Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (updated daily) - page 74
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EUR/USD
The Euro maintains positive near-term tone while holding above 1.2900 higher platform, where 55 day EMA keeps the downside protected in the near-term. With 4h indicators being in the positive territory, scope exists for possible fresh attempt at strong barrier and near-term tops at 1.3000 zone, break of which to resume near-term recovery off 1.2795, 17 May low. From the other side, hourly studies are losing traction, with negative daily structure, being pressured by 20/200 MA death cross, downside remains at risk. Break below 1.2900 to confirm and expose lower boundaries of near-term 1.2800/1.3000 range.
Res: 1.2937, 1.2957, 1.3000, 1.3041
Sup: 1.2900, 1.2885, 1.2860, 1.2840
GBP/USD
Near-term picture remains positive, as the pair trades in a corrective mode off 1.5012, 23 May low, with price consolidating under 1.5145, 50% retracement of 1.5279/1.5012 fall. Price action is underpinned by hourly 20/55 day EMA’s bullish crossover at 1.5100, however, break above congestion at 1.5145, is required resume recovery and avert the downside risk, as 4h indicators still hold below their midlines and larger picture shows bears fully in play. Break below 1.5100 handle would re-expose psychological 1.5000 support. On the upside, key resistances lay at 1.5279 and 1.5321, regain of which is required to shift short-term focus higher.
Res: 1.5150, 1.5188, 1.5200, 1.5220
Sup: 1.5116, 1.5100, 1.5062, 1.5020
USD/JPY
The pair came under increased pressure on Friday, when recovery rally failed at 102.57 and subsequent weakness slid below 101.00 handle. The price posted fresh low at 100.65, with negative near-term studies, keeping the downside favored and eyeing psychological 100.00 support. Bearish 20/55 day EMA’s crossover at 101.80, maintains pressure, while only break above Friday’s high at 102.57, would provide near-term relief.
Res: 101.40, 101.82, 102.19, 102.57
Sup: 100.65, 100.36, 100.00, 99.74
AUD/USD
The pair extended weakness from last Thursday’s recovery failure at 0.9777 and approached psychological 0.9600 support that has already been dented on last week’s break to 0.9592. Negative tone dominates on near-term studies and keeps downside focused, as a part of broader downtrend, interrupted by minor correction so far. Main short-term target lays at 0.9579, May 2012 low, with further bearish extension not ruled out, as the pair’s price action was in red for past three weeks. Corrective rallies would face initial resistances at 0.9750/77, while only break above 0.9840, would ease bear pressure and open way for stronger correction.
Res: 0.9676, 0.9695, 0.9714, 0.9738
Sup: 0.9613, 0.9592, 0.9579, 0.9550
EUR/USD
The Euro regained 1.3030 level during the Asian session, following weekly close below 200day MA and psychological 1.3000 support. Hourly indicators moved above the midlines, with positive 4h structure being supportive for further gains. Clearance of last Friday’s high at 1.3060, is required confirm higher low at 1.2943 and resume recovery rally off 1.2800 base towards 1.3100, round figure resistance. Initial support lies at 1.3000, ahead of 1.2943, Friday’s low, being reinforced by 55 day EMA.
Res: 1.3046, 1.3060, 1.3100, 1.3140
Sup: 1.3000, 1.2943, 1.2922, 1.2900
GBP/USD
Cable extends overnight’s gains and breaks above last Friday’s high at 1.5238, keeping the near-term positive structure off 1.5000 base. Scope is seen for further recovery, as 4h studies maintain positive tone and 20/55 day EMA’s bullish crossover underpins. Immediate targets lay at 1.5280/1.5300, with the latter being 50% of 1.5603/1.5007 downleg, break of which to confirm base at 1.5000. Solid support lies at 1.5150/00 zone, reinforced by 20/55 day EMA’s crossover and should contain any stronger pullback.
