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Your False Hope

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Published: 22 February 2024

Current version: 1.3

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Comments (118)
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Your False Hope

Name: Your False Hope
Rating: 4.4375 (16 reviews)
Author: Evgeniy Scherbina

4.44

Experts
Evgeniy Scherbina
Version: 1.3
Updated: 22 January 2025

The advisor "Your False Hope" is a fully automated strategy which trades major symbols. The set of symbols may change while the strategy is improved.

I created this strategy as a parody of pipe dreams of Internet users about magical possibilities of machine learning for financial markets. The objective is to show that normalized inputs of any set of symbols can be learned by a neural network.

This strategy has two trading modes: "False_hope" and "Reality".

Start the advisor on one chart of any symbol. Regardless of your current chart, the advisor always trades all its symbols from one chart.

The "False_hope" trading mode draws a very nice historical picture while trading different symbols. High profits, low drawdowns, almost perfect entries - it is the best strategy from your sweetest dreams. The trick is that this mode is there to show what an overfitting actually looks like. An overfitted neural network cannot make new decisions. However, this is the most important thing! A neural network should be able to make new decisions in new situations. Despite a magical growth in a historical chart, this mode cannot win beyond the training period.

The "Reality" trading mode is what the truth looks like. The market does not repeat itself. You can only find very basic moves in the Forex history. You can only see regular fluctuations in long periods. Despite a mediocre historical chart, the "Reality" mode has the highest chance of winning beyond the training period.

But what is it about anyway? The users test strategies on history, they see a low drawdown and a high profitability and they choose and buy those strategies whatever the price. The users refuse to accept that a nice historical chart is an overfitted strategy which will not be able to make a profit beyond the training period.

Hey, geek, you wrong! Look, there are so many strategies out there, which do show a profit! An overfitted strategy has a high value of loss. The higher is the loss, the higher is the cost of one single error. An overfitted strategy works and makes a profit for 1 month, 2 months... and then oops, a complete disaster.

A strategy, which is properly trained, has a value of loss in the unknown period not higher and not lower than the value of loss in training. In other words, an ugly chart is not due to a bad strategy. It is impossible to train a strategy any better. This is it. Impossible.

Some users do not want a profit on Forex. They want a hope, like a lottery ticket. They want to rejoice for awhile with this hope, and it will feel so good. I understand it. Switch on the "False_hope" mode, it will help you rejoice.

Some users can't stop believing that a nice historical chart will make them rich faster than lightning. I understand it, too. That is why I made the "False_hope" mode: to show that my strategy can draw a nice historical chart.

So can it make money or not? Yes, it can! The "Reality" trading mode has the highest chance of making money on future expectations.

Recommendations

Chart EURUSD D1
Deposit 250 USD (1000 USD is even better)
Level of hoping = Reality
Trades per signal = 4
Volume 0.01 per 1000 USD of deposit

Properties of the Advisor

Suffix >> it can be handy for those who have symbols with different suffixes in their terminal. Most users can leave this field empty.
Level of hoping >> "False_hope" delivers more trades in history, while "Reality" has the highest chance of making money in the future period.
Trades per signal >> max number of trades for a similar signal. If a signal repeats, the advisor keeps opening similar trades until it reaches the max number.
Take
Trail
Volume >> volume per trade. Fixed volume (example: 0.02) or percentage of available funds (example: 0.015%). The EA prints the real volume on the "Experts" tab when starting or changing the timeframe. Always use a fixed amount for accounts that use a deposit currency other than the US dollar (i.e. euro, yuan, bitcoin, Australian dollar, etc.).

more...

nguy trng 2025.05.20 16:14 #

nice

Daniel AD 2025.01.10 06:05 #

Been testing for >two months, and almost always there is a floating profit. You have to be patient of course with the daily timeframe. A few times I messed up the EA's corelations by closing a position at a relatively high profit. Maybe that's not adivisable because how would you determine this optimum price level? I have also seen how the author replies to almost every review/comment, which is nice. Still testing, but so far a great and promising EA!

340

Neiguaner johnny 2025.01.03 05:57 #

Most people prefer to believe in ea that can make profits in the short term, rather than using ea that can make profits in the long term. The author's previous ea although some twists and turns, but the overall long-term profit, will not wipe out the account. Now the author has created a new ea during the holidays, if anyone really understands reinforcement learning neural networks and general neural networks, they will know that reinforcement learning reevaluates orders as the market changes, while mql5 most neural networks are just predictions and do not really adapt to the new environment!

