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Scientific trade

5

              An extremely convenient indicator that truly makes the process of making money on the exchange easy. It is based on the scientifically rigorous theory of the market developed by the author, the beginning of which is presented here.

               The full algorithm of this indicator operation is presented in the article.

              The indicator calculates the most probable price movement trajectory and displays it on the chart. Based on the predicted price movement trajectory, the indicator calculates the direction of the position and the position of the take profit. Based on the statistically calculated uncertainty of the trajectory of the predicted price movement, the selected risk level and the size of the deposit, the indicator also calculates the lot size and stop loss position. The averaging period of the indicator is selected based on the maximum probability of winning, which is presented for each period on the main chart of the trading terminal.

              It is better to use M1-M15 timeframes in the indicator;  at the same time, it is recommended to play according to the global trend, determined on H4, D1, i.e. if the indicator gives a SELL signal, then this position is opened when the global trend is down; if the indicator signal is BUY, then the position is opened when the global trend is up.               

           After choosing a timeframe, you sort through the averaging values like 20, 30, 40, …, 200 and look at the trading terminal at what value the maximum probability of winning is achieved. This is the value you should use. Since the averaging period of the indicator must be selected manually in the process of moving along the price history, the indicator readings in the tester cannot reflect the full effectiveness of its work and may be incorrect.

              To automatically determine the optimal averaging period (which gives the maximum probability of winning), the CalculateScientificTradePeriod script has been developed. 


              The operation of the indicator is based on predicting the market's own trends, so it is not recommended to use it before and immediately after strong news, as well as in case of strong market volatility, especially if the volatility is the result of crisis processes. The indicator's forecast period, which is its averaging period, should not go beyond the future moment of strong news release.

            Before opening a position, you should only assess the state of the market and take into account news factors.

             Everything else - position direction, lot size and stop orders - will be automatically calculated by the indicator for you. After that, you open a position, and then turn off the computer and do things that are pleasant for you.


 

Indicator settings.

 

  • Averaging period   Values: any positive integer between 20 and 200. This parameter is individually selected when opening each position.
  • Allowable losses per position in %  -  Permissible loss per position as a percentage of the deposit. The default is 2%.
  • Estimated price fluctuation -  The number of standard deviations by which the price can randomly deviate from the forecast. The default is 3.0. It is not recommended to change.


Bewertungen 1
Alan Lo
746
Alan Lo 2023.09.11 18:20 
 

As the first (or one of the first) purchaser's of this unique indicator, I myself am a mathematician (and large purchaser of EA's) and can say at the outset that the logic implemented here is pure genius. I'm looking forward to testing this indicator and will comment further