Res: 1.5280, 1.5300, 1.5375, 1.5400
Sup: 1.5238, 1.5200, 1.5170, 1.5150
USD/JPY
The pair under pressure, following weekly close just above fresh low at 100.20 and overnight’s action being capped at 100.70. With near-term studies holding in the negative territory, immediate risk is seen on a break below 100.20, to open psychological 100.00 support and pivotal zone for retest, as break here is seen as a trigger for further easing and extension of corrective pullback from 103.72 high. Asian high at 100.70 offers initial resistance, ahead of 101.00, round figure / 20 day EMA.
Res: 100.70, 101.00, 101.40, 101.80
Sup: 100.20, 100.00, 99.87, 99.74
AUD/USD
The pair regained some ground on a bounce from last Friday’s low at 0.9548, as Asian session opened with gap higher and price bounced above 0.9600 barrier. However, overall negative tone keeps the downside risk in play, as the price holds within near-term consolidative range of 0.9527/0.9695 . While the latter barrier, reinforced by descending 55 day EMA, stays intact, no significant prospect for stronger recovery would be seen in the near-term, with violation of 0.9527, would trigger fresh weakness and expose psychological 0.9500 support for test.
Res: 0.9650, 0.9695, 0.9714, 0.9738
Sup: 0.9600, 0.9589, 0.9566, 0.9548
EUR/USD
The Euro holds positive near-term tone, following yesterday’s rally that probed levels above 1.3100 barrier. Corrective easing on overbought hourlies, was so far contained by 20 day EMA and the previous top at 1.3050, however, south-heading hourly indicators do not rule out further easing, with next good support standing at 1.3000, Fib 38.2% of 1.2837/1.3106 upleg / round figure. Studies on 4h chart hold firm tone and keep the upside favored for now, with clearance of 1.3100, also daily Ichimoku cloud top, expected to open way towards 1.3200 zone, with interim barrier at 1.3136, Fib 76.4%.
Res: 1.3079, 1.3106, 1.3136, 1.3200
Sup: 1.3042, 1.3000, 1.2972, 1.2940
GBP/USD
Cable extended recovery phase from 1.5000 double-bottom on yesterday’s rally and so far reached 1.5375, Fib 61.8% of 1.5603/1.5007 descend. Bulls continue to dominate on near-term studies and see potential for further recovery through psychological l.5400 barrier, however, corrective pullback is likely going to precede fresh gains, as near-term technicals are overbought. Initial support at 1.5300 was tested so far, with extension towards 1.5230, previous high / Fib 38.2% of 1.5007/1.5375 rally, seen not harmful for near-term bulls, in case dips will find support at this area. Otherwise, break lower and potential loss of 1.5200, 50% level, would put near-term bulls on hold.
Res: 1.5341, 1.5375, 1.5400, 1.5445
Sup: 1.5287, 1.5235, 1.5200, 1.5147
USD/JPY
The pair trades in a recovery mode, following yesterday’s acceleration lower after psychological 100.00 support has been taken out. Fresh weakness extended below 99.00 figure and posted fresh low at 98.85, where fresh strength emerged. Current rally that regained levels above 100.00 barrier, would be seen as corrective, as long as previous base and 50% retracement of 102.51/98.85 fall at 100.70 caps. Violation of the latter, would be initial signal of stronger recovery. Otherwise, upside rejection below 100.700 would risk lower top and fresh extension of near-term bears off 103.72, 22 May peak.
Res: 100.50, 100.70, 101.00, 101.40
Sup: 100.00, 99.32, 99.00, 98.85
AUD/USD
The Aussie dollar eases from yesterday’s fresh high at 0.9790, posted on a strong rally that cleared initial barrier and near-term congestion top at 0.9700 zone. The pullback so far tested this support that should ideally contain and keep fresh bulls in play for possible stronger recovery. However, hourly studies are still in descending mode and further easing cannot be ruled out, with loss of 0.9669, 50% retracement of 0.9548/0.9790 upleg, seen as bearish trigger. Otherwise, the upside would remain in play, as 4h studies maintain positive tone.
