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Your False Hope

4.5

The advisor "Your False Hope" is a fully automated strategy which trades several symbols, such as AUDUSD, EURUSD, USDJPY, USDNOK and some others. The set of symbols may change while the strategy is improved.

I created this strategy as a parody of pipe dreams of Internet users about magical possibilities of machine learning for financial markets. The objective is to show that normalized inputs of any set of symbols can be learned by a neural network.

Attention! The advisor uses Gold (Gold or XAUUSD in your terminal) for the calculation of inputs. Before you decide to download, make sure you have the symbol of Gold in your terminal.

This strategy has two trading modes: "False_hope" and "Reality".

Start the advisor on one chart of any symbol. Regardless of your current chart, the advisor always trades all its symbols from one chart.

The "False_hope" trading mode draws a very nice historical picture while trading different symbols. High profits, low drawdowns, almost perfect entries - it is the best strategy from your sweetest dreams. The trick is that this mode is there to show what an overfitting actually looks like. An overfitted neural network cannot make new decisions. However, this is the most important thing! A neural network should be able to make new decisions in new situations. Despite a magical growth in a historical chart, this mode cannot win beyond the training period.

The "Reality" trading mode is what the truth looks like. The market does not repeat itself. You can only find very basic moves in the Forex history. You can only see regular fluctuations in long periods. Despite a mediocre historical chart, the "Reality" mode has the highest chance of winning beyond the training period.

But what is it about anyway? The users test strategies on history, they see a low drawdown and a high profitability and they choose and buy those strategies whatever the price. The users refuse to accept that a nice historical chart is an overfitted strategy which will not be able to make a profit beyond the training period.

Hey, geek, you wrong! Look, there are so many strategies out there, which do show a profit! An overfitted strategy has a high value of loss. The higher is the loss, the higher is the cost of one single error. An overfitted strategy works and makes a profit for 1 month, 2 months... and then oops, a complete disaster.

A strategy, which is properly trained, has a value of loss in the unknown period not higher and not lower than the value of loss in training. In other words, an ugly chart is not due to a bad strategy. It is impossible to train a strategy any better. This is it. Impossible.

Some users do not want a profit on Forex. They want a hope, like a lottery ticket. They want to rejoice for awhile with this hope, and it will feel so good. I understand it. Switch on the "False_hope" mode, it will help you rejoice.

Some users can't stop believing that a nice historical chart will make them rich faster than lightning. I understand it, too. That is why I made the "False_hope" mode: to show that my strategy can draw a nice historical chart.

So can it make money or not? Yes, it can! The "Reality" trading mode has the highest chance of making money on future expectations.


Recommendations

  • Chart EURUSD D1
  • Deposit 250 USD (1000 USD is even better)
  • Level of hoping = Reality
  • Trades per signal = 2
  • Volume 0.01 per 1000 USD of deposit
  • USDNOK = false
  • USDSEK = false


Properties of the Advisor

  • Name for Gold >> check the name of for Gold in your terminal and put it in here. Gold is used for the calculation of inputs.
  • Suffix >> it can be handy for those who have symbols with different suffixes in their terminal. Most users can leave this field empty.
  • Level of hoping >> "False_hope" delivers more trades in history, while "Reality" has the highest chance of making money in the future period.
  • Trades per signal >> max number of trades for a similar signal. If a signal repeats, the advisor keeps opening similar trades until it reaches the max number.
  • Take
  • Trail
  • Volume >> volume per trade. Fixed volume (example: 0.02) or percentage of available funds (example: 0.015%). The EA prints the real volume on the "Expert Advisors" tab when starting or changing the timeframe. Always use a fixed amount for accounts that use a deposit currency other than the US dollar (i.e. euro, yuan, bitcoin, Australian dollar, etc.).


Bewertungen 16
sindicato
80
sindicato 2024.08.20 13:04 
 

Without a doubt, one of the best EA's I have tried, or possibly the best, and there have been more than a thousand. An EA that constantly adapts to the market is the holy grail. Thank you very much for your great work.

NiranSomchai
52
NiranSomchai 2024.07.23 07:45 
 

funny name

ROLF WILLY ORTMANN
828
ROLF WILLY ORTMANN 2024.04.10 20:53 
 

Sehr erstaunlich und zunächst auch auf einem Echtgeld Konto profitabel.

