From theory to practice - page 883

 
vladevgeniy:
Well the context here was referring to "market-themed" by the author. I'm still a reader..... And the forum here is of course more technical.

So you're not grandpa, then?! Not FelixWhite?! Ugh,jesus christ.... A regular sufferer?! Ehhhhh.....

 
Alexander_K2:

So you're not grandpa, then?! Not FelixWhite?! Ugh,jesus christ.... A regular sufferer?! Ehhhhh.....

Here's a prime example of the content of the branch))) OK White or Black, Walter White)))))) Perhaps it's best not to interfere with the discussion.

 
vladevgeniy:

Here's a prime example of the content of the thread))) OK White or Black, Walter White)))))) It's probably best not to interfere with the discussion.

I'm crying tears of sadness...

No worries, mate - you're on the right track, looking in here for a light.

Here, read - it is the theory of Bachelier we are considering here, mixed with Einstein, Gunn and village amateurism.

Hopefully, after reading it, you'll come straight to the Grail and share it with the rest of us.

Files:
 
Alexander_K2:

I cried tears of sadness...

No worries, mate - you're on the right track, looking in here for a light.

Here, read it - it's Bachelier's theory we're looking at here, mixing with Einstein, Gunn and village amateurism.

Hopefully, after reading it, you'll come straight to the Grail and share it with the rest of us.

You shouldn't get bogged down in arcane theories in forex. You have to look for simple, but not superficial solutions. And the overly complex theories and the excess of mind, you know (Griboedov, everybody studied at school), that happens - woe. A man, burdened with much knowledge because of the great variety of possible variants of their use, finds it difficult to define in which direction one should dig. He resembles a monkey trying to attach his glasses (knowledge) to different parts of the body.)

 
khorosh:

In forex, you should not get bogged down in arcane theories. It is necessary to look for simple, but not superficial solutions. And you know what happens because of complicated theories and brain overload (you all have learnt Griboedov in school). A man, burdened with much knowledge because of the great variety of possible variants of their use, finds it difficult to define in which direction one should dig. He resembles a monkey trying to attach his glasses (knowledge) to different parts of the body.)


Alexander wants to create a system that is clearly described by scientific (grounded) formulas, and not by any invention. Which ultimately will provide stability and confidence in the system, because if 2 + 2 = 4, there will never be 5. No matter who argues to the contrary.

You can have 2 sacks of potatoes + 2 sacks of potatoes = 60 kg of potatoes.

 

Here's the interesting thing about the sliding window of observation. Because of the different approach, you get different data.

1. You can take a sliding window W = n and there will be a shift at each step.

2. You can take a reference point and add n at each step.

For example, at the beginning of day W = 1440 minutes, and by 12:00 W = 2160 minutes. This results in a dynamic sliding window.

 
Evgeniy Chumakov:


Alexander wants to create a system that is clearly described by scientific formulas, not by fictions. This will eventually provide stability and confidence in the system, because if 2 + 2 = 4, there will never be 5. No matter who says otherwise.

You can have 2 sacks of potatoes + 2 sacks of potatoes = 60 kg of potatoes.

Exactly.

Although, there is always room for creativity, even within the exact models.

For example, choice of expected payoff estimates for trading in the channel. Physicists do not usually specify - what is the average, it is of no importance, just an average, "average" value, that's all. And this is something to think about.

Regarding calculation of dispersion, choice of observation time window - I will never deviate from calculations in this thread.

And the result... Well, the competition will show.

 
Evgeniy Chumakov:


Alexander wants to create a system that is clearly described by scientific formulas, not by fictions. This will eventually provide stability and confidence in the system, because if 2 + 2 = 4, there will never be 5. No matter who argues to the contrary.

No well we can have 2 sacks of potatoes + 2 sacks of potatoes = 60 kg of potatoes.

Yes, of course that's good.) But first, how many disputes are held about the most elementary and at the same time fundamental things. For example, what is a trend and what is a flat, or whether the market is random and to what extent, the methods of calculating the degree of randomness. To solve this at least would be a "2". The second "2" - once we have understood UNIVERSAL and ABSOLUTELY how to use it to make money, I mean, anyone who has seen this theory in practice will inevitably, invariably, in any case, come to our conclusions.
This is impossible without the working elementary ways of identifying the characteristic movements in the market.
And if everything goes well then it's "2 + 2 = 4". )
 
Evgeniy Chumakov:


Alexander wants to create a system that is clearly described by scientific formulas, not by fictions. This will eventually provide stability and confidence in the system, because if 2 + 2 = 4, there will never be 5. No matter who argues to the contrary.

No well you can have 2 sacks of potatoes + 2 sacks of potatoes = 60 kg of potatoes.

Alexander wants to create a system:

In what specific time will person A cover a distance of 500 metres?

Known numbers:
Statistically, 100 people travelled between 4 and 10 minutes, 10+4/2=7, average time 7 minutes.

The statistics have been gathered in the past.

Let's run a real test with person A and thereby make sure that he will pass in 7 minutes.

Conclusion: All calculations and statistics have nothing to do with reality, maybe as soon as he left the starting point, it immediately started raining.


As for the market, it's the same: big money came into the market today and did not come tomorrow. There are many reasons, maybe someone even coughs and does not trade, or someone had a bad dream and lost his position.

 
Alexander_K2:

You were saying something above about windows and forever with them...

Well, your windows and statistics are no way in hell to analyse real signals. And even on history.

There is a great deal of literature on windows and signal analysis. The Internet is large, you can find it.)

In fact, it is not the first time I've written this).