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Big sale 50% OFF! Price $375. Regular price $750 All our signals are now available on myfxbook: click here Unique set files and all recommendations are provided free of charge. All future updates of the adviser are included in the price. After the purchase, contact me and I will help you install and configure the robot correctly. I will also share with you information on how to get a free VPS from a reliable broker. Gold is one of the riskiest instruments on the market. It requires precisio

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The "Latte" EA is ready to trade several symbols in the fully automated mode from 1 chart. The EA uses a "Transformer" neural network to forecast price movements. The main advantage of the Transformer over an LSTM network is its ability to find patterns even across very long sequences of data. While LSTMs often lose information when dealing with sequences longer than 2–3 months, Transformers handle sequences as long as a year with ease. The Transformer architecture was first introduced by Googl

285 USD

The "Gold Chaser" expert advisor trades in fully automated mode these 4 symbols: XAUUSD (Gold), XAGUSD (Silver), BTCUSD (Bitcoin), and XBRUSD (Brent Oil). I am going to add other cryptocurrencies and/or stock exhange indices in the near future. Possibilities of the "non-major" symbols really differ from what you are accustomed to with the usual set of symbols. First of all, gold moves very quickly. Like major symbols, gold reacts to political events, important economic events and speeches of VIP

165 USD

LuminaFX is a fully automated expert which trades 10 symbols from one chart. The expert implements a popular version of the recurrent neural model. Values of the American Dollar Index DXY, or "Dixie", are used as inputs to the neural model. You can download a free indicator IDixie and put it on one chart with the expert LuminaFX. IDixie calculates close prices of the American Dollar Index, which is used in the expert, and it also shows a moving average. The free indicator IDixie can be useful be

165 USD

The expert "QuantumPip" is a fully automated expert which can trade several symbols from one chart. The expert also uses prices of Gold, Oil, Dixie, DAX or FTSE to calculate inputs for the symbols. The expert uses 2 types of recurrent neural model - 1 network (decisions "buy" or "sell") and 2 networks (decisions "buy" or "uncertainty" and "sell" or "uncertainty"). QuantumPip can, therefore, trade 20 strategies as one, because it is 2 models per each of the 10 symbols. This can help diversify ris

165 USD

The "Intraday Rush" Expert Advisor trades several symbols simultaneously in automatic mode: AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, and USDJPY. The advisor uses a modified version of the popular indicator RSI (Relative Strength Index) to make open and close trading decisions. You can download a free indicator IRush , used by this advisor, to visualize trading. The one major difference of this advisor is that it can check its trading decisions several times during the day. If the market condition

165 USD

The indicator IQuantum shows trading signals for 10 symbols in the daily chart: AUDCAD, AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPCAD, GBPCHF, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, and USDJPY. Signals of the indicator are produced by 2 neural models which were trained independently from one another. The inputs for the neural models are normalised prices of the symbols, as well as prices of Gold, Silver and markers of the current day. Each neural model was trained in 2 ways. The Ultimate mode is an overfitted neural model

FREE

The indicator My Big Bars can show bars (candles) of a higher timeframe. If you open an H1 (1 hour) chart, the indicator puts underneath a chart of H3, H4, H6 and so on. The following higher timeframes can be applied: M3, M5, M10, M15, M30, H1, H3, H4, H6, H8, H12, D1, W1 and MN. The indicator chooses only those higher timeframes which are multiple of the current timeframe. If you open an M2 chart (2 minutes), the higher timeframes exclude M3, M5 and M15. There are 2 handy buttons in the lower r

FREE

The indicator High Trend Lite monitors 5 symbols in up to 3 timeframes simultaneously and calculates the strength of their signals. The indicator notifies you when a signal is the same in different timeframes. The indicator can do this from just one chart. Therefore, High Trend Lite is a multicurrency and multitimeframe indicator. With the High Trend Pro , available at this link , you will have an unlimited number of symbols, 4 timeframes, a colourful chart of the primary MACD indicator, several

FREE

The advisor NewsCatcher Free opens trades when the price makes a reversal move from support and resistance levels. Market entries should be confirmed by the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The RSI is implemented as a tachometer. It is recommended to use this advisor in a highly volatile market after a political event or a release of major economic data. You can use this advisor in the semi-automated mode (the RSI performs an information role) or in the fully automated mode (the RSI decides when t

FREE

Indicator IRush uses a modified version of a popular indicator RSI (Relative Strength Index) to look for entries on a daily chart or lower. The indicator has been set up and tested with the major symbols: AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, and USDJPY. An automated trading with this indicator is implemented in the expert advisor Intraday Rush . This expert advisor can open, trail and close its trades. Check it out, it may be exactly what you are looking for! A Correct Reading of IRush The c

