.07$ per barrel. WTI is slightly better, growing by 0.22% on the level of 100.35$ per barrel. Gold is stable and is losing just 0.02%, traded on a level of 1318.30$ per troy ounce. Silver remains strong at the price of 21.56$ and adds 0.65%.
Today will be saturated with publications of statistics - these being data on balance of current accounts of the Eurozone, inflation of Britain, the German index of economic expectations of ZEW, the index of activity of FED of New York, and volume of inflow of the capitals in treasury securities of the USA. All this statistical data could increase volatility in the markets and change further development in the short-term.
Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd
19 February 2014: The Situation In The Markets Looks Very Shaky
DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.
As expected, the trading session on Tuesday was very volatile. Additionally, presented macroeconomic data shook the optimism in the markets.
European stock platforms finished the trading session without significant change. Attention should be paid to the fact that the index of economic expectations in the business environment in Germany, counted by ZEW institute, decreased from 61.7 to 55.7 points in February. In the meantime, the assessment of the current situation was better than the forecasts at 50.0 points, having declared a maximum level since the 3rd quarter of 2011.
Following the results of the trading session, the key index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.9%, French CAC 40 lost 0.1%, and German DAX grew by 0.03%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by 0.01%, having closed on a level of 334.6 points.
In the USA, the macroeconomic statistics were again quite weak, the index of production activity in New York in February decreased further than expectations, from 12.5 to 4.5 points. As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index lost 0.15%, and reached the level of 16130.40 points, S&P 500 and Nasdaq were slightly better. S&P 500 increased by 0.12% reaching the level of 1840.76 points, and Nasdaq Composite added 0.68% traded on a level of 4272.78.
Oil prices are staying up, with Brent on 110.20$ per barrel, losing just 0.23%. WTI is still strong, reaching the level of 102.14$ per barrel and adding just 0.04% this morning. Gold and silver are down by 0.48% and 0.77% accordingly, traded on a level of 1318.11$ and 21.73$ per troy ounce.
In the evening, the attention of the participants of the markets will be focused on the minutes of the last meeting of the FED, which took place on the 28th and 29th of January. No surprises are expected from these documents, but in the meantime though the latest economic reports are not supporting statements that the American economy started to stabilize, and any signal that the FED is ready to change their decisions regarding the further decrease of the QE3, depending on the current situation, could return encouragement in the markets.
Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd
20 February 2014: Markets Seem To Be Unable To Decide On The Direction
DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.
Yesterday, the stock market of the United States finished the trading session with a moderate decrease. The American indices were not strong enough to beat historical maximum levels, even though a day earlier the S&P 500 stopped literally 1 point from the record.
Another disappointing factor was the macroeconomic statistical data published yesterday. The number of new constructions of houses in January, from the reconsidered 1.048 million, unexpectedly dropped to 0.88 million, and in general, all the published data in relation to new constructions has been rather weak. It should be noted that for the last few weeks in the US, almost every presented report has been rather disappointing, but mostly it was written off for weather, or in general was ignored by the market.
Also yesterday, investors finally got the chance to see the minutes of the last meeting of the FED, where it was stated that members of the committee on the open markets consider that the program of quantitative mitigation could be continued to be deducted, in the situation the committee will not begin to see any notable changes. In general, the minutes did not bring anything unexpected or new.
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average went down by 0.56% to the level of 16040.56 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 decreased by 0.65% to the level of 1828.75 points, and the Nasdaq Composite went to a minus by 0.82% and reached the level of 4237.95 points.
Commodities this morning are slightly down, but the situation remains stable. WTI managed to increase in price yesterday by 0.9%, to the level of 103.31$ per barrel but this morning has fallen slightly, bargaining next to the level of 102.61$ per barrel. Gold and silver are losing 0.53% and 1.33% accordingly, traded on levels of 1313.42$ and 21.56$ per troy ounce.
Today market will be oversaturated in respect of economic statistics, as both Europe, and States will publish many interesting reports. From Europe we will see data on PMI in Germany and in Eurozone; the USA will publish data on Consumer Price Index, jobless claims and PMI in manufacturing sector. Special attention should be paid to the Manufacturing Index of Philadelphia.
Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd
21 February 2014: Markets Are Consolidating At The Levels Reached
DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.
We have seen rather positive reports from the Eurozone and different European countries during the last few weeks, but data which was presented yesterday was disappointing. PMI of the Eurozone in the services sector made 51.7 points against the forecasted 51.9 points, and the index in the manufacturing industry decreased from 54.2 points to 53.
This had an immediate effect on the positions of the EUR/USD, which, from the maximum level of 1.3762, rolled down to the area of 1.3690, and this morning is traded around 1.37. Indices in the meantime, finished the trading session with an increase. The index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.2%, the French CAC 40 became 0.3% heavier, and the German DAX went to a minus by 0.4%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by less than 0.1% and was closed on a level of 334.78 points.
The American stock market again managed to find reasons for growth, finishing yesterday’s trading session with a moderate increase. This was mainly due to some positive statistics and corporate events. According to preliminary data of PMI from Markit Economics, the American industry grew in February, and the index raised to 56.7 from the 53.7 last month, and on the labor market, the number of primary requests for unemployment benefits decreased to 336 thousand, from 339 thousand.
Additionally, support was brought by the news from the corporate segment, where Facebook announced it's purchase of the messenger 'WhatsApp' for 19 billion dollars. In comparison, some time ago Facebook bought Instagram for just 1 billion dollars, so this time the company paid an extreme amount money, and obviously must have some really serious reasons for that!
As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index increased by 0.58% to the level of 16133,23 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 added 0.60% reaching the level of 1839.78 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, grew by 0.70% to the level of 4267.55 points.
There are not a lot of reports expected to be published today, except for the reports from Great Britain and Canada, and data on house sales in the US, so indices are going to finish this trading week around the current levels reached.
Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd
24 February 2014: Neutral Dynamics Remain In The Markets
DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.
Last week finished on a positive note, with the European stock markets managing to close the third trading week in a row with an increase. Following the results of the session, the index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.37%, the French CAC 40 added 0.59%, and the German DAX went to plus by 0.4%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by 0.39% and was closed on a level of 336.09 points, which represents the maximum value in six years.
At the same time, the situation in the American market was not so positive, and indices closed the week with a small decrease. The Dow Jones lost 0.24%, finishing on the level of 16103.30 points. The S&P 500 fell by 0.08% traded on a level of 1836.25 points, and the Nasdaq managed to keep in a symbolical plus by 0.09%, reaching the level of 4263.41 points.
Macroeconomic statistical data published on Friday was quite different. Data on the labor market for the last two months, in fact, has been rather positive, but at the same time, data in the real estate sector absolutely disappointed investors. So, the figures from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) showed that the trust level among builders significantly worsened in February to a level of 46 points, in comparison with 56 points last month.
The situation in the commodities market remains the same. Brent this morning adds 0.09% and is traded on a level of 109.95$ per barrel. WTI is increasing by 0.18% and is bargaining next to the level of 102.38$ per barrel. Gold and silver are increasing by 0.58% and 0.32% accordingly, traded on levels of 1331.22$ and 21.85$ per troy ounce.
In the first half of the day, data on the index of business climate of IFO in Germany for February will be published, and most likely we are going to see similar numbers to the ZEW index, presented last week. The Index showed a decrease from 61.7 to 55.7 points. The index of activity of the FED of Chicago will be presented in the evening.
Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd
25 February 2014: Europe Continues To Please Investors With Positive Statistics
DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.
On Monday, the stock market of the United States finished the trading session with a moderate growth of the main indices. During the session, the Standard & Poor's 500 index managed to surpass the previous record, recorded on the 15th of January, 2014. S&P 500 managed to increase by 0.62% to the level of 1847.61 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average raised by 0.64% to the level of 16207.14 points, and the Nasdaq Composite went to plus on 0.69% and reached the level of 4292.97 points.
