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Ethereum Star MT5

Trend following expert on Ethereum with live performance results (see my profile) and MT5/Binance trading mode.

Introduction

Have you ever wonder why is it so hard to accumulate impressive capital using expert advisors? The key feature here is reinvestment. You need to constantly increase your deposit so you could receive greater income. And compound that income to your deposit again. Then the power of compound interest will increase your capital exponentially over time. 

To do that you can choose between two types of expert advisors:

  1. Martingale/grid experts with unlimited losses or experts with losses much greater than profits.
  2. Experts with fixed losses which is less or comparable to profits.

  • In the first case you have to withdraw all your profit because sooner or later the expert will burn your entire deposit. Assuming typical performance of grid experts, it will take a year or more to simply return 100% of your investment.
  • In the second case you can compound your profit but it's difficult to achieve the same stability of performance compared to grid systems because such experts always tend to get overfitted to the past prices. 

I've been stuck with this dilemma for a long time until I've created this expert.

Algorithm

  • On the one hand, it uses some adaptive conditions to enter the trend with a relatively short SL, follow that trend with trailing SL and exit or reverse at the end of the trend. These conditions adapt to the market situation.
  • On the other, it has some filters to avoid multiple losses during the flat phase, which were tuned based on my original technique that I call "an optimization without optimization". It was inspired by several research articles ([1], [2], [3]) where I found the answer why most of the optimization techniques used in algotrading are fail. This approach allows to reduce an overfitting to minimum.

Main properties of the expert:

  • No grid, no martingale, not holding loss positions for a long time.
  • Each deal has a fixed SL that can only be shortened.
  • Uses trailing SL to maximize profit from big trends.
  • Requires no optimization, use default settings adjusted to your deposit.
  • Shows stable historical results during both bull and bear crypto trends, high and low volatility, from 2018 to 2024.
  • Shows historical performance (rec.factor=29.5 with a fix.lot) compared to the best grid systems without dangerous trading methods.
  • Demonstrates live performance similar to test results (see screenshots).
  • Comply with FIFO rule.
  • Compatible with both netting and hedging accounts.
  • Minimal deposit is 100$.
  • The only recommended symbol is Ethereum. Can also be used with BNB but performance is worse.
  • The only recommended timeframe is M15.
  • Not sensitive to slippages and not critically sensitive to comission.

Parameters:

Parameter Default value Description Comment
WorkTimeframe
PERIOD_M15
timeframe for trading via MT5
Preferrable timeframe is M15.
TradeBinance false trade on Binance False for trading via MT5. True for trading directy on Binance Futures.
ApiBinance
your Binance account generated API Required if TradeBinance=true.
SecretBinance   your Binance account generated secret Required if TradeBinance=true.
SymbolBin ETHUSDT Binance instrument Symbol name from Binance futures.
TimeFrameBin 15m Binance timeframe Preferrable is 15m. Others: 1m/3m/5m/15m/30m/1h/2h/4h/6h/8h/12h/1d/1w.
DigitsBin 2 decimals of Binance instrument ETHUSDT has 2.
Lot
4 base lot
In practice, I use no more than 1 lot for every 1000 of balance
PriceNorm
3000
price for a volume = Lot
Needed to eliminate the impact of price level on risk. 3000 means it will trade 4 lots when ETH price is 3000, 3 lots when price is 4000, 6 lots when price is 2000 etc. It will keep the size of position (price x lot = 12000) same for every price level.
AdjustLotByBalance
false
increase lot with balance

BalanceNorm
8000 balance for a volume = Lot, when AdjustLotByBalance=true
If Lot=4 will trade 2 lots with 4000 balance, 3 lots with 6000 balance etc.
MaxSpread
0.2 max spread in % of price
On Binance ETHUSDT futures spread is usually 0.003% of price.
AllowBuy
true
buys allowed

AllowSell
true
sells allowed
In case you'll want to use one side trading. I always use both sides even during strong bull market because there's a chance to get additional profit on sudden rapid corrections + you never know when the trend will revert.
CloseAtFriday
false
close all positions at friday evening

  CloseAtFridayHour  22 hour to close all at friday (GMT) In case your broker doesn't give a quote on weekend. The best results achieved when trading 24/7.