Res: 0.9736, 0.9770, 0.9790, 0.9841
Sup: 0.9680, 0.9669, 0.9640, 0.9600
EUR/USD
The Euro picks up the pace at the beginning of European session and breaks above two-day congestion under 1.3100 barrier. Prevailing positive tone keeps the upside potential for full retracement of 1.3241/1.2795 descend in play, with interim barriers standing at 1.3136, Fib 76.4% retracement and psychological 1.3200, near 08 May high. Previous top at 1.3075, reinforced by hourly 20 day EMA, offers immediate support, ahead of psychological 1.3000, also 55 day EMA, where any dips should be ideally contained.
Res: 1.3136, 1.3193, 1.3200, 1.3241
Sup: 1.3100, 1.3075, 1.3042, 1.3000
GBP/USD
Cable continues to trend higher, as the latest upleg from 1.5270 higher low, cleared 1.5375/1.5400 hurdles and heads north. Immediate target lies at 1.5462, Fib 76.4% of 1.5603/1.5007 descend and is the lat barrier on the way towards 1.5600 zone, key near-term barrier and beginning of May highs. Near-term studies hold positive tone, however, overbought 1 and 4h reading may delay bulls in favor of corrective pullback. Previous barriers at 1.5400/1.5375, now offer initial supports.
Res: 1.5462, 1.5478, 1.5500, 1.5520
Sup: 1.5400, 1.5375, 1.5330, 1.5300
USD/JPY
The pair fully retraced near-term corrective phase from 98.85 that was capped at 100.40. Renewed weakness below 100.00 psychological support, sees increased downside risk for further extension of pullback from 103.72 high, with Fib 50% of 92.56/103.72 at 98.14, and psychological 98.00 support, seen on a break below 98.85 low. Consolidative phase is under way, with rallies expected to hold below 100.00 barrier and keep bears intact. Only break of 100.40 tops, would signal double-bottom and possible stronger recovery.
Res: 99.50, 99.85, 100.00, 100.40
Sup: 99.00, 98.85, 99.50, 99.14
AUD/USD
The remains under strong pressure, as fresh weakness emerged from the upside rejection at 0.9790, broke below previous low at 0.9527and posted fresh low at 0.9433. Larger bears from 1.0581 remain unobstructed for now and eye the next static support at 0.9382, October 2011 low, with interim support seen at 0.9400. Corrective bounce on oversold near-term studies, do not see much of the upside potential for now, with rallies expected to find solid resistance at 0.9550/0.9600 zone, before bears return to play.
Res: 0.9500, 0.9530, 0.9550, 0.9600
Sup: 0.9433, 0.9400, 0.9382, 0.9350
EUR/USD
The Euro remains under pressure, as today’s gap-lower opening triggers fresh weakness that cracked initial supports of 55 day EMA and Fib 38.2% of 1.3052/1.3305 at 1.3180. Negative hourlies favor further downside, with the next support seen at 1.3150, 50% retracement. From the other side, positive tone dominates on 4h studies and sees limited corrective action that is expected to find ground above 1.3100, ahead of fresh bulls, as the pair remain in short-term uptrend off 1.2800 base. Clearance of initial barrier at 1.3230, is required to open last Friday’s high at 1.3284 and key resistance at 1.3305, for resumption of bulls from 1.2800.
Res: 1.3230, 1.3267, 1.3284, 1.3305
Sup: 1.3176, 1.3149, 1.3110, 1.3074
GBP/USD
Cable trades in a near-term corrective mode off last week’s fresh high at 1.5683. Reversal so far dented 1.55 support, where dips were contained by hourly 55 day EMA and 4h 20 day EMA. Break here would trigger stronger pullback towards 1.5425/00, Fib 38.2% of 1.5007/1.5683 / round figure support, possibly to 1.5350, 50% retracement, reinforced by 4h 55 day EMA, as 4h indicators are heading south, off overbought territory. Conversely, bounce through session high at 1.5560, would be initial signal of fresh strength, with regain of 1.5600 handle, required to confirm and re-focus 1.5683 peak / 1.5700, 200 day MA.
