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Monte Carlo Predictor MT5

35 USD

Demo downloaded: 284

Published: 27 September 2018

Current version: 3.2

Monte Carlo Predictor MT5

Utilities
Evgeny Shevtsov
Version: 3.2
Updated: 24 April 2024
Activations: 10

The utility refers to probabilistic analysis tools, in particular the Monte Carlo method.

The Monte Carlo method is defined as the simulation of processes in purpose to evaluate their probabilistic characteristics and apply them to the solvable task.

Operation features

The simulation uses a tick model with the subsequent transformation to the candles form, as a model as close as possible to the real market process.

The utility generates a stream of a random tick sequence until a result with the best similarity to the original sample is obtained, and continues this stream as an expected further development of events.

This method of forecasting is based on synchronization of numerical distribution of the generated instance and the original sample.

Сontrol

The utility is controlled by a single button that has several states:

Pause - the utility is idle, pressing the button starts the process and puts the utility in the "Seek" state.
Seek - the utility works and searches for the most suitable instance, pressing the button puts the utility in the "Pause" state.
Satisfactory or Wonderfully - the result of verification of the generated instance and the original sample, pressing the button starts the continuation of the process and puts the utility in the "Seek" state.

Input variables

Candles - number of candles taken from the chart as the reference area.
Forecast - forecast size as a percentage of the total volume of the candles of the reference area.
Similarity - similarity criterion, as the number of candles as a percentage of the number of candles of the reference area, is unacceptable to fall outside the channel of reconciliation at closing prices.
Channel - width of the reconciliation channel in standard deviations, as the lower and upper bounds, is unacceptable to fall outside at closing prices.
Scale - multiplier for the tick size that controls the amplitude of the generation.
Norm - volume normalizer, this parameter slightly reduces the quality of simulation, but significantly speeds up the process of finding instances:

for value of 0 - normalization is not performed.
for values over 500 - normalization is performed relative to the total value of the volume columns of the candles of the reference area.
for values from 10 to 200 - normalization is performed relative to the average value of the volume columns of the candles of the reference area.
for values from 200 to 500 - normalization is performed relative to the maximum value of the volume columns of the candles of the reference area.

Shift - shift in history, allows to evaluate and adjust the quality of forecasts on the existing history.
Rand - dimension of the random number generator.
Alerts - notification method when the searching has finished.
Visible - displays the process, always or only when the searching has finished.
Pinpoints - enable/disable the control points when comparing the generated instance and the reference area.
Liquidity - enable/disable the follow of the daily template of tick activity for the forecasted candles.
Volumes - volume scale used in calculations, tick or real.

Other variables are related to color settings, and their purpose becomes clear from their names.

Features of testing trial version

In the strategy tester set the "Every tick" mode.
Adjust the tick rate to approximately no more than one tick per second.
Switch the utility to the "Seek" state and expect the result as a forecast in the form of yellow candles.
Also use the input variable "Shift" according to its purpose.

Useful notes

The forecast should not be taken as the ultimate truth.
Also should not to focus on the forecasted candles, as if they already exist.
Pay attention mainly to the direction of the forecast, as well as the intensity of this direction.
Additionally perform a visual verification of the generated instance and the reference area.
Use the utility only as an accessory tool in conjunction with your main trading strategy.

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The balance of supply and demand is a simple and effective market analysis method. The supply and demand diagram can show you in advance, even before the trend reversal, where the supply ends and the demand is already emerging, where the demand ends and the supply is emerging, while substantially increasing the probability of making a deal in the right direction and with a high profit factor. Indicator signals The indicator uses the price/volume values to generate signals: ED – excess demand.

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The balance of supply and demand is a simple and effective market analysis method. The supply and demand diagram can show you in advance, even before the trend reversal, where the supply ends and the demand is already emerging, where the demand ends and the supply is emerging, while substantially increasing the probability of making a deal in the right direction and with a high profit factor. Indicator Signals The indicator uses the price/volume values to generate signals: ED – excess demand.