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Introduction to X3 Chart Pattern Scanner X3 Cherart Pattern Scanner is the non-repainting and non-lagging indicator detecting X3 chart patterns including Harmonic pattern, Elliott Wave pattern, X3 patterns, and Japanese Candlestick patterns. Historical patterns match with signal patterns. Hence, you can readily develop the solid trading strategy in your chart. More importantly, this superb pattern scanner can detect the optimal pattern of its kind. In addition, you can switch on and off individu
Connect Indicator
Sukunthakan Ngernbamrung
Connect Indicator is a tool used for connecting indicators between the MQL market and MT4. The connected indicators are made by our group and can be used for other applications, such as sending messages to the Line application or Telegram application. If you have any questions, please don't hesitate to ask us to receive support. Function and indicator buffer Buffer one is the high price of the previous candle. Buffer two is the high price of the previous candle. Usage To connect indicators to fu
This product is based on the methodologies of Gann, his follower Don E. Hall. The Indicator builds a working view grid, which is used to analyze graphics. The Pyrapoint tool, developed by Don Hall, is a grid based on the Pythagorean cube. In his calculations he uses the Gann Square 9 methodology and the relationship between Price and Time. This tool is used to predict changes in trend and overall market actions. More information about the method   HERE
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Aleksey Ivanov
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I present an indicator for professionals. Prof MACD is very similar to classic MACD in appearance and its functions . However, Prof MACD is based on completely new algorithms (for example, it has only one averaging period) and is more robust, especially on small timeframes, since it filters random price walks. The classic MACD indicator (Moving Average Convergence / Divergence) is a very good indicator following the trend, based on the ratio between two moving averages, namely the EMA
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Der Indikator für empfindliches Signal (SS) verwendet vom Autor entwickelte Filtermethoden. Mit SS können Sie den Beginn einer echten Trendbewegung mit hoher Wahrscheinlichkeit einstellen. SS filtert nach zufälligen Kursbewegungen, was für den Handel an der Börse sehr effektiv ist. Die vom Autor entwickelte Filtration wird in mehreren Iterationen durchgeführt und zeigt die wahre Flugbahn der regulären Preisbewegung  und zeichnet diese.                Indikatorablesungen sind visuel
Identify Trend
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Der Indikator « Identify Trend » („Trend erkennen“), bei dem relativ einfache, aber robuste Filtermethoden (basierend auf dem sich bewegenden Median - XM-Algorithmus und komplexer, vom Autor entwickelt, Algorithmen XC, XF, XS,  vier Arten von gleitenden Durchschnitten ohne Verzögerung   SMAWL, EMAWL,  SSMAWL, LWMAWL ) verwendet werden, ermöglicht sehr genau und vor allem mit einer geringen Verzögerung (1) den Beginn der tatsächlichen Trendbewegung und (2) die Identifizierung der W
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Absolute Bands
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The TrueChannel   indicator shows us the true price movement channels. This indicator resembles Donchian Channel   in its appearance, but is built on the basis of completely different principles and gives (in comparison with Donchian Channel , which is better just to use to assess volatility) more adequate trading signals.              As shown in the article , the price actually moves in channels parallel to the time axis and jumps abruptly from the previous channels to the subsequ
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Die Struktur des Indikators.               Der Cunning Krokodil Indikator (Klug Krokodil) besteht aus drei gleitenden Durchschnitten (angewandt auf den Median Preis = (hoch + niedrig) / 2): 1) ein konventioneller MA ( SMA , EMA , SMMA ,   LWMA )  oder durchschnittlicher <X> Prozess X und zwei Verallgemeinerungen 2) <XF> = < X / <X >> * <X>   und  3) <XS> = <X * <X >> / <X>, aus der gleichen Mittelungsperiode.   Alle drei Kurven kreuzen sich an einzelnen Punkten, was (eine solche Kreuzung, in der
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Channel Builder
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PDP indicator is used for: defining price probability distributions. This allows for a detailed representation of the channel and its borders and forecast the probability of a price appearing at each segment of its fluctuations; defining the channel change moment. Operation principles and features PDP analyzes a quote history on lower timeframes and calculates a price probability distribution on higher ones. Forecast algorithms allow the indicator to calculate probability distributions and m
Iterative Moving Average – IMA.   IMA is obtained by correcting the usual   MA.   The correction consists in addition   to MA averaged difference between the time series (X) and its MA, i.e.   IMA(X)=MA(X) + MA ( Х -MA(X)). Correction is done in several iterations (and, exactly, 2 iterations in this indicator) and with a change in the averaging period.               As a result, the time-series points begin to cluster around (on all sides) of the getting   IMA and with a smaller de
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I present an indicator for professionals. ProfitMACD is very similar to classic MACD in appearance and its functions . However, ProfitMACD is based on completely new algorithms (for example, it has only one averaging period) and is more robust, especially on small timeframes, since it filters random price walks. The classic MACD indicator (Moving Average Convergence / Divergence) is a very good indicator following the trend, based on the ratio between two moving averages, namely the EM
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StatChannel
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5 (1)
The principle of the indicator.               The StatChannel ( SC ) indicator is a development of the Bollinger Bands indicator ( ВВ ).  BB is a moving average, on both sides of which two lines are drawn, separated from it by standard deviations std multiplied by the corresponding coefficient. At the same time, a moving average with an averaging period (2n + 1) bars is always obtained lagging behind n bars.  Sliding std is also lagging behind on n bars, also calculated by (2n + 1) points. Such
StatPredict
Aleksey Ivanov
Einleitung.             Der Indikator prognostiziert den Preis in Übereinstimmung mit dem vorherrschenden Trend und seinen eigenen kleinen statistischen Preisschwankungen. In StatPredict müssen Sie den Zeithorizont der vorhergesagten Ereignisse festlegen, der durch den Einstellungsparameter des Indikators « Length of forecast in bars » festgelegt wird. Der Prognosehorizont wird durch die charakteristische Zeitskala des aktuellen Trends bestimmt, die am besten durch den ProfitMACD -Indikator ode
Asummetry
Aleksey Ivanov
