[WARNING CLOSED] UmnickTrader Adaptive EA - page 13

 
VictorArt: One of the main ones is reliability: server, communication, quote flow, other software.
In my opinion, one of the main ones is the Trading Strategy. Everything else - servers, communications, streaming and other software - is configurable. If only there were something to configure.....))))
 
LeoV:
In my opinion, one of the basic things is Trading Strategy. Everything else - servers, communication, flow and other software - is configurable. If only there was something to configure.....))))


I won't argue, but you are wrong.

Note that "the future cannot be predicted" and therefore any Trading Strategy (TS) can lose effectiveness at any time.

At any time.

This is absolutely analogous to the fact that no human being, when leaving home in the morning, knows in advance whether he will return home or to the morgue.

 
VictorArt: I won't argue, but you are wrong.

Note that "the future cannot be predicted" and therefore any Trading Strategy (TS) can lose effectiveness at any time.

At any time.

It is absolutely analogous to the fact that no one of people, when they leave home in the morning, knows in advance whether they will return home or to the morgue.


Which is it? Die immediately? Or not to trade? ))))
 
LeoV:

And what of it? Die immediately? Or not to trade? ))))
Well, why not? Because you can trade on the Only True Theory, which is implemented in the UmnickTrader Expert Advisor.
 
LeoV:

And what of it? Die immediately? Or don't trade? ))))


This means that no matter how good the TS is, there is no point in relying on it alone.

It is necessary to use evolutionary algorithms to improve the reliability of the trading system as a whole, so that the failure of any individual component will not greatly affect the outcome.

For example, a lot of people die in the world every day, but the mind on the planet as a whole continues to evolve in a positive direction.

The bottom line is first reliability, then quality of individual TCs.

 
VictorArt:


It follows that no matter how great the TC is, there is no point in relying on it alone.

It is necessary to use evolutionary algorithms to improve the reliability of the trading system as a whole, so that the failure of any individual component will not greatly affect the final outcome.

As an example, a huge number of people die in the world every day, but the mind on the planet as a whole continues to evolve in a positive direction.

The bottom line is first reliability, then quality of individual TCs.


Fuck, demagoguery is a good science, I get it, but not to this extent....))))
 
LeoV:

Fuck, demagoguery is a good science, I get it, but not to this extent....))))


You see Figar0, here the most basic things lead to terribly emotional arguments :)

So trying to explain anything on the forums is a sissy's job.

 
LeoV:

Fuck, demagoguery is a good science, I get it, but not to this extent....))))


A demagogue's rulebook

  1. Never answer a question posed directly and don't fully disclose your position. That way you leave yourself more room to backtrack by saying "that's not what I meant at all".
  2. Remember - your opponent has to prove all the time that he's not a camel. If he proves any nonsense, he won't have time to expose you, and the audience will feel like you're acting naturally.
  3. Never argue with another demagogue. If you have the choice of whose post to respond to, choose the newbies who naively try to talk to you like a sane person. They are the easiest victims and you can't lose to them.
  4. A demagogue doesn't get dirty. No matter what you/they write about you, always remain chipper, unflappable and glossy. It's infuriating.
  5. Don't engage in primitive rudeness and flaming. Caustic taunts are a hundred times more offensive. Besides, a moderator won't find an excuse to shut you up, no matter how much he wants to, but the same moderator is perfectly entitled to ban you at will by your left heel, which is partly demagoguery.
  6. If your opponent's post contains 90% irresistible arguments that you have nothing to counter, ignore them. Then find the weakness in the remaining 10% and spin it.
  7. If you get caught faking or making a mistake, pretend it's nothing and move the argument to another topic where you can seize the initiative. Never admit your mistakes, make excuses or defend yourself - this is unworthy of a true demagogue.
  8. Create a halo of self-evidence in your posts. The phrases "everyone knows that...", "only a fool does not know that...", "it was found out a long time ago that...". works wonders. Also, you can cut such a demagogue by asking "Who exactly has figured it out? Can you actually confirm it?"
  9. There are no absolute truths in the world, so a skilled demagogue can turn any post against his opponent:
    • If someone gives an expert opinion, say it's just their opinion;
    • if you are given any facts, say the source is unreliable;
    • if they say that two times two is four, say it's not an argument.
  10. One of the best tactics is to piss off your opponent (a good demagogue does it pretty well), and when you see even the slightest hint of flaming, insult him by claiming that he's out of arguments and resorting to personality.
  11. Another good trick is to appeal to your opponent's intelligence. "You're an intelligent man and you know that..." If he does object, it will seem to everyone that he himself has admitted that he is an idiot.

