Evgeniy Scherbina / Profil

What's up, guys!

A few words regarding the approach I am using to define what is profitable and what is not. Below is a picture showing that a neural network struggled to make a profit for 2 months, and after that it found its trend up. What this means is that Forex trading is based on probabilities, and the reality is that a 51% forecast should be considered good. Although it may sound like a trick, it is not. I have tried to explain many times that if a strategy learns the history too well, it cannot make new correct decisions in new incorrect situations. So we have to accept that a strategy may be struggling for 1-2 months before it can make a profit.

My best approach so far in both free and paid EAs implements this concept. I have recently found a way to combine data of different symbols and to prolong the training for 200-300 epochs while improving the neural loss by tiny bits of 5-6 digits after the dot. This is outstanding. The neural network improves its knowledge about historical patterns without moving away from the dangerous border of the neural loss.

All of this does not mean there will never be another improvement. I am working and testing again and again. And I constantly keep my attentive eye on all the novelties in the machine learning area. So let's do it!

What’s up, guys! I have found another way to incorporate the H2 timeframe into my strategies. I removed the H2 previously, because it loses badly in a trending market. Now I think it should be Ok if the H2 timeframe only activates when the D1 timeframe is in the period of uncertainty. Like EURUSD right now, it is neither buy nor sell. But it is still fluctuating swiftly, and it is the H2 timeframe that should be able to make a profit on this non-trending volatility. I am going to add the H2 strategy to both QuantumPip and LuminaFX very soon. Stay tuned!

Only until January 10th! The prices are reduced!

Atari - new price 185 USD (down from 385 USD)
QuantumPip and QuantumPip MT4 - new price 185 USD (down from 385 USD)
LuminaFX - new price 165 USD (down from 285 USD)

And, of course, you can rent these products for 6 months at even lower prices! Check them out!

What's up, guys!

I have been working hard to update the QuantumPip expert and make it more adaptive to the quickly changing market environment. In my previous tests, Gold has had the upper hand as a solid supporting symbol. But frankly, there is not much correlation between currency symbols and Gold if we look at the last 6 months. This is what accounted for a low or even negative (in certain configurations) profitability in the second half of 2024. Vice versa, "Dixie", as a supporting symbol, has a strong link with the currency symbols because this indicator is their balanced sum by nature.

Last time I promised to add a separate neural network for closing trades and remove the "2nets" network. It appears this task would require more tests. Right now, I have found a more reliable approach to train the networks by manipulating dropouts and recurrent dropouts in neural layers, which have been recently reconfigured by the team of TensorFlow.

Nothing should stand still. The new version of QuantumPip will prioritize using the "Dixie" indicator as a supporting symbol instead of Gold. It is going to use a more versatile system of weighted prices, Standard Deviation, and a few other indicators as inputs. This should be more reliable, more adaptive, and more profitable than anything we have had so far.

What's up guys!

I am working to publish a new update of QuantumPip next week.

1) I will end the "2nets" approach. All open trades will be treated as "1net" trades.

2) I will add a "2 steps" approach instead. 1st step to open trades, 2nd step to close trades - all trained as different neural networks. The new closing network will take into account the duration and profitability of open trades. Possibly, I will make it as a timeseries, too. This may have additional information on how a trade developed, in addition to indicator values.

I am going to publish comparative pictures soon.

You cannot test the current 2.4 version of QuantumPip beyond October 23rd, latest update, unless you have an active copy on your account. The active copy downloads fresh data from Yahoo Finance. Since experts cannot download data in historical testing, this is only limited to active copies. I will update it next week, so historical testing will move on, too.

The US election is 2 days away. My final thoughts are: Gold will go down sharply as long as there is a clear result.

They want Trump because they think prices under Trump were lower. What? Was it not the direct result of a balanced economic approach under Obama for 8 years preceding Trump, that provided for a stable economic situation? And then it was the irrational, anti-economic measures under Trump (like exits from the Paris Agreement, Mercosur or whatever else), which inevitably brought about higher prices in the 4 years following Trump? Am I the only one so smart and out of the American race?

They want Harris because they do not want Trump. This is what they say. They advertize for Harris with ads showing men, not women. Do they advertize for Trump with women in the ads? No! Is it because most men in America can't stand a woman so powerful and so childfree and so unbound by the kitchen duties?

Gold will go down sharply once it is clear that either of the two has won. Gold will go up sharply if it is still not clearly by the end of Tuesday who has won. The uncertainty is not about who wins. The uncertainty is about whether it will be a clear victory.

My bet is Kamala will do what Hillary could not. Remember Hillary Clinton won by votes, but lost by electors. She almost did it. What's more, she might have lost because of the ill-advised approach where to campaign in the last few days. Or simply because they could not stand a woman as president.

Gold will go down sharply when Harris wins. Euro, Chf, Gbp, Jpy and others will appreciate sharply against Usd.

Alright. Are we set? I guess we are.

Hi, everyone. Finally, the version 2.4 with the 5 supporting symbols is there. I recommend _Gold, Oil or FTSE in any combination.

For those who will update from the previous versions, this version 2.4 will close the existing sells of USDJPY. So I recommend switching off USDJPY for some time (USDJPY=False).

We are now heading towards the US presidential election. Hence all the uncertainty. USD should let it go somewhat. The economies are going up. It is soon Christmas. And we've seen this before.