35 USD

The indicator analyzes the volume scale and splits it into two components - seller volumes and buyer volumes, and also calculates the delta and cumulative delta. The indicator does not flicker or redraw, its calculation and plotting are performed fairly quickly, while using the data from the smaller (relative to the current) periods. The indicator operation modes can be switched using the Mode input variable: Buy - display only the buyer volumes. Sell - display only the seller volumes. BuySell -

FREE

The indicator displays the orders book, as well as increases its depth, remembering the location of orders that have gone beyond the current "window" view. Indicator capability Display the levels of open positions. Simulation of placing/cancelling/editing pending orders directly in the displayed orders book. Indicator features The orders book display works only on those trading symbols for which it is broadcast by the broker. To reset the information about the rows that were recorded in the

FREE

The indicator displays volume profiles based on the nesting principle. Profiles periods are pre-set so that each subsequent profile has a length twice as long as the length of the previous profile. In addition to profiles, the indicator displays volume clusters sorted by color, depending on the volume they contain. Indicator operation features The indicator works on typical timeframes from M5 to MN, but for calculations uses historical data from smaller timeframes: M1 - for timeframes from M5

FREE

The indicator displays peak levels of activity formed by the maximum volume, tracks the correlation of the candles on all timeframes (from the highest to the lowest one). Each volume level is a kind of key trading activity. The most important cluster is inside a month, week, day, hour, etc. Indicator operation features A volume level receives Demand status if the nearest volume level located to the left and above has been broken upwards. A volume level receives Supply status if the nearest vol

35 USD

This indicator calculates the volume profile and places labels that correspond to the VAH, VAL and POC levels, for each candle individually. Indicator operation features The indicator works on the timeframes from M3 to MN, but it uses the history data of smaller periods: M1 - for periods from M3 to H1, M5 - for periods from H2 to H12, M30 - for the D1 period, H4 - for the W1 period, D1 - for the MN period. The color and location of the VAL, VAH and POC labels on the current candle are consider

FREE

The indicator has been designed for use on FORTS, but it can also work on other markets, at brokers broadcasting the required data. A peculiarity of these data is that they cannot be requested from the broker's server as a section of history, but can only be obtained for the current moment. The indicator periodically requests the broker, collects to a file and displays the following history from the stored file: The weighted average price. The volume of buy pending orders. The volume of sell pen

FREE

The market is unfair if only because 10% of participants manage 90% of funds. An ordinary trader has slim changes to stand against these "vultures". This problem can be solved. You just need to be among these 10%, learn to predict their intentions and move with them. Volume is the only preemptive factor that faultlessly works on any timeframe and symbol. First, the volume appears and is accumulated, and only then the price moves. The price moves from one volume to another. Areas of volume accumu

33 USD

The indicator refers to the means of probabilistic analysis. Prediction is performed by the Monte Carlo method together with a mathematical model of a neuron. But, the modeling of samples for this method is made not artificially, but comes from the original "nature", that is, from history. The number of samples and the detail of their modeling is achieved using the lower (relative current) timeframe. Indicator algorithm : In general terms, the algorithm boils down to the fact that the ind

90 USD

This indicator calculates the volume profile and places labels that correspond to the VAH, VAL and POC levels, for each candle individually. Indicator operation features The indicator works on the timeframes from M5 to MN, but it uses the history data of smaller periods: M1 - for periods from M5 to H1, M5 - for the H4 period, M30 - for the D1 period, H4 - for the W1 period, D1 - for the MN period. The color and location of the VAL, VAH and POC labels on the current candle are considered to be

FREE

35 USD

The utility refers to probabilistic analysis tools, in particular the Monte Carlo method. The Monte Carlo method is defined as the simulation of processes in purpose to evaluate their probabilistic characteristics and apply them to the solvable task. Operation features The simulation uses a tick model with the subsequent transformation to the candles form, as a model as close as possible to the real market process. The utility generates a stream of a random tick sequence until a result with th

35 USD

33 USD

The indicator calculates volume profiles dynamically and displays the result as VAL, VAH and POC curves. Indicator features The indicator uses the historical data of the lower (relative to the current) timeframes for calculations: M1 - for timeframes up to H1, M5 - for timeframe H1, M15 - for timeframe H4, H1 - for timeframe D1, H4 - for timeframe W1, D1 - for timeframe MN. The color of the DPOC curve sections is determined by comparing the volume of the POC levels of all profiles that make u