Res: 1.5560, 1.5616, 1.5683, 1.5700
Sup: 1.5487, 1.5425, 1.5400, 1.5345
USD/JPY
The pair continues to advance, extending bounce of Friday’s fresh low at 94.97. Overnight’s gap higher opening supports the notion, as the price heads towards initial resistance at 98.85, above which important 99.35, Fib 50% of 103.72/94.97 / 55 day EMA, is expected to come in focus. Hourly studies are positive and favor further upside, however, still negative 4h structure requires break above 99.35, to avert downside risk and open way for stronger recovery.
Res: 98.85, 99.00, 99.35, 100.00
Sup: 98.00, 97.70, 97.55, 97.15
AUD/USD
The pair remains under strong pressure, as price gapped lower nearly 10 pips on Monday’s opening and completed near-term 0.9430/0.9670 corrective phase. Fresh weakness threatens break below very strong support zone at 0.9400/0.9380, low of Oct 2011, loss of which would confirm an end of three-year congestion and spark stronger reversal of longer-term 2008/2011 0.6007/1.1079 rally. Session highs at 0.9456, offer initial resistance, while filling the overnight’s gap on a bounce above 0.9500 barrier would ease immediate bear pressure and allow for further consolidation.
Res: 0.9456, 0.9500, 0.9544, 0.9573
Sup: 0.9383, 0.9350, 0.9300, 0.9275
EUR/USD
The Euro remains firm, following completion of near-term consolidative phase and fresh rally through previous peak at 1.3305 and 25 Feb high at 1.3317. Fresh bulls are looking for test of 1.3341, Fib 61.8% of larger 1.3710/1.2744 descend, next upside target and psychological 1.3400 barrier. However, extended 4h conditions warn of corrective easing, before bulls take control, with good supports standing at 1.3270, Fib 38.2% / hourly 55 day EMA and 1.3230, Fib 61.8% of 1.3176/1.3333 upleg. Only slide below 1.3200 and higher base at 1.3176, would delay bulls, in favor of deeper pullback.
Res: 1.3316, 1.3333, 1.3341, 1.3372
Sup: 1.3270, 1.3255, 1.3230, 1.3200
GBP/USD
Cable maintains positive near-term tone, after corrective pullback found support at 1.5500 zone. Fresh strength approaches strong resistance zone at 1.5683, 06 June high and 1.5700, 200 day MA, clearance of which is seen as a trigger for resumption of larger uptrend that commenced from 1.5000 base and could extend to 1.5774, Fib 100% expansion. Near-term technicals are positive an support further advance, however, possible hesitation ahead of 1.5700 barrier, cannot be ruled out, as 4h indicators are entering overbought territory. Previous consolidation to at 1.5600, offers initial support, while any stronger pullback should be contained above 1.55 area, to keep bulls intact.
Res: 1.5683, 1.5700, 1.5774, 1.5800
Sup: 1.5627, 1.5600, 1.5550, 1.5520
USD/JPY
The pair trades in a near-term corrective mode, followed to yesterday’s sharp fall that nearly fully retraced 94.97 / 99.27 rally on a slide to 95.58. The rally is seen as corrective, as near-term studies remain negative, with significant resistance at 97.42, 50% of 99.27/95.58 fall, reinforced by 55 day EMA, coming in focus. Lack of momentum sees risk of recovery stall and fresh weakness, for test of series of important supports, 95.58, 95.39, daily cloud base and key 94.97, break of which to resume bears off 103.72 peak. On the upside, key near-term barrier lies at 99.27 and only break here would improve short-term structure and allow for stronger corrective action.
Res: 97.00, 97.42, 97.86, 98.40
Sup: 96.22, 96.00, 95.58, 94.97
AUD/USD
The pair extends correction off yesterday’s fresh 3-years low at 0.9324, as recovery accelerated on regain of important 0.9500 barrier, 50% retracement of 0.9673/0.9324 fall. Monday’s gap has been filled that sees potential for further recovery. Positive hourly studies support the notion. However, larger picture bears remain in play, with significant barriers at 0.9672. 06 Jun high and 0.9790, 03 Jun high, break of which to signal stronger corrective action and sideline bears. Otherwise, scenario of lower top and fresh weakness would be likely, as the price cracked important, multi-year congestion floor at 0.9400/0.9380.
