[WARNING CLOSED] UmnickTrader Adaptive EA - page 11

 
LeoV:
Not a fact. The more OOS, the more likely he is to sell out in real life.)))

Do you have proof?
 
LeoV:
Not a fact. The more OOS, the more likely it is that he'll sell out in the real world.)))


No.

Firstly, no one is forcing an EA to be prepared for the real world with an OOS of 9 years. Machines being tested, beaten, overturned, set on fire, it does not mean that you have to experience all this on your own skin?

Secondly, think plausibly: an EA that has worked for 9 years in a row, the probability that it will not work for another 1 month? And an advisor who has worked for a week, the likelihood that he will not work for another week? The answer is obvious to me.

*****

Z.I. Has anyone even watched this "cleverness", can we get into 2 words about what it's about?

 
VictorArt:


Using the features of a tester is not serious.

For starters, just write one that shows the best results, and we'll all go through it together :)

Why would you ask for a test in nine years?
 
atik:
why ask for a test in nine years?

Figar0 has already well answered: "First of all, no one is forcing the EA to be ready for the real world with an OOS of 9 years. Cars are tested, beaten, overturned, set on fire, it does not mean that you have to experience all this on your own skin when you buy a EuroNAP star car, does it?

Secondly, think about it: an EA that has worked for 9 years in a row, the probability that it will not work for another 1 month? And an advisor who has worked for a week, the likelihood that he will work for one more? The answer is obvious to me."
 

Vitya, you're just hung up on your "cleverness"... Develop another one, but on slightly different principles. Call him "stupid".

And then compare the results of those two -- the smart one and the stupid one.

Whichever one wins gets the laurels.

And it may well be that you, by the results of the test, will be promoting a fool to the masses!

 
VictorArt:

Figar0 has already responded well, "Firstly, no one is forcing you to prepare an EA for the real world with an OOS of 9 years. When cars are tested, beaten, flipped, set on fire, it does not mean that you have to experience all this on your own skin when you buy a star EuroNAP car, does it?

Secondly, think plausibly: an EA that has worked for 9 years in a row, the probability that it will not work for another 1 month? And an advisor who has worked for a week, the likelihood that he will work for another one? The answer is obvious to me".
That's the test, not the state...
 
Mathemat:

Unfortunately, for such number of deals to make any more or less confident conclusions, profitability is too low (1.13).

"With a slight movement of the hand, we increase the number of trades by almost 3 times : )

This is "Adaptive EA UmnickTrader V3M3P2", which differs from "Adaptive EA UmnickTrader V3" in the number of trades.


EURUSD symbol (Euro vs US Dollar)
Period 1 Minute (M1) 2000.01.03 00:01 - 2010.12.31 18:59 (2000.01.01 - 2011.01.01)
Model All ticks (the most accurate method based on the smallest available timeframes)
Parameters StopBase=0.012; marketOrderOn=false; spred=0.0005; slippage=200; absAmount=0.5; timeframe=240; currentIdOrder="1"; absAmount2=0.5; absLimit2=0.0106; currentIdOrder2="2";

Bars in history 3776059 Modelled ticks 43961395 Simulation quality 25.00%
Chart mismatch errors 0

Initial deposit 10000.00
Net profit 56017.50 Total profit 520418.65 Total loss -464401.15
Profitability 1.12 Expected payoff 32.51
Absolute drawdown 3637.45 Maximum drawdown 20534.55 (64.58%) Relative drawdown 64.58% (20534.55)

Total trades 1723 Short positions (% win) 857 (52.74%) Long positions (% win) 866 (56.35%)
Profitable trades (% of all) 940 (54.56%) Loss trades (% of all) 783 (45.44%)
Largest profitable trade 607.50 losing trade -617.55
Average profitable trade 553.64 losing trade - 593.10
Maximal number of continuous wins (profit) 19 (10538.40) continuous losses (loss) 21 (-12418.30)
Maximum number of continuous profits (number of wins) 10538.40 (19) continuous losses (number of losses) -12418.30 (21)
Average continuous gain 3 continuous loss 3

 
VictorArt: "With an easy move of the hand, we increase the number of trades by almost 3 times : )


Pictures are easy to post. You'd rather make a "light touch" to increase your profits on the pamm. That's when your smart guy will show himself. All the pictures are just pictures.....))

 
LeoV:


Pictures are easy to post. You'd better make a "light touch" to increase your profits on the pamm. That's when your smart guy will prove himself. Otherwise, it's all pictures and pictures.....)))

Profit is nothing, talk is everything.
 
paukas:
Profit is nothing, talk is everything.
Vitya's main thing is stability! -- Stable talk!