The trading session in Europe was also rather positive, supported by publications of good macroeconomic statistical data. The index of business optimism of IFO of Germany for February, made 111.3 points, at average forecasts of 110.6 points. Besides that, it is worth paying attention to the final data on the Eurozone consumer price index for January which, as expected, decreased by 1.1%, whereas in comparison with the data of the similar period of last year, the growth of the indicator made 0.8%.
Following the results of the trading session, the index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.4%, the French CAC 40 added 0.9%, and the German DAX went to plus by 0.5%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by 0.6% and was closed on a level of 338.19 points.
The positive spirit was also carried over to the Asian exchanges, where, since the morning, trading takes place in positive territory. The Japanese Nikkei grows by 1.44%, the Korean KOSPI adds 0.74% and only the Shanghai Composite index losses 2.05%.
Today will not be over saturated with statistics, except for indicators of consumer confidence from Conference Board, which partly reflect both the state in the labor market, and volumes of retails.
Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd
26 February 2014: New Drivers Are Necessary In The Markets For Further Movement
DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.
Yesterday's trading session ended in the red zone, indices were consolidating at the reached levels, unable to move forward, but at the same time they were not ready to lose these levels.
The statistics which were published during the day were generally of a mixed character. The economy of Germany increased in the 4th quarter of the past year by 0.4%, in comparison with the last three months. In an annual expression, gross domestic product of Germany grew by 1.4%, the data coinciding with preliminary estimates and forecasts of analysts.
Following the results of the trading session, the British FTSE 100 decreased by 0.52%, and the French CAC 40 and German DAX lost 0.10%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by less than 0.1%, having closed on the level of 338.39 points.
This morning already the index of consumer confidence of Gfk for March was published already, which made 8.5 points, when 8.2 points were expected.
As for the statistics from the USA, the price index on real estate, counted for the 20 largest cities in December, grew by 0.76% in comparison with last month, where analysts expected growth of the indicator by 0.6%. In the meantime, the index of consumer confidence in the USA decreased in February to 78.1 points. Analysts predicted the indicator to fall to only 80 points.
Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, was closed on a level of 16179.66 points and lost 0.17%. The index of the wide market S&P 500 lost 0.13% and reached the level of 1845.12 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, receded by 0.13% to the level of 4287.59 points.
Later this evening there is going to be statistics from the US published on sales of new houses for January.
Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd
27 February 2014: There Is Not Enough Positive News In The Markets
DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.
After a long period of disappointing data from America, yesterday the statistics were finally able to please the participants of the market, which supported positions of the dollar (which had been considerably weakened in relation to all main currencies in the past several weeks).
Accordingly to the data published yesterday, sales of new houses in January reached the maximum level since July, 2008 - 0.468 million, whereas analysts predicted an increase up to only 0.4 million. At the same time,the December value of the indicator was reconsidered from 0.414 million to 0.427 million.
It also should be noted that yesterday investors could've followed speeches of the head of the FED of Dallas, Richard Fischer, and the head of the FED of Boston, Eric Rosengren. In particular, Fischer hopes that the FED will continue turning of the program of purchase of assets on $10 billion monthly, even in the case of an essential correction in the stock market. Meanwhile, Eric Rosengren, who is against further cuts of the QE3 program, declared that there is remaining weakness on the labor market, and also the weather factor influenced the deterioration of the latest economic data, which demands the continuation of aggressive stimulation of the national economy.
All these factors have been having a short term effect on the markets, and as a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index rose by 0.12% and was closed on a level of 16 198.41 points, the S&P 500 went to plus by 0.01% to the level of 1845.16 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, increased by 0.10% to the level of 4292.06 points.
The situation in the commodities market has not changed significantly. Brent and WTI are losing this morning, 0.09% and 0.20% accordingly, traded on levels of 109.42$ and 102.38$ per barrel. Silver and gold are also a bit weaker, falling down by 0.16% and 0.35% accordingly. Gold is on a price of 1325.83$ per troy ounce, silver is on the level of 21.18$ per troy ounce.
Today we are going to see releases of several interesting reports from the USA, such as the volume of orders for goods of long using, the number of demands for receiving unemployment benefits, and also Janet Yellen's speech.
Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd
28 February 2014: Standard & Poor’s 500 Managed To Update A Historical Maximum
DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.
