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I don't know if Yusuf would agree with me, but it seems to me that any pattern in the market is temporary. They appear and disappear at a certain moment along with the factors that generated them. If you catch a temporary pattern you can make money, but if you sit on one pattern all the time, you are likely to lose.
I agree, but we need to proceed in stages. The first stage is to create a non-clearing, even if not very profitable, EA based on a basic theory or idea, such as in the figure above. At the second stage, find out why this theory has not worked at certain parts of the history and look for the reason.
trader trades
Why would he want to optimize?
But on this forum the main topic of conversation is optimisation. Hence I draw conclusions.
That may be so. And even the right approach on a fee basis. But you have to be at least a bit of a programmer yourself.
Right, the talent and work of programmers should be respected, it is more difficult than singing by F. Kirkorov.
Although not addressed to me, I want to disagree with the view that any pattern in the market is temporary. It is constant and consistent. Look at the century charts)))).
I agree, but we need to proceed in stages. The first stage is to create a non-clearing, even if not very profitable, EA based on a basic theory or idea, such as in the figure above. At the second stage, find out why this theory has not worked at certain parts of the history and look for the reason.
Consistency is the way to success. You are right.
But what do we see in reality?
The market gives us the opportunity to make 100% in a day and most want to take that chance now, without regard to the real threats.
But in this forum, the main topic of conversation is optimisation. Hence I draw conclusions.
Optimization of the Expert Advisor is needed to fine-tune its logic on historical data. You cannot do without it. But it must not replace omissions in the logic of the Expert Advisor. There must be a minimum number of optimizable parameters. N - sample size stands out among them. You need to be very careful with it. This parameter is capable of deducing any TS to a profit through the variation of N, and the truth where it is not clear. In general, much is not clear with this parameter and theorists are silent.
I agree, but we need to proceed in stages. The first stage is to create a non-clearing, even if not very profitable, EA based on a basic theory or idea, such as in the figure above. At the second stage, find out why this theory has not worked at certain parts of the history and look for the reason.
I am talking about patterns of correlation or temporal subordination of price to random but significant factors that also have their influence temporarily. Something influences people's minds at a certain period of time, and they change movements and states of the market in a certain way. Then, the factor weakens and the pattern disappears.
The market is not random. It is legitimate. For 99% of users it is random.
The main question is: What can be included in EAs apart from the trading strategy?
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Optimisation of an EA is needed to refine its logic on historical data. You cannot do without it. But, it should not replace omissions in the logic of the Expert Advisor. Optimized parameters must be a minimum number. N - sample size stands out among them. You need to be very careful with it. This parameter is capable of deducing any TS to a profit through the variation of N, and the truth where it is not clear. In general, much is not clear with this parameter and theorists are silent.
It is not clear, it is not solvable, it leads to the drawdown - we exclude it from the TS, despite the importance in the work of the entire algorithm