30 USD

The indicator displays the delta and the cumulative delta based on the "Time & Sales" deals list data. In addition to the standard timeframes, the indicator displays data regarding the seconds timeframes (S5, S10, S15, S20, S30) to choose from. Using the rectangle, user can select an arbitrary area in the indicator subwindow to view the ratio of the volumes of deals of buyers and sellers within this area. Indicator features: The indicator works correctly only on those trading symbols for whi

30 USD

90 USD

35 USD

The utility displays the order book, as well as increases its depth, remembering the location of applications that have gone beyond the current "window" view. With the utility user can perform quick trading actions in one click - placing/cancelling/editing of explicit and hidden orders, and also opening/editing positions. Utility features The orders book display works only on those trading symbols for which it is broadcast by the broker. To reset the information about the rows that were record

30 USD

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Version 3.2 2024.04.24

The utility is recompiled in MT5 build 4275.

Version 3.1 2023.11.05

The utility is recompiled in MT5 build 4056.

Version 3.0 2023.05.23

The utility is recompiled in MT5 build 3742.

Version 2.9 2022.12.02

The utility is recompiled in MT5 build 3521.

Version 2.8 2022.05.04

The utility is recompiled in MT5 build 3280.

Version 2.7 2021.09.20

The utility is recompiled in MT5 build 3041.

Version 2.6 2021.06.10

The utility is recompiled in MT5 build 2946.

Version 2.5 2021.04.07

The utility is recompiled in MT5 build 2875.

Version 2.4 2020.12.02

The utility is recompiled in MT5 build 2715.

Version 2.3 2020.10.21

The utility is recompiled in MT5 build 2650.

Version 2.2 2020.07.12

Improved algorithm of the "Modulator" function.
The input variable "Waiting" sets the maximum waiting time (in seconds), after which the forecast calculation is suspended.

Version 2.1 2019.07.28

Modified the algorithm of reconciliation channel.
The reconciliation channel participates in the pre-calibration, just as the amplitude (at the value of the input variable Scale is zero). During the pre-calibration, the channel width is gradually changed to a larger or smaller side, depending on the trading symbol and the mode of the Volumes input variable.
The pre-calibration process starts immediately after pressing the Start button and can last from ten seconds to several minutes, depending on the trading symbol. Upon completion of the pre-calibration process, the generation automatically starts again from the starting point defined by the Seed input variable and continues until the end of the search for a suitable variant, followed by the issuance of a forecast.

Version 2.0 2019.06.01

Improved automatic adjustment algorithm of the generation amplitude (for mode Scale=0).

Version 1.9 2019.05.20

Improved Alignment function algorithm.
Improved Pinpoints function algorithm for ExtOfExt mode.
The variables of the linear-congruent random number generator are open to the user. The generator works according to the classical formula Seed=(Seed*Multiplier+Summand)%Divider. The input variable Bit specifies the bit number (0-63) in the 64-bit word from which the value for tick generation is taken. The state of this bit equal to 0 is defined as a negative tick, the state equal to 1 is defined as a positive tick. The input variable Specular changes the tick sign to the opposite.

Version 1.8 2019.05.09

Added the new mode Without to the list of modes of the input variable Volumes. If you doubt the readings of the volume scale that your broker broadcasts, then you can use this mode, but, this mode is relevant for timeframes not lower than H4.
Added the function of automatic adjustment of the generation amplitude. To enable this function, set the value of the input variable Scale equal to zero. Using this feature improves the quality of the forecasting.
Added the new function Modulator. This function forces the generation to strive to become similar to the original sample. Using this feature improves the quality of the forecasting.

Version 1.7 2018.11.11

Improved random number generator algorithm for 32-bit execution.

Version 1.5 2018.10.19

Optimized the source code to speed up its work.

Version 1.4 2018.10.17

Improved the algorithm for building the reconciliation channel.
Fixed a bug in the algorithm for drawing conrol points (pinpoints).

Version 1.2 2018.10.07

Improved algorithm of adaptation to gaps.
Added feature Alignment, that aligns the points OLHC of candles relative to the average volume. To see these candles, switch the chart to the line view mode.