Again, a comment on the performance of the 2 latest versions of QuantumPip. As we can see in the picture of the progress in 2024, there may be a month or 2 months with no clear gain or even a loss. But it is eventually followed with an up movement.

QuantumPip is now currently to favor against USD. I think that it is correct. Except for USDJPY. USDJPY has seen very large moves this year. After the fog of the US election gets clearer, JPY will inevitably appreciate because, specifically for this purpose, they historically increased the exchange rate in Japan.

Cheers, if you have questions or suggestions, let me know! Profits will come our way!!

What's up, guys. I continued tests of my newest approach which includes only daily bars.

Below are why-are-you-doing-this charts. What these charts tell us, is that Gold is winning.

I am going to test 2 more options with all of this, namely for a shorter forecast and the one which is used in the current version of the expert "QuantumPip".

This is going to take one day more.

Another conclusion: Don't use all symbols if you want to maximize. For example, AUDCAD and NZDUSD cannot find their way at all.

And maybe adding stock indices or oil is not that interesting after all. But this is to conclude after 2 more pictures which are coming up.

Hi, everyone! I am going to update Gold Chaser now according to my newest approach. I have decided to update everything I have, starting with QuantumPip.

The new approach uses days and does not use weeks and months to analyze the market. So it should react much quicker to the changing environment. And help avoid long-running drawdowns. And of course it should trade more actively.

It has been mostly buy positions for Gold for many weeks. I guess it will (because it should) change with the new update this week.

I already had this picture before. I like it that much.

Good morning, everyone. I have published the new version 2.3 of QuantumPip. Let's analyze how it works. We can see in the chart below that it has had "recessions" and "profits" in 2024. And this is the way it works! It can't be pushing up all the time. But it can handle different price fluctuations and make them profitable.

If you have many open trades and you do not want QP to close them all, you may want to change the magic. Remember: it should be a number different by 2 digits from the current number. It still uses 2 strategies, so it uses 2 magics: magic2 = magic1 + 1.

Earlier this year, I thought of adding different supporting symbols, like Oil, Stock indices and smth else. I think this idea can be implemented in QuantumPip version 2.4. I am testing it right now.

Come on! Let's grab all the profit as soon as it shows up!

What's up, guys! As I promised, I am going to publish a new version of QuantumPip. It will include my newest approach to training neural networks.

Below is the comparison picture. The current 2.2 version has not managed it well enough in the last month. The newest 2.3 version, that I am going to publish over the weekend, has a much better result with the Reliable risk. Of course, it is a test with the unknown, future data for the 2.3 version.

I have reduced the complexity of the networks. They say if a simple model performs as well or better as a complex model, you should use the simple model. This is what I am going to do.

Some uses have experienced bugs due to insufficient data. It will all be gone.

There will be one supporting symbol - XAUUSD.

It will be a choppier trading. So there will more trades and more signal changes. It is better because it should help avoid long-range traps as it has happened with USDJPY this summer.

Of course, it will work as usual with the existing trades. However, I guess most trades will be closed by the newer version. So you may want to change the magic. Also, the newer version will have a new comment "qpip" to replace the current comment "qp".

What's up guys! Finally! I am going to launch a new product which will allow you to train different kinds of neural networks for any symbol. You will be able to choose properties and tune the complexity of your neural network, train it and evaluate the results in just several clicks. No more geek stuff, only what you need for Forex training and trading!

Here comes the name for the new product! Boom-boom tram-pam... "Neural Transformer"!

What's up, guys! The new version of Gold Chaser is looking very good! It now uses the American Dollar Index (or "Dixie") as a supporting symbol, which helps it make more accurate forecasts. It trades Gold and Silver on the demo account, but it can also trade Bitcoin and Oil. In order to use this strategy, you do not have to have a Dixie indicator in your terminal. However, you need to have the 6 symbols comprising the Dixie indicator, including USDSEK. Find the full history of Gold Chaser on myfxbook.com or check the description here https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/108100

Fed Rate has been at the historical maximum for quite a while. It is expected to change in September. On July 31st, it is expected to be confirmed...

What it means is that USD should let it go. AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD may instantly go upwards, while USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY will head downwards.

The questions is: Will this move in currencies take place after the conference on July 31st or later in September?

My answer is: It will happen this Wednesday. I am going to remove all positions favoring USD. And I recommend doing so to you.

What's up, folks! My newest approach is to use a supporting symbol to gain insights and make relevant trading decisions. Below is a comparison of different supporting symbols.

My major symbols are: AUDCAD, AUD, EUR, GBPCHF, GBP, CAD, CHF, JPY, and SEK. While the supporting symbols are: Oil, Dixie, Dax, Ftse, and Gold. Yes, you got it right! I have finally incorporated stock indices into Forex trading. All of which is available with any broker, because the rare and valuable staff is downloaded from Yahoo Finance.

What we see in this chart, is that Oil, Dixie, Dax and Gold are mostly winning. The one loser is Ftse. Oil lost 2 major symbols in the test period Jan-May 2024, while Dixie lost only one major symbol. But Dixie has the highest drawdown of 10% on SEK, together with Ftse. The drawdowns are not shown in this chart, but surely it is not only about how tall the columns are.

I think I will put it all together in one strategy, including the losing Ftse, so that everyone knows what an amazing and extensive testing has been done to achieve these results. While Oil should be the preferred choice, the other options will add confidence to it.