Testing

All tests were performed with Binance ETHUSDT spot prices. You can download this data from Binance only using API keys and Python script to transform prices to MT5 format. I provide this script here. Otherwise, you can simply use the MT5-compatible history file prepared by this script.

Create a custom symbol and fill it up with the history from that file as shown here

Tester should have following settings:

  • Period: M15
  • Dates: 2018.01.01 to 2024.04.01
  • Delays: zero latency, ideal execution
  • Modelling: open prices only (no need for better accuracy because the expert ensures enter price to be at the bar open price or puts a limit order)
  • Deposit: 8000 USD
  • Leverage: 1:500
  • Comission: 0.05% for both sides (USDT taker) which is the largest comission on Binance futures (in practice, comission will be between 0.05% and 0.02% because in some cases expert uses limit orders). Set it from my comission config file.

Test results by year and risk mode:

Dates Risk Net profit MaxDD MaxDD% Rec.factor
(net.prof./maxDD)
Deals Sharp 
year 2018 fix.lot=4 28 811 3532 34% 8.2 177 4.00
year 2019 fix.lot=4
5522 3931 34% 1.4 208 0.94
year 2020
fix.lot=4
21 390 2108 19% 10.1 194 3.95
year 2021
fix.lot=4
25 523 3505 29% 7.3 190 4.25
year 2022
fix.lot=4
22 405 3514 17% 6.4 216 4.02
year 2023
fix.lot=4
11 042 2353 21% 4.7 220 2.28
1.1.2018-1.4.2024
fix.lot=4
116 169 3931 34% 29.5 1263 2.32
1.1.2018-1.4.2024 lot=4 for every 20k bal. 1 796 594 168 296 18% 10.7 1263 3.27
BTC 1.1.2018-1.4.2024 buy and hold for 8000$ 32 400 29 409 77% 1.1 1  
ETH 1.1.2018-1.4.2024 buy and hold for 8000$ 30 640 40 410 89% 0.76  

Trading

I personally use this expert to trade on Binance futures. Since it was developed with spot prices it uses spot prices to analyze market and decide what to do but trades futures because of the lower fees and available leverage. It increases performance compared to analyzing futures prices.

See my simple guide how to run this expert in Binance trading mode.

Comparison between ETHUSDT Binance spot and Alpari Real account ETHEREUM CFD (0.07% comission + spread) performance from 1.10.2021 to 1.4.2024, fixlot=4:

symbol comission  net profit maxDD  rec.factor deals sharp
ETHUSDT Binance
 0.05% 38 100  3500 10.9 567 2.17
Alpari Real ETHEREUM CFD  0.07% + spread 33 400  3350 9.2 573 1.41

Of course you will need a VPS server to properly run this expert. I use it with Metatrader VPS.

Results

The results I got on my futures account with this expert absolutly satisfied me. I'm actively continue to trade it and involve more capital. I cannot provide link on my Binance live monitoring because of the Market rules. For the same reason I provide no MQL signal with my expert: trading conditions that MT5-compatible brokers provide to trade Ethereum CFD are slightly worse than Binance futures. You can check real trading results in my profile or in the screenshots.

Feel free to ask me any questions in PM after purchase.

Have a good trade!

References

[1] D. Bailey, J. Borwein, M. López de Prado and J. Zhu, The probability of backtest overfitting, 2013, working paper.

[2] D. Bailey and M. López de Prado, The Sharpe ratio efficient frontier, Journal of Risk 15(2) (2012), 3–44.

