The Sultonov system indicator - page 78

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Yousufkhodja Sultonov:

I will pass on your wish to the programmer.

Hire another programmer if he didn't know that ))
 
I think comrade Sultonov just creatively saved 30 quid on freelancing. :D
 
Artem Prischepa:
I think comrade Sultonov just creatively saved 30 quid on freelancing. :D

Looks like it. On the other hand, how else, the popular wisdom: "a penny saved a ruble". And there you see - a million )))

 
Yousufkhodja Sultonov:

Dear forum members, as a basis for future indicator strategy let's consider and discuss the following hypothesis: The price of the current bar depends on 4 price values of previous bars according to the following relationship

C5 = C0 + a1C1 + a2C2 + a3C3 + a4C4

You may ask why it depends on 4? The point is that, so far, I am able to solve this equation up to 4 variables, the calculated formulas of which I have given before:https://www.mql5.com/ru/forum/86249/page3

Let's analyze the behavior of 5 coefficients, maybe we will be able to get some hints to the regularity.

  • The market should be described as a super-complex mechanism, not amenable to direct adequate analysis by the power of the human mind. To clarify the situation a little, let us choose a logically justified hypothesis and put forward and check the following global hypothesis by the power of a computer: LAST BAR PRICE IS FORMED BECAUSE ALL HISTORICAL DATA ON THE PRICE OF INSTRUMENT AT EACH HISTORICAL BAR is taken into consideration. Naturally, no one is able to check this hypothesis in full and we are forced to limit ourselves to a finite amount of information in order to assess the situation. We will compensate our digression by introducing the concept C0 - accounting for the pressure of historical data on the price at the beginning of the analysis, assuming that the market has a memory. Let us consider the regularity of price formation at the moment of opening of the current C5 bar on the basis of considering C0, C1, C2, C3 and C4 as follows: C5 = C0 + a1C1 + a2C2 + a3C3 + a4C4.

The computer gives the following results as food for thought, after introducing the term "virtual price" Tsi virtual. = aiCi:

C1 actual.C2 actual.C3 actual.Ts4 actual.a4a3a2a1a0C0 virtual historyC1 virtualC2 virtualC3 virtualC4 virtual.Tcvirt.Ц5 actual.
1,13761,13771,13751,1361-5,479871,1303931,375359-1,863376,6306826,630681616-2,119781,5647461,285822-6,225671,13581,1358
1,13771,13751,13611,1358-2,719060,2307690,635452-0,856194,2127944,212793788-0,974080,7228260,262177-3,088311,13541,1354
1,13751,13611,13581,13540,5588941,4507212,385817-0,8774-2,85908-2,85907782-0,998052,7105271,6477290,6345691,13571,1357
1,13611,13581,13541,13570,544521-0,489731,681507-1,883561,3034821,30348176-2,139911,909856-0,556030,6184121,13581,1358
1,13581,13541,13571,13580,949091-0,720910,41-3,097273,9287283,928727516-3,517880,465514-0,818741,0779771,13561,1356
1,13541,13571,13581,13560,422659-0,764780,341063-1,173292,4701732,470172562-1,332150,387345-0,868640,4799721,13671,1367
1,13571,13581,13561,1367-0,47611-0,67344-0,37034-0,904543,8908663,890866234-1,02728-0,42063-0,76476-0,541191,1371,137
1,13581,13561,13671,137-0,270980,044748-0,29526-0,337412,1118612,111861113-0,38323-0,33530,050865-0,30811,13611,1361
1,13561,13671,1371,13610,130820,10459-0,48492-0,236721,6885841,688583774-0,26882-0,551210,1189190,1486241,13611,1361
1,13671,1371,13611,1361-1,337951,684211-0,12465-1,603882,7070732,707073191-1,82313-0,141731,913432-1,520051,13561,1356
1,1371,13611,13611,1356-0,778931,468912-0,03022-1,297931,8617031,861702747-1,47574-0,034341,668831-0,884551,13591,1359
1,13611,13611,13561,1359-0,806391,512641-0,01497-1,287761,8143491,814348847-1,46302-0,017011,717756-0,915981,13611,1361
1,13611,13561,13591,1361-0,918111,03410,772669-1,073621,3471321,347132039-1,219740,8774421,174634-1,043061,13641,1364
1,13561,13591,13611,13640,2131862,7064492,317132-6,41532,4732282,473227751-7,285222,632033,0747960,2422641,13711,1371
1,13591,13611,13641,13710,7067743,2718481,97262-6,643461,9200151,920015419-7,546312,2410943,7181280,8036721,13661,1366
1,13611,13641,13711,13660,422892-0,60749-1,77213-3,235757,0379077,037906837-3,67614-2,01385-0,690780,4806591,13781,1378
1,13641,13711,13661,13780,951666-0,688570,496879-0,418490,7467930,746792813-0,475570,565001-0,782631,0828061,13641,1364
1,13711,13661,13781,1364-0,330530,632365-0,401450,6507720,506110,5061098780,739993-0,456290,719505-0,375621,13371,1337
1,13661,13781,13641,13370,2634460,36517-0,299530,5644730,1184830,118482630,64158-0,340810,4149790,2986691,13291,1329
1,13781,13641,13371,13290,178440,717824-0,417060,595678-0,08697-0,086971020,677762-0,473940,8137970,2021551,13281,1328
1,13641,13371,13291,13280,0645530,922948-1,101970,8036730,349780,349779910,913295-1,249311,0456080,0731261,13251,1325



It turns out that the market operates on the basis of a strict regularity, which no man is able to comprehend at the given stage of brain development and is perceived by him as a regularity, then as an absolute randomness. In short, the mind cannot understand the market, which is proved by researchers' efforts and traders' persistence.