Res: 0.9573, 0.9600, 0.9621, 0.9672
Sup: 0.9480, 0.9414, 0.9376, 0.9324
EUR/USD
The Euro continues to trend higher and hits levels close to 1.3400 barrier, on fresh acceleration at European opening. Bulls remain unobstructed and clearance of the latter to open next target and double Fibonacci level at 1.3482/88, 76.4% retracement of 1.3710/1.2744 descend and 138.2% expansion of the upleg from 1.2795. Corrective pullback may interrupt the rally, as near-term indicators are entering overbought zone, with immediate support at 1.3340, 23.6% of 1.3176/1.3389 / 20 day EMA and more significant 1.3305, previous high of 06 Jun / 55 day EMA, while violation of yesterday’s low at 1.3264, near 50% retracement, would signal deeper reversal and put bulls on hold.
Res: 1.3389, 1.3400, 1.3433, 1.3482
Sup: 1.3340, 1.3305, 1.3283, 1.3264
GBP/USD
Cable maintains positive near-term tone, with price action being congested at psychological / 200 day MA 1.5700 barrier. Hourly studies are losing traction, while bearish MACD/RSI divergence on 4h chart increases risk of pause in recent rally, in favor of further consolidative/corrective action towards initial support at 1.5632, yesterday’s low / 55 day EMA and 1.5620, Fib 38.2% of 1.5493/1.5700, where dips should be ideally contained. Otherwise, penetration through 1.5600, 50% retracement, would signal stronger correction towards key near term support and higher platform at 1.5500.
Res: 1.5700, 1.5750, 1.5774, 1.5800
Sup: 1.5632, 1.5620, 1.5600, 1.5572
USD/JPY
The pair remains under strong pressure, as fresh bearish acceleration was triggered on yesterday’s upside rejection at 97.00. The price surged through Ichimoku cloud base at 95.39 and previous low at 94.97 and also broke below 94.00 support, in a free-fall towards the next significant support and near-term targets at 92.56, 02 Apr low. Daily close below the cloud base is to confirm bearish structure, as studies on lower and larger timeframes are negative. Minor corrective rallies may interrupt bears, as studies are entering oversold territory, with previous lows at 95.00 zone, offering initial resistance.
Res: 94.43, 94.90, 95.12, 95.58
Sup: 93.78, 93.50, 93.00, 92.56
AUD/USD
Near-term correction off fresh 3-years low at 0.9324, was capped at 0.9562 and fresh slide to 0.9430, weakened hourly structure. The pair remains in a near-term corrective mode, but lack strength for more significant recovery, as technical of the larger timeframes are negative and 4h 55 day EMA limits the upside for now. As overall bears remain in play, downside risk will persist as long as important barriers at 0.9672 and 0.9790 stay intact. Only break above the latter would sideline bears and allow for stronger correction.
Res: 0.9500, 0.9540, 0.9573, 0.9600
Sup: 0.9427, 0.9414, 0.9380, 0.9324
EUR/USD
The Euro trades in a near-term consolidative mode, with price action moving in a triangular-shape consolidation. Hourly studies are negatively aligned and keep the downside risk towards triangle support at 1.33 zone, also Fib 38.2% of 1.3176/1.3389 upleg. Break here would signal further correction and open Fibonacci 50%/61.8% supports at 1.3283/1.3257. Such scenario is also supported by descending 4h indicators and bearish divergence that may put near-term bulls on hold, once 1.3300 and range floor at 1.3277 is lost. Overall bulls, however, remain in play and see resumption of larger uptrend from 1.2800 higher base, towards 1.3400 an double Fibonacci resistances at 1.3480 zone, once the correction is completed.