[3] Bailey, D., J. Borwein, M. L´opez de Prado and J. Zhu, “Pseudo-mathematics and financial charlatanism: The effects of backtest over fitting on out-of-sample performance,” Notices of the AMS, 61 May (2014), 458–471.

































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Precauções O EA inclui até 6 pontos de entrada, e o número de mãos por transação é o número de mãos da ordem multiplicado por 6, por isso, tenha cuidado para não usar demasiadas mãos. O método de cálculo das mãos por defeito não é uma percentagem de fundos. O nosso método de cálculo por defeito não é afetado pela alavancagem e permite controlar o risco de forma mais precisa. É recomendado utilizar fundos acima de $1000 para melhorar a resistência ao risco. Existe um risco de acumulação de risco
Quantum Queen MT5
Bogdan Ion Puscasu
5 (7)
Olá, comerciantes! Eu sou Quantum Queen, a mais nova e poderosa adição à Família Quantum de Expert Advisors. Minha especialidade? OURO. Sim, negocio o par XAUUSD com precisão e confiança, trazendo-lhe oportunidades de negociação incomparáveis no brilhante mercado de ouro. IMPORTANT! After the purchase please send me a private message to receive the installation manual and the setup instructions. Sinal ao vivo 1:   CLIQUE Preço   com desconto   de 50% até 31 de agosto.   O próximo pre
Neon Trade MT5
Evgeniy Ilin
5 (2)
# Neon Trade MT5 Nossa comunidade Telegram Apresentamos a você Neon Trade - uma inovação única na área de negociação algorítmica nos mercados de câmbio, usando métodos avançados de aprendizado de máquina. Nosso consultor é totalmente autônomo e pronto para operar após a instalação em qualquer gráfico e prazo. Funciona de acordo com o princípio - pendurou no gráfico e esqueceu. A única coisa que você precisa fazer é permitir o acesso à minha API " https://xmpp.madsysadm.ru " nas configurações do
Eternal Engine EA é um Expert Advisor avançado que utiliza vários indicadores e estratégias, fornecendo aos comerciantes uma ferramenta de negociação automatizada abrangente. Ele oferece inúmeras oportunidades de negociação, não é sensível a spreads e emprega pontos de entrada rigorosos para iniciar com precisão cada negociação. A estratégia provou-se no mercado real, com um sinal em tempo real de um ano de DD baixo.Se você é um iniciante ou um comerciante experiente, o Eternal Engine EA oferec
TrendMaster FX
Chen Jia Qi
4.55 (78)
Live signal : TrendMaster FX The MT4 version : TrendMaster FX MT4   Promoção 618, Oferta por Tempo Limitado $300 de Desconto Atualmente, há uma promoção de teste para o nosso EA. Após a compra, entre em contato conosco para obter acesso ao "Gold Garden" ou "AI TradingVision GPX". Para mais informações, por favor entre em contato conosco . Pares de moedas recomendados: GBP/USD (GBPUSD) USD/CAD (USDCAD) Configurações de risco: Para traders agressivos, o risco máximo é definido em 0,15. Para trade
Signal Account  (running 0.75% Balance Risk) If you need MT4 version or can't afford renting/purchasing contact me for alternative solution. If you'd like to purchase multiple EAs (minimum 2 EAs of your choice) as a custom package contact me for 15% special discount for the package. Also contact me for additional discount options. Join  Nexus Community Public Chat This EA is part of   Nexus Portfolio  - the most long term stable EA in mql5 market.  Starting price: $1600, current price $2400, ne
Big Forex Players MT5
Marzena Maria Szmit
4.82 (45)
We proudly present our cutting-edge robot, the  Big Forex Players EA  designed to maximize your trading potential, minimize emotional trading, and make smarter decisions powered by cutting-edge technology. The whole system in this EA took us many months to build, and then we spent a lot of time testing it. This unique EA includes three distinct strategies that can be used independently or in together. The robot receives the positions of the  biggest Banks  (positions are sent from our database t
