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Is 3 SMA Spread

3-SMA-Spread - cross-instrument stat.arb (Statistical Arbitrage) Indicator of market Spread of 3 (three) different instruments via building visual iChannel (see below formula) that is changing its Width proportionally to the input from each instrument ("Statistical Arbitrage" based on SMA).

Core principle: Price lines following the prices of "their" symbols after each discrepancy are constantly tending to return to the total of "synthetic" central.  In other words, a system of 3 "related" instruments//pairs constantly strives to revert to their mean (so called "mean-reversion" effect).

  • Works on any Instrument/TF (must open Charts/TF for all instruments used)
  • Synchronization in place.  After current bar is closed -- No re-paint / No re-draw
  • "SetIndexBuffer" available for all variables (can be used in EA)
  • Auto-detect 4- and 5-digit prices 

 The following formulas have been used to build iChannel:

  • Price-line Symbol-1     - chart where Indicator is turned on
  • Price-line Symbol-2     - plus "reversal=true" Mode for instruments with negative correlation
  • Price-line Symbol-3     - рlus "reversal=true" Mode for instruments with negative correlation
  • Middle-line М  = "synthetic" central (S1 + S2 + S3)/3 (yellow dotted line)
  • iChannel = (S1-M) + (S2-M) + (S3-M) (red and green dots)

This formula allows combining various instruments on one chart (see Fig. 1), for example:

  • XAUUSD ~1100
  • AUDUSD ~0.7
  • USDCAD ~1.33  

Conditions for Signal:

#1. Width of iChannel started to narrow (first green dot after series of red dots)

#2. Width of iChannel > Level

#3. Price Line S1 is on one side of Middle-line М, аnd Price Lines S2 and S3 are on the opposite side of Middle-line М -- as following:

  • Signal BUY Symbol-1:  S1<M  S2>M  S3>M   -- NOTE: iChannel width (red and green dots) is changing wider or narrower
  • Signal SELL Symbol-1:  S1>M  S2<M  S3<M   -- NOTE: iChannel width (red and green dots) is changing wider or narrower


Parameters: 

  • Inp_Fast_MA - period of Fast moving average
  • Inp_Slow_MA period of Slow moving average
  • Inp_MA_Method - parameter of SMA
  • Inp_MA_PriceType   - parameter of SMA
  • Inp_Symbol_1 - Symbol-1 (by default GBPJPY)
  • Inp_Symbol_2 - Symbol-2 (by default EURJPY)
  • Inp_S2_revers - =True in case Symbol-2 has negative correlation to Symbol-1
  • Inp_Symbol_3  - Symbol-3 (by default CHFJPY)
  • Inp_S3_revers - =True in case Symbol-3 has negative correlation to Symbol-1


Other useful information: 

Typical EXAMPLES of highly correlated 3-way instruments:

  •  GOLD vs. gold-forming currency pairs AUDUSD, USDCAD and NZDUSD
  •  GOLD vs. Crude/WTI and Brent/BRN
  •  Stocks vs. Indices (S&P500, NASDAQ, DJIA etc.)
  •  Soybean Meal March 2016 (ZMH16) vs Soybean Oil March 2016 (ZLH16) vs Soybeans March 2016 (ZSH16), etc.

Complete list of 120 classic 3-way combinations of currency pairs - see link in the Comments section. 

NOTE: for classic 3-way combinations (where participating 3 currencies only), Middle-line М will be always a straight line.
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Cyclical indicator for trading and predicting the direction of the market. Shows the cyclical behavior of the price in the form of an oscillator. Gives signals for opening deals when rebounding from the upper and lower boundaries of the oscillator. In the form of a histogram, it shows the smoothed strength of the trend. Will complement any trading strategy, from scalping to intraday. The indicator does not redraw. Suitable for use on all symbols/instruments. Suitable time frames for short-term
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Version 1.4 2021.12.16
Recompiled in recent MT4 build.