Res: 1.3356, 1.3377, 1.3389, 1.3400
Sup: 1.3300, 1.3277, 1.3264, 1.3226
GBP/USD
Near-term bulls remain in play, as the pair bounced off last Friday’s correction low at 1.5615 and price approached recent peak at 1.5736. Positive hourly studies are supportive for bullish resumption that requires clear break above 1.5736, however, presence of 4h RSI / MACD bearish divergence, requires caution, as last Friday’s hanging man candle suggests hesitation under 1.5736 high. Initial signal of reversal will be seen on a slide below 1.5615/00 support, however, confirmation would require break below 55 day EMA at 1.5560, to focus higher platform at 1.5500.
Res: 1.5724, 1.5736, 1.5780, 1.5800
Sup: 1.5689, 1.5645, 1.5615, 1.5600
USD/JPY
The pair holds near-term consolidative mode, trading above fresh low at 93.97/78. The price remains under pressure, despite overnight’s bounce, as near-term studies are negative and see the current action limited. With 20 day EMA capping at 95.30, initial resistance, consolidation range top at 95.80 stays intact for now. Break here and psychological 96.00 barrier, would signal stronger correction, however, not much of recovery to be expected while the price holds below 99.00 breakpoint zone.
Res: 95.36, 95.79, 96.00, 96.53
Sup: 94.42, 94.00, 93.78, 93.50
AUD/USD
The pair remains in a near-term corrective phase and maintain positive tone, as the price consolidates within 0.9556/0.9664 range. With near-term technicals being positively aligned and price action underpinned by 20/55 day EMA’s bullish crossover, the upside remains favored for now, however, break above recent highs and congestion tops at 0.9664/72 is required to resume corrective rally off 0.9324 and open way towards key barrier at 0.9790. Alternative scenario sees rejection under 0.9664, as larger picture bars remain in play, with break below .9556, near-term range floor / 55 day EMA, to increase risk of double-top formation and fresh weakness.
Res: 0.9640, 0.9664, 0.9700, 0.9750
Sup: 0.9556, 0.9535, 0.9494, 0.9427
EUR/USD
The Euro remains firm ahead of today’s FOMC release, in a renewed attempt above 1.3400 barrier. With brief consolidation off yesterday’s high at 1.3414 being contained by 20 day EMA at 1.3380 zone, the upside remains in near-term focus, as positive studies are supportive. Immediate target lies at 1.3433, 20 Feb high, ahead of more significant double-Fibonacci resistance at 1.3480 zone, 76.4% retracement of 1.3710/1.2744 / 138.2% expansion of the upleg from 1.2795. Corrective dips should be ideally contained at 1.3380/50 zone, to keep the structure intact.
Res: 1.3414, 1.3433, 1.3480, 1.3488
Sup: 1.3380, 1.3345, 1.3330, 1.3300
GBP/USD
Near-term structure weakened as the price broke below initial support at 1.5615, extending corrective pullback off 1.5751 high to 1.5564. Subsequent bounce to 1.5669, where 55 day EMA limited recovery, lacks momentum for extension towards 1.5700 zone, as hourly indicators are still in the negative territory. Increased risk of lower top would come on a slide below 1.5615, while regain of 1.5700 would bring bulls back in play. Caution is required as daily studies are starting to point lower and price returned below 200 day MA, with previous sessions double-Doji candles, suggesting possible hesitation of larger uptrend from 1.5000 base. Break below 1.5564/00 supports is required to confirm reversal, otherwise, clearance of 1.5700/51 would signal resumption of an uptrend.
Res: 1.5669, 1.5680, 1.5700, 1.5736
Sup: 1.5615, 1.5600, 1.5564, 1.5500
USD/JPY
The near-term structure improved, as the price eventually broke above 95.00, initial resistance, however, gains failed to regain next barrier at 95.79. Subsequent reversal risks violation of 95.00, now reverted to support, loss of which to signal and end of near-term corrective phase and confirm double-op formation. With 4h studies still in the negative territory, such scenario is seen likely, unless price breaks above 95.79 and 96.0, 55 day EMA that would give an initial signal of basing attempt.