FREE

IDixie is an indicator which shows open and close values of the American dollar index, DXY or "Dixie". The indicator is calculated from weighted values of 6 major symbols: EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDSEK, and USDCHF. In addition to "Dixie" values, the indicator also shows a moving average. You can set the period of the moving average. When bars of the indicator break through the moving average, this creates good opportunities to enter the market. As a rule, signals from this indicator are

FREE

NewsCatcher Pro opens both pending and market orders based on data from the mql5.com calendar. In live mode, NewsCatcher Pro automatically downloads the calendar, opens orders, trails and closes orders. NewsCatcher Pro can trade any event from the calendar with any symbol available in MetaTrader, including Gold, Oil and cross-rates. To change the default symbol, go to the event view you want to change it for. NewsCatcher Pro uses two strategies: Strategy 1 (pending orders): the advisor opens two

125 USD

FREE

The indicator My Big Bars can show bars (candles) of a higher timeframe. If you open an H1 (1 hour) chart, the indicator puts underneath a chart of H4, D1 and so on. The following higher timeframes can be applied: M3, M5, M10, M15, M30, H1, H3, H4, H6, H8, H12, D1, W1 and MN. The indicator chooses only those higher timeframes which are higher than the current timeframe and are multiple of it. If you open an M30 chart (30 minutes), the higher timeframes exclude M5, M15 and M30. There are 2 handy

FREE

The utility TradeKeeper Lite can show your profits for different periods and bip a sound when you reach a profit target value. Click the tachometer to quickly switch to the next profit period. There are 5 of them: This Day, This Week, This Month, Last 90 Days and All I Made. With the utility TradeKeeper Pro , available at this link , you can also open trades with a magic number and volume of your choice, trail any orders with a simple trail or iSAR-based trail, as well as close any open trades a

FREE

The utility Filled Area Chart adds to the standard set of price presentations. It is a brand new, nice price chart. You will certainly like it if you want to feel yourself a trader born under the Bloomber lucky star. The Properties allow to set the colors and other things: Color preset - choose a preset or set to "Custom" and set your own colors using the properties below. Custom area color - color of the area below the price line. Works only with Color preset = Custom. Custom chart color - col

FREE

125 USD

The utility TradeKeeper Pro allows you to open a trade manually with a magic and a volume of your choice. It does not open its own trades, it can only open a trade by your command. TradeKeeper Pro can trail any open trades by the iSAR (parabolic) indicator, and a simple trail. It can set the stoploss level at the open price as soon as possible. To trail any open trades for any instruments, it suffices to launch the utility in one chart. TradeKeeper Pro can close any trades or pending orders of a

45 USD

The indicator High Trend Pro monitors a big number of symbols in up to 4 timeframes simultaneously and calculates the strength of their signals. The indicator notifies you when a signal is the same in different timeframes. The indicator can do this from just one chart. Therefore, High Trend Pro is a multicurrency and multitimeframe indicator. High Trend Pro uses emproved versions of popular and highly demanded indicators for calculating its signals. High Trend Pro calculates the signal strength

45 USD

The advisor NewsCatcher Visual automatically downloads actual data from 2 economic calendars: investing.com or mql5.com . The advisor can work in the "autoclick" mode, that is it can open trades automatically by comparing actual and forecast values. It also allows to manually open both instant and pending orders with a set volume. Recommendations By default the advisor NewsCatcher Visual applies the "autoclick" strategy to all events of high volatility. This allows the advisor to work in the fu

45 USD

165 USD

45 USD

The advisor NewsCatcher Visual automatically downloads actual data from the mql5.com calendar. The advisor can work in the "autoclick" mode, that is it can open trades automatically by comparing actual and forecast values. It also allows to manually open both instant and pending orders with a set volume. Recommendations By default the advisor NewsCatcher Visual applies the "autoclick" strategy to all events of high volatility. This allows the advisor to work in the fully automatic mode. However

45 USD

The "Neural Transformer" expert is a fully automated expert which is ready to trade on the daily timeframe with 2 symbols: GBPUSD and USDCAD. In addition to this, you can train the expert to trade on any timeframe with any symbol. The expert will automatically pick up the files of your new customized neural network. The "Neural Transformer" has made training neural networks for Forex an easy and exciting process! Currently, I am offering one type of network - LSTM. It is the most popular neural

165 USD

The Dark Mars Expert Advisor is ready for fully automated trading with various symbols. The Dark Mars EA is a scalper that I have tested on the M5, M15, M30, and H1 timeframes. The EA opens trades on breakouts or pullbacks based on the Bollinger Bands indicator. The EA is ready to trade right away with default settings — no optimization needed for GBPUSD and USDCAD. A well-known advantage of scalpers is the high number of trades executed daily. The market is in a flat range 80% of the time, an

285 USD

Filter:

nguy trng 2025.05.20 16:14 #

nice

Daniel AD 2025.01.10 06:05 #

340

Neiguaner johnny 2025.01.03 05:57 #

305

Paulo Mauricio Dos Santos Alves 2024.12.29 01:31 #

Um lixo!