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Auswahl:
sindicato
80
sindicato 2024.08.20 13:04 
 

Without a doubt, one of the best EA's I have tried, or possibly the best, and there have been more than a thousand. An EA that constantly adapts to the market is the holy grail. Thank you very much for your great work.

NiranSomchai
52
NiranSomchai 2024.07.23 07:45 
 

funny name

ZERO9898
1878
ZERO9898 2024.06.09 09:32 
 

Der Benutzer hat keinen Kommentar hinterlassen

Apdullah96
34
Apdullah96 2024.04.30 09:42 
 

Der Benutzer hat keinen Kommentar hinterlassen

Alesamo
1333
Alesamo 2024.04.28 13:54 
 

For now I give 5 stars for giving me and others "false hope" for free ;-) Will forward test it on a demo account for some time and see if my false hopes were fulfilled...

Update 3 August: Massive losses, does not work

ROLF WILLY ORTMANN
828
ROLF WILLY ORTMANN 2024.04.10 20:53 
 

Sehr erstaunlich und zunächst auch auf einem Echtgeld Konto profitabel.

Gloria Sarpong
779
Gloria Sarpong 2024.04.09 11:32 
 

Der Benutzer hat keinen Kommentar hinterlassen

Matt Maier
16
Matt Maier 2024.04.07 07:08 
 

Gooood!!:)

Calogero Davide Canzolle
130
Calogero Davide Canzolle 2024.03.31 19:08 
 

Fantastic! Really great work! Thank you for sharing it. I'm testing your EA and I have to say it's exceptional, I'll launch it in real when the market opens next time. I'm a big fan of correlations, have you ever thought about creating an EA like this one in correlation with U.S. Dollar Index?

Evgeniy Scherbina
29023
Antwort vom Entwickler Evgeniy Scherbina 2024.03.31 19:13
Hi. Thank you. Maybe I will do it, but indices are not always available to everyone. The priority is to make it for as many symbols as possible.
Parame
14
Parame 2024.03.28 03:14 
 

This EA seems to be well working on Exness VPS from the day before yesterday. Only one advice from the author I need, is setting for Volume. My account currency is JPY, and first I set it to 0.02% of available funds. Then the EA took the positions of about 10 lots for each pair of three. Then I changed the setting to 0.001%, thereafter taking positions of less than 1 lot (for example, 0.84 lots)... Do I have to consider the difference of digit number between JPY:USD (100:1) for setting the volume ?

Evgeniy Scherbina
29023
Antwort vom Entwickler Evgeniy Scherbina 2024.03.28 18:51
You should use a fixed volume like 0.01 or 0.23 etc. You should not use a percentage sign if your deposit is not in USD. This is in the properties description.
Gabor Kovacs
168
Gabor Kovacs 2024.03.21 13:48 
 

I didnt backtest it. I have put it on a cent account with reality setting and it makes pips without stop. Always in floating profit until now. Looks very promising. Thank you for sharing the False Hope.

Passakon Ekaburudkul
284
Passakon Ekaburudkul 2024.03.07 13:09 
 

I tested it in real account since 4 March 2024 until today.

Evgeniy Scherbina
29023
Antwort vom Entwickler Evgeniy Scherbina 2024.03.08 09:00
Hi. I appreciate your insight. However, I cannot agree. It is definitely not the same approach. The Hope has 2 options - one simply draws a nice historical chart. The other should be able to make correct trading decisions because its neural loss on the unseen data is similar to that in the training. It is the one big difference. Other sellers are stuck in the overfitting conundrum. I have found a solution and I am working to make it even better.
dexoluss
34
dexoluss 2024.03.04 14:11 
 

Der Benutzer hat keinen Kommentar hinterlassen

Eleena
236
Eleena 2024.03.03 06:03 
 

Der Benutzer hat keinen Kommentar hinterlassen

Krasen Rumenov Angelov
215
Krasen Rumenov Angelov 2024.03.01 21:53 
 

Der Benutzer hat keinen Kommentar hinterlassen

fcaillou
199
fcaillou 2024.02.27 13:00 
 

Very interesting !!

Antwort auf eine Rezension
Version 1.1 2024.03.08
1. I added flags to choose your symbols.