Res: 95.65, 95.79, 96.00, 96.53
Sup: 95.00, 94.27, 94.00, 93.78
AUD/USD
The pair remains under pressure, as recovery rejection under 0.9672 barrier and fresh slide to 0.9430 zone, weakens the near-term structure. Increased risk exists of double-top formation and fresh weakness that would confirm an end corrective phase and re-expose fresh low at 0.9324. Bearish 20/55 day EMA’s crossover at 0.9550, offers solid resistance and break here would avert immediate downside risk. However, only lift above 0.9672 would provide relief and resume near-term corrective rally.
Res: 0.9550, 0.9570, 0.9600, 0.9640
Sup: 0.9435, 0.9400, 0.9324, 0.9300
EUR/USD
The Euro maintains negative sentiment, with extension of pullback from1.3414, below 1.3100, Fib 50% of 1.2795/1.3414, posting fresh three-week low at 1.3058. Consolidative /corrective phase is under way, with price attempting through the upper boundary of consolidation range, for test of initial resistance at 1.3160, and 1.3200, Fib 38.2% of 1.3414/1.3058 fall. Slightly improved hourly studies see some upside potential, however, larger picture’s negative structure keeps the downside favored, as long as 1.3253, last Friday’s high stays intact. Bearish resumption below 1.3058, to open 1.3031, Fib 61.8% and psychological 1.3000 support next.
Res: 1.3160, 1.3200, 1.3236, 1.3253
Sup: 1.3100, 1.3058, 1.3031, 1.3000
GBP/USD
Near-term recovery phase off fresh low at 1.5342, retraced 61.8% of 1.5528/1.5342 downleg, at 1.5460 zone, where gains were capped. Positive hourly structure sees potential for further recovery towards more significant 1.5500 barrier, Fib 38.2% of 1.5751/1.5342 slide and 1.5528, last Friday’s high, however, prevailing negative tone on 4h chart would keep the downside at risk, as long as the price holds below initial 1.5500 barrier. Initial support lies at 1.5425 and is reinforced by 20 day EMA, with break here and psychological 1.5400 level, to hint lower top formation and fresh weakness towards 1.5342 and possible bearish resumption towards 1.5300 zone, initial target and Fib 61.8% of 1.5007/1.5751 ascend.
Res: 1.5464, 1.5500, 1.5528, 1.5564
Sup: 1.5425, 1.5400, 1.5367, 1.5342
USD/JPY
The pair is trading in near-term consolidative mode, after extending rally from 93.78 to 98.69, near 50% of 103.72/93.78 descend. Hourly studies are weak, as the price hovers close to the range floor, however, more constructive 4h technicals see potential for further recovery, as the price is supported by 20 day EMA and 20/55 bullish crossover, with 96.85 expected to hold. Immediate targets lay at 99.00 and 99.27, 10 June high, break of which to confirm bottom at 93.78 and open way towards psychological 100 barrier, also Fib 61.8% of 103.72/93.78. Alternative scenario sees increased downside risk on violation of 96.85 support, with 96.23, 50% of recovery rally and 96.00, round figure support, expected to come in focus once 96.85 is cleared.
Res: 98.05, 98.30, 98.69, 99.00
Sup: 97.20, 97.00, 96.85, 96.23
AUD/USD
The pair trades in a near-term consolidative mode, after fresh extension of larger downtrend, posted new low at 0.9146. With the upside being limited at 0.9300 and near-term studies negatively aligned, fresh extension lower and test of next target at 0.9100, would be likely near-term scenario. Conversely, lift above 0.9300 and 0.9324, 11 June low, would delay bears in favor of possible stronger corrective action towards 0.9400/30, next resistance zone. However, overall bearish tone, do not see potential for more significant recovery action for now.
Res: 0.9300, 0.9324, 0.9354, 0.9400
Sup: 0.9200, 0.9146, 0.9100, 0.9050