Let me explain the first line: At the beginning of the experiment, i.e. at the moment of opening of the 1st bar, the pressure of virtual historical prices was +6.63 conventional units of the price, which the market has to compensate for in the future. The effort of the 1st bar manages to soften the historical shock a bit, by -2.12 units, but the 2nd and 3rd bars hit by 1.56 and 2.12 units, worsening the situation. It remains for the 4th bar to strike a decisive counter-strike of -6.23 virtual price units at once. to stabilise the market by the time the current 5th bar opens! It seemed to everyone that, the market "accidentally" went down! All lines of the table can be analyzed in the same way. Conclusion: The terminal shows us only the tip of a huge iceberg called the market, without hinting at the fact that this market is mostly virtual, and it shows its real part in the terminal, which is used by uninitiated people. Moreover, this process of market self-regulation goes on forevery tick, minute, ....., month and years. To be fair, I have to admit that with this method of analysis I have not achieved any result that helps to profitably trade or predict the market. It just shows how complex the market mechanism is, that's all! The attempt to detect a pattern of price formation leads us to search for even more complex patterns, for example, a pattern of formation of C0 and ai, like a movement in a swamp. Although, logically, we can create and test the indicator, working by the following principle: if а4<1 and Ц04>0, then price tends to fall - SELL, otherwise - BAY. If anyone is ready to program and check this hypothesis, I'm ready to provide all calculations on Exel.

Let's try to develop here and now by common efforts of forum participants a sounded system indicator by principle:

If a4<1 and C0>0, then, the price is inclined to fall - SELL, otherwise - BAY:

We see that, during a flat, a4 does not exceed 1 and C0 remains positive - so the market will fall, which did happen soon. We will follow the situation as the data is processed. I will post right away.

Let's continue and see the efforts to stop the downward trend:


Continued:

For the first time the indicator advises to close all the sells as the a4>1 signal has appeared. We open BAY orders:

Continued:

Unexpectedly there is a signal to close the BAY orders and open the SELL orders, as again a4<1 has appeared, hence the upward movement proved false, which is confirmed by the further market movement:

In spite of the sharp market movement upwards, the indicator remains unperturbed, considers the move to be a deceptive one, firmly continues with its SELL verdict and turns out to be right!

When can I test it on my real account? I am ready!

I believe Yusufhodja has been working on this issue for more than a year and has delved deeper into it.

 
With your permission, I am opening a special post where I will organize and constantly update the list of programmers and other forum participants who made a significant contribution to the creation and improvement of the code and logic of the indicator. Moderators, I ask you to move the honor board to the first page of the branch to ensure permanent access to it. The list will be updated according to your suggestions on the pages of the branch.
 
isurim58:

When can I test it in a real account? I am ready!

I believe Yusufhoja has been working on this issue for more than a year and has delved deeper into it.

I agree that the depth is off the charts )) Have you tried opening a deposit account with a bank? They too are working and going deep. The main thing is that you are guaranteed to get your money back with interest. However... "As long as there are fools in the world, we will have to live like this. A fool does not need a knife, you just lie to him and do what you want with him" ))

 
rjurip1:

I agree that the depth is off the charts )) Have you tried opening a deposit account with a bank? They work and get deeper too. The main thing is that the money is guaranteed to be paid back with interest. However... "As long as there are fools in the world, we will have to live like this. A fool does not need a knife, you just lie to him and do what you like with him" ))

Well done Yusuf, keep up the good work, do not listen to your critics. The direction you have chosen is absolutely right!
 
Vladimir Baskakov:
Well done Yusuf, keep it up, do not listen to those who criticize you. The direction you have chosen is absolutely right!

Thank you, my mood has lifted a little, otherwise I felt as if I had committed some heinous crime and, at times, slipped into making excuses for my actions.

 
Vladimir Baskakov:
Well done Yusuf, keep it up, don't listen to your critics. The direction you have chosen is absolutely right!

I'm thinking loft, which will work particularly well on the news.

The day after tomorrow, we all get together with Yusuf and jump into the profits.

 
Uladzimir Izerski:

I'm thinking loft, which will work particularly well on the news.

After tomorrow, we all get together with Yusuf and jump into profits.

Well not so fast, but the pound is scanning well, up to a point
1...717273747576777879808182838485...119
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