Yesterday, the stock market of the United States finished the trading session with a moderate growth of the main indices. What is more interesting, is that Standard & Poor’s 500 managed to update a historical maximum, finishing the trading session with an increase of 0.49% and reaching a level of 1854.29 points. In the meantime, Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.46% traded on a level of 16272.65 points, and Nasdaq Composite went to plus by 0.63%, to the level of 4318.93 points.
Partly this increase was promoted by published macroeconomic statistical data. Orders for long use goods in January were reduced by less than what was forecast, 1% instead of the expected 1.5%. However, data for December was revised towards a fall from -4.2% to -5.3%. The number of primary requests for unemployment benefits for the last week unexpectedly increased from the reconsidered 334 thousand to 348 thousand.
In the evening, investors were waiting for the speech of the head of the FED – Janet Yellen, who, this time, sounded much softer and expressed a slightly different opinion since her last performance. She stated that the FED might change their strategy of the exit from QE3, in the case we see further considerable changes in the economic picture. Yellen agreed that during the last 2 weeks, the macroeconomic statistical reports are much worse than at the end of the last year.
The situation in the commodities market is still stable, and more or less remains the same, Brent is down by 0.16% traded on a level of 108.79$ per barrel. WTI is losing 0.36% and is bargaining next to the level of 102.03$ per barrel. Gold is up by 0.06% on a level of 1332.64$ per troy ounce, and silver is down by 0.22% on a price of 21.30$ per troy ounce.
Today we are going to see data on CPI rate in the Eurozone, GDP data of the United States, as well as Michigan Consumer Sentiment and pending home sales.
Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd
03 March 2014: The Russian Market Is Captured By A Panic
DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.
The end of the 2013 and the beginning of 2014 can be characterized with the fact that the markets are trying to manage to cope with unforeseen situations and news from different corners of the earth. Markets just managed more or less to stabilize situation in the emerging markets of the developing countries, after FED made the decision to start cutting off the program of quantitative easing, then new problems are starting to fall upon the markets of the different countries.
The whole world watched more than a month a situation developing in Ukraine, which brought to weakening of the Ukrainian currency and destabilization of the financial situation of the country. There are opinions, that the country default, is almost inevitable. In addition to it the situation in Ukraine led to collapse in the Russian market, which strongly gave up on Friday and continued to decrease today at the opening of the trading session.
MICEX at this moment is losing 8,26%, traded on a level of the 1325,33 points; RTS is down for 9,59%, traded on a level of the 1146,13 points. All the stocks of the Russian companies are traded in minus, Gazprom is down for 11,39%, VTB bank is losing 11,79%, Sberbank decreasing for 8,70%. All the other companies are down for more than 5%. Russian ruble is very weak and in relation to EUR traded above 50 rubles. One of the Russian banks in the region of the Krasnoyarsk, Sibirskiy bank, has put a sell level of euro on a price of 60 rubles. At present in the market simply reigns the panic.
In turn, American indexes on Friday managed to close weak in a moderate plus. The Dow Jones industrial average index raised on 0,30% up to the level of 16321,71 points, the S&P 500 index raised on 0,28%, having closed at the level of 1859,45 points and just the Nasdaq Composite index decreased on 0,25% up to value of 4308,12 points.
Statistical data on GDP of the country disappointed the market and has made 2,4% at expected 2,5%. However, published then final index of consumer confidence of Michigan university which raised in February to 81,6 points from 81,2 points in January encouraged investors, having surpassed both consensus forecast of 81,3 points, and preliminary value of 81,2 points.
Asian stock markets are traded in a red zone and are losing around 1%, European stock markets also started trading session in a red zone, German DAX is losing 2,38%, French CAC40 decreasing for 0,76%.
The only positive development can be observed on the commodities market, where Brent and WTI are increasing for 1,41% and 1,25% traded on a price of 110,17$ and 103,16$ for barrel. Gold is increasing for 1,91% up to the level of 1346,91$ and silver is up for 1,73%, bargaining next to the level of 21,61$ for troy ounce.
Copyright: MAYZUS Investment Company Ltd