The principle of the indicator.                             The Asummetry  indicator allows you to predict the beginning of a change in the direction of trends, long before their visual appearance on the price chart.               The author statistically revealed that before changing the direction of the trend, the probability distribution function of the price is made as asymmetric as possible. More precisely, the price movement in any direction always pulls sideways the function of its dis
Indicator is used for: defining price probability distributions. This allows for a detailed representation of the channel and its borders and forecast the probability of a price appearing at each segment of its fluctuations; defining the channel change moment.   Operation principles and features Indicator analyzes a quote history on lower timeframes and calculates a price probability distribution on higher ones. Forecast algorithms allow the indicator to calculate probability distributions and m
The Identify Market State   indicator allows you to set the beginning of a new trends and pullbacks on an existing trend. This indicator can be used both for trading on scalper strategies and for long-term trading strategies.               The indicator is based on the 14 periodic DeMarker   indicator and the 8 periodic simple moving average from this indicator. Statistical studies have shown that the sharp peaks of the DeMarker   indicator curve when they drop below its minimum li
The Signal Envelopes   indicator uses the robust filtering method based on: (1) the moving median Buff0 = <Median> = (Max {x} + Min {x}) / 2 and (2) the averaging algorithm developed by the author Buff1 = <(<Median> ) ^ (- 3)> * (<Median>) ^ 4  based on the moving median. The Signal Envelopes   indicator allows you to most accurately and with the minimum possible delay set the beginning of a new trend.  The Signal Envelopes indicator can be used both for trading according to scalpe
The principle of constructing indicator lines .               Profit Trade  indicator is very effective for trading. Profit Trade  is a deep development of the well-known Donchian channel  indicator. The upper (BlueViolet color) Dup and the lower (IndianRed) Ddn lines of the indicator are constructed in the same way as in the Donchian channel , based on the highest (high of High) and lowest (low of Low) prices for the previous n1 = 20 periods. The middle line (Gold) Dm is constructed in the sam
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Robust Filter
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (1)
The Robust filter   indicator is based on the robust filtering algorithm developed by the author using the multi-period averaged moving median. The algorithm for this averaging is shown in the last screenshot.                The indicator calculates and shows: 1. The direction of the trend; 2. Entry and exit points of positions; 3. StopLoss   lines calculated from current price probability distributions and selected probability of closing an order by StopLoss before the trend revers
This   indicator is intended for professionals assessing fundamental market trends.  This indicator calculates the index of any instrument and analyzes it.              The index of the state currency shows the real purchasing power of this currency, and the dynamics of this index shows the dynamics of the economic state of the corresponding state. An analysis of the indices of both currencies included in a currency pair makes it much more reliable to identify the trend of this cur
The Multicurrency Trend Detector ( MTD ) indicator allows you to immediately and on one chart on a selected time interval (extending from a zero bar to a bar set in the settings by the value horizon) determine the presence, direction and strength of trends in all major currencies, as well as assess the reliability of these trends.               This is achieved by calculating indices (non-relative purchasing power) of eight major currencies, namely: AUD, CAD, CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, NZ
StatZigZag
Aleksey Ivanov
The StatZigZag  indicator looks like a regular ZigZag , but is built on the basis of completely different algorithms. The StatZigZag  indicator is a broken line built from segments of regression lines of different lengths, the beginning of each of which comes from the end of the previous segment. Each regression segment is built until the variance or spread of price around it begins to exceed a certain critical value, after which the construction of this segment ends and the constr
The Velocity of price change   ( VP ) indicator shows the average rate of price change at those characteristic time intervals where this rate was approximately constant. The robust algorithm used in VP   to smooth out the price from its random jumps, ensures the reliability of the indicator reading, which does not react to simple price volatility and its insignificant movements.             The indicator allows you to track trends and the moments of their reversals , during which t
Casual Channel
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (1)
Die Trends, die Sie in den Charts sehen, sind nicht immer Trends, mit denen Sie Geld verdienen können. Es gibt zwei Arten von Trends:  1)   wahre Trends , die durch fundamentale wirtschaftliche Gründe verursacht werden, die stabil sind und daher dem Händler einen zuverlässigen Gewinn bringen können;  2)    falsche Trendabschnitte , die nur wie ein Trend aussehen und durch Ketten von zufälligen Ereignissen entstehen, die den Preis (hauptsächlich) in eine Richtung verschieben. Diese
Quality trend
Aleksey Ivanov
5 (1)
The Quality trend indicator expresses the ratio of the strength of a trend or the speed of its growth (fall) to the degree of its noisiness or a certain norm of amplitudes of chaotic fluctuations of a growing (falling) price. The position of the indicator line above zero shows an increasing trend, below zero - a falling trend, the fluctuation of the indicator line near zero shows a flat. If the indicator line begins to fluctuate rapidly around zero and approach it, then this indica
Firstly , the script estimates how many Mx bars of the chart (on which this script is applied) the future trend will most likely continue and what is its quality. Secondly (and most importantly), the script is an auxiliary tool for the extremely mathematically advanced and extremely effective ScientificTrade indicator in trading. The script calculates the optimal averaging period, which is also equal to Mx, of the ScientificTrade indicator, which gives the maximum profit according to the strate
Auswahl:
Alan Lo
746
Alan Lo 2023.09.11 18:20 
 

As the first (or one of the first) purchaser's of this unique indicator, I myself am a mathematician (and large purchaser of EA's) and can say at the outset that the logic implemented here is pure genius. I'm looking forward to testing this indicator and will comment further

Aleksey Ivanov
36405
Antwort vom Entwickler Aleksey Ivanov 2023.09.11 18:47
Thank you very much for your high rating of my indicator. When you test it, do not forget about the horizon of adequate operation of the predictive algorithm. https://www.mql5.com/ru/articles/12891 Unfortunately, this article has not yet been translated into English.
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