33975

Reply from developer Evgeniy Scherbina 2024.12.30 19:36 #

Hi. I have just updated this EA. It is now using a more advanced configuration of neural nets. Check the "What's new" section for more details. I am experimenting with new approaches with this free EA. For example, I have recently found a new way to combine data from different symbols. Please give it a new try!

sindicato 2024.08.20 13:04 #

Without a doubt, one of the best EA's I have tried, or possibly the best, and there have been more than a thousand. An EA that constantly adapts to the market is the holy grail. Thank you very much for your great work.

NiranSomchai 2024.07.23 07:45 #

funny name

1982

ZERO9898.Tom KC Wang 2024.06.09 09:32 #

User didn't leave any comment to the rating

Apdullah96 2024.04.30 09:42 #

Fast Response. Good EA. Top!

1383

Alesamo 2024.04.28 13:54 #

For now I give 5 stars for giving me and others "false hope" for free ;-) Will forward test it on a demo account for some time and see if my false hopes were fulfilled...

Update 3 August: Massive losses, does not work

849

ROLF WILLY ORTMANN 2024.04.10 20:53 #

Sehr erstaunlich und zunächst auch auf einem Echtgeld Konto profitabel.

875

Gloria Sarpong 2024.04.09 11:32 #

User didn't leave any comment to the rating

Matt Maier 2024.04.07 07:08 #

Gooood!!:)

130

Calogero Davide Canzolle 2024.03.31 19:08 #

Fantastic! Really great work! Thank you for sharing it. I'm testing your EA and I have to say it's exceptional, I'll launch it in real when the market opens next time. I'm a big fan of correlations, have you ever thought about creating an EA like this one in correlation with U.S. Dollar Index?

33975

Reply from developer Evgeniy Scherbina 2024.03.31 19:13 #

Hi. Thank you. Maybe I will do it, but indices are not always available to everyone. The priority is to make it for as many symbols as possible.

Parame 2024.03.28 03:14 #

This EA seems to be well working on Exness VPS from the day before yesterday. Only one advice from the author I need, is setting for Volume. My account currency is JPY, and first I set it to 0.02% of available funds. Then the EA took the positions of about 10 lots for each pair of three. Then I changed the setting to 0.001%, thereafter taking positions of less than 1 lot (for example, 0.84 lots)... Do I have to consider the difference of digit number between JPY:USD (100:1) for setting the volume ?

33975

Reply from developer Evgeniy Scherbina 2024.03.28 18:51 #

You should use a fixed volume like 0.01 or 0.23 etc. You should not use a percentage sign if your deposit is not in USD. This is in the properties description.

Gabor Kovacs 2024.03.21 13:48 #

I didnt backtest it. I have put it on a cent account with reality setting and it makes pips without stop. Always in floating profit until now. Looks very promising. Thank you for sharing the False Hope.

344

Passakon Ekaburudkul 2024.03.07 13:09 #

I tested it in real account since 4 March 2024 until today.

33975

Reply from developer Evgeniy Scherbina 2024.03.08 09:00 #

Hi. I appreciate your insight. However, I cannot agree. It is definitely not the same approach. The Hope has 2 options - one simply draws a nice historical chart. The other should be able to make correct trading decisions because its neural loss on the unseen data is similar to that in the training. It is the one big difference. Other sellers are stuck in the overfitting conundrum. I have found a solution and I am working to make it even better.

dexoluss 2024.03.04 14:11 #

User didn't leave any comment to the rating

386

Eleena 2024.03.03 06:03 #

User didn't leave any comment to the rating

215

Krasen Rumenov Angelov 2024.03.01 21:53 #

This type of EA looks very promising.

260

fcaillou 2024.02.27 13:00 #

Very interesting !!

Version 1.3 2025.01.22

1. I corrected a bug caused when checking for symbols used in trading.

Version 1.2 2024.12.30

1. I changed the neural nets. It is now training by 3 symbols - more data, less curve-fitting.
2. Different dropouts in training, all according to new algorithms in the TensorFlow neural library.
3. I changed the expert properties.

Version 1.1 2024.03.08

1. I added flags to choose your symbols.