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This article presents a comprehensive guide to implementing a sophisticated trading system using Causality Network Analysis (CNA) and Vector Autoregression (VAR) in MQL5. It covers the theoretical background of these methods, provides detailed explanations of key functions in the trading algorithm, and includes example code for implementation.

In the world of algorithmic trading, a new approach is gaining traction among quants and traders alike: Causality Network Analysis for Market Event Prediction. This sophisticated method combines the power of causal inference, network theory, and predictive analytics to forecast significant market events with unprecedented accuracy.

Imagine the financial market as a vast, interconnected web. Each strand represents a relationship between different market variables - stock prices, economic indicators, geopolitical events, and more. Traditional analysis often focuses on correlations, but as any seasoned trader knows, correlation doesn't always imply causation.

This is where Causality Network Analysis steps in. It aims to uncover the true cause-and-effect relationships within this complex web. By doing so, it provides traders with a deeper understanding of market dynamics, allowing them to anticipate events that might be invisible to conventional analysis.

Author: Javier Santiago Gaston De Iriarte Cabrera