FT Gold Robot MT5
Marzena Maria Szmit
4.55 (55)
Introducing the FT Gold Robot MT5, your ultimate companion in navigating the intricate world of XAUUSD trading. Developed with precision and powered by cutting-edge algorithms, FT Gold is a forex robot meticulously crafted to optimize your trading performance with XAUUSD pairs . With its advanced analytical capabilities, FT Gold Robot constantly monitors the gold market, identifying key trends, patterns, and price movements with lightning speed. The FT Gold Robot opens 5 positions every day (you
Gold Excel MT5
Gregory Hay
4.84 (19)
bem-vindo a       Versão GoldExcel EA MT5   , negociação válida no par de moedas XAUUSD (GOLD) do dia. Projetado por nossa equipe para trabalhar com contas regulares, contas patrocinadas e tarefas! Não use negociação de alta frequência! See all products here:   https://www.mql5.com/en/users/fxmanagedforexltd/seller O preço de oferta inicial aumenta a cada poucas semanas. Jin Zhuo       É uma estratégia de negociação de um dia que utiliza apenas pares de ouro. O par ouro é ideal para esse tipo de
Bitcoin Robot MT5
Marzena Maria Szmit
4.32 (34)
The Bitcoin Robot MT5 is engineered to execute Bitcoin trades with unparalleled efficiency and precision . Developed by a team of experienced traders and developers, our Bitcoin Robot employs a sophisticated algorithmic approach (price action, trend as well as two personalized indicators) to analyze market and execute trades swiftly with M5 timeframe , ensuring that you never miss out on lucrative opportunities. No grid, no martingale, no hedging, EA only open one position at the same time. Bit
Ai Hybrid Robot MT5
Mansour Babasafary
4.27 (11)
Several experts in one expert With this expert, you can use several up-to-date strategies Enhanced with artificial intelligence Can be used in several popular forex currencies Can be used in the most popular forex time frames Without using high-risk strategies Attributes : Can be used in the EURUSD , GBPUSD , USDCHF , AUDUSD , USDCAD , NZDUSD  currency pairs Can be used in M30 , H1 , H4 , D1 time frames Has profit limit and loss limit Without using risky strategies like martingale or hedg
GoldPulse AI MT5
Babak Alamdar
4.34 (32)
Compre não um backtest, mas um sistema de negociação real:   Live Signal 1     Live Signal 2       Live Signal 3   Este preço é temporário durante a promoção e será aumentado em breve Ganhe 1 EA gratuitamente -> entre em contato comigo após a compra  Restam apenas algumas cópias com o preço atual, o próximo preço é -->> 1480 $ Welcome to the GoldPulse AI Hey, I'm GoldPulse AI! Este é o primeiro robô mais inteligente que negocia ouro ou XAU com pares completos como XAUUSD, XAUEUR, XAUGBP,
Aura White Edition MT5
Stanislav Tomilov
4.8 (35)
Aura White Edition is unique Expert Advisor that continues the Aura series of advisors. The Expert Advisor is based on the engine of Aura Black Expert Advisor , but with a number of changes and author's settings for currency pairs. Innovative methods of the programme's approach to trading, and promising performance results are possible thanks to the use of modern technologies and methods. Aura White Edition is a fully automated EA designed to trade currencies only. Working pairs EURUSD, GBPUSD,
Oracle MT5
Stanislav Tomilov
5 (13)
Oracle Trading Expert the Quintessence of Modern Programming Technologies Expert Oracle for MetaTrader, trading on GBPUSD and Gold, represents the quintessence of modern programming technologies. Our unique proprietary methods and developments are based on advanced machine learning concepts, making our trading expert truly one-of-a-kind. We offer cutting-edge modules and neural architecture that embody innovative advancements in financial programming. Our algorithms rely on in-depth data analysi
Aura Black Edition MT5
Stanislav Tomilov
4.26 (27)
Aura Black Edition is a fully automated EA designed to trade GOLD only. Expert showed stable results on XAUUSD in 2011-2020 period. No dangerous methods of money management used, no martingale, no grid or scalp. Suitable for any broker conditions. EA trained with a multilayer perceptron Neural Network (MLP) is a class of feedforward artificial neural network (ANN). The term MLP is used ambiguously, sometimes loosely to any feedforward ANN, sometimes strictly to refer to networks composed of mult
Nexus EA Forex MT5
Enrique Enguix
4.5 (12)
Por que a maioria dos Expert Advisors (EAs) falham? Muitos Expert Advisors dependem de vantagens estatísticas temporárias que desaparecem quando o mercado muda, o que acontece continuamente. O problema da sobreotimização Além disso, a maioria dos desenvolvedores cai na armadilha de ajustar minuciosamente seus EAs para obter resultados perfeitos no passado, sem perceber que isso não se traduzirá em desempenho futuro no mercado. É crucial realizar testes que considerem cenários futuros.
Stock Indexes EA MT5
Marzena Maria Szmit
5 (11)
Stock Indexes EA is a sophisticated   trading robot   meticulously engineered to capitalize on the dynamics of the   US30   index. This expert advisor employs advanced algorithms and technical indicators to analyze market trends, identify potential entry and exit points, and execute trades with precision. A news filter   has also been added to the robot, which prevents it from opening a position during   important economic news , minimizing the risk. In robot, you can also specify the days and
Dragon Multi EA MT5
Mansour Babasafary
4.46 (50)
3 experts in 1 expert Strategy based on price action Made specifically for the best forex currency pairs Can be used in the best time frame of the market at a very reasonable price This expert is basically 3 different experts. But we have combined these 3 experts in 1 expert so that you can use 3 experts at the lowest price. All three strategies are based on price action. But based on different trends. Long term, medium term and short term Attributes : Can be used in the EURUSD , AUDUS
X Code G
Shinta Seftiana
3.22 (23)
ONLY 1 COPIES LEFT AT CURRENT PRICE! , NEXT PRICE  1199 USD,    SO COME ON HURRY UP !! Introducing eXecute-Code (X-CODE) EA - the ultimate Expert Advisor that's out of this world!, X-Code G EA base on Algorithm Levels of Trading.  Live Signal M5     |   Live Signal M1  |     Channel     |    MySetfile_1.5 I design X-Code G EA for XAUUSD/GOLD pair Why should you choose and use X-CODE EA in Trading? X-CODE EA will give you a pleasant trading experience because in X-CODE EA reliable algorit
XG Gold Robot MT5
Marzena Maria Szmit
4.38 (79)
The XG Gold Robot MT5 is specially designed for Gold. We decided to include this EA in our offering after extensive testing . XG Gold Robot and works perfectly with the XAUUSD, GOLD, XAUEUR pairs. XG Gold Robot has been created for all traders who like to Trade in Gold and includes additional a function that displays weekly Gold levels with the minimum and maximum displayed in the panel as well as on the chart, which will help you in manual trading. It’s a strategy based on Price Action, Cycle S
Darwin Evolution MT5
Guillaume Duportal
4.63 (59)
Evolução Darwin. -30% Promoção !! 1490 USD para 990 USD Tempo Limitado (Oferta válido até a chegada da próxima atualização, não perca tempo) !!! Você não pode fazer o backtest deste EA, ele abrirá pedidos sem qualquer lógica! Descrições: - Para entender a operação, venha ler o blog (este EA reflete minha filosofia de negociação forex ... se você gosta do meu caminho para ver as coisas, então você vai gostar do meu EA. Aproveite o tempo para fazer isso !! (Forex não é uma corrida):
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Versão 1.1 2024.04.27
Direct trading on Binance is added. Set parameter TradeBinance=true and add your API key and secret.