Econometrics: one step ahead forecast - page 32

 
Tantrik:


Adieu!

You're touchy, aren't you?
 
Tantrik:

Well think why should I be offended (what I've lost is a violation of my own rules - it's a positive experience). On the indx I have already written off D1 has gone under the trend - the shadow has remained (shadow and body - body from the shadow - a whole philosophy only on candlesticks). Forecast only from the next candlestick (usually it is not redrawn - probably they intervene slowly)
In candlesticks and their properties, there are a lot of interesting things, right Tatrik... :0))
 
Tantrik:

on the euRe index down tomorrow.

index 16.11.


I remember seeing lines like that somewhere :)

 
SEVER11:
In candles and their properties, a lot of interesting things lie, right Tatrik... :0))

+5

Even more than in the forecasts ))))

But the forecast so far is correct, especially on large TFs. Interest is growing

 
gpwr:


I remember seeing the same lines somewhere :)

The lines are mine and a lot more. What are the forecasts for? I don't do forecasts now - just a branch with forecasts I couldn't resist.

(70% probability was - but they stayed in euronotes, on H4 - price moves - and here they are happy when the direction is guessed) (there are theories that only TA works...)

 
Tantrik:

The lines are mine and a lot more. What are the forecasts for? I don't do forecasts now - just a branch with forecasts I couldn't resist.

(70% probability was - yes they stayed in eurowets, on H4 - price moves - and here they are happy when the direction is guessed) (there are theories that only TA works...)

I have to disappoint you: not happy, all that you write - the usual rubbish. There is a special thread for you, a very popular one.
 

Tantrik, I have to agree with faa1947.

You do very well in the Eurovette, but not here. There are a lot of statistics here. But you don't seem to be interested in it.

You can open your own thread about candles and their properties.

 

New forecast

Date Value Change Forecast Forecast Error Forecast Error Change Change
Open Open prices at based on in pips based on in pips forecast forecast
eurusd DX on eurusd on DX
2011.11.09 00:00 1,383 NA 2011.11.09 1,3798 56 1,3663 67

2011.11.10 00:00 1,3524 -0,0306 2011.11.10 1,3613 60 1,3742 70 -0,0032 -0,0167
2011.11.11 00:00 1,361 0,0086 2011.11.11 1,3541 59 1,3766 71 0,0089 0,0218
2011.11.14 00:00 1,3778 0,0168 2011.11.14 1,3676 59 1,3673 69 -0,0069 0,0156
2011.11.15 00:00 1,3624 -0,0154 2011.11.15 1,3650 59 1,3634 69 -0,0102 -0,0105
2011.11.16 00:00 1,3525 -0,0099 2011.11.16 1,3529 57 1,3627 69 0,0026 0,0010
2011.11.17 00:00 1,3455 -0,0070 2011.11.17 1,3446 57 1,3521 70 0,0004 0,0102



Forecast long. Very large difference in the value of the forecast using EURUSD and DX lags.

 
Mathemat:

By the way. I was looking through dissertations and one of them (I can't remember which one) saw the use of Shannon and a similar formula to yours for cotier research. It's in the literature review section, but then the author moved on to Hirst. The search was on Yandex for "predictability".
 
Mathemat:

Tantrik, I have to agree with faa1947.

You do very well in the Eurovette, but not here. There are a lot of statistics here. But you don't seem to be interested in them.

About candles and their properties you can open your own branch.


Greetings! I wasn't going to argue with them - they don't have prediction statistics (just flooding ...)