    (link)

    The noble Athos persecutes.
  12. If your opponent starts clinging to words, you can quote the ancient Chinese demagogues - "I thought you were a sharp-eyed lion, but you're a blind dog. For if you throw a stone to a dog, it will look at the stone. And if you throw a stone to a lion, it will stare at the thrower without looking away." An intelligent interlocutor will be subtly offended by the phrase, a foolish one will be cognitively dissonant.
  13. If you're pinned down, ostentatiously yawn and say, "This is all bullshit. I believe that...". The "it's all nonsense" argument is fundamentally irrefutable.
  14. The phrase: "The opponents have never produced any evidence" is a demagogue's best friend. Don't be afraid to use it, even if irrefutable evidence was in every line. Opponents will still be unable to argue anything against it.
  15. Don't be afraid to claim with a brazen face that white is black and black is white. Strange as it may seem, it is very hard to prove otherwise.
  16. There are no ranks and titles for a demagogue. A reference to someone else's authority is never proof and can be debunked with a simple "Don't you have your own thoughts?".
  17. Remember that the word "justify" is a vulgar swear word. If you're called a "justification", say that everything has been said before and that your opponents can't read your posts.
    • It is strictly forbidden tolink to your own previous posts - perhaps those posts do not exist. Let his opponent look for himself. If he does not find it, you can accuse him of being unable to search and generally stupid. Let him prove that he is not dumb and can look - to argue about it is much easier and more pleasant than to talk about the subject of the dispute.
  18. Never end an argument first. Wait until your opponents realise that it's useless to talk to you and bail, and then claim victory.
  19. If you have nothing to say, quote bash.org.ru, udaff.com, the famous blogs in Zhj, Goblin's deadpan, and this site. It's very cool and inspires respect. Take two or three phrases and repeat them constantly. But be careful with it. You might get labelled, phaggotry and trolling. This is especially true if you link to this resource. You do not need to apply this point to those who are more intelligent than the dog.
  20. Be sure to call your opponents by their first name. Don't stray from that.
  21. If your opponent is skilled in the subject and cleverly parries your arguments, accuse him of demagoguery.
  22. If you have nothing to respond to your opponent, you should carefully check his message for spelling and punctuation errors.
  23. If your opponent beat you to it, ask him something like - is there nothing to pick on but mistakes? Or say, are you familiar with such a concept as author's punctuation?
  24. The ultimate in editing your post AFTER you've received a response, and then ask: "Where did I write that?
  25. Remember, everyone around you knows you're a demagogue. So you shouldn't care about their opinion. You're doing all this to rise in your own eyes, not in the eyes of others.
  26. The question "So what?" is known to break any argument. Although it won't fly if the opponent knows the phrase "Dick over your shoulder", which justifies any argument. By the way, an EXPLOSIVE punch in the face dramatically dampens further desire for such an argument.
  27. If you're required to provide you with a reflection, feel free to quote yourself or someone you know as an eyewitness (without naming names, of course). It would be problematic for your opponent to give you a lie detector test, and it's rude to do so. You can also suggest a Google search (see also point 17).
  28. If the opponent presses the argument, you can tell him: "You cleverly evade the main point with all your data, numbers, references, names, and names.
  29. ???????
  30. PROFIT!
 

I still haven't figured out what I've screwed in and how it works, but I do get interesting pictures sometimes.

(2010.01.01-2011.02.23) M5

Files:
 
LeoV:

Is it possible to increase profits many times over in real life rather than in pictures, without losing quality?


This is a profit increase, but again on the picture, but in a very primitive way:

    if( resultTransaction < 0 ) {
     // последняя сделка убыточная
     arrayProfit[currentIndex] = StopBase;
     arrayLoss[currentIndex] = drawDown;
     // изменяем направление сделок
     currentBuySell = -currentBuySell;
     // увеличиваем размер лота
     absAmount = absAmount+amountStep;
    }

EURUSD symbol (Euro vs US Dollar)
Period 1 Minute (M1) 2000.01.03 00:01 - 2010.12.31 18:59 (2000.01.01 - 2011.01.01)
Model All ticks (the most accurate method based on the smallest available timeframes)
Parameters StopBase=0.012; marketOrderOn=false; spred=0.0005; slippage=200; absAmount=0.1; amountStep=0.01; timeframe=240; currentIdOrder="1";

Bars in history 3776059 Modelled ticks 43961395 Simulation quality 25.00%
Chart mismatch errors 0

Initial deposit 10000.00
Net profit 85055.54 Total profit 761239.56 Total loss -676184.02
Profitability 1.13 Expected payoff 123.81
Absolute drawdown 7205.95 Maximum drawdown 43603.97 (50.89%) Relative drawdown 89.08% (22797.38)

Total trades 687 Short positions (% win) 337 (51.34%) Long positions (% win) 350 (53.14%)
Profitable trades (% of all) 359 (52.26%) Loss trades (% of all) 328 (47.74%)
The most profitable trade 4072.90 losing trade -4026.14
Average profitable trade 2120.44 losing trade -2061.54
Maximal number of continuous wins (profit) 11 (43174.64) continuous losses (loss) 9 (-28471.66)
Maximum number of continuous wins (number of wins) 43174.64 (11) continuous losses (number of losses) -28471.66 (9)
Average continuous gain 2 continuous loss 2