CNY: Tail-sizing – Deutsche Bank Research Team at Deutsche Bank, tries to answer the question that how large was the tail on Chinese growth and FX now. Key Quotes “Some suggested China was not the main tail risk for markets anymore, rather it was Europe (refugee crisis, Brexit, terrorism...
Oil in Global Economy Series: Saudi Games Not Working After more than a year into deployment, cracks are now plenty to conclude that Saudi Arabia’s strategy to keep production high, drive out high cost producers and increase/retain its market share has failed...
U.S Treasury Trades Flat Ahead of Yellen's Speech The U.S. sovereign bonds were flat on Tuesday as investors awaited a speech by Federal Reserve’s Chair Janet Yellen which could give further indications for next interest rate hike, despite weak economic data on Monday...
Barclays Warns Over Commodity Longs UK’s investment bank, Barclays has issued warning against recent rallies in commodities and investors; interest in commodity products both stocks as well as ETFs...
Currency Markets Likely to See increased Volatility on Fed Hike Expectations The dollar staged a nice bounce-back from post FOMC lows supported by both safe-haven flows as a result of the Brussels terror attacks, as well as surprisingly hawkish comments from Fed officials in recent days...
Asia FX: Don’t Drive with Flat Tyres – Deutsche Bank Research Team at Deutsche Bank, had held to their view that the recent risk rally was not to be chased in Asian FX as both wheels of the Asian growth cycle were slowly deflating, with the export cycle in deep negative territory and the credit c...
Will Yellen Reinforce Her Comments from FOMC Meeting? - MUFG Derek Halpenny, European Head of GMR at MUFG, suggests that on a DXY basis, the US dollar is close to unchanged from the pre-Easter London holiday close underlining the lack of drivers for the dollar over the vacation period...
JPY: PM Abe Dampens Speculation of Sales Tax Postponement - MUFG Derek Halpenny, European Head of GMR at MUFG, notes that the PM Abe spoke in the Diet today and was clear that the government was not considering postponing the planned sales tax increase from 8% to 10% scheduled for April 2017, arg...
Fed Chair Yellen’s Speech in the Limelight Today – Deutsche Bank Research Team at Deutsche Bank, suggests that we are due to hear from Fed Chair Yellen, speaking at the Economic Club of New York (scheduled for 4.20pm GMT...
US Really Ready for Hike as Markets Confused and Yellen Speaks Today – Investec Research Team at Investec, notes that over the Easter Bank Holiday weekend, the US Dollar stumbled after what had been several sessions of strength on increasing rate hike optimism...
Top 5 Things to Know In the Market on Tuesday Here are the top five things you need to know in financial markets on Tuesday, March 29: 1...
Fed’s Williams Expects to See Rates Rising Gradually Speaking in Singapore, San Francisco Fed president John Williams repeated that he sees rates rising gradually. Key Quotes: There’s a way to go before Fed shrinks balance sheet Recent inflation developments are very encouraging...
BOJ Policy on Way to Trigger Fiscal Stimulus Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) massive monetary stimulus may not have boost inflation much so far and economy is struggling to recover post sales tax hike of 5% but it is on its way to boost fiscal policy and lead to the release of fiscal stimulus by the govern...
EUR/JPY: Bulls Eyeing March 11 High Offered tone around Yen continues to gather pace, with EUR/JPY cross looking poised to test key technical hurdle of 127.29 (Mar 11 high). European stocks rally, weigh over EUR The cross appears to have lost steam as it approached 127...
Italy Consumer Confidence, Factory Morale Rebound In March Italy's consumer confidence improved in March after declining in the previous month, on the back of stronger economic expectations, while a better assessment of order books boosted the morale in the manufacturing sector for the first time...
Yen on Worst Losing Run Since 2012 Against Dollar Yen is on its worst losing stretch against Dollar, since 2012. Over past eight trading session, it has depreciated against Dollar by about 2%. Last time Yen lost that much is when, in 2012 Yen declined about 2...
US Consumers Unlikely to be Supportive of US Economy in Q1 2016 US recorded modest growth of 0.2% m/m in personal income in February, as compared with consensus expectation of 0.1% growth. Real disposable income, excluding taxes and inflation, grew strongly by 0.3% m/m. Personal spending grew 0...
Australian Bonds Flat Despite Weak U.S. Data The Australian 10-year bond yield is unchanged on Tuesday despite weaker U.S. economic data which dampened expectations of further US rate rises. Moreover, U.S. Commerce Department in its report revealed that personal spending rose tad +0...
Asian Stocks Struggle to Find Footing After Easter Break With liquidity back into markets after a four-day Easter holidays break, the stocks on the Asian indices turned into the negative territory after an early wobble this Tuesday, with the Australian stocks leading the decline in its Asian coun...
Fitch: Indonesia Bank Support Unchanged by New Financial System Law The recent approval of the Financial System Crisis Prevention and Mitigation Law by the Indonesian House of Representatives does not materially change the likelihood of government